Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS53 KICT 290909
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
409 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

KSC095-155-290930-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-070329T0930Z/
RENO KS-KINGMAN KS-
409 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
KINGMAN AND SOUTHEASTERN RENO COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CDT...

AT 403 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR KINGMAN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN KINGMAN AND SOUTHEASTERN RENO COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
TOWN OF MURDOCK.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG
BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3782 9821 3755 9818 3757 9780 3772 9779
      3772 9770 3791 9769

$$

COX

000 
WWUS53 KICT 290927
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
427 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

KSC095-155-290937-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-070329T0930Z/
RENO KS-KINGMAN KS-
427 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN KINGMAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN RENO COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AT 422 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE RISK TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3782 9821 3755 9818 3757 9780 3772 9779
      3772 9770 3791 9769

$$

COX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
333 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR KANSAS DURING THE
NEXT 60HRS...WITH CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

TDY-TONIGHT
LOTS OF FACTORS TO CONSIDER WILL MAKE THINGS CHALLENGING FOR TODAY
AND FRIDAY. CURRENT LINE OF CONVECTION WAS BEING DRIVEN EASTWARD BY
COLD POOL AND SHOULD ENTER CENTRAL KANSAS EARLY THIS
MORNING...HOWEVER MUCAPES ARE LOWER OVER CENTRAL KANSAS SO WOULD
EXPECT THE CONVECTION TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE MORNING HOURS
AND CONTINUE A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT. THE MAIN QUESTION WILL BE IF
THE ATMOSPHERE CAN RECOVER AND DESTABILIZE LATER IN THE DAY...WITH
MORNING PRECIP AND CLOUDS LINGERING OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. IF SOME
DECENT BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS MATERIALIZE THEN CONVECTION COULD
RE-DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...WITH
SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE. WE WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOING
OVER CENTRAL KANSAS DUE TO SLOW MOVEMENT AND SOME MOISTURE TRANSPORT
OCCURRING TO KEEP THINGS GOING FOR A BIT LONGER. OTHERWISE...FOCUS
FOR HEAVIER RAIN COULD SHIFT OVER TO EASTERN KANSAS TONIGHT AS
MOISTURE TRANSPORT KEYS IN ON THAT REGION.

FRI-SAT
THIS PERIOD WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHAT HAPPENS WITH TONIGHTS
CONVECTION AND MESOSCALE EFFECTS WHICH COULD VERY WELL ALTER THE
SURFACE FRONT PLACEMENT. DPROG/DT ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHIFT FOCUS
AREA FURTHER NORTHWEST WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUN. A STRONG SHORT
WAVE WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY...AND MOVE INTO KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT WITH UPPER SYSTEM
POSSIBLY GOING THROUGH AN INSTANT OCCLUSION CYCLE. MODELS ARE
CONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER JET AND RIGHT REAR QUAD
DYNAMICS INDUCING STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE 850-700MB THETA
E GRADIENT...AS INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN KANSAS
THEN RAPIDLY DEEPENS ONCE THE SYSTEM GOES THROUGH AN INSTANT
OCCLUSION PHASE. THE 850MB FRONT COULD BECOME THE PREFERRED REGION
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...AS THE BULK OF THE SYNOPTIC LIFT OCCURS ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH(POSSIBLE BEHIND CASE) WITH
TRAINING OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A FLOOD WATCH MAYBE NEED TO
BE HOISTED BY LATER SHIFTS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...AS HPC DAY 2 QPF
GUIDANCE IS HIGHLIGHTING A LINE FROM OKLAHOMA CITY INTO NORTHEAST
KANSAS. THIS SEEMS TO CORRELATE PRETTY GOOD WITH THE 850MB FRONT.
MEANWHILE...THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHEAST OF THE
REGION DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY WITH SOME LINGERING PRECIP AND
COOLER TEMPS IN STORE.

EXTENDED:SUN-WED
NO BIG CHANGES WERE MADE TO THIS PERIOD WITH WARMER TEMPS SLATED FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE COOLER AIR MOVES BACK INTO KANSAS FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. PRECIP CHANCES LOOK FINE FOR MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY...AS MOISTURE WORKS ITS WAY NORTHWARD AHEAD OF NEXT
SYSTEM RACING EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

JAKUB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    70  54  65  47 /  80  60  40  80
HUTCHINSON      68  50  64  45 /  80  50  30  80
NEWTON          70  54  65  46 /  80  60  40  80
ELDORADO        71  55  67  49 /  80  70  50  80
WINFIELD-KWLD   72  55  67  50 /  80  70  50  80
RUSSELL         67  44  61  41 /  80  30  20  60
GREAT BEND      67  45  61  42 /  80  30  20  60
SALINA          68  49  64  44 /  80  50  20  80
MCPHERSON       68  50  64  45 /  80  50  20  80
COFFEYVILLE     77  58  72  52 /  60  80  60  90
CHANUTE         75  57  72  52 /  50  80  60  90
IOLA            75  57  72  52 /  50  80  60  90
PARSONS-KPPF    77  58  72  52 /  60  80  60  90

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR KSZ032-033-047>051-
067-068-082-083-091-092.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK..UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
955 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-300015-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
955 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
THE MAIN THREAT...BUT A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  THE MAIN
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY ON THURSDAY AS SOME STORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS. PLEASE REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE DETAILS
ON THIS FLOODING POSSIBILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS ON THURSDAY. IN
ADDITION...THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEPEND ON
HOW MUCH SUN AND HEATING OCCURS.

THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. RICH GULF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
FEED NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING THE CHANCE OF
ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
PLEASE CHECK BACK FOR LATER OUTLOOKS FOR UPDATES ON THIS STORM
SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
ACTIVATION WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE...FROM LINCOLN TO
HUTCHINSON...TO ANTHONY. HEAVY RAINFALL REPORTS WILL ALSO BE
GREATLY APPRECIATED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

CJ/EPS/JMC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
319 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

KSZ082-091-290845-
HARPER-KINGMAN-
319 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR HARPER AND KINGMAN COUNTIES...

AT 309 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PRESTON TO 5 MILES
NORTH OF BURLINGTON TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF CAPRON...AND MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
328 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 AM     HAIL             CUNNINGHAM              37.64N 98.43W
03/29/2007  E0.75 INCH       KINGMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

REC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
345 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

KSZ067-068-082-083-091-092-290930-
HARPER-HARVEY-KINGMAN-RENO-SEDGWICK-SUMNER-
345 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR HARPER...HARVEY...KINGMAN...RENO...SEDGWICK AND
SUMNER COUNTIES...

AT 338 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ABBYVILLE TO KINGMAN TO MANCHESTER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

COX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
356 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 AM     HAIL             LYONS                   38.35N 98.20W
03/29/2007  E1.00 INCH       RICE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            55 MPH WINDS

&&

REC