Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Austin County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Polk County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
351 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL VORT LOBE ROTATING AROUND THE MID/UPPER
LOW EARLY THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION
THE NEXT TWO HOURS ACROSS SE TX. ANOTHER LOBE WILL APPROACH DURING
THE AFT HOURS...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO PROLONG TSTM DEVELOP ALL DAY
TODAY IN A VERY MOIST AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE.

MAIN PROBLEM OF THE DAY IS WHETHER OR NOT TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH. DECIDED TO GO AHEAD WITH ONE BECAUSE OF THE TRAINING AND
BACK BUILDING POTENTIAL. FLOW ALOFT REMAINS DIFFLUENT...ESPECIALLY
TOWARDS MID-DAY. OVERALL THE SITUATION IS NOT TOO DIFFERENT FROM
YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...IT IS STILL VERY DIFFICULT TO TELL WHERE THE
HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS WILL OCCUR ON THE MESOSCALE AT THIS POINT.
MY THINKING IS IT WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA...BUT AM NOT VERY CONFIDENT ON THIS BECAUSE THERE IS NO REAL
SIGNIFICANT SFC FOCUS ATTM.

DID NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHGS TO THE FORECAST. THE MID/UPPER
LOW WILL WEAKEN AND LIFT OUT TO THE NE ON MONDAY. HOWEVER...A
WEAK SHEAR AXIS WILL LIKELY BE LEFT OVERHEAD FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK
AS A MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPS NW OF THE AREA. THIS SUBTLE
FEATURE WILL BE IMPORTANT BECAUSE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY
REMAIN VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE. THEREFORE...LEFT SCT POPS IN THE
FCST THROUGH THE WEEK. MAY SEE A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN THE RAIN
CHC NEXT WEEKEND...BUT MODELS ARE VERY INCONSISTENT FROM RUN TO
RUN ON THE WX PATTERN NEXT WEEKEND. WILL JUST HAVE SLIGHT CHC FOR
NOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      85  72  91  72  92 /  70  30  40  20  40
HOUSTON (IAH)              86  73  89  74  91 /  70  30  40  20  40
GALVESTON (GLS)            87  79  87  79  88 /  60  30  40  20  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS...
     COLORADO...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...
     HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY...MADISON...MATAGORDA...
     MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...
     WALLER...WASHINGTON...WHARTON.

&&

DISCUSSION...33

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>