Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Gray, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
214 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE TODAY...THEN SWEEP
OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WHICH WILL USHER IN A MUCH
COOLER AIRMASS... FOLLOWS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A WARM
FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AS WELL AS
SOUTHWESTERN MAINE TIL 7 PM WITH SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS
EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL END DURING THE EVENING HOURS WITH
CLEARING OVERNIGHT...MAYBE SOME RESIDUAL PATCHY FOG.  MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES FOR WEDNESDAY...PERHAPS SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS
ESPECIALLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VERY BUSY WITH STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON SO THIS
WILL BE BRIEF.

MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR ENTERS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. ENOUGH GRADIENT AND MIN TEMPS IN THE UPPER 30S TO PREVENT
MOST AREAS FROM RECEIVING FROST. HOWEVER...THIS WILL NEED TO BE
WATCHED AND UPDATED IN FUTURE PRODUCTS.

CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS TO OUR EAST THURSDAY. STILL SOME QUESTION AS
TO WHETHER HEAT ARRIVES TO GYX LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MARITIME FLOW.
&&

.AVIATION /17Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...HIGHLY VARIABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  CLEARING OVERNIGHT WITH PATCHY FOG.  BECOMING
VFR WEDNESDAY MORNING.

LONG TERM...BASICALLY VFR...BECOMING LOCALLY IFR/MVFR BY FRIDAY
NIGHT.
&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THROUGH 7 PM OVER THE WATERS.
SCAS FOR SEAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LONG TERM...WINDS/SEAS MAINLY BELOW SCA CRITERIA.
&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...MEZ007-008-012-013-018>020-023-024...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
     TIL 7 PM .
NH...NHZ001>010-013-014...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TIL 7 PM.
MARINE...ANZ150...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TIL 7 PM.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1222 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

ANZ150-MEZ007-008-012-013-018>020-023-024-NHZ001>010-013-014-061630-
STONINGTON ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-NORTHERN OXFORD-
NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
1222 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 347 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGHOUT NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
WESTERN MAINE AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE REGION FROM
THE WEST. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ANZ170-MEZ009-014-021-022-025>028-061630-
WATERS FROM STONINGTON (DEER ISLE) ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA FROM
25 TO 40 NM-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-KENNEBEC-
INTERIOR WALDO-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
1222 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGHOUT
NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE AS WELL AS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS. A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST.
THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1243 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

NHZ013-051730-
INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
1243 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT ROCKINGHAM COUNTY THROUGH 130 PM
EDT...

AT 1243 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 5 MILES EAST OF
MANCHESTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT NEARLY 40 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND WINDHAM...
SANDOWN...LONDONDERRY...HAMPSTEAD...DERRY...CHESTER...ATKINSON...
AUBURN...DANVILLE AND RAYMOND THROUGH 130 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

SJC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
128 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

NHZ008>010-013-051815-
BELKNAP-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-MERRIMACK-STRAFFORD-
128 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BELKNAP COUNTY...STRAFFORD
COUNTY...MERRIMACK COUNTY AND ROCKINGHAM COUNTY THROUGH 215 PM EDT...

AT 128 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER DEERFIELD...MOVING TO
THE NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND SUNCOOK...SOUTH HOOKSETT...RAYMOND...
PEMBROKE...NOTTINGHAM...NEWFIELDS...FREMONT...EPSOM...EPPING AND
DEERFIELD THROUGH 215 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

SJC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
210 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

MEZ007>009-NHZ001-051900-
CENTRAL SOMERSET-NORTHERN COOS-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-NORTHERN OXFORD-
210 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT OXFORD COUNTY...SOMERSET
COUNTY...FRANKLIN COUNTY AND COOS COUNTY THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 210 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
17 MILES WEST OF COBURN GORE TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF UPTON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND UPTON...WENTWORTHS LOCATION...WILSONS
MILLS... MIDDLE DAM...SOUTH ARM...ANDOVER...OQUOSSOC...DAVIS
...COBURN GORE AND BYRON THROUGH 300 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED.

SJC