Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2007
Wind Advisory 9, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Feb 24, 2007, 3:00 PM EST for 8 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 24, 2007, 9:43 PM EST. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 24, 2007, 3:00 PM EST (20:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 24, 2007, 9:43 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2007, 11:06 AM EST
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2455 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 176 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS72 KGSP 242000 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 300 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT... .A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT. AS WIND FIELDS RESPOND TO THIS SYSTEM...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-250400- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.070225T0500Z-070225T1700Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE... SYLVA...FRANKLIN 300 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN THE FORM OF 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE. IN THE VALLEYS...STRONG GUSTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN THE LITTLE TENNESSEE AND TUCKASEGEE VALLEYS...AND IN THE UPPER PORTION OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ LANE
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS72 KGSP 250243 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT... .A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT. AS WIND FIELDS RESPOND TO THIS SYSTEM...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTH GEORGIA. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. GAZ010-017-NCZ033-049-050-065-507-509-251100- /O.NEW.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.070225T0243Z-070225T1700Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HENDERSON- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND... SPRUCE PINE...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE 943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT... ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE AND ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ NCZ064-251100- /O.EXB.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.070225T0243Z-070225T1700Z/ TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BREVARD 943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN THE FORM OF 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-251100- /O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.070225T0243Z-070225T1700Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE... SYLVA...FRANKLIN 943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN THE FORM OF 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE. IN THE VALLEYS...STRONG GUSTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN THE LITTLE TENNESSEE AND TUCKASEGEE VALLEYS...AND IN THE UPPER PORTION OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS72 KGSP 250812 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 312 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING... .A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING. AS WIND FIELDS RESPOND TO THIS SYSTEM...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTH GEORGIA...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-251700- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE... SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD 312 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN THE FORM OF 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE. IN THE VALLEYS...STRONG GUSTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN THE LITTLE TENNESSEE AND TUCKASEGEE VALLEYS...AND IN THE UPPER PORTION OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ033-049-050-065-507-509-251700- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HENDERSON- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND... SPRUCE PINE...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE 312 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING... ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE AND ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ NED
000 WWUS72 KGSP 251606 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1106 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-251715- /O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE... SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD 1106 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THIS IS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. HOWEVER...GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ033-049-050-065-507-509-251715- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HENDERSON- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND... SPRUCE PINE...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE 1106 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. HOWEVER...GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. $$ LANE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 24, 2:55 PM EST, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 2:55 PM EST, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
WEAK RADAR RETURNS ARE ALREADY OVERSPREADING THE FAR SOUTHWEST
MTNS OF NORTH CAROLINA. HOWEVER...THE AIRMASS OVER THE TENN VALLEY
AND THE NC MTNS REMAINS VERY DRY...SO WE/RE PROBABLY SEVERAL HOURS
AWAY FROM PRECIPITATION REACHING THE SURFACE ACROSS OUR CWFA.
OTHERWISE...AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS IN RESPONDS TO THE
APPROACH OF THE VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM...UPGLIDE/UPSLOPE FLOW WILL INCREASE...LEADING TO
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING ACROSS THE MTNS THIS
EVENING...AND OVERSPREADING MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WE WILL CONTINUE CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS THE MTNS
TONIGHT...WITH LIKELIES TO THE EAST.
WIND IS STILL A CONCERN FOR TONIGHT ACROSS THE MTNS...AS A 60 TO 70
KT LOW LEVEL JET (ACCORDING TO THE NAM) IMPACTS THE MTNS AFTER 06Z.
ALTHOUGH WE WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WARM ADVECTION REGIME
DURING THIS TIME...WHICH IS TYPICALLY AN INDICATOR THAT THE
STRONGEST FLOW WILL REMAIN ALOFT...A 65-70 KT LLJ HAS MEANT BAD NEWS
ACROSS THE MTNS ON TWO OCCASIONS SO FAR DURING THIS COOL SEASON. OUR
CURRENT PLAN IS TO ISSUE A RATHER STRONGLY WORDED WIND ADVISORY
AND ALLOW THE EVENING SHIFT TO EVALUATE THINGS A LITTLE FURTHER.
WE HAVE DECIDED TO OPT AGAINST AN INCLUSION OF ANY WINTRY PRECIP IN
TONIGHT/S FORECAST. THE TNB ETAKIT SOUNDING CONTINUES TO PAINT A
PICTURE OF SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN TOMORROW MORNING.
HOWEVER...THIS IS THE ONLY AVAILABLE PIECE OF GUIDANCE THAT I CAN
FIND THAT SUGGESTS SUCH AN EVENT IS POSSIBLE.
FRONTAL FORCING ENTERS THE CWFA AROUND 12Z SUNDAY...COINCIDENT WITH
THE VERY STRONG LLJ. SHEAR PARAMETERS ARE THROUGH THE ROOF...BUT
INSTABILITY AS USUAL WILL BE AT A PREMIUM. HOWEVER...CHANCES FOR
SEVERE CONVECTION WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONTAL BAND EMERGES OVER THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT DURING THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
NAM ACTUALLY HAS A NARROW WEDGE OF INSTABILITY THAT DEVELOPS RIGHT
ALONG THE FRONT (BEHIND THE MAIN REGION OF FORCING) DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AS MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT OVERTAKES THE FRONT. THIS COULD
RESULT IN ADDITIONAL SCATTERED TSRA BEHIND THE MAIN FRONTAL BAND. WE
WILL MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER DURING THE MORNING...WITH A
CHANCE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
WNW FLOW WILL LEAD TO SOME UPSLOPE INDUCED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS SUN
NIGHT ACROSS THE WRN NC MTNS. I HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS...WHICH MAY BE
A LITTLE OVERDONE CONSIDERING THAT MOISTURE IS ONLY ABOUT 3KFT DEEP
AND WELL BELOW THE -12 TO -16 DEG TEMPERATURE LEVEL...BUT I AM NOT
GOING TO CARRY ANY QPF OR SNOWFALL ACCUMS FOR THAT PERIOD.
THE UPPER LOW THAT CROSSES TO OUR NORTH TOMORROW WILL BECOME
STATIONARY OVER THE UPPER MID-WEST FOR A FEW DAYS. ON MONDAY NIGHT A
CHANNELED SHORT WAVE WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW AND CROSS THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. WHILE THE WAVE IS NOT THAT
STRONG...THE NAM DOES HAVE MODEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE DEVELOP SOUTH OF
IT. IT EVEN GENERATES A FAIR AMOUNT OF PCPN WHICH IT BRINGS INTO
THE NC MOUNTAINS EARLY TUE MORNING. THE GFS ALSO HAS THE WAVE...BUT
NOT AS MUCH OF A RESPONSE IN THE LOWER LEVELS. THEREFORE IT DOES NOT
GENERATE ANY PCPN. WL GO WITH A BLEND...WHICH MEANS CHANCE POPS FOR
THE NRN AND WRN NC MTNS. TEMPS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW SHOWERS
MOST LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 3KFT. DON/T SEE THIS BEING A
SIGNIFICANT EVENT...BUT IF THE NAM WERE TO VERIFY...SOME LIGHT
ACCUMS WOULD BE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
FAIR AND MILD AGAIN ON TUE WITH WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW HELPING
TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE U50S AN L60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT. A LITTLE COOLER IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S AND 50S.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANOTHER STRONG TROF WILL LIFT ACROSS THE ERN CONUS DURING THE
MEDIUM RANGE PART OF THE FORECAST. WHILE THE TROF WILL BE MORE OPEN
THAN THE ONE THAT IS CURRENTLY ABOUT TO AFFECT THE REGION...IT WILL
FOLLOW A SIMILAR PATH...LIFTING INTO THE GREAT LAKES STATES LATE
NEXT WEEK. THE GFS IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE ECMWF...BUT BOTH
IMPLY THE GREATEST CHANCE OF PCPN WILL BE LATE THU AND FRI. AT THIS
POINT I/M DIFFERING FROM THE HPC FORECAST IN THAT I WON/T HAVE ANY
POPS IN THE NC ZONES ON SAT. IN FACT...THE BALANCE OF FRI MIGHT EVEN
BE DRY CONSIDERING HOW FAST THE TROF MOVES. HOWEVER...THERE IS
ENOUGH UNCERTAINLY ON TIMING THAT I/LL KEEP POP IN THROUGH THE DAY
FRI. A WAVE MAY FORM ON THE FRONT LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF RAIN BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA...THOUGH AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS PCPN WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE FA. ALL PCPN IN THE EXTENDED
LOOKS TO BE OF THE LIQUID VARIETY...AND WE MAY BE DEALING WITH
ANOTHER CONVECTIVE EVENT SOMETIME THU INTO EARLY FRI.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z-18Z/...
LIGHT WINDS AND GRADUALLY LOWERING CIGS WILL BE OBSERVED THIS
EVENING AT THE TERMINALS. AS LOW LEVEL UPGLIDE STRENGTHENS LATE
TONIGHT...WE SHOULD SEE LOWER CIGS OVERTAKE MUCH OF THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...EXPECT THESE TO HOLD ABOVE MVFR UNTIL THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS. LIGHT PRECIP WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE LOWERING
CIGS. HOWEVER...VISBY RESTRICTIONS SHOULD BE SLOW TO DEVELOP...AS
THE LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL TAKE SEVERAL HOURS TO SATURATE. RAIN WILL
BECOME HEAVIER ACROSS THE AREA AFTER SUNRISE...AND EXPECT AT LEAST
LOW MVFR CIGS W/ MVFR VISBY TO PREDOMINATE AT MOST TERMINALS BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-
018-026-028-029.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
NCZ051-058-059-062-063-064.
SC...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...JDL/MCAVOY
LONG TERM...MCAVOY
AVIATION...JDLHazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 5:58 AM EST, 9 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-251100- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- 558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR LOCATIONS WEST OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY...WITH A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ALONG AND EAST OF THE FRENCH BROAD. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING. ELEVATION DEPENDANT SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MAINLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-251100- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL- BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS- EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE- LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE UPSTATE...AND THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...A FEW OF THEM COULD BE SEVERE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS FOR SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE FROM ABBEVILLE...GREENWOOD...LAURENS... UNION AND CHESTER TO MONROE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-251100- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST RED FLAG WARNING PRODUCT...CAERFWGSP...FOR DETAILS. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...A FEW OF THEM COULD BE SEVERE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION FOR SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE OVER ELBERT COUNTY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2007Every wind advisory in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.