Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2007

Wind Advisory 9, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

February 24, 20078 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Feb 24, 2007, 3:00 PM EST for 8 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 24, 2007, 9:43 PM EST. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2007, 3:00 PM EST (20:00 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 24, 2007, 9:43 PM EST
Expired
Feb 25, 2007, 11:06 AM EST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2007-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2007-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2455 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 242000
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
300 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

.A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.
AS WIND FIELDS RESPOND TO THIS SYSTEM...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-250400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.070225T0500Z-070225T1700Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN
300 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY
WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT
COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN
THE FORM OF 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG
WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A
SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE. IN THE VALLEYS...STRONG GUSTS WILL BE MOST
LIKELY IN THE LITTLE TENNESSEE AND TUCKASEGEE VALLEYS...AND IN
THE UPPER PORTION OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
LANE
3 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS72 KGSP 250243
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
AND GEORGIA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

.A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.
AS WIND FIELDS RESPOND TO THIS SYSTEM...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTH GEORGIA. STRONG
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-049-050-065-507-509-251100-
/O.NEW.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.070225T0243Z-070225T1700Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND...
SPRUCE PINE...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY.

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE AND ACROSS
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

NCZ064-251100-
/O.EXB.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.070225T0243Z-070225T1700Z/
TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BREVARD
943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY
WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT
COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN
THE FORM OF 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG
WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A
SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-063-251100-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.070225T0243Z-070225T1700Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN
943 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR
MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY
WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT
COULD BE BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN
THE FORM OF 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG
WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A
SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE. IN THE VALLEYS...STRONG GUSTS WILL BE MOST
LIKELY IN THE LITTLE TENNESSEE AND TUCKASEGEE VALLEYS...AND IN
THE UPPER PORTION OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KGSP 250812
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
312 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA AND
GEORGIA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING...

.A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
THIS MORNING. AS WIND FIELDS RESPOND TO THIS SYSTEM...STRONG SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTH 
GEORGIA...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-251700-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
312 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR MORE
WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WINDS SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER IN
THE VALLEYS...SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD BE
BROUGHT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME IN THE FORM OF
40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR STRONG WINDS WILL BE
THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS...OR SLOPES WITH A SOUTHERLY
EXPOSURE. IN THE VALLEYS...STRONG GUSTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN THE
LITTLE TENNESSEE AND TUCKASEGEE VALLEYS...AND IN THE UPPER PORTION
OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...OR
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-049-050-065-507-509-251700-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND...
SPRUCE PINE...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
312 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS WITH A SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE AND ACROSS
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

NED
000 
WWUS72 KGSP 251606
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1106 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007


NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-251715-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
1106 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. 

SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THIS IS BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS. HOWEVER...GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-049-050-065-507-509-251715-
/O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-070225T1700Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...NEWLAND...
SPRUCE PINE...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
1106 AM EST SUN FEB 25 2007

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY. 

SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
HOWEVER...GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 

$$
LANE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 24, 2:55 PM EST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 2:55 PM EST, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
WEAK RADAR RETURNS ARE ALREADY OVERSPREADING THE FAR SOUTHWEST
MTNS OF NORTH CAROLINA. HOWEVER...THE AIRMASS OVER THE TENN VALLEY
AND THE NC MTNS REMAINS VERY DRY...SO WE/RE PROBABLY SEVERAL HOURS
AWAY FROM PRECIPITATION REACHING THE SURFACE ACROSS OUR CWFA.
OTHERWISE...AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS IN RESPONDS TO THE
APPROACH OF THE VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM...UPGLIDE/UPSLOPE FLOW WILL INCREASE...LEADING TO
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING ACROSS THE MTNS THIS
EVENING...AND OVERSPREADING MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WE WILL CONTINUE CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS THE MTNS
TONIGHT...WITH LIKELIES TO THE EAST.

WIND IS STILL A CONCERN FOR TONIGHT ACROSS THE MTNS...AS A 60 TO 70
KT LOW LEVEL JET (ACCORDING TO THE NAM) IMPACTS THE MTNS AFTER 06Z.
ALTHOUGH WE WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WARM ADVECTION REGIME
DURING THIS TIME...WHICH IS TYPICALLY AN INDICATOR THAT THE
STRONGEST FLOW WILL REMAIN ALOFT...A 65-70 KT LLJ HAS MEANT BAD NEWS
ACROSS THE MTNS ON TWO OCCASIONS SO FAR DURING THIS COOL SEASON. OUR
CURRENT PLAN IS TO ISSUE A RATHER STRONGLY WORDED WIND ADVISORY
AND ALLOW THE EVENING SHIFT TO EVALUATE THINGS A LITTLE FURTHER.

WE HAVE DECIDED TO OPT AGAINST AN INCLUSION OF ANY WINTRY PRECIP IN
TONIGHT/S FORECAST. THE TNB ETAKIT SOUNDING CONTINUES TO PAINT A
PICTURE OF SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN TOMORROW MORNING.
HOWEVER...THIS IS THE ONLY AVAILABLE PIECE OF GUIDANCE THAT I CAN
FIND THAT SUGGESTS SUCH AN EVENT IS POSSIBLE.

FRONTAL FORCING ENTERS THE CWFA AROUND 12Z SUNDAY...COINCIDENT WITH
THE VERY STRONG LLJ. SHEAR PARAMETERS ARE THROUGH THE ROOF...BUT
INSTABILITY AS USUAL WILL BE AT A PREMIUM. HOWEVER...CHANCES FOR
SEVERE CONVECTION WILL INCREASE AS THE FRONTAL BAND EMERGES OVER THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT DURING THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
NAM ACTUALLY HAS A NARROW WEDGE OF INSTABILITY THAT DEVELOPS RIGHT
ALONG THE FRONT (BEHIND THE MAIN REGION OF FORCING) DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AS MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT OVERTAKES THE FRONT. THIS COULD
RESULT IN ADDITIONAL SCATTERED TSRA BEHIND THE MAIN FRONTAL BAND. WE
WILL MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER DURING THE MORNING...WITH A
CHANCE IN THE AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
WNW FLOW WILL LEAD TO SOME UPSLOPE INDUCED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS SUN
NIGHT ACROSS THE WRN NC MTNS. I HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS...WHICH MAY BE
A LITTLE OVERDONE CONSIDERING THAT MOISTURE IS ONLY ABOUT 3KFT DEEP
AND WELL BELOW THE -12 TO -16 DEG TEMPERATURE LEVEL...BUT I AM NOT
GOING TO CARRY ANY QPF OR SNOWFALL ACCUMS FOR THAT PERIOD.

THE UPPER LOW THAT CROSSES TO OUR NORTH TOMORROW WILL BECOME
STATIONARY OVER THE UPPER MID-WEST FOR A FEW DAYS. ON MONDAY NIGHT A
CHANNELED SHORT WAVE WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE UPPER LOW AND CROSS THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. WHILE THE WAVE IS NOT THAT
STRONG...THE NAM DOES HAVE MODEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE DEVELOP SOUTH OF
IT. IT EVEN GENERATES A FAIR AMOUNT OF PCPN WHICH IT BRINGS INTO
THE NC MOUNTAINS EARLY TUE MORNING. THE GFS ALSO HAS THE WAVE...BUT
NOT AS MUCH OF A RESPONSE IN THE LOWER LEVELS. THEREFORE IT DOES NOT
GENERATE ANY PCPN. WL GO WITH A BLEND...WHICH MEANS CHANCE POPS FOR
THE NRN AND WRN NC MTNS. TEMPS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW SHOWERS
MOST LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 3KFT. DON/T SEE THIS BEING A
SIGNIFICANT EVENT...BUT IF THE NAM WERE TO VERIFY...SOME LIGHT
ACCUMS WOULD BE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

FAIR AND MILD AGAIN ON TUE WITH WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW HELPING
TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE U50S AN L60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT. A LITTLE COOLER IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH 40S AND 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ANOTHER STRONG TROF WILL LIFT ACROSS THE ERN CONUS DURING THE
MEDIUM RANGE PART OF THE FORECAST. WHILE THE TROF WILL BE MORE OPEN
THAN THE ONE THAT IS CURRENTLY ABOUT TO AFFECT THE REGION...IT WILL
FOLLOW A SIMILAR PATH...LIFTING INTO THE GREAT LAKES STATES LATE
NEXT WEEK. THE GFS IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE ECMWF...BUT BOTH
IMPLY THE GREATEST CHANCE OF PCPN WILL BE LATE THU AND FRI. AT THIS
POINT I/M DIFFERING FROM THE HPC FORECAST IN THAT I WON/T HAVE ANY
POPS IN THE NC ZONES ON SAT. IN FACT...THE BALANCE OF FRI MIGHT EVEN
BE DRY CONSIDERING HOW FAST THE TROF MOVES. HOWEVER...THERE IS
ENOUGH UNCERTAINLY ON TIMING THAT I/LL KEEP POP IN THROUGH THE DAY
FRI. A WAVE MAY FORM ON THE FRONT LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF RAIN BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA...THOUGH AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS PCPN WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE FA. ALL PCPN IN THE EXTENDED
LOOKS TO BE OF THE LIQUID VARIETY...AND WE MAY BE DEALING WITH
ANOTHER CONVECTIVE EVENT SOMETIME THU INTO EARLY FRI.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z-18Z/...
LIGHT WINDS AND GRADUALLY LOWERING CIGS WILL BE OBSERVED THIS
EVENING AT THE TERMINALS. AS LOW LEVEL UPGLIDE STRENGTHENS LATE
TONIGHT...WE SHOULD SEE LOWER CIGS OVERTAKE MUCH OF THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...EXPECT THESE TO HOLD ABOVE MVFR UNTIL THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS. LIGHT PRECIP WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE LOWERING
CIGS. HOWEVER...VISBY RESTRICTIONS SHOULD BE SLOW TO DEVELOP...AS
THE LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL TAKE SEVERAL HOURS TO SATURATE. RAIN WILL
BECOME HEAVIER ACROSS THE AREA AFTER SUNRISE...AND EXPECT AT LEAST
LOW MVFR CIGS W/ MVFR VISBY TO PREDOMINATE AT MOST TERMINALS BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-
     018-026-028-029.

NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
     NCZ051-058-059-062-063-064.

SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JDL/MCAVOY
LONG TERM...MCAVOY
AVIATION...JDL
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 5:58 AM EST, 9 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-251100-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT OVER THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR LOCATIONS
WEST OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY...WITH A LAKE WIND ADVISORY ALONG
AND EAST OF THE FRENCH BROAD.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA SUNDAY MORNING.

ELEVATION DEPENDANT SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MAINLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-251100-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
UPSTATE...AND THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT LATE
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA SUNDAY. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...A FEW OF THEM COULD BE SEVERE
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE FROM ABBEVILLE...GREENWOOD...LAURENS...
UNION AND CHESTER TO MONROE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-251100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
558 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST RED FLAG WARNING PRODUCT...CAERFWGSP...FOR DETAILS.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA SUNDAY. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...A FEW OF THEM COULD BE SEVERE
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE OVER ELBERT COUNTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2007Every wind advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.