Wind Advisory 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 020158
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
858 PM EST MON JAN 1 2007

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PART OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

NCZ033-048>050-501-503-505-021100-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070102T1100Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
858 PM EST MON JAN 1 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS FROM MADISON COUNTY...THROUGH
MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE HIGH VALLEYS OF THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD EXPERIENCE SOME STRONGER GUSTS. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FOR STRONG WINDS WILL FROM MID EVENING INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 020739
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
239 AM EST TUE JAN 2 2007

NCZ033-048>050-501-503-505-020845-
/O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070102T1100Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
239 AM EST TUE JAN 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY.

WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND ALONG
THE LEE SLOPES OF THE ESCARPMENT...HAVE DECREASED BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA...THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$
MCAVOY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
248 PM EST MON JAN 1 2007

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
IN THE NEAR TERM...THE LAST WAVE OF CONVECTIVE PRECIP SHOULD MOVE
OUT OF THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA BY 21Z AS THE FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES
EAST. EXPECT MOST OF THE CLOUDS TO ALSO MOVE EAST OF THE WRN
PIEDMONT ZONES BY THE END OF THE DAY.

WITH THE MAIN UPPER WAVE TO OUR EAST THIS EVENING...FLAT UPPER
RIDGING SHOULD BUILD IN WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE KEEPING THINGS
DRY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THAT SAID...THERE ARE A FEW SHORT TERM
CONCERNS TO DEAL WITH. THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE WIND OVER THE MTNS
TONIGHT. THE MODELS SHOW FAIRLY HIGH 6-HR SURFACE PRESSURE RISES
APPROACHING 8 MB TO GO ALONG WITH 850 MB WINDS OF 30 KTS AND COLD
ADVECTION. SOME OF THE RIDGETOPS SHOULD SEE WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH
AND IT SHOULD BE RATHER GUSTY EVEN IN VALLEY LOCATIONS. THIS WILL BE
HANDLED WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT FOR THE NRN MTNS. SATELLITE
IMAGERY CONFIRMS THE LEFTOVER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU AND TN VALLEY. WILL HOLD ONTO A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER THE NRN
MTNS TO HANDLE ANY SHOWERS GENERATED BY THE UPSLOPE FLOW THIS
EVENING. THE WIND AND PRECIP SHOULD ABATE BY SUNRISE AT THE LATEST
AS THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH DRAWS NEAR. TUESDAY LOOKS MOSTLY
SUNNY. TEMPS WERE KEPT CLOSE TO A GUIDANCE BLEND.

THE LATTER HALF OF THE SHORT TERM WILL REMAIN DRY WITH SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...AS THE REGION REMAINS LARGELY UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF DRY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE AN UPPER LOW EJECTING OUT
OF TEXAS EARLY FRIDAY...THEN DAMPENING TO A NEGATIVE TILT/OPEN WAVE
FEATURE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY. LOW LEVEL UPGLIDE
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL INCREASE CLOUD COVER BEGINNING EARLY
THURSDAY. AS THE WAVE CONTINUES TO DAMPEN...FORCING WILL BECOME INCR
WEAK...SO THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A BIG PRECIP-MAKER FOR THE
REGION...BUT WILL FOLLOW HPC GUIDANCE AND INTRODUCE LIKELY POPS TO
THE FORECAST FOR THU NIGHT.

ACTIVE PERIOD WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK...AS A
SERIES OF SW TROUGHS CONTINUES TO PARADE OUT OF THE WESTERN
STATES...WITH THE GFS ADVERTISING A NEARLY FULL-LATITUDE PROGRESSIVE
TROUGH CROSSING THE EASTERN CONUS BY DAY 7. PERIOD OF WARM CONVEYOR
BELT PRECIP AND SUBSEQUENT FRONTAL BAND WILL WARRANT MAINTENANCE OF
CHANCE POPS FROM LATE SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE THREAT FOR MVFR CEILING/VISBY SHOULD BE GONE AT KCLT BY 19Z AS
SLOW MOVING SURFACE BOUNDARY PUSHES EAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
NICE SWATH OF NEARLY CLEAR SKY OVER THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS WHICH
SHOULD CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING. LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO WRAP BACK IN FROM THE WEST OVER
THE MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING WHICH COULD BRING A LOW VFR CEILING TO
KAVL...BUT DOWNSLOPE EAST OF THE MTNS SHOULD LIMIT CLOUDS AT ALL
OTHER SITES TO SCATTERED OR CLEAR SKY. STRONG PRESSURE RISES AND
COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BRING A PERIOD OF
GUSTY WINDS MAINLY THIS EVENING. THE WIND SHOULD DIE DOWN BY SUNRISE
AS THE NEXT HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-034-048>050-054-055-501-503-505 FROM
     6 PM MONDAY TO 6 AM TUESDAY.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...PM/LANE
LONG TERM...LANE
AVIATION...PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
553 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-021100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
553 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...AND A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED FOR
THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK.
HEAVY RAIN A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

MCAVOY