Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 3, 2007Swain County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 3, 2007, 5:52 PM EDT for Swain County, North Carolina. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2007, 5:52 PM EDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Jun 3, 2007, 6:34 PM EDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Swain County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 246 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2007-06-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2007-06-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 151 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-157 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1338 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KGSP 032152
SVRGSP
NCC173-032245-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0071.070603T2152Z-070603T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
552 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN SWAIN COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 645 PM EDT

* AT 550 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 13
  MILES NORTHWEST OF ROBBINSVILLE...OR ABOUT 10 MILES WEST OF FONTANA
  LAKE...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FONTANA LAKE BY 610 PM EDT...

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM
WINDOWS AND DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING...THROUGH OUR
AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...
1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3556 8395 3547 8395 3543 8371 3554 8357

$$

NED
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS52 KGSP 032210
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

NCC173-032245-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-070603T2245Z/
SWAIN NC-
610 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL SWAIN COUNTY...

AT 604 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF FONTANA LAKE...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTH
OF ROBBINSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PAW PAW RIDGE AT 620 PM EDT

LAT...LON 3556 8395 3547 8395 3543 8371 3554 8357

$$

NED
000 
WWUS52 KGSP 032234
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
634 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

NCC173-032241-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-070603T2245Z/
SWAIN NC-
634 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN SWAIN COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED NORTH OF FONTANA LAKE. THE 
THUNDERSTORM MAY PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUST WINDS 
UNTIL 645 PM.

LAT...LON 3556 8395 3547 8395 3543 8371 3554 8357

$$

NED

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 3, 2:58 PM EDT, 2 hours 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 2:58 PM EDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
258 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF BARRY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A PAIR OF COLD FRONTS WILL CROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS FROM THE WEST LATE MONDAY AND ON TUESDAY. THE SECOND
FRONT WILL STALL ON WEDNESDAY...AND RETURN NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON
THURSDAY...LEAVING OUR AREA IN A WARM SURFACE RIDGE FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 1800 UTC SHOWS REMNANT LOW CENTERED EAST
OF MYRTLE BEACH. FOR THE VERY NEAR TERM...WILL CONTINUE TO CONTEND
WITH THE DECAYING AREA OF LIGHT PRECIP TRANSLATING SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NC PIEDMONT...WHICH SHOULD FINALLY BE DRAGGED EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA BY THIS EVENING. WILL RETAIN A VERY HIGH PRECIP CHANCE ALONG
AND EAST OF I-77 TO HANDLE THIS. THE OTHER IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS THE
CONVECTION DEVELOPING EASTWARD OVER THE WRN TIP OF NC. SEE NO REASON
WHY THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WOULD NOT CONTINUE TO DEVELOP DOWN
ALONG THE SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING GIVEN THE
ONGOING DESTABILIZATION AND EXPECTED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. MOST OF
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING BY MID
EVENING. A WEAK SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MTNS LATE
TONIGHT BUT WILL PROBABLY NOT BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER ANY ADDITIONAL
STORMS...SO A LULL IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG LATER TONIGHT IF THE WINDS BECOME LIGHT
ENOUGH...BUT THIS WILL NOT BE INCLUDED RIGHT NOW.

ON MONDAY...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD AND THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROF WILL FINALLY DROP IN BEHIND
THE DEPARTING REMNANTS OF BARRY. THE BALANCE OF THE DAY SHOULD BE
QUIET IN THE WAKE OF THE FIRST WEAK WAVE WITH TEMPERATURES
REBOUNDING CLOSE TO NORMAL. SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS THE
TROF AXIS APPROACHES. DEEP MIXING COULD EASILY BRING DOWN STRONGER
WIND GUSTS OF GREATER THAN 30 MPH SO A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL HAVE
TO BE CONSIDERED. FROM MID AFTERNOON ONWARD...IT COULD GET
INTERESTING. SLIGHTLY COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND
DROP THE FREEZING LEVEL...WHILE SHEAR INCREASES. IF IT WERE NOT FOR
SOME WARMER AIR AROUND 600MB WE MIGHT BE LOOKING AT A GOOD SETUP FOR
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE
MAIN SHORT WAVE DROPS IN FROM THE WNW...BUT A LACK OF INSTABILITY
MIGHT PREVENT THINGS FROM GETTING OUT OF CONTROL. THE ONGOING
FORECAST LOOKS GOOD BUT THE PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE TIME SHIFTED
UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS KEEPS THE CHANCE OVER THE
MTNS/FOOTHILLS AND ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DOMINANT SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURE FOR TUESDAY WILL BE THE LINGERING
EASTERN CONUS TROUGH WITH ONE LAST S/WV ROTATING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON OR NIGHT. AN ATTENDANT WEAK SFC BNDRY WILL SWING ACRS AS
WELL...BUT WITH LLVL FLOW OUT AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WESTERLY... WILL
LIMIT CHANCES TO THE MTNS WITH JUST SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE PIEDMONT.
WILL FAVOR THE PCPN FREE SOLUTIONS OF THE 03/12 UTC OP GFS AND
03/09 UTC SREF WEDNESDAY...FEATURING A NEBULOUS WESTERLY
FLOW...ALBEIT ACCOMPANIED BY A Q-STNRY BNDRY...ACRS THE CWFA WITH
THE BETTER INSTABILITY OFF TO OUR SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE AFOREMENTIONED STALLED
FRONT MOVING BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY ALLOWING FOR
A QUICK WARM-UP. WITH BUILDING UPPER RIDGING...WILL LIMIT ANY
DIURNALLY FIRED DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NC MTNS. LINGERING UPPER
RIDGING AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL HEAT THINGS UP EVEN FURTHER
FOR FRIDAY...AND WILL FCST THE WARMEST DAY SO FAR THIS SPRING...
MID 90S ACRS THE PIEDMONT...AND PERHAPS THE FIRST 90 DEGREE
DAY AT KAVL. AGAIN...THANKS TO UPPER RIDGING...WILL CONTINUE
TO KEEP ANY TSTM CHANCES DIURNAL IN NATURE AND LIMITED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. WILL BANK ANY POTENTIAL MCS TRACKS REMAINING NORTHEAST OF
THE CWFA. PATTERN SEEMS TO BECOME LESS SUPPRESSED OVER THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND...BUT IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM WITH A DAILY CHANCE OF
MAINLY DIURNALLY FIRED TSTMS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH MVFR CEILINGS AND OCCASIONAL MVFR
VISIBILITY OVER THE NC PIEDMONT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THE
DECAYING AREA OF LIGHT PRECIP ON THE WRN PERIPHERY OF THE
CIRCULATION AROUND THE REMNANT LOW OF BARRY TRANSLATES SLOWLY
EASTWARD. THAT SHOULD KEEP MAINLY AN MVFR CEILING...OR AT LEAST A
LOW VFR CEILING AOB 4000 FT AT KCLT UNTIL AROUND 2000 UTC...AT WHICH
TIME THE BACK EDGE OF THE LOW CLOUDS WILL MOVE PAST BASED ON
SATELLITE TRENDS. SO...EXPECT A QUICK IMPROVEMENT AT KCLT BY 2100
UTC...WITH SIMILAR TRENDS AT KHKY. ELSEWHERE...MOST SITES SHOULD BE
VFR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY AT KAND OWING TO ONGOING
DESTABILIZATION WHERE SKY HAS CLEARED. A VCSH HAS BEEN INCLUDED
THERE FOR THE TIME BEING BUT BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR DEVELOPING
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE SAV RIVER VALLEY. KAVL HAS SOME POTENTIAL
AS WELL...BUT THE PRECIP MENTION HAS BEEN KEPT OUT FOR NOW UNTIL
SOME SIGNS OF DESTABILIZATION ARE SEEN.

OVERNIGHT...THE CLOUDS WILL THIN OUT WITH A LIGHT SW OR W FLOW
EXPECTED. FOG POTENTIAL IS THE MAIN CONCERN WITH GROUND REMAINING
WET FROM RECENT RAIN. FOR NOW...WILL ONLY MENTION MVFR FOG IN THE NC
TAFS WHERE RAIN FELL THE LONGEST. THE OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY IS VFR WITH
SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS BUT A BRISK W OR SW WIND DEVELOPING.

FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
MAINLY...BUT KAVL COULD HAVE MVFR FOG AROUND SUNRISE EACH MORNING.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TJB
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...CSH
LONG TERM...CSH
AVIATION...PM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 2:15 PM EDT, 3 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
215 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-041815-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
215 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MOORE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 3, 5:30 PM EDT, 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

SCZ019-032200-
GREENWOOD-
530 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GREENWOOD COUNTY THROUGH 600 PM
EDT...

AT 526 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RUCKERSVILLE...OR 5 MILES EAST OF ELBERTON.
THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO VERDERY AND
  CALLISON.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

NED
Special weather statement, Jun 3, 5:44 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
544 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

NCZ051-058-032215-
GRAHAM-SWAIN-
544 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GRAHAM AND SWAIN COUNTIES
THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 540 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TAPOCO...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ROBBINSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FONTANA VILLAGE BY 600 PM EDT.

MOTHBALL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

NED

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 2:53 AM EDTLake Wind AdvisoryGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union9 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.