Red Flag Warning 34, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 061917
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
217 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

GAZ010-017-070000-
/O.EXA.KGSP.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-071107T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-
217 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA WILL HOLD IN THE LOW 20 PERCENT RANGE FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON. THIS COUPLED WITH VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURE AND WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 25 MPH WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ018-026-028-029-070000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-071107T0000Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
217 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER THE NON-MOUNTAINOUS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL HOLD BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT FOR THE REST
OF THE AFTERNOON. THIS COUPLED WITH VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURE AND
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 MPH WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 062030
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
330 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-070430-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.A.0018.071107T1700Z-071108T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-071107T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
330 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER THE NON-MOUNTAINOUS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL HOLD BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT FOR THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. THIS COUPLED WITH VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURE
AND WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 MPH WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY FALL
BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LISTEN FOR
LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 070002
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
702 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-071100-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-071107T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0018.071107T1700Z-071108T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
702 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE RECOVERED ABOVE 25 PERCENT ACROSS
NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY THIS EVENING. THE EXISTING RED FLAG
WARNING HAS THUS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES COULD ONCE AGAIN FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY FALL BELOW 25
PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LISTEN FOR LATER
FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

HG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1222 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH COLD...DRY
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND IT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDING FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
ASIDE FROM OUR USUAL POST FROPA MESOSCALE EFFECTS IN THE
LEE...THINGS ARE PROGRESSING ABOUT AS ANTICIPATED LATE THIS MORNING.
IT SHOULD BE A SUNNY AND BREEZY AFTERNOON FOR THE MOST PART.
DEWPOINTS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND THE NAM BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS ARE LINING UP WELL WITH REALITY RIGHT NOW. WINDY IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND BREEZY IN THE FOOTHILLS STILL LOOKS LIKE A REASONABLE
FORECAST AND WILL ALLOW THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY TO RUN THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

WINDS TAPER OFF AND COOL... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE N
TONIGHT. WITH LOW RH AND CLEAR SKIES EXPECT TEMPS AT OR BELOW
FREEZING ACROSS CWA. WILL UPGRADE FREEZE WATCH TO FREEZE WARNING FOR
TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 310 AM EST TUESDAY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO
RELAX ACROSS THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY. THROUGH 21Z WED...THE CENTER OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...SUPPLYING NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE DAY.
SPEEDS EAST OF THE MTNS SHOULD RANGE FROM 5-10 MPH THROUGH THE
DAY...MTN VALLEY WINDS SHOULD REMAIN NEAR 10 MPH WITH GUSTS IN THE
TEENS. THESE WINDS WILL DRIVE THE 0C H85 ISOTHERM SOUTH THROUGHOUT
THE DAY...LEAVING H85 FROM -1 TO -2 OVER THE SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY
TO -3 TO -4 ACROSS THE NRN MTNS. MOS GUIDANCE SUPPORTS TEMPERATURES
AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...MID TO U50S EAST TO MID TO U40S IN
THE MTNS VALLEYS.

BOTH THE NAM AND GFS BRING THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY OVER
THE CWA WED NIGHT. H85 TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW ZERO CELSIUS WITH
1000-850 MB THICKNESSES BELOW 1305 M. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VERY
FAVORABLE FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT. PLUME DIAGRAMS INDICATE
THAT TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH A DEGREE OR SO COOLER THAN
VALUES REACHED WED MORNING. I EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM
28-31 DEGREES EAST TO LOW TO MID 20S IN THE MTNS. WE WILL MENTION IN
THE UPGRADED FREEZE WARNING THAT THURS TEMPS WILL BE A LITTLE COLDER
THAN WEDS MORNING .

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 310 AM EST TUESDAY...SFC WINDS WILL VEER AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE VEERING WIND SHOULD ONLY RESULT IN WEAK
WAA ADVECTION. MOS GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT HIGHS WILL REACH VALUES
SIMILAR TO WEDS...POSSIBLY JUST A DEGREE OR SO WARMER.

THURSDAY NIGHT...MODELS DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO APPEAR IN THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. THE NAM INDICATES THAT THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE REGION AND WILL RESULT IN LITTLE TO NO QPF. THE ECMWF AND
GFS...SHOW A 20-30 UNIT VORT PASSING OVER THE SFC FRONT AND
RESULTING IN A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OVER THE NRN
MTNS AND FOOTHILLS. I WILL TAKE A BLEND OF THE TWO CAMPS AND
INDICATE SCHCS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40 BETWEEN 12-18Z FRI AM.
TEMPERATURES APPEAR COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A BRIEF MENTION OF
SHSN...TRANSITIONING TO SHRA. THE ABSENCE OF NW FLOW AND ONLY WEAK
OMEGA MAY ONLY YIELD FLURRIES OR SPRINKLES FRI AM. SAT INTO
MON...MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY EACH DAY
WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPSTATE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO MANIFEST POST-FRONTAL LEE TROUGH
EFFECTS. THIS WILL KEEP KAND OUT OF THE WEST AND GUSTY AT TIMES
     WITH KGMU AND KGSP GENERALLY OUT OF THE NNE AT LIGHTER SPEEDS
     THOUGH AN OCCASIONAL STRONGER GUST WILL MIX DOWN FROM THE NW AT
THESE TWO SITES. KAND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NW AND GUSTY AND KCLT
WILL RETAIN A WNW TO NW FLOW WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS AT TIMES. NO
CIG OR VSBY CONCERNS IN THE VERY DRY AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT.

OUTLOOK THROUGH SATURDAY...
EXPECT FEW IF ANY CIG OR VSBY PROBLEMS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN DRY OVER THE REGION. A DRY FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY...AND THIS MAY BRING SOME MVFR CIGS INTO KAVL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WHILE WE WILL COME CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA IN NE GA THIS
AFTERNOON...IT LOOKS LIKE THE DURATION OF CRITICAL RH VALUES WILL
NOT BE LONG ENOUGH. THEREFORE A WARNING WILL NOT BE ISSUED WITH THE
MORNING UPDATE. DEWPOINTS ARE FALLING QUICKLY...HOWEVER...AND IF WE
SEE A TEMPERATURE SPIKE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WE WOULD HAVE TO ISSUE
A SHORT FUSED WARNING. GRADIENT WIND OVER NE GA WILL ALSO RESULT IN
A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH FROM THE WNW.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     GAZ018-026-028-029.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GAZ010.
NC...FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NCZ070-071-082-510.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ033-
     048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509.
SC...FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RB
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY/RB
SHORT TERM...NED
LONG TERM...NED
AVIATION...MCAVOY
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
427 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-070930-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
427 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068-069-072-502-504-506-508-070930-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-CABARRUS-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
427 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ070-071-082-510-SCZ001>014-019-070930-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-UNION NC-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
427 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.
   FREEZE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ017-070930-
HABERSHAM-
427 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ010-070930-
RABUN-
427 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.
   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.