Red Flag Warning 32, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 031510
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1110 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-032300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-071103T2300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1110 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

DRY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL ACROSS NORTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES OF AROUND
70...AND THE DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT ACROSS THE AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THE COMBINATION OF DRY AIR AND VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL CREATE
AN ENHANCED DANGER FOR THE START AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO BE GUSTY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...FURTHER ENHANCING THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE 
MOUNTAINS. OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU SEE A
BRUSH OR GRASS FIRE...CONTACT YOUR LOCAL FIRE DEPARTMENT
IMMEDIATELY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.

$$
LANE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
400 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION INTO MONDAY. A COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY...WITH COOL...DRY HIGH
PRESSURE RETURNING FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH NOEL MOVES UP
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE BROAD CIRCULATION AROUND THE COASTAL LOW
WILL BRING DRIER AIR ACROSS THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW SHOULD LOWER SFC DEWPOINTS THIS
AFTERNOON. STRONG ISOLATION AND MILD LLVL THICKNESSES SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPS TO WARM TO AROUND 70 EAST OF THE MTNS AND MID 60S IN THE MTN
VALLEYS. RH VALUES IN THE MID TO LOWER 20S SHOULD BE COMMON
ACROSS THE CWA FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. CRITERIA FOR A RED
FLAG WARNING IN NE GA SHOULD BE REACHED TODAY...SEE FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION.

WINDS ACROSS THE MTNS SHOULD HAVE MARGINAL GUSTS TODAY...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE MORNING. EAST OF THE MTNS...A DEVELOPING LEE TROF SHOULD
PREVENT THE WINDS FROM EXCEEDING 10 MPH. OVERALL...THIS AFTERNOON
SHOULD BE SUNNY...WARM...WITH A COMFORTABLE BREEZE. TEMPERATURES
WILL QUICKLY COOL THIS EVENING. BY SUNRISE SUNDAY...MINS SHOULD FALL
TO AROUND FREEZING ACROSS THE MTNS WITH MID TO UPPER 30S EAST. THE
FORMATION OF FROST SHOULD BE LIMITED TO AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY
EXPERIENCED A FREEZE THIS SEASON. THEREFORE...I WILL NOT INCLUDE A
MENTION OF FROST FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM EDT SATURDAY...H5 SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH AREA SUN BUT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IN AT THE SFC AND NO MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH...ONLY EXPECTING SCT HIGH CLOUDS. SFC HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE
SW SUN NIGHT WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVG. A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NW MON NIGHT...BRINGING INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE MTNS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM EDT SATURDAY...COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH AREA TUE BUT
WITH MINIMAL MOISTURE AVAILABLE...ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED AS IT MOVES OUT ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. ANOTHER
SHOT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NW TO MAINTAIN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE NC MTNS ALONG THE TN BORDER THRU THE
AFTN. TEMPS COOL DRAMATICALLY BEHIND FRONT TUE NIGHT AND COOL HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN WITH ANOTHER FREEZE EXPECTED MTNS...FROST
ELSEWHERE. HI TEMPS WED MAINLY 50S WITH A FEW 40S MTNS. TEMPS WARM
SLOWLY THU-FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES E AND LIGHT SW FLOW DEVELOPS
     BUT REMAIN BELOW AVG.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH NOEL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. NAM12 INDICATES THAT A WEAK LEE
TROF WILL DEVELOP SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE AND WILL REMAIN UNTIL
SUNSET. WINDS EAST OF THE MTNS SHOULD BECOME NORTHWEST TO WEST BY
MID DAY...RANGING FROM 5-10 KTS. KAVL SHOULD EXPERIENCE VERY LIGHT
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING AROUND
SUNRISE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT A MENTION OF GUSTS FOR MOST OF
THE DAY TIME AT KAVL...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING. KAVL COULD
POSSIBLY SEE A PERIOD OF STEAM FOG EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE WINDS
STRENGTHEN...UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH. CURRENTLY...I WILL KEEP ALL TAF
SITES CLEAR OF VIS RESTRICTIONS ALONG WITH A SKC SKY.

OUTLOOK THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
A DRY SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY.
ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT MORNING FOG WILL
BE POSSIBLE AT KAVL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY ACROSS THE MTNS
TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. NORTHWEST MTN WINDS MAY PEAK THIS
MORNING AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH...TRENDING TO 10
MPH WITH GUSTS INTO THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. A LEE TROF SHOULD
DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND REMAIN THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. EAST OF
THE MTNS...NORTHWEST TO WEST WIND SPEEDS SHOULD RANGE FROM 5 TO 10
MPH.

NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD ADVECT LOWER SFC DEWPOINTS TO THE LOWER
APPALACHIANS TODAY. IN ADDITION...DOWNSLOPE FLOW ALONG WITH MIXING
SHOULD LOWER DEWPOINTS EVEN FURTHER. THE COMBINATION OF MILD
TEMPERATURES AND COOL DEWPOINTS SHOULD YIELD RH VALUES LESS THAN 25
PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. WE WILL ISSUE A RED FLAG
WARNING...RFW...FOR NE GA TODAY AS RH VALUES AND DRY FUELS WILL MEET
CRITERIA. GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RH COULD CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE NC MTNS TODAY AS WELL. HOWEVER...COORDINATION WITH NC MTN
FIRE OFFICIALS IS NEEDED TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT OF THE DANGER AS
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS DO NOT MEET RFW CRITERIA.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RB
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...RB
LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...NED
FIRE WEATHER...NED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
401 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-040815-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
401 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510-
SCZ001>014-019-040815-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
401 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.