Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 29, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at Sep 28, 2007, 3:14 PM EDT for 6 counties in Georgia. It took effect at Sep 29, 2007, 1:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 28, 2007, 3:14 PM EDT (19:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 29, 2007, 1:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 29, 2007, 9:09 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hart County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1161 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 9 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KGSP 281914 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 314 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007 ...VERY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON SATURDAY... GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-290315- /O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0014.070929T1700Z-070930T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0029.070929T1700Z-070930T0200Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 314 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO 25 PERCENT OR LESS FOR SEVERAL HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. HOWEVER...FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ MOORE
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KGSP 290129 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 929 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007 ...VERY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON SATURDAY... GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-291000- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0029.070929T1700Z-070930T0200Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 929 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO 25 PERCENT OR LESS FOR SEVERAL HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. HOWEVER...FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ HG
000 WWUS82 KGSP 290648 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 248 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007 ...VERY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-291600- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0029.070929T1700Z-070930T0200Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 248 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO 25 PERCENT OR LESS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. HOWEVER...FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ NED
000 WWUS82 KGSP 291903 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 303 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007 ...VERY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-300200- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-070930T0200Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 303 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL REMAIN BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. HOWEVER...FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE VERY DRY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$
000 WWUS82 KGSP 300109 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 909 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-300215- /O.CAN.KGSP.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-070930T0200Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 909 PM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE RECOVERED TO BETTER THAN 40 PERCENT ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT. VERY DRY AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...HOWEVER...ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR HUMIDITY LEVELS TO FALL TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT. CONDITIONS WILL THUS NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY SINCE FUELS ARE VERY DRY AND FIRE DANGER REMAINS ELEVATED. $$ HG
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Sep 28, 2:39 PM EDT, 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 28, 2:39 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
239 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING ACROSS THE EAST COAST
AND OVER THE CAROLINAS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ON WEDNESDAY...A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND
MOVE NORTH...WHICH WILL INCREASE MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE AREA EARLY
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY...
SUPPORTING A LARGE SURFACE HIGH THAT WILL CONTINUE RIDGE DOWN FROM
THE NORTH ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. GUSTY WINDS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE EVENING...BUT
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD KEEP THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXED
OVERNIGHT. SATURDAY SHOULD BE VERY DRY AND A CATEGORY OR SO COOLER
THAN TODAY. FOR HIGH TEMPS...HAVE GONE CLOSE TO A GUIDANCE BLEND.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM EDT FRIDAY...VERY TRANQUIL/TYPICAL EARLY FALL WEATHER
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...AS NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST
ORIENTED UPPER RIDGE AXIS MAINTAINS DRY/COOL SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE EAST. TEMPS WILL REMAIN WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF CLIMO
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM EDT FRIDAY...TYPICAL EARLY FALL WEATHER WILL PERSIST
THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF THE MEDIUM RANGE. HOWEVER...MAJOR
DIFFERENCES CREEP INTO THE GLOBAL MODELS BY WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE GFS
MAINTAINS A WEAK/OPEN MID-LEVEL TROUGH SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE ECMWF CLOSES OFF THIS AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE...WHICH THEN RETROGRADES ACROSS FLORIDA. THE
CONSEQUENCES OF THESE DIFFERING MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR OUR PART OF THE
WORLD ARE SIGNIFICANT...AS THE ECMWF SPREADS MOISTURE/PRECIP OVER
THE CAROLINAS BY WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE GFS BASICALLY REMAINS DRY.
HPC HAS LEANED TOWARD THE WETTER ECMWF. ALTHOUGH WE/D PREFER TO TAKE
A MORE CAUTIOUS APPROACH CONSIDERING THE CURRENT DROUGHT...
COLLABORATION WITH HPC AND NEIGHBORING WFOS HAS RESULTED IN
INCLUSION OF CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE AREA FROM WED THROUGH FRI.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HIGH BASED CU NEAR THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE VFR WITH CLEAR SKY THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. ANY CU SHOULD
DISSIPATE AT SUNSET. THIS LEAVES US WITH BASICALLY A WIND
FORECAST...WHICH WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON
AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THE GUSTINESS
SHOULD DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET...BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD
KEEP WINDS UP ENOUGH OVERNIGHT SUCH THAT FOG WILL NOT BE A PROBLEM
EVEN AT KAVL. THE HIGH SHOULD BRIDGE OVER THE MTNS SATURDAY BRINGING
THE WIND DIRECTION AROUND TO NORTHEASTERLY.
OUTLOOK THROUGH WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD AND REMAIN OVER
THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. EXPECT EARLY MORNING VALLEY
FOG AROUND KAVL TO RETURN STARTING ON MONDAY.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING VERY DRY AIR ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY.
DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO MIX OUT TO THE POINT WHERE MOST LOCATIONS
OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS WILL HAVE SEVERAL HOURS WITH A RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 25 PERCENT OR LESS. FORTUNATELY...SURFACE WINDS WILL NOT
BE AS STRONG AND GUSTY AS TODAY...AND WINDS ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN DURING THE DAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA ZONES AND CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR DRY
CONDITIONS TO OCCUR. UNLESS THERE IS COORDINATION TO SUGGEST
OTHERWISE...THE WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING WITH
THE EARLY MORNING ISSUANCE.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...JDL
AVIATION...PM
FIRE WEATHER...PMHazardous weather outlook, Sep 28, 4:41 AM EDT, 10 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 441 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007 NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510- SCZ001>014-019-290845- AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL- BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 441 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-290845- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 441 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FIRE WEATHER WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NED
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 3:36 AM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens | 12 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.