Alert archive / North Carolina / Lake Wind Advisories in 2007
Lake Wind Advisory 21, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this lake wind advisory at Mar 2, 2007, 11:02 AM EST for Avery County, Mitchell County, Yancey County, North Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 2, 2007, 11:02 AM EST (16:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 2, 2007, 3:10 PM EST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Avery County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1024 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 87 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -143 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS72 KGSP 021602 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1102 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 NCZ033-049-050-022300- /O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-070302T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.070302T1602Z-070302T2300Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE 1102 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS FROM BURNSVILLE TO NEWLAND. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ NCZ501-503-505-021715- /O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-070302T1700Z/ CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- 1102 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. $$ NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-507-509-021715- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-070302T1700Z/ MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE... SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE 1102 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. BREEZY WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. $$ GERAPETRITIS
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS72 KGSP 022010 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 310 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 NCZ033-049-050-022115- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-070302T2300Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE 310 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON FROM BURNSVILLE TO NEWLAND. HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. $$ GERAPETRITIS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake wind advisory went out at Mar 2, 10:51 AM EST, 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 10:51 AM EST, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1051 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007
.SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL SLOWLY BEGIN
FILLING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DRY WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER
THE REGION WITH SOME DEGREE OF DOWNSLOPE WARMING TO COUNTERACT
THICKNESS FALLS. THE ONLY CLOUDS TO SPEAK OF WILL BE CIRRUS NEAR
THE SRN JET AXIS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PIEDMONT.
SOME NRN TIER WIND GUSTS LINGER THIS MORNING...BUT THE PRES
GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO RELAX AS THE MIXED LAYER DEEPENS. WILL
ALLOW CURRENT WIND/LAKE WIND PRODUCTS TO EXPIRE BUT ISSUE A NEW
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE NRN NC MTNS.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
STREAM LEVELS CONTINUE TO RECEDE AT THIS HOUR...WHILE MAIN STEM
RIVERS CONTINUE A STEADY RISE. NO ADDITIONAL COUNTYWIDE FLOOD
WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 503 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007/
UPDATE...
WILL UPDATE THE ZFP FOR THE EXPIRATION OF TORNADO WATCH 49.
SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/...
WILL RETAIN A LOW CHANCE POP OVER METRO CLT AND THE NW PIEDMONT
ZONES FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. TCLT RADAR SHOWS A FINE LINE
EXTENDING FROM NRN DAVIDSON COUNTY TO THE SW ACROSS LAKE NORMAN...
WHILE DEWPOINTS REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH ACROSS THE SRN PIEDMONT.
THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED.
PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 315 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007/
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
BASED ON THE SPEED OF THE EASTWARD TRANSLATION OF 88D
RETURNS...HOPEFULLY WILL BE ABLE TO CLEAR REMAINDER OF WW 49
COINCIDENT WITH ZFP ISSUANCE. OTHERWISE...PROGRESSIVE DRYING
TO BE FEATURED TODAY WITH DECENT MIXING AND LINGERING WINDY
TO BREEZY CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. WILL EXTEND
WIND ADVISORIES FOR THE NC MTNS UNTIL NOON.
CWFA TO REMAIN WITHIN LINGERING CYCLONIC FLOW THROUGH SATURDAY WITH
BAND OF LOWER LVL MOISTURE PROGGED TO DEVELOP WITHIN WEAK UPGLIDE
FLOW AND SAG SOUTHEAST INTO THE NC MTNS SATURDAY MORNING. MOS AND
SREF GUIDANCE POPS QUITE FLOW...BUT MODEL CROSSSECTIONS ALONG NC/TN
LINE DO SHOW TOP OF MOIST LAYER NEARING -10 DEG C...SO WILL PLAN ON
CARRYING FLURRY CHANCES FOR THIS PERIOD.
PRESSURE GRADIENT ON SATURDAY INDICATES DEVELOPING BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS AS MIXED LAYER DEEPENS. PREDOMINANT WSW FLOW WILL NOT
PROMOTE MUCH LOWERING OF THICKNESS VALUES...SO EXPECT A MILD
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACRS THE PIEDMONT.
L/WV TROUGH AXIS SEEMS TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
A RESULTANT INCREASE IN NW CAA FLOW. THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ARE
ON THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF LLVL MOISTURE AT THIS
TIME AND WILL INCREASE SNOW SHOWER CHANCES FOR THE TENNESSEE BORDER
COUNTIES. IT IS DEBATABLE HOW QUICKLY NW FLOW MOISTURE RETREATS
NORTHWARD SUNDAY...BUT FOR NOW...WILL KEEP JUST LINGERING FLURRIES
ACRS THE UPSLOPE AREAS IN THE MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE
FORECAST ELSEWHERE WITH TEMPERATURES TAKING A TEMPORARY DIP BELOW
SEASONAL NORMALS.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A NON DISTINCT NORTHWEST FLOW WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY MARGINALLY
BELOW EARLY MARCH NORMALS WILL BE SEEN ACRS THE REGION ON MONDAY
WELL AHEAD OF APPROACHING DRY COLD FRONT. THE 02/00 UTC OP GFS NOW
SEEMS TO MOVE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT THRU THE REGION BY TUESDAY
MORNING...BUT GIVEN EXPECTED FRONTOLYTIC TENDENCIES AND LITTLE IF
ANY LOWERING OF LLVL THICKNESS VALUES...NOT SURE IT REALLY MAKES A
DIFFERENCE TO THE GOING DRY AND MILD SENSIBLE WX FCST. RISING
HEIGHTS OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL CONTINUE THE DRY AND MILD
WEATHER THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CERTAINLY NOT ENUF CONFIDENCE AT THIS
JUNCTURE TO INTRODUCE ANY POP FOR THURSDAY BASED ON SHEARING
SOUTHERN STREAM S/WV DEPICTED BY SAME OP GFS SOLUTION...SO THE DRY
AND MILD FCST WILL HOLD THROUGH DAY 7.
AVIATION /08Z-06Z/...
MAIN CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF IFR CONDITIONS AT LEAST
TEMPORARILY OVER THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING
KCLT. OTHERWISE...OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL UNTIL THE
FRONT PASSES THROUGH. THE FRONT IS EXPECT TO BE EAST OF
KGSP/KAND/KAVL NO LATER THAN 08Z AND SHOULD BE EAST OF KCLT NO LATER
THAN 09Z. BEHIND THE FRONT...EXPECT VISIBILITY TO IMPROVE QUICKLY
AND WINDS TO SHIFT TO SW AND GUSTY. CEILINGS MIGHT BE A BIT SLOWER
TO IMPROVE IN THE HOURS IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE. BY
DAWN...LOW AND MID LEVELS SHOULD BE DESSICATED IN DRY NORTHWESTERLY
AND GUSTY FLOW.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ033-
049-050.
SC...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...HG
HYDROLOGY...Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 2, 5:23 AM EST, 5 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 523 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-031030- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- 523 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT TODAY. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE...NPWGSP...FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504- 506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-031030- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL- DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS- UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL- GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 523 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 2, 8:36 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
836 AM EST FRI MAR 02 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM FLOOD CONCORD 35.41N 80.59W
03/02/2007 CABARRUS NC COUNTY OFFICIAL
STREAM FLOODING OBSERVED ALONG STILES ROAD NEAR LOWES
MOTOR SPEEDWAY.
&&
HGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 4:40 AM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | GSP | Buncombe, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson, Macon and 5 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Lake Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2007Every lake wind advisory in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.