Lake Wind Advisory 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Hart County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Alexander County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Union County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
126 AM EST TUE JAN 9 2007

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A SHORT WAVE IS DIVING DOWN FROM THE NW...BRINGING A CHANCE OF A
RAIN/SNOW MIX TO THE NC MTNS FROM LATE MORNING-MID AFTN...THEN ALL
SNOW LATER TODAY-TONIGHT. DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVES LATER THAN PREV
RUNS AND IT TAKES A BIT LONGER FOR WINDS TO SHIFT TO A BETTER NW
UPSLOPE COMPONENT. USING A MODEL BLEND I STILL CAME UP WITH 1-3
INCHES ALONG TN BORDER COUNTIES WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. WILL ISSUE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN WATCH AREA...WITH AN
ADVISORY ALONG SOME OF THE ADJACENT ZONES TO THE SE.

THE OTHER CONCERN THIS AFTN-EVE WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN COLD
ADVECTION FLOW. MODEL CROSS SECTIONS SHOW GOOD ISENTROPIC DESCENT BY
THIS AFTN..CONTINUING TIL MIDNIGHT BEFORE SHORTWAVE MOVES NE AND
WINDS TAPER OFF. WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WARNING IN THE WIND WATCH
AREA FOR THIS AFTN-EVE...AND A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REST OF THE
MTNS.

ONCE THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH...COOL...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FOR MID WEEK...WITH TEMPS AT OR BELOW AVG ON WED...THEN WARMING
ABOVE AVG IN S RETURN FLOW THU-FRI.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A LARGE...POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL ESTABLISH ITSELF
OVER THE WESTERN US BY THIS WEEKEND...THEN SLOWLY MOVE E. THIS WILL
PUT THE REGION BACK SW FLOW WITH ABOVE AVG TEMPS. LOW CHANCE RAIN
DEVELOPS OVER WEEKEND BEFORE THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES UNDER A DRY
AIR REGIME. NORTHWEST FLOW MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NC MTNS
LATER IN THE MORNING...BRINGING SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. KAVL
IS ONLY EXPECTED SEE FLURRIES AT BEST. THE REMAINING TAF SITES WILL
STAY DRY...WITH A FEW SCATTERED LOW AND MID CLOUD DECKS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL PROGRESSIVELY CLEAR AGAIN DURING THE EVENING.
THE MAIN CONCERN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL AGAIN BE GUSTY
WINDS. GUSTY UP-VALLEY FLOW SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT
KAVL. OTHER TAF SITES WILL EXPERIENCE OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS BETWEEN
20 AND 25 KT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE INTO THE 10 TO 12 KT
RANGE LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010-017 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
     WEDNESDAY.
  ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ018-026-028-029 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO
     MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY.
NC...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR NCZ033-048>052 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6
     AM WEDNESDAY.
  ...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR NCZ033-034-048>050-053>055-065-501-503-
     505-507 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY.
  ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082 FROM
     NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY.
  ...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-066-067-502-504-
     506-508>510 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY.
  ...SNOW ADVISORY FOR NCZ053-058-059 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM
     WEDNESDAY.
SC...WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ001>003 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
     WEDNESDAY.
  ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ004>014-019 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO
     MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...RB
LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...GMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
506 PM EST MON JAN 8 2007

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-092215-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
506 PM EST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING COLDER
TEMPERATURES...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. FOR
FURTHER DETAILS ON THE SNOW POTENTIAL...PLEASE SEE THE WINTER
STORM WATCH...CAEWSWGSP. FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE HIGH
WIND POTENTIAL...PLEASE SEE THE HIGH WIND WATCH...CAENPWGSP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.
SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TO RELAY SNOWFALL OR WIND REPORTS LATER
TUESDAY.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-092215-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
506 PM EST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO VALLEY ACROSS THE
APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL USHER IN
COLDER AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS. ALTHOUGH MOST FOOTHILL AND
PIEDMONT LOCATIONS WILL STAY DRY...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE HIGH TERRAIN...AND A FEW HIGHER ELEVATION SPOTS
COULD SEE SOME SNOW MIX IN LATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

HG