Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007
Winter Storm Warning 8, NWS Grand Rapids, MI
NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this winter storm warning at Dec 1, 2007, 4:29 AM EST for 23 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Dec 1, 2007, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 17 hr. 31 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 1, 2007, 4:29 AM EST (09:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 1, 2007, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Dec 2, 2007, 8:57 AM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Rapids, MI
All 23 counties
Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Van Buren County, MI
The radar
The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 5:09 PM EST | SNOW 1 | Schoolcraft, MI | |
| Dec 1, 7:11 PM EST | SLEET 0 | 2 Sw Plainwell, MI | SLLET AND FREEZING RAIN. LIGHT ICE COATING. |
| Dec 1, 7:13 PM EST | SNOW 0.8 | Byron Center, MI | |
| Dec 1, 7:13 PM EST | SNOW 0.8 | Byron Center, MI | NOW REPORTING SLEET |
| Dec 1, 7:14 PM EST | SNOW 0.1 | Lansing, MI | |
| Dec 1, 7:14 PM EST | SNOW 0.4 | Grand Rapids, MI | |
| Dec 1, 7:14 PM EST | SNOW 0.8 | Byron Center, MI | |
| Dec 1, 7:14 PM EST | SNOW 0.8 | Muskegon, MI | |
| Dec 1, 7:30 PM EST | SNOW 0.5 | Grand Haven, MI | INTERMITTENT FREEZING RAIN. |
| Dec 1, 8:06 PM EST | SNOW 3 | Pentwater, MI | SNOW NOW STARTING TO MIX WITH SLEET |
| Dec 1, 8:16 PM EST | SNOW 2 | Reed City, MI | CONSIDERABLE DRIFTING...UP TO A FOOT |
| Dec 1, 8:23 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Harrison, MI | 3 TO 4 INCHES AROUND HARRISON |
| Dec 1, 9:53 PM EST | SNOW 1 | 3 E Grand Junction, MI | MEASURED WIND GUST 48 MPH |
| Dec 1, 10:22 PM EST | SNOW 0.3 | Yankee Springs, MI | |
| Dec 1, 10:22 PM EST | SNOW 1.1 | Byron Center, MI | CURRENTLY FREEZING RAIN. |
| Dec 1, 10:40 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 2 S Hudsonville, MI | LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN ONGOING |
| Dec 1, 10:54 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Schoolcraft, MI | |
| Dec 1, 10:54 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Holland, MI | |
| Dec 1, 11:00 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | Grandville, MI | MIXED PRECIP. 0.1 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION. |
| Dec 1, 11:00 PM EST | SNOW 2.1 | Lansing, MI | SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. FREEZING RAIN ONGOING |
| Dec 1, 11:04 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | Muskegon, MI | HAS CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN. LIGHT ICE GLAZE ON EVERYTHING. |
| Dec 2, 12:01 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.38 | 3 E Grand Junction, MI | 3/8 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION. INTERMITENT FLICKERING OF LIGHTS |
| Dec 2, 12:02 AM EST | SNOW 1.2 | St. Johns, MI | |
| Dec 2, 12:08 AM EST | SNOW 3.5 | 2 Sw Shelby, MI | SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ONGOING |
| Dec 2, 12:11 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | 3 W Lansing, MI | |
| Dec 2, 12:52 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | 3 Se Rockford, MI | |
| Dec 2, 6:45 AM EST | SNOW 2.5 | Breckenridge, MI | 0.3 INCHES OF ICING FROM FREEZING RAIN. |
| Dec 2, 7:00 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Grand Rapids, MI | |
| Dec 2, 7:02 AM EST | SNOW 0.5 | De Witt, MI | 0.2 INCHES OF ICING FROM FREEZING RAIN. |
| Dec 2, 8:20 AM EST | SNOW 4.2 | Mount Pleasant, MI | COATING OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. |
| Dec 2, 9:00 AM EST | SNOW 0.7 | 3 N Jackson, MI |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 965 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 97 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KGRR 010929 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 429 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 .A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO INTENSIFY OVER COLORADO TODAY. IT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA DURING THE EVENING. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN DURING THE NIGHT. SNOW TOTALS WILL POSSIBLY BE IN THE 2 TO 6 INCH RANGE WITH SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE LIKELY AS WELL. ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH IS POSSIBLE. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. WARMER AIR ARRIVES EARLY SUNDAY TO CHANGE MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. MIZ037>040-043>046-011730- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0007.071201T2100Z-071202T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0008.071201T2100Z-071202T1600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT 429 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER TO HALF INCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ050>052-056>059-011730- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0007.071201T2100Z-071202T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0008.071201T2100Z-071202T1200Z/ MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...ALMA... JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS 429 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. IT APPEARS 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE OF AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ064>067-071>074-011730- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0007.071201T2100Z-071202T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WW.Y.0010.071201T2100Z-071202T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 429 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. IT APPEARS AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JK
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KGRR 011651 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1151 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS TODAY...WITH PRECIPITATION OCCURRING WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW. SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN HAS SPREAD INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF ILLINOIS AS OF MIDDAY NEAR PEORIA. THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO ADVANCE TOWARD SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOULD BREAK OUT IN WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN BETWEEN 400 PM AND 700 PM...WITH THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION OVERSPREADING THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE EVENING. SNOW TOTALS WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL...LOWER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH WITH 1 TO AROUND 3 INCHES ALONG THE INTERSTATE 96 CORRIDOR AND AROUND AN INCH FOR THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR. ALL LOCATIONS WILL SEE A MIX AND CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER THE SNOW BEGINS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. WARMER AIR ARRIVES EARLY SUNDAY TO CHANGE MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. MIZ037>040-043>046-020100- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.071201T2100Z-071202T1600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT 1151 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ050>052-056>059-020100- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.071201T2100Z-071202T1200Z/ MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...ALMA... JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS 1151 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. IT APPEARS 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OF AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ064>067-071>074-020100- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0010.071201T2100Z-071202T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 1151 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. IT APPEARS AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ DUKE
000 WWUS43 KGRR 012121 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 421 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT... WITH PRECIPITATION ALREADY BREAKING OUT ACROSS WESTERN MICHIGAN AS OF 400 PM. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING...MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER DARK. SNOW TOTALS WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ANYWHERE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES MAY FALL...LOWER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH WITH 2 TO AROUND 4 INCHES ALONG THE INTERSTATE 96 CORRIDOR AND A COUPLE INCHES POSSIBLE FOR THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR. ALL LOCATIONS WILL SEE A MIX AND CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER THE SNOW BEGINS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. WARMER AIR ARRIVES EARLY SUNDAY TO CHANGE MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. MIZ037>040-043>046-020530- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT 421 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ050>052-056>059-020530- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...ALMA... JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS 421 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. IT APPEARS 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OF AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ064>067-071>074-020530- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 421 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ DUKE
000 WWUS43 KGRR 020100 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 800 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT... WITH PRECIPITATION ALREADY BREAKING OUT ACROSS WESTERN MICHIGAN AS OF 400 PM. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING...MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER DARK. SNOW TOTALS WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ANYWHERE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES MAY FALL...LOWER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH WITH 2 TO AROUND 4 INCHES ALONG THE INTERSTATE 96 CORRIDOR AND A COUPLE INCHES POSSIBLE FOR THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR. ALL LOCATIONS WILL SEE A MIX AND CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER THE SNOW BEGINS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. WARMER AIR ARRIVES EARLY SUNDAY TO CHANGE MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. MIZ064>067-071>074-020900- /O.UPG.KGRR.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 800 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. MIXED PRECIPITATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR MORE. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-020900- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT 800 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ050>052-056>059-020900- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...ALMA... JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS 800 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER DARK. IT APPEARS 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OF AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ DUKE/JK
000 WWUS43 KGRR 020153 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 853 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT... WITH PRECIPITATION ALREADY BREAKING OUT ACROSS WESTERN MICHIGAN AS OF 400 PM. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING...MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER DARK. SNOW TOTALS WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ANYWHERE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES MAY FALL...LOWER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH WITH 1 TO AROUND 4 INCHES ALONG THE INTERSTATE 96 CORRIDOR AND LESS THAN AN INCH FOR THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR. ALL LOCATIONS WILL SEE A MIX AND CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER THE SNOW BEGINS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER TO HALF OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A WHITEHALL TO MT. PLEASANT LINE. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. WARMER AIR ARRIVES EARLY SUNDAY TO CHANGE MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. MIZ064>067-071>074-021000- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 853 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. MIXED PRECIPITATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR MORE. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-021000- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT 853 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING... BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. 5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MIX WITH AND CHANCE OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ050>052-056>059-021000- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...ALMA... JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS 853 PM EST SAT DEC 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS LIKELY WELL INLAND FROM LAKE MICHIGAN...AROUND ALMA. OTHERWISE IT APPEARS AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW WILL FALL AS MIXED SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OF A QUARTER TO HALF OF AN INCH. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT MAY BE COATED IN ICE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ DUKE/JK
000 WWUS43 KGRR 020912 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 412 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE GREAT LAKES REGION THIS MORNING. A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TURN TO RAIN LATER THIS MORNING AS WARMER AIR ARRIVES. MIZ064>067-071>074-021200- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 412 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. MIXED PRECIPITATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATION ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH WAS COMMONPLACE. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT ARE COATED IN ICE. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN BY 7 AM. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-021600- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT 412 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. MIXED PRECIPITATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATION ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH WILL BE COMMONPLACE ON TOP OF THE OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT ARE COATED IN ICE. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN BY 11 AM. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MIZ050>052-056>059-021200- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1200Z/ MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GREENVILLE...ALMA... JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS 412 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. MIXED PRECIPITATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATION ON THE ORDER OF A QUARTER TO A HALF OF AN INCH IS COMMONPLACE. STRONG WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD ACT TO BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS THAT ARE COATED IN ICE. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN BY 7 AM. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ JK
000 WWUS43 KGRR 021357 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 857 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING CANCELED... .TEMPERATURES ARE CLIMBING THROUGH THE 30S THIS MORNING ON SOUTHERLY WINDS. GIVEN WARMING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH THE EXPECTATION OF ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION TODAY BEING DRIZZLE OR RAIN...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. MIZ037>040-043>046-021500- /O.CAN.KGRR.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071202T1600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT 857 AM EST SUN DEC 2 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK AS OF 845 AM ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF LOWER MICHIGAN. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM FURTHER THROUGH THE 30S ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN AND EVEN INTO THE 40S ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THE WARMING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION BEING OF THE LIQUID VARIETY TODAY...THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. SECONDARY ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A COATING OF ICE AND SNOW TODAY THOUGH...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. BY AFTERNOON THE ICE AND SNOW SHOULD BECOME MORE OF A SLUSH. IF TRAVELING BE PREPARED TO ENCOUNTER SOME SLIPPERY SECONDARY ROADS...AT LEAST THIS MORNING. $$ DUKE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 30, 11:50 PM EST, 4 hours 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 11:50 PM EST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1150 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007 LATEST UPDATE...AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS...(335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007) PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH A FEW SNOW FLURRIES LASTING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION WHICH WILL PROVIDE RATHER COLD AND QUIET WEATHER. THE WEATHER WILL TAKE A TURN FOR THE WORSE STARTING LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES FROM THE PLAINS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OUT IN WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE EVENING. A QUICK BURST OF 2 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BEFORE THE SNOW MIXES WITH AND CHANGES OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATION OF ICE CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL...POSSIBLY ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. THE SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF LATE IN THE NIGHT. ON SUNDAY...ALMOST ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED AS SOME WARMER AIR SURGES INTO THE STATE. && .SHORT TERM...(1013 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007) THERE WERE STILL SOME LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA THIS EVENING...BUT EXPECT THESE TO ERODE WITH DRIER AIR ARRIVING AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW DEVELOPING. THIS WILL LEAD TO A VERY CHILLY NIGHT. CURRENT MIN TEMP FORECAST LOOKS FINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT LOWS OCCURRING ACROSS THE INTERIOR NORTH...WHILE LAKESHORE AREAS FALL INTO THE TEENS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO THICKEN UP PRIOR TO 12Z WHEN TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND. A QUICK LOOK AT THE NEW 00Z MODEL RUNS COMING IN ATTM SEEMS TO SUGGEST A MORE PRONOUNCED MID LEVEL DRY WEDGE COMING OVER THE REGION AFTER 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH A DROP IN THE OMEGA FIELDS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR INCOMING DATA...BUT THE MAIN PCPN EVENT COULD ALREADY BE WINDING DOWN AFTER 06Z AS WE TRANSITION OVER TO MORE OF A FREEZING DRIZZLE REGIME. WILL MAINTAIN WATCH AS IS FOR NOW UNTIL THE REST OF THE 00Z MODEL DATA IS RECEIVED. CLOUDS SHOULD LOWER AND THICKEN THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY PEAK IN THE 20S AT MANY LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY IF THE HIGH CLOUDS ADVANCE IN EARLY. EXPECTING SNOW TO BREAK OUT ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE...ADVANCING FROM WSW TO ENE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING 400-700 PM. THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH AN HOUR POSSIBLE. FEEL SNOWFALL FROM THIS STORM WILL VARY FROM 1-3 INCHES ALONG THE I94 CORRIDOR...2-4 INCHES ALONG I96 AND 3-6 INCHES UP ALONG HIGHWAY 10 IN CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. TRACK OF THE SYSTEM IS NOT CONDUCIVE TO HUGE SNOW TOTALS GIVEN THE LOW MOVEMENT FROM IOWA TO NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THE BURST OF ISENTROPIC LIFT IS SUBSTANTIAL THOUGH. THE PROBLEM IS IT IS RELATIVELY SHORT LIVED...MAYBE 6-8 HOURS. RAPID DRYING OCCURS IN THE -12 TO -18 C LAYER AFTER 100 AM FROM WEST TO EAST WITH MAINLY DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY. SO...EXPECTING SEVERAL HOURS OF SNOW...AT WHICH TIME THE PRECIPITATION WILL START TO MIX WITH SLEET AS THE WARM AIR SURGES IN. SLEET WILL THEN TRANSITION OVER TO FREEZING RAIN...FINALLY FOLLOWED BY THE DRIZZLE SCENARIO LATE IN THE NIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA COULD ALSO BE SIZEABLE...WITH ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE EVENT IS STILL 24 HOURS OUT WILL BE HOLDING ONTO THE WINTER STORM WATCH. LATER MODEL RUNS AND FINE TUNING THE SNOW AN ICE TOTALS WILL DICTATE WHAT WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. SUNDAY SHOULD MAINLY FEATURE DRIZZLE AND RAIN ACROSS THE AREA AS THE LOW SLIDES INTO LOWER MICHIGAN. SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY HANG ON INTO THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE THE COLDER AIR WILL BE HARDEST TO ERODE. USED THE GFS FOR THIS FORECAST...AS ITS TRACK HAS BEEN QUITE CONSISTENT. FEEL ITS TOTALS ARE A BIT HIGH THOUGH ON LIQUID EQUIVALENT AND BACK THEM OFF A LITTLE. && .LONG TERM...(335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007) (SUNDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY) OVERALL...MADE VERY FEW CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR PERSISTENT NW FLOW ALOFT AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD....RESULTING IN FREQUENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WITH GREATER ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE LAKE SHORE. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE A CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING CROSSING THE AREA AROUND MID-WEEK. THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH THE STRENGTH AND TIMING. THE GFS OPERATIONAL RUN INDICATES THE SHARPEST TROUGH AND DEEPEST SURFACE SOLUTION OF ALL MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE. HOWEVER...IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT THIS RUN IS A SIGNIFICANT OUTLIER COMPARED TO THE REST OF THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. THE UKMET...ECMWF...GLOBAL GEM...AND REMAINING GFS MEMBERS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT ON A SMALLER AMPLITUDE AND FAST-MOVING SYSTEM WITH THE MOSTLY LIKELY TIMING FOR ENHANCED SNOWFALL ON WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME...WE STILL BELIEVE ADVISORY SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 2-4 RANGE WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME. && .AVIATION...(1150 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007) VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH ABOUT 22Z THEN THE ARRIVAL OF A BAND OF SNOW FROM THE SW IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY SEND TAF SITES TO IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS. THE TIMING OF THIS BAND OF SNOW COULD CHANGE BY SEVERAL HOURS. A MELTING LAYER IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE AROUND 9K FT ROUGHLY 03Z SUN...RESULTING IN A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION. && .MARINE...(335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007) THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT TONIGHT. THE WINDS WILL STEADILY SUBSIDE WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AND SO WILL THE WAVES. AS THE FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ON SATURDAY THOUGH...WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ONCE AGAIN...WITH WAVES BUILDING TOWARD SMALL CRAFT HEIGHT IN THE EVENING. && .HYDROLOGY...(335 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007) STORM TOTAL LIQUID EQUIVALENT WILL GENERALLY BE BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH DURING THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY TIME FRAME. SOME LOCAL AMOUNTS MAY REACH THE ONE INCH TOTAL. THERE IS PLENTY OF BUFFER IN AREA RIVERS...SO FLOODING IN ANY MAIN STEM RIVERS IS NOT EXPECTED. GIVEN THE SNOW...FOLLOWED BY A CHANGE TO RAIN...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALIZED PONDING OF WATER IN LOW SPOTS AND FIELDS...BUT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI....WINTER STORM WATCH NORTHERN 1/3 CWA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID DAY SUNDAY. WINTER STORM WATCH SOUTHERN 2/3 CWA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH DAYBREAK SUNDAY. LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ENTIRE NEARSHORE AREA TONIGHT. && SYNOPSIS: DUKE SHORT TERM: NJJ/DUKE/JK LONG TERM: TJT AVIATION: MJS MARINE: DUKE HYDROLOGY: DUKE
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 30, 4:13 PM EST, 12 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 413 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007 MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-010930- MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- 413 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SNOW CHANGES TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TOWARD MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND ICE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. WARMER AIR ARRIVES EARLY SUNDAY TO CHANGE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. LMZ844>849-010930- ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI- 413 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT TONIGHT. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 4 FEET UNTIL AROUND DAYBREAK SATURDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY. GALE FORCE SOUTHEAST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME... SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIME SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE THE SNOW CHANGES TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TOWARD MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND ICE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. WARMER AIR ARRIVES EARLY SUNDAY TO CHANGE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER TO RAIN. SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. MEADE NJJ
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 4:29 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson and 2 more | 16 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.