Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007
Winter Storm Warning 6, NWS Grand Rapids, MI
NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 28, 2007, 4:38 PM EST for 10 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Mar 1, 2007, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr. 20 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 28, 2007, 4:38 PM EST (21:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 1, 2007, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Mar 2, 2007, 12:55 AM EST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Counties Clare County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI
The radar
The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 1 | Scottville, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 2 | Breckenridge, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 3 | Baldwin, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 5 | Big Rapids, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 5 | Mount Pleasant, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 5 | Reed City, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Clare, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Stanton, MI | |
| Mar 1, 10:52 AM EST | SNOW 6.5 | Newaygo, MI | |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | ICE STORM 0 | Chase, MI | BETWEEN A QUARTER AND A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATED BETWEEN CHASE AND BALDWIN. THIS WAS MOSTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | ICE STORM 0 | Remus, MI | FROM ONE QUART TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATED DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SLEET 1.5 | Scottville, MI | THERE WAS AROUND AN INCH AND A HALF OF AN ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND SLEET FROM MID MORNING INTO LATE AFTERNOON. VERY LITTLE FREEZING RAIN. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Greenville, MI | FROM 7 AM THROUGH 5 PM 5 INCHES OF SNOW FELL. MOST OF THE SNOW FELL BY NOON. THERE WAS A QUARTER INCH OF ICE...MOSTLY ACCUMULATED DURING THE AFTERNOON. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 5.5 | Vestaburg, MI | BETWEEN 7 AM AND 5 PM THERE WAS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. MOST OF THE SNOW FELL BY 1 PM. AROUND A 1/4 INCH OF ICE WAS OBSERVED... MOSTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 6 | Evart, MI | THE SNOW BEGAN AROUND 8 AM AND CONTINUED UNTIL AROUND 6 PM. MOST OF THE SNOW FELL BY 3 PM. THERE WAS UP TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW REPORTED OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF OSCEOLA COUNTY. DRIFTS UP TO 2 FEET WERE REPORTED. ONLY AN EIGHTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATED...MOS |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 6 | Weidman, MI | AROUND 6 INCHES OF SNOW FELL FROM MID MORNING INTO THE MID AFTERNOON. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 7 | Oxbow, MI | 7 INCHES OF SNOW BETWEEN 7 AM AND 6 PM. MOST OF THAT SNOW FELL BY 2 PM. LESS THAN A QUARTER IN OF ICE ACCUMULATED IN THE AFTERNOON. 30 TREES WHERE REPORTED DOWN DUE TO A COMBINTION OF HIGH WINDS AND ICE ACCUMULATION. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 8 | Clare, MI | EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW WAS REPOTED OVER MOST OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF CLARE COUNTY. THE EIGHT INCHES INCLUDES SOME SLEET. MOST OF THE SNOW FELL BETWEEN 9 AM AND 3 PM. THERE WAS UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE THAT ACCUMULATED DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERN |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 8.5 | Howard City, MI | FROM 7 AM THROUGH 5 PM 8 TO 9 INCHES. MOST OF THE SNOW FELL BY NOON. ONE EIGHT OF AN INCH OF ICE. |
| Mar 1, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 9 | Big Rapids, MI | FROM 7 AM THROUGH 3 PM 8 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW FELL. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 723 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KGRR 282138 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 438 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN HEADED FOR SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN... .A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS EVENING NORTH INTO WISCONSIN BY THURSDAY EVENING. A PUSH OF WARMER AIR ALOFT THROUGH THURSDAY WILL RESULT IN SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BREAKING OUT ACROSS THE AREA STARTING TONIGHT. SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION OVER TO RAIN THURSDAY MORNING. SOME ICING IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING THURSDAY MORNING. COLDER AIR WILL HOLD ON ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ICING MAY REACH A HALF INCH IN SPOTS. MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-010545- /O.UPG.KGRR.WS.A.0005.070301T0900Z-070302T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0006.070301T0900Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 438 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. OCCASIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT...PERSISTING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. BY MIDDAY ON THURSDAY SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK OVER TO ALL SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TRAVEL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE QUITE TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ071>074-010545- /O.NEW.KGRR.ZR.Y.0002.070301T0600Z-070301T1500Z/ VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO... BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 438 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY. A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH...BUT IT DOES NOT TAKE A GREAT DEAL OF ICE TO MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ050-056>059-064>067-010545- /O.NEW.KGRR.WW.Y.0005.070301T0600Z-070301T1800Z/ MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS... IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING 438 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT...GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN INTO THURSDAY MORNING. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD HAVE CHANGED OVER TO ALL RAIN. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE...LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH. THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL LIKELY CAUSE SLIPPERY ROADS BEFORE WE WARM ABOVE FREEZING AROUND MIDDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ DUKE
7 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KGRR 010333 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1033 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION HEADED FOR SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN... .A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS EVENING NORTH INTO WISCONSIN BY THURSDAY EVENING. A PUSH OF WARMER AIR ALOFT THROUGH THURSDAY WILL RESULT IN SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT. SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION OVER TO RAIN THURSDAY MORNING. SOME ICING IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING THURSDAY MORNING. COLDER AIR WILL HOLD ON ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ICING MAY REACH A HALF INCH IN SPOTS. MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-011145- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0006.070301T0900Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 1033 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY. A BRIEF BURST OF OCCASIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL THEN REDEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING AND WILL CHANGE OVER TO SLEET...AND THEN FREEZING RAIN BY NOON THURSDAY. THE FREEZING RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK OVER TO ALL SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TRAVEL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE QUITE TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ071>074-011145- /O.CON.KGRR.ZR.Y.0002.070301T0600Z-070301T1500Z/ VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO... BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 1033 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY. A PERIOD OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING. ALL PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE OVER TO RAIN BY 10 AM ON THURSDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH...BUT IT DOES NOT TAKE A GREAT DEAL OF ICE TO MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ050-056>059-064>067-011145- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0005.070301T0600Z-070301T1800Z/ MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS... IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING 1033 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT...AND WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE...LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH. THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME SLIPPERY ROADS BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KGRR 010945 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 445 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION HEADED FOR SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN... .A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM NEAR KANSAS CITY MISSOURI EARLY THIS MORNING NORTH INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY MORNING. A PUSH OF WARM AND MOIST AIR ALOFT THROUGH TODAY WILL RESULT IN A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION OVER TO RAIN BY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL TRANSITION OVER TO FREEZING RAIN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96 THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ICING IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BEFORE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING THURSDAY MORNING. COLDER AIR WILL HOLD ON ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ICING MAY REACH A HALF INCH IN SPOTS. MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-011745- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 445 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING AND WILL CHANGE OVER TO SLEET...AND THEN FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE FREEZING RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TRAVEL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE QUITE TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ071>074-011500- /O.CON.KGRR.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070301T1500Z/ VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO... BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 445 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A PERIOD OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL MID MORNING THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH...BUT IT DOES NOT TAKE A GREAT DEAL OF ICE TO MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ050-056>059-064>067-011745- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T1800Z/ MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS... IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING 445 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN BY MID MORNING. THIS AFTERNOON...THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING. ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED. THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME SLIPPERY ROADS BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KGRR 011509 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1009 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION HEADED FOR SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN... .A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS MORNING NORTH INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY FRIDAY MORNING. A PUSH OF WARM AND MOIST AIR ALOFT THROUGH TODAY WILL RESULT IN A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA. SOME SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING NEAR INTERSTATE 96...GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING OVER TO RAIN BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL TRANSITION OVER TO FREEZING RAIN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96 TODAY. COLDER AIR WILL HOLD ON ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN WHERE ICING MAY REACH A HALF INCH IN SPOTS. HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR BEFORE THE SWITCH OVER TO FREEZING RAIN WHERE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW COULD FALL. A FEW REPORTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. MIZ071>074-011615- /O.CAN.KGRR.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070301T1500Z/ VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO... BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 1009 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE NOSED UP ABOVE FREEZING AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY...BUT THE THREAT FOR FREEZING RAIN HAS ENDED. THEREFORE...THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-012315- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 1009 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW AND SLEET WILL GRADUALLY MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN...HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED...WITH A BURST OF 3 TO 6 INCHES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A FEW SPOTS MAY EVEN SEE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER. THE FREEZING RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW TONIGHT ONCE AGAIN. A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TRAVEL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE QUITE TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ050-056>059-064>067-011800- /O.CON.KGRR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T1800Z/ MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS... IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING 1009 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A MIXTURE OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AFTERNOON ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED...AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 30S. ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED. THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME SLIPPERY ROADS BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA AROUND MIDDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ DUKE
000 WWUS43 KGRR 011825 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 125 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN MOVING TOWARD CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN... .AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SPIN NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS IOWA. WARM AIR IS SURGING TOWARD LOWER MICHIGAN ALOFT CHANGING THE SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN TO FREEZING RAIN. ALONG THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN. FURTHER NORTH TOWARD INTERSTATE 96 A MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS STILL POSSIBLE INTO THE AFTERNOON. MIZ050-056>059-012200- /O.EXP.KGRR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WW.Y.0006.070301T1825Z-070301T2200Z/ MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS... IONIA...ST. JOHNS 125 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. A BIT OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE STILL POSSIBLE AND THE ADVISORY WAS EXTENDED THROUGH 5 PM. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ064>067-011930- /O.EXP.KGRR.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T1800Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING 125 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE MIDDLE 30S AND MIXED PRECIPITATION IS NO LONGER EXPECTED...THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-020230- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 125 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN CAN STILL BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WARNING AREA...WHICH IS GENERALLY NORTH OF A WHITEHALL TO ST. JOHNS LINE. THE PREDOMINATE MODE SHOULD BE SHIFTING OVER TO FREEZING RAIN...SOME OF WHICH WILL BE QUITE HEAVY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO NEAR A HALF INCH ARE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TRAVEL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE QUITE TREACHEROUS. $$ DUKE
000 WWUS43 KGRR 012119 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 419 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN... .AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST FROM IOWA TO WISCONSIN THIS EVENING. WARM AIR SURGING TOWARD LOWER MICHIGAN ALOFT WILL RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NORTH OF A PENTWATER TO ST. JOHNS LINE. MIZ050-056>059-012230- /O.CAN.KGRR.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070301T2200Z/ MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS... IONIA...ST. JOHNS 419 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES WARMING ABOVE FREEZING HAS ENDED THE THREAT FOR FREEZING RAIN. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-020530- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 419 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT... POSSIBLY MIXING AT TIMES WITH SNOW AND SLEET. THE PREDOMINATE MODE OF PRECIPITATION HOWEVER SHOULD NOW BE FREEZING RAIN IN THE WARNING AREA ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL BE QUITE HEAVY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO NEAR A HALF INCH ARE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A HALF INCH COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TRAVEL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE QUITE TREACHEROUS. $$ DUKE
000 WWUS43 KGRR 020316 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1016 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN... ADDITIONAL AREAS OF RAIN CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. SOME OF THIS RAIN IS OCCURRING AS FREEZING RAIN NORTH OF A PENTWATER TO ALMA LINE WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATER THIS EVENING AND DURING THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS...WHICH WILL END THE THREAT OF ACCUMULATING ICE. MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-020600- /O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 1016 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY. OCCASIONAL RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING. SOME LOCATIONS HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING...HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS REMAIN AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. UP TO AN ADDITIONAL TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. TRAVEL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE QUITE TREACHEROUS. $$
000 WWUS43 KGRR 020555 WSWGRR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1255 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-020700- /O.CAN.KGRR.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-070302T0600Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 1255 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. FREEZING RAIN IS COMING TO AN END ACROSS THE AREA. MOST AREAS THAT ARE SEEING RAIN ARE ABOVE FREEZING. ALL PRECIPITATION WILL BE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NJJ
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 28, 3:45 PM EST, 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 3:45 PM EST, 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 345 PM EST WED FEB 28 2007 .SHORT TERM... FOCUS OF THE SHORT TERM OBVIOUSLY PERTAINS TO THE SYSTEM MOVING OUR WAY THE NEXT 30 HOURS. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE MAIN FIELDS. PER NCEP MESSAGE (PMDHMD) NAM HAD SOME INITIALIZATION ISSUES AND DECIDED TO FOLLOW THE GFS FOR GUIDANCE. HAVE HOISTED WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES FOR THE ENTIRE CWA STARTING OVERNIGHT AND LASTING INTO THURSDAY EVENING IN THE FAR NORTH. THE I94 CORRIDOR WILL HAVE A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM OVERNIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING ON THURSDAY. CENTRAL SECTIONS INCLUDING MKG...GRR AND LAN WILL HAVE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM THE OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. FINALLY THE COUNTIES THAT WERE IN THE WATCH ARE NOW UNDER A WINTER STORM WARNING FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. FEEL THE INITIAL BATCH OF PRECIPITATION MOVING OUR WAY WILL CONTINUE TO LOSE PUNCH AS IT MOVES INTO DRIER AIR. DID ACCOUNT FOR IT IN THE SOUTH THOUGH AS SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL ADVECT IN. IF ENOUGH CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS REMAIN WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT ACCUMS OUT OF IT...AN INCH OR LESS. FEEL WE WILL LIKELY WET BULB DOWN AND ANY PRECIP SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. MAIN PUSH WITH THE SYSTEM WILL BE LATE TONIGHT...WHEN OVERRUNNING PRECIP MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE. A MYRIAD OF PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE EXPECTED EARLY ON WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD DISPLAY A CLASSIC OVERRUNNING EVENT WITH SNOW IN THE NORTH WITH A BAND OF SLEET AND THEN FREEZING RAIN FURTHER SOUTH. AS THE WARM AIR TRANSITIONS NORTHWARD LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...THE PRECIPITATION WILL GO FROM SNOW...TO SLEET...TO FREEZING RAIN AND FINALLY TO RAIN. THIS WILL BE THE MODE OF OPERATION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. WITH A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED IN THE FAR SOUTH TOWARD AZO AND JXN CONSENSUS WAS TO GO WITH AN ADVISORY. IT MAY NOT AMOUNT TO A GREAT DEAL OF ICING...BUT ONLY A LITTLE CAN CAUSE A MESS TRAVEL WISE AND THIS WILL BE HITTING AROUND THE MORNING COMMUTE. FURTHER NORTHWARD TOWARD I96...ENVISION MORE OF A SNOW TO FREEZING RAIN SCENARIO OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING...WITH A LONGER PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. GIVEN THE LONGER PERIOD OF TIME OF FROZEN/FREEZING PRECIPITATION WENT WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO COVER THINGS BEFORE WE WARM UP TOWARD MIDDAY ABOVE FREEZING. PROBABLY A LITTLE BIT MORE ICING UP ALONG I96 AS COMPARED TO PLACES FURTHER SOUTH...BUT STILL BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. AREA THAT WILL LIKELY SEE THE WORST WX WILL BE THE NORTH...THE AREA THAT WE HAD IN A WATCH. USED A WINTER STORM WARNING HEADLINE IN THE NORTH FOR A COMBINATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. NOT HARD TO ENVISION AREAS IN THE WARNING PICKING UP MORE THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE. FREEZING RAIN BURST UP NORTH WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. COULD SEE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW BEFORE THE SWITCH OVER TO FREEZING RAIN. COULD SEE SOME CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA TOMORROW AS 850MB LI VALUES DROP BELOW ZERO. CONSIDERED A FLOOD WATCH IN THE SOUTHERN COUPLE TIERS OF COUNTIES GIVEN THE RAIN ONTO A SNOWPACK...BUT JUST DO NOT THINK THIS FAR NORTH INTO THE SYSTEM WE ARE GOING TO HAVE A BIG FLOODING ISSUE. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE THAT WARM AND WITH AN ICE ENCRUSTED SNOWPACK NOT SURE WE ARE GOING TO MELT A GREAT DEAL OF THE SNOW. THEREFORE...NO FLOOD WATCH WAS ISSUED. PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SNOW REMAINING IN THE FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. NOT EXPECTING A GREAT DEAL OF SNOW FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT WE WILL SEE SOME LIGHT ACCUMS. .LONG TERM... LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY EXIT THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. NW FLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL DRAG COLDER AIR INTO THE AREA. ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AN H8 THERMAL TROUGH WILL LEAD TO LINGERING SNOW WHICH WILL BE ENHANCED BY LAKE MICHIGAN. THE SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END SUNDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGING AND WARM ADVECTION MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES. AS THE RIDGE SLIPS EAST WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT WARM ADVECTION PCPN BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS A WEAK NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE DRIFTS ACROSS. THIS SHOULD BE MOSTLY SNOW...HOWEVER SOME RAIN COULD MIX IN ACROSS THE SOUTH AS TEMPS WILL BE APPROACHING 40. WILL HAVE A DRY FORECAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY AS THE FLOW WILL BE RATHER ZONAL BY THEN. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO WARM AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS SOUTHWESTERLY. MAX TEMPS SHOULD REACH 40 IN MOST LOCALES. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WARNING NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF THE CWA...ALSO INCLUDING MONTCALM AND GRATIOT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ALLEGAN...BARRY...EATON...INGHAM COUNTIES NORTHWARD TO THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THE INTERSTATE 94 ROW OF COUNTIES OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. && DUKE JK
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 28, 5:45 AM EST, 10 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 545 AM EST WED FEB 28 2007 MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-011015- MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- 545 AM EST WED FEB 28 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SNOW AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96... WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH BY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM IS POSSIBLE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96 ON THURSDAY... WITH UP TO A HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION. THIS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. ALONG AND SOUTH ON INTERSTATE 96 THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN ON THURSDAY WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE ARRIVAL OF WARMER AIR COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF FOG. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT... THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IN THE SNOWBELT AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 131. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ON SUNDAY AND END SUNDAY NIGHT. THE CAUSE OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH WILL TRACK FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT SNOW...SLEET AND ICING REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. YOU CAN SUBMIT THESE REPORTS AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR/SPOTTER. LMZ844>849-011015- ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE- 545 AM EST WED FEB 28 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WAVES BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT WILL POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT. SNOW AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING...THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT SOUTH OF MUSKEGON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WAVES OF 4 FEET OR MORE CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. FREEZING RAIN IS LIKELY THURSDAY NORTH OF WHITEHALL... WITH RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTH. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ON SUNDAY AND END SUNDAY NIGHT. THE CAUSE OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH WILL TRACK FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. MEADE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 4:38 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Clinton, Eaton, Ingham, Ionia and 3 more | 20 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:38 PM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | GRR | Calhoun, Jackson, Kalamazoo, Van Buren | 18 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.