Severe Thunderstorm Warning 54, NWS Green Bay, WI

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 202001
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
300 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

WIC041-125-202100-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-070620T2100Z/
FOREST-VILAS-
300 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT 
FOR VILAS AND NORTHERN FOREST COUNTIES...

AT 256 PM...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND GOLF BALL
SIZE HAIL. THE STRONGEST STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PHELPS...OR ABOUT 14 
MILES NORTHEAST OF EAGLE RIVER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

OTHER STRONG AND POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS WERE LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
CONOVER AND 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEWALD.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ALVIN
  AND NEWALD.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. IF OUTDOORS...GO TO A STURDY SHELTER.

CAMPERS AND OTHERS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING
IMMEDIATELY.

LAT...LON 4624 8957 4595 8968 4589 8905 4578 8903
      4568 8869 4599 8870 4614 8915

$$

KIECKBUSCH

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 202032
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
331 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

WIC041-125-202100-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-070620T2100Z/
FOREST-VILAS-
331 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT 
FOR VILAS AND NORTHERN FOREST COUNTIES...

AT 329 PM...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ALVIN...OR ABOUT 14 MILES EAST OF EAGLE RIVER...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 45 MPH.

ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF THREE LAKES.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL FOREST COUNTY BETWEEN ALVIN AND HILES AT 350 PM

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. IF OUTDOORS...GO TO A STURDY SHELTER.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK
THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4624 8957 4595 8968 4589 8905 4573 8903
      4568 8869 4599 8870 4614 8915

$$

KIECKBUSCH

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 202043
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
339 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

WIC041-125-202100-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-070620T2100Z/
FOREST-VILAS-
339 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT 
FOR VILAS AND NORTHERN FOREST COUNTIES...

AT 334 PM...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND DAMAGING 
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THE STORMS WERE LOCATED NEAR EAGLE 
RIVER...AND ABOUT 10 MILES EAST OF THREE LAKES IN NORTHERN FOREST
COUNTY. THE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FAR SOUTHEAST VILAS COUNTY AT 345 PM
  RURAL FOREST COUNTY BETWEEN ALVIN AND NEWALD AT 350 PM

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED POWER LINES DOWN IN EAGLE RIVER AT 335 PM.
THE WEATHER OBSERVING STATION IN EAGLE RIVER REPORTED A 51 MPH GUST
AT 335 PM. 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. IF OUTDOORS...GO TO A STURDY SHELTER.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK
THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4624 8957 4595 8968 4589 8905 4573 8903
      4568 8869 4599 8870 4614 8915

$$

KIECKBUSCH

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 202053
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
352 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

WIC041-125-202102-
/O.EXP.KGRB.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-070620T2100Z/
FOREST-VILAS-
352 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR VILAS COUNTY HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF VILAS COUNTY...SO THE 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED THERE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHERN FOREST COUNTY. 
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM EAST OF THREE LAKES WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN
FOREST COUNTY. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY THIS 
STORM AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE NICOLET NATION FOREST.

LAT...LON 4624 8957 4595 8968 4589 8905 4573 8903
      4568 8869 4599 8870 4614 8915

$$

KIECKBUSCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
145 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...MAIN FOCUS IS ON SVR TSTMS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY...STRONG SHEAR AND DYNAMIC FORCING
WILL GENERATE SCT SVR TSTMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVG. EXPECT THE FOCUS TO BE PRIMARILY OVER C/EC WI AFTER
00Z. TSTMS SHOULD SHIFT SOUTH OF THE FA LATER THIS EVG...WITH A LULL IN
THE ACTIVITY LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HAVE ADDED A CHC OF
TSTMS BACK INTO THE FCST OVER C/EC WI THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AS ELEVATED
INSTABILITY NORTH OF THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WORKS ITS WAY BACK
INTO THE AREA.

GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES LOOK REASONABLE.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THRU NEXT WEDNESDAY. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE ECMWF IS STRONGER
THAN THE UKMET AND GFS WITH AN UPPER LOW PASSING TO OUR SOUTHWEST FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW ARGUES FOR GENERALLY DRY WEATHER UNTIL
THE UPPER FLOW FLATTENS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AVIATION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT ACTIVITY WILL BE SCATTERED. THE FRONT WILL
CLEAR THE AREA BETWEEN 00Z AND 03Z...AND THEN IT WILL BE VFR THE REST OF
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

RDM
WEATHER.GOV/GREENBAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1115 AM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-211100-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-
LINCOLN-LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-SOUTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-
MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-
WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-MANITOWOC-
1115 AM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...AND OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
THIS EVENING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS OVER THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY FROM 3 PM TO 9 PM. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL
BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WISCONSIN THURSDAY
NIGHT AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND FAR
NORTHEAST WISCONSIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-564-211100-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-THE ADJOINING
WISCONSIN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN OUT TO MID-LAKE-
1115 AM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WATERS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN GREEN BAY...AND LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
TO SHEBOYGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE
BAY OF GREEN BAY...AND THE LAKE MICHIGAN WATERS ADJACENT TO DOOR COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT.
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE NORTH OF STURGEON BAY SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

KIECKBUSCH
WEATHER.GOV/GREENBAY