Wind Advisory 6, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 051851
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1251 PM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

KSZ003-004-014>016-028-029-042-NEZ081-060300-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070506T0300Z/
DECATUR-NORTON-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-WICHITA-
RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...NORTON...COLBY...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER...LEOTI...MCCOOK
151 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS GUSTED TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AT HILL
CITY AND NORTON KANSAS. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$
MENTZER

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 060233
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
833 PM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

KSZ003-004-014>016-028-029-042-NEZ081-060345-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070506T0300Z/
DECATUR-NORTON-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-WICHITA-
RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...NORTON...COLBY...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER...LEOTI...MCCOOK
933 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH
THE EVENING. THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED.

$$

LAMMERS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
232 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSETTLED PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM PERIODS AS MID/UPPER TROUGH SITS OVER THE ROCKIES WITH
AMPLIFIED RIDGE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI NORTHWARD TO THE GREAT LAKES
AREA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
TRI-STATE AREA AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS MID/UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO
COLORADO LATE IN THE DAY AND SFC LOW REDEVELOPS ALONG THE KS/CO
BORDER ALLOWING THE WARM FRONT TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA BY
MIDDAY. CAP SHOULD WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY ALLOWING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. AS THE DRY
LINE SURGES EAST/NORTHEAST BY LATE AFTERNOON...MUCH OF THE AREA COULD
REMAIN DRY. WILL KEEP AN ISOLATED/SCATTERED MENTION GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTY.

DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN NAM/GFS LEAD TO LOW CONFIDENCE SAT NIGHT AS ONE
MID/UPPER TROUGH LIFTS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS/ROCKIES AND ANOTHER
DIGS INTO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE GFS HAS SUPPORT FROM THE ECMWF
SENDING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA SAT NIGHT WHILE THE NAM KEEPS
THE TRI-STATE AREA IN SOUTHERLY FLOW. WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST WEIGHTED ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES.

SUN-MON...WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE GFS SOLUTION SUN-MON WHICH HAS
SUPPORT FROM THE ECMWF KEEPING THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS IN A
POST-FRONTAL REGIME. THEREFORE WILL LEAN COOLER ON SUN WITH HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE LOWER 60S WEST TO AROUND 70 EAST. LARGE SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT/LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE SUPPORTS ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
DEEP MOIST CONVECTION. LOWERED POPS ON MONDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE BEHIND
DEPARTING TROUGH. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND SLIGHTLY WITH MID
60S/LOWER 70S.

DAYS 4 THROUGH 7...NO CHANGES.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

MCGUIRE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
715 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-061245-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
715 AM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007 /815 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED TODAY...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE TRI STATE STATE AREA TODAY...MAINLY EAST OF A
TRENTON TO RUSSELL SPRINGS LINE. SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE TO THE
WEST OF THAT LINE...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS.

STRONG STORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING EAST OF A
DRYLINE AND DUE TO STRONG INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TORNADOES
AND HAIL GREATER THAN GOLFBALL SIZE WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT
WITH ANY STORM THAT FORMS. DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR...A FEW STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
MAINLY NORTH OF A BENKELMAN TO GOVE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY THROUGH THE
ROCKIES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING.

JRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
637 AM MDT SAT MAY 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     HAIL             16 NNE WAKEENEY         39.24N 99.77W
05/04/2007  E1.75 INCH       GRAHAM             KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            LATE REPORT FROM 05/04/07.

&&

SJOHNSON