Wind Advisory 15, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 221648
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
948 AM MST SAT DEC 22 2007

COZ091-092-KSZ013-014-027-221800-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-071222T1800Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...CHEYENNE WELLS...
GOODLAND...COLBY...SHARON SPRINGS
948 AM MST SAT DEC 22 2007 /1048 AM CST SAT DEC 22 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE AREA REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA AND WILL CONTINUE TO RELAX AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.
THEREFORE...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

BURTIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
308 AM MST SAT DEC 22 2007

.DISCUSSION...UPPER FLOW WILL BE NORTHWEST THROUGH SUNDAY FOLLOWED
BY A TROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH THE GFS/NAM DIG SOUTH ACROSS
COLORADO. NORTHWEST FLOW RESUMES AGAIN ON MONDAY. BY MONDAY NIGHT
FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROUGH. THE SURFACE LOW
MOVES FROM SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA TO WESTERN ARKANSAS BY MIDDAY WHILE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS. A TROUGH MOVES INTO
EASTERN COLORADO ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS THE TROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES INTO EASTERN COLORADO ON MONDAY/MONDAY
NIGHT.

THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUES ARE ENDING SNOW TODAY AND WHETHER TO KEEP
THE CURRENT SNOW/BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY THROUGH 18Z. OTHER ISSUES
INCLUDE POPS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.

BOTH THE GFS/NAM SHOW THE SN LINGERING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ZONES THROUGH
THIS MORNING. PLAN TO KEEP SNOW/BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE FAR
SOUTHEAST ZONES THROUGH 18Z. THE COUNTIES THAT GET THE SNOW/BLOWING
SNOW ADVISORY CANCELLED (THOMAS..SHERMAN..KIT CARSON) WILL GET A NEW
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 18Z. PLAN TO ADD WALLACE AND CHEYENNE COUNTY
COLORADO TO THE WIND ADVISORY.  DURING THE AFTERNOON THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES AS SKIES CLEAR. THE MODELS SHOW WIND
SPEEDS DECREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON. NAM/GFS BUFKIT POINT
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE MAX GUST TO MIX DOWN SHOULD BE 25KTS DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

SUBSIDENCE TAKES OVER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. BOTH THE GFS/NAM INDICATE THAT MOISTURE IS GOOD ENOUGH
FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN COLORADO
ZONES. THE NAM IS THE ONLY MODEL WHICH PROVIDES SOME LIFT. CANNOT
RULE OUT SOME LIGHT SNOW SO WILL ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE. THIS MAY
LINGER SOME INTO THE EVENING BUT FOR NOW RESTRICTED IT TO THE
AFTERNOON PERIOD ONLY. SUBSIDENCE FOLLOWS THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
SOUTHWEST FLOW LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WILL
BRING ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE TO THE EASTERN COLORADO ZONES WHICH THEN
SPREADS ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON CHRISTMAS DAY. SNOW
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT.

LACK OF SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WITH THIS STORM WILL HELP WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES. MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD RISE TO AROUND 30. 850
TEMPERATURES WARM TO NEAR ZERO ON SUNDAY/MONDAY. MAX TEMPERATURES
SHOULD STEADILY WARM THROUGH MONDAY WITH READINGS INTO THE UPPER 30S
BY MONDAY. MIN TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TEENS TONIGHT SHOULD
MODERATE TO THE UPPER TEENS BY MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...AS OF 06Z...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW BROUGHT IFR CONDITIONS
TO MOST OF THE CWA. KMCK REMAINS IN MVFR CONDITIONS...AND SNOW WILL
BE LESS LIKELY TO ACCUMULATE THERE. AFTER ABOUT 12Z...SNOW FALL WILL
END AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE CWA...ALTHOUGH WINDS FROM THE
NORTH AND NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
AREAS WHICH ACCUMULATE MORE SNOW OVERNIGHT. AFTER ABOUT 18Z...WINDS
WILL DIMINISH UNDER CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST /NOON CST/ THIS
     MORNING FOR KSZ015-016-028-029-041-042.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST /NOON CST/ THIS MORNING FOR KSZ013-
     014-027.

NE...NONE.
CO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR COZ091-092.

&&

FS/BLM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
350 PM MST FRI DEC 21 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-221200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
350 PM MST FRI DEC 21 2007 /450 PM CST FRI DEC 21 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FOR AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70...LIGHT SNOW AND WIND WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT INTO LATE SATURDAY MORNING. NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR LESS
ARE EXPECTED.

ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT TO
OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW AND WIND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES IS EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION
OF THE SNOW AND NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
VISIBILITIES IN THIS AREA COULD BE REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT
TIMES.

MOTORISTS TRAVELING ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN MAY BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW
TO THE TRI-STATE AREA ON CHRISTMAS DAY. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL
AROUND THE HOLIDAYS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND
STATEMENTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED BUT MEASURED WIND GUSTS AND
SNOWFALL REPORTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

DDT