Wind Advisory 14, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 010602
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1102 PM MST FRI NOV 30 2007

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-014-027>029-041-042-011200-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.W.0003.071201T1800Z-071202T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
1102 PM MST FRI NOV 30 2007 /1202 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /12 PM CST/
TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /12 PM CST/
TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY. 

AFTER A SURFACE WARM FRONT MOVES OVER THE REGION TOMORROW
AFTERNOON SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING
60 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THESE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH ANY ICE
ACCUMULATION ON POWER LINES AND OTHER STRUCTURES FROM THE
FREEZING RAIN THAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NOON HOUR ON SATURDAY
MAY CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE INCLUDING DISRUPTIONS TO POWER AND
COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT WHICH COULD LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE...REDUCED VISIBILITY
IN BLOWING DUST...AND LOSS OF VEHICLE CONTROL. A HIGH WIND
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE.

$$

KSZ002>004-015-016-NEZ079>081-011200-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.071201T1800Z-071202T0000Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
1102 PM MST FRI NOV 30 2007 /1202 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /12 PM CST/ TO
5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /12 PM CST/ TO
5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY. 

FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A SURFACE WARM FRONT ACROSS THE TRI-STATE
REGION BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THESE STRONG WINDS
COMBINED WITH ANY ICE ACCUMULATION ON POWER LINES AND OTHER
STRUCTURES FROM THE FREEZING RAIN THAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
NOON HOUR ON SATURDAY MAY CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE INCLUDING
DISRUPTIONS TO POWER AND COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$

LOCKHART

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 011054
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
354 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-014-027>029-041-042-011900-
/O.EXT.KGLD.HW.W.0003.071201T1500Z-071202T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
354 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /454 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MST /9 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

BY LATE MORNING...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO
40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED WEST OF A LINE FROM SAINT FRANCIS TO COLBY TO GOVE. STRONG
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT WHICH COULD LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE...REDUCED VISIBILITY
IN BLOWING DIRT...AND LOSS OF VEHICLE CONTROL. A HIGH WIND WARNING
IS ISSUED FOR SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE.

$$

KSZ002>004-015-016-NEZ079>081-011900-
/O.EXT.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.071201T1500Z-071202T0000Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
354 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /454 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO AROUND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE BY EARLY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 011615
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
915 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007

.AREAS OF FOG...DRIZZLE...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE PERSIST THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE TRI STATE AREA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DELAY THE ONSET
OF THE STRONGER WINDS. SKIES ARE BEGINNING TO CLEAR ACROSS SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...AND THE TEMPERATURE IN LAMAR HAS ALREADY RISEN INTO
THE LOWER 60S WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH. THE CLEARING
LINE AND STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTH INTO THE TRI
STATE AREA DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-014-027>029-041-042-020000-
/O.CON.KGLD.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
915 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /1015 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...AND GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT WHICH COULD LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE...REDUCED VISIBILITY
IN BLOWING DIRT...AND LOSS OF VEHICLE CONTROL. A HIGH WIND
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE.

$$

KSZ002>004-015-016-NEZ079>081-020000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
915 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /1015 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25
TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS WILL SUBSIDE
BY EARLY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 011813
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1113 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007

KSZ013-014-027>029-041-042-020000-
/O.CAN.KGLD.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOODLAND...COLBY...SHARON SPRINGS...
OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
1113 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /1213 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 40 MPH THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$

COZ090>092-KSZ001-011915-
/O.CAN.KGLD.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS
1113 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /1213 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

THE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS HAS ENDED ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO.
WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

$$

KSZ002>004-NEZ079>081-011915-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...BENKELMAN...
TRENTON...MCCOOK
1113 AM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /1213 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

STRONG WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. LOW CLOUDS WILL PERSIST INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH COOL CONDITIONS AND MAINLY LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

KSZ015-016-020000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOXIE...HILL CITY
1213 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 40 MPH THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 011950
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1250 PM MST SAT DEC 1 2007

KSZ013>016-027>029-041-042-020000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...
SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
1250 PM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /150 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD OUT OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND
INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
OCCUR SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 40...WHERE GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR.
ELSEWHERE IN THE ADVISORY AREA...A FEW GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$
JDK

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 012038
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
138 PM MST SAT DEC 1 2007

KSZ013-014-012145-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
SHERMAN-THOMAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOODLAND...COLBY
138 PM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /238 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE GOODLAND AND COLBY AREAS...WITH
WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

KSZ015-016-027>029-041-042-020000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...
OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
138 PM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /238 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE
STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
40...WHERE A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR. ELSEWHERE IN THE
ADVISORY AREA...GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$
JDK

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 012351
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
451 PM MST SAT DEC 1 2007


KSZ015-016-027>029-041-042-020100-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WI.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-071202T0000Z/
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...
OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
451 PM MST SAT DEC 1 2007 /551 PM CST SAT DEC 1 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ALLOWED THE WIND
ADVISORY TO EXPIRE ON TIME AT 5 PM MST (6 PM CST). 

WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE AREA REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AND WILL
DO SO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THEREFORE...THE WIND ADVISORY
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME. 

$$

DDT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
230 PM MST FRI NOV 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...ICE STORM CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD. COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TEENS...AND HIGHS TODAY
STRUGGLING TO REACH 30...COLD AIR IS FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE
REGION. 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FROM CALIFORNIA
TO TEXAS ANYWHERE FROM 120 PERCENT TO 315 PERCENT OF
NORMAL...THEREFORE LOOK TO HAVE AMPLE MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM. LATEST MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION
FOR THE STORM...GENERALLY IN AGREEMENT THAT WHEN THE PRECIPITATION
BEGINS LATER THIS EVENING...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH WARM AIR
ADVECTION AT MID LEVELS FOR PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN AS SLEET IN
MOST LOCATIONS AND THEN QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN.

THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM STILL LOOKS TO BE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS
MID LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE APPROACHING WARM FRONT DEVELOPS. FOR THIS PERIOD...IT LOOKS
LIKE FREEZING RAIN WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH
700 MB TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 3 AND 6 DEGREES CELSIUS...AND SURFACE
TEMPERATURES JUST BELOW FREEZING. BY 12Z AS THE WARM FRONT BEGINS
TO PUSH NORTH INTO THE GLD CWA...FREEZING RAIN WILL TURN OVER TO
RAIN FROM THE SOUTH TO THE NORTH. SOUTHERN AREAS OF GLD CWA COULD
SEE THE CHANGE OVER SHORTLY AFTER 12Z...THOUGH THE GFS HAS BEEN
TRENDING SLOWER WITH PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT...WHICH
WOULD DELAY THE CHANGE IN PRECIPITATION TYPE. PRECIPITATION LOOKS
TO QUICKLY DISSIPATE FROM ABOUT 18Z ON AS THE DRY SLOT DEVELOPS
OVER THE REGION. HIGHEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS LOOK TO BE OVER THE
NORTHEAST ZONES...WITH MORE MOISTURE ADVECTION AND A SLOWER
TRANSITION TO RAIN. AS A RESULT AN ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE NORTHEASTERN ZONES AS ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 0.2 TO 0.3 INCHES. IN AREAS WHERE
THE ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 0.2 OF AN
INCH...A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED.

THE NEXT CONCERN IS THAT AS THINGS BEGIN TO CLEAR...AND THE MORE
UNSTABLE MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS MOVES OVER THE REGION...STRONG
WINDS WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. AREAS THAT CLEAR
SOONER...WHERE THE WARM FRONT PASSES THROUGH SOONER WILL HAVE A
BETTER CHANCE OF STRONG WINDS MIXING DOWN. THE AREA OF CLEARING
MATCHES WELL WITH THE AREAS UNDER THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. FOR
THOSE LOCATIONS A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 35 TO 45 MPH AND GUSTS APPROACHING 60 MPH POSSIBLE. FOR THE
REST OF THE REGION...A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED. WINDS SHOULD
DIMINISH AFTER 00Z...AS PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION QUICKLY
DECREASES.

A SHORTWAVE RIDGE AND INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT ON SUNDAY COULD
RESULT IN INCREASING WINDS AGAIN. FURTHER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO LOOK
AT THIS AS POSSIBLY NEEDING A WIND HIGHLIGHT AGAIN ON SUNDAY. A
WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...RESULTING IN A WARMING
TREND FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.

DAYS 4-7 (TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

OP GFS APPEARS TO BE THE OUTLIER TOWARD THE END OF THE EXTENDED SO
WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW GUIDANCE FROM HPC WHICH RELIES HEAVILY ON THE
30/00Z ECMWF.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL ALLOW H85 TEMPS
TO WARM TO AROUND 13C OVER OUR CWA BY TUESDAY. BUMPING TEMPS A
COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE HPC GUIDANCE CONTINUING AN UPWARD TREND
STARTED A FEW DAYS AGO.

AS A TROUGH BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY...THE
RIDGE WILL START TO BREAK DOWN AND MEAN FLOW WILL BECOME MORE
PROGRESSIVE ONCE AGAIN. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD BUT STILL ABOVE CLIMO AS IT STANDS
RIGHT NOW.

APPEARS A COUPLE OF PIECES OF ENERGY WILL MOVE THROUGH BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD WITH THE FIRST ONE BEING WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY
MORNING. KEEPING POPS SILENT FOR NOW UNTIL TIMING AND MOISTURE
PROFILES BECOME CLEARER. ANOTHER SYSTEM APPEARS POISED TO MOVE
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY.  KEPT SILENT POPS WITH THIS SYSTEM AS WELL
GIVEN OVERALL LACK OF CONFIDENCE THAT FAR OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...CIGS/VIS WILL QUICKLY FALL AFTER AROUND OR SHORTLY
AFTER 00Z AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/STRATUS QUICKLY MOVES NORTH ON
SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TOWARD 30KTS. THESE LOW CIGS WILL REMAIN
THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY BEFORE QUICKLY IMPROVING AT KGLD FIRST THEN
KMCK AS THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE PRECIP LEAVES THE
AREA.

-FZRAPL WILL DEVELOP IN THE 03Z-06Z TIME FRAME TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE KMCK AREA. AT KGLD IT
MAY END SOONER.

AS THE WARM FRONT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINTER MIX OF PRECIP MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP.
AT KGLD THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 18Z WHILE AT KMCK IT MAY BE
CLOSER TO THE 21Z-00Z TIME FRAME (00Z SUNDAY). GUSTS OF 50KTS ARE
EXPECTED AT KGLD...LOWER AT KMCK AS THE WARM FRONT ISNT EXPECTED TO
QUITE REACH THAT AREA.

ANY INCREASE OR DECREASE IN SPEED OF THE WARM FRONTS ARRIVAL WILL
DICTATE HOW SOON OR LATER THE PRECIP/WINDS DEVELOP OR LEAVE THE
AREA

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...ICE STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY
     FOR KSZ002>004-015-016.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR KSZ002>004-015-
     016.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM MST /12 PM CST/ TO 5 PM MST /6 PM
     CST/ SATURDAY FOR KSZ001-013-014-027>029-041-042.

     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON
     TO 11 AM MST /12 PM CST/ SATURDAY FOR KSZ001-013-014-
     027>029-041-042.

NE...ICE STORM WARNING FROM 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 5
     PM MST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY FOR NEZ079>081.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM MST /12 PM CST/ TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
     SATURDAY FOR NEZ079>081.

CO...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM MST SATURDAY FOR COZ090>092.

     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM MST
     SATURDAY FOR COZ090>092.

&&

SFJ/CSF/DDT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
425 AM MST FRI NOV 30 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-011345-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
425 AM MST FRI NOV 30 2007 /525 AM CST FRI NOV 30 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE TRI-STATE AREA TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW
WILL DEVELOP BY THIS EVENING. DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...PRECIPITATION
WILL CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. ROADS WILL BECOME ICY
MAKING EARLY MORNING TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE ROADS SLICK ACROSS THE TRI-
STATE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS WARMER AIR IS USHERED INTO THE AREA BY STRONG SOUTH WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

FS