Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 78, NWS Goodland, KS
NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 29, 2007, 8:20 PM CDT for Gove County, Logan County, Kansas. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 29, 2007, 8:20 PM CDT (01:20 UTC)
- Expired
- May 29, 2007, 9:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 55 min
- Issued by
- NWS Goodland, KS
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Gove County, KS, Logan County, KS
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1362 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -45 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1343 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 142 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS53 KGLD 300120 SVRGLD KSC063-109-300215- /O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0078.070530T0120Z-070530T0215Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 820 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS... EASTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS... * UNTIL 915 PM CDT * AT 815 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONUMENT...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF OAKLEY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... GOVE AND GRAINFIELD AROUND 835 PM CDT... PARK AROUND 845 PM CDT... QUINTER AROUND 855 PM CDT... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 77 AND 113. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MEANS THAT SEVERE WEATHER HAS BEEN OBSERVED OR INDICATED BY RADAR. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. REMEMBER...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN COLORADO. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. LAT...LON 3911 10115 3871 10130 3871 10015 3912 10016 $$ JRM
2 follow-up statements
000 WWUS53 KGLD 300124 RRA SVSGLD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 723 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007 KSC063-109-300215- /O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-070530T0215Z/ LOGAN KS-GOVE KS- 823 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR GOVE AND EASTERN LOGAN COUNTIES... AT 820 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A OUTFLOW FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH. THIS AREA OF STRONG WINDS WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONUMENT...OR ABOUT 11 MILES SOUTH OF OAKLEY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS HAVE MEASURED 66 MPH WINDS WITH THIS STORM. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... GOVE AND GRAINFIELD AROUND 840 PM CDT... PARK AROUND 850 PM CDT... QUINTER AROUND 900 PM CDT... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 77 AND 113. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. LAT...LON 3911 10115 3871 10130 3871 10015 3912 10016 $$ JRM
000 WWUS53 KGLD 300202 SVSGLD SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 801 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007 KSC063-109-300215- /O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-070530T0215Z/ LOGAN KS-GOVE KS- 901 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR GOVE AND EASTERN LOGAN COUNTIES... AT 858 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GRAINFIELD TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE MONUMENT ROCKS TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF RUSSELL SPRINGS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GRAINFIELD TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE MONUMENT ROCKS TO 11 MILES WEST OF SCOTT STATE LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... PARK AROUND 910 PM CDT... THE MONUMENT ROCKS...GOVE AND QUINTER AROUND 915 PM CDT... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 77 AND 113. THIS IS A DANGEROUS LINE OF STORMS. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING DIRT. USE EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL AND BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITY. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. LAT...LON 3911 10115 3871 10130 3871 10015 3912 10016 $$ THEDE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 29, 3:14 PM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 29, 3:14 PM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
214 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007
.DISCUSSION...
16Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED STRONG TROUGH DIGGING INTO
NORTHERN COLORADO. 12Z LBF RAOB INDICATED A WEAKLY CAPPED...FAIRLY
MOST PROFILE...WHILE KDDC HAD A MORE UNSTABLE...BUT MUCH MORE CAPPED
PROFILE. 17Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED FRONT HAD NEARLY BECOME
STATIONARY...RUNNING FROM APPROX KIML TO KLAA. A GOOD DEAL OF
MOISTURE HAD POOLED NEAR AND JUST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH UPPER
50S/LOW 60S TDS OBSERVED.
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE HYDRO/SEVERE WX ISSUES TONIGHT.
TONIGHT...SHORT TERM MODELS ALREADY BEGINNING TO DIVERGE WITH
SOLUTION FOR TONIGHT. SFC HEATING...COMBINED WITH LARGE PLUME OF
MOISTURE WILL BE MORE THAN SUFFICENT FOR TSRA/HEAVY RAIN WITH THE
BIGGEST QUESTION BEING WHERE THE PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP/FOCUS
EARLY THIS EVENING. FRONT HAS STALLED AS OF 17Z JUST BETWEEN KGLD
AND KITR. AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADS OVER THE AREA FRONT WILL
LIKELY BACK SOME WHAT. CURRENT FORECAST HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON
SITUATION...BUT AM CONCERNED THAT THUNDERSTORMS MAY INITIATE FURTHER
WEST ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WITH HIGH PWS AND STORM MOTIONS NEARLY
PARALLEL TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THINK FLOODING THREAT MAY EXTEND
FARTHER TO THE WEST THAN PREVIOUS WATCH AND WILL EXTEND THE WATCH TO
COVER THE REST OF THE CWA.
TOMORROW/TOMORROW NIGHT...DEEP CAA/SUBSIDENCE WILL BE UNDERWAY DURING THE
MORNING HOURS AS DRY SLOT WRAPS AROUND H5 LOW...WHICH SHOULD QUICKLY
BRING AN END TO ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION. COLD POCKET AT H5 WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA MAINTAINING STEEP LAPSE RATES THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. AFTER PEAK HEATING...CANT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER SNEAKING
INTO THE NORTHERN CWA.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY...H5 CUT OFF LOW WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE
AREA...WITH COLD H5 TEMPS REMAINING OVER THE AREA AND CWA IN A
FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS REVOLVING AROUND
THE LOW. SFC HEATING SHOULD BE SUFFICENT TO REMOVE CAP ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG SFC TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA.
PERSISTENT AREA OF H7 WAA WILL ALSO AID IN -TSRA DEVELOPMENT BY THE
AFTERNOON...AND HAVE ADDED POPS TO REFLECT THIS. LLJ DEVELOPS
OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL KEEP PRECIP POTENTIAL GOING THROUGH THE
NIGHT...ALTHOUGH APPEARS FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH MAY KEEP
PRECIP MORE FOCUSED THERE.
IN THE EXTENDED...MAIN FORECAST CONCERN FOR THE PERIOD WILL BE HOW
QUICKLY AND HOW STRONG H5 RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE UPCOMING
PATTERN...ALTHOUGH SOME DIFFERENCES EXIST WITH TIMING OF THE CUT OFF
LOWS DEPARTURE FROM THE REGION...AND WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE
EXPECTED RIDGE. NO REAL STRONG SIGNAL IN THE ENSEMBLES ABOUT HOW
FAST TROUGH SHOULD DEPART...SO MODEL COMPROMISE WILL PROBABLY BE THE
BEST WAY TO GO. 06Z GFS ENSEMBLES SHOW PLENTY OF CLUSTERING WITH A
MORE AMPLIFIED RIDGE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD AND WILL LEAN IN
THIS DIRECTION.
WITH H5 TROUGH STILL LINGERING AROUND THE AREA THROUGH
SUNDAY...POTENTIAL FOR WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS...AND COOLER H5 TEMPS
LOWERING STABILITY WILL KEEP SOME LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST DURING
THE CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED TIMES. H5 RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO BUILD
INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY...BRINGING AN END TO PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
FOR TEMPERATURES...MAIN CONCERN WILL BE WITH MAXES AS AMPLIFIED
RIDGE WILL BE IMPACTING THE WEST...WHILE TROUGH WILL BE LINGERING
ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA. WITH GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT TROUGH WILL
LINGER LONGER ACROSS THE CWA...LOWERED MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES
EARLY...THAN TRENDED TO A MORE WEST TO EAST GRADIENT IN MAX TEMPS
THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.
&&
.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR KSZ001-013-027.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT FOR KSZ002>004-014>016-028-029-041-042.
NE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NEZ079.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR NEZ080-081.
CO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR COZ090>092.
&&
JRMHazardous weather outlook, May 29, 12:18 PM CDT, 8 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 1118 AM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301200- YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON- SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA- DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW- 1118 AM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007 /1218 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE WEST. A COLD FRONT HAS STALLED ALONG THE COLORADO- KANSAS BORDER AND WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT. INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR PARAMETERS WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAIL...STRONG WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. A TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. DURING THE EVENING...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION FROM SEVERE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION PRODUCERS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MANY AREAS OF THE TRI-STATE REGION TONIGHT IN ANTICIPATION OF HEAVY RAINFALL. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 29, 7:53 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 653 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007 COZ092-KSZ027-028-041-042-300130- CHEYENNE COUNTY-GREELEY-LOGAN-WALLACE-WICHITA- 653 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CHEYENNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...WICHITA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...WALLACE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND GREELEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS... AT 649 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING OUTFLOW FROM THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. SUDDEN WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL OCCUR AS THE OUTFLOW PASSES...WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE BEHIND THE OUTFLOW AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP. THE SUDDEN WINDS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST...WHICH WILL CAUSE SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. JRM
Local storm report, May 29, 7:58 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
658 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0657 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SW TRENTON 40.12N 101.08W
05/29/2007 E60 MPH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
CFOLTZLocal storm report, May 29, 8:04 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
704 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0703 PM HAIL CULBERTSON 40.23N 100.84W
05/29/2007 E0.75 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
KJAMESLocal storm report, May 29, 8:12 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
712 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HAIL 7 NW CULBERTSON 40.30N 100.93W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
KJAMESLocal storm report, May 29, 8:14 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
714 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0708 PM TORNADO 5 W MCCOOK 40.20N 100.71W
05/29/2007 RED WILLOW NE LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
KJAMESLocal storm report, May 29, 8:18 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
718 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0714 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S OAKLEY 39.10N 100.85W
05/29/2007 M66 MPH LOGAN KS NWS EMPLOYEE
OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 66 MPH GUST
&&
CFOLTZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Rawlins, Thomas | 32 min |
| May 29, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Decatur, Sheridan | 59 min |
| May 29, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Graham, Norton | 58 min |
| May 29, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Gove | 42 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.