Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 270053
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
653 PM MDT THU APR 26 2007

COC063-270200-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-070427T0200Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
653 PM MDT THU APR 26 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...

AT 649 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED OVER EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY...OR ABOUT 22 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BURLINGTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL NORTHERN KIT CARSON COUNTY AROUND 710 PM MDT...
  RURAL NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY AROUND 720 PM MDT...
  RURAL EASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY AROUND 740 PM MDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 442 AND 450.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 189 AND 211.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GOODLAND.

LAT...LON 3956 10242 3957 10261 3950 10257 3930 10242
      3931 10205 3957 10205

$$

AEP

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 270107
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
707 PM MDT THU APR 26 2007

COC063-270200-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-070427T0200Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
707 PM MDT THU APR 26 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...

AT 703 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED OVER EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL KIT CARSON COUNTY...OR ABOUT 16
MILES NORTH OF BURLINGTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY AROUND 720 PM MDT...  

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 195 AND 211.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GOODLAND.

LAT...LON 3957 10234 3957 10252 3954 10252 3947 10245
      3942 10238 3931 10205 3957 10205

$$

AEP

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 270110
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
710 PM MDT THU APR 26 2007

COC063-270120-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-070427T0200Z/
KIT CARSON CO-
710 PM MDT THU APR 26 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3957 10234 3957 10252 3954 10252 3947 10245
      3942 10238 3931 10205 3957 10205

$$

AEP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
248 PM MDT THU APR 26 2007

.DISCUSSION...THE 20Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A TROUGH EXTENDING
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS SOUTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO.
WATER VAPOR SHOWS THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL WYOMING. VISIBLE
SATELLITE AS WELL AS LIGHTNING DETECTION/RADAR INDICATING THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO.

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING A TROUGH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL RESUME FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH
EXITS. SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT A RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE
ROCKIES AND PLAINS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE TROUGH ON
FRIDAY AND STAY OVER THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN A
TROUGH WILL START MOVING INTO EASTERN COLORADO.

FORECAST ISSUES ARE POPS FOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

FAST MOVING TROUGH DEPICTED ON WATER VAPOR WILL IMPACT THE FORECAST
AREA TONIGHT. PLAN TO KEEP LIKELY POPS FOR TONIGHT WITH CONVECTION
ALREADY FIRING EAST OF THE ROCKIES. MOISTURE LOOKS GOOD ENOUGH TO
CARRY AT LEAST CHANCE POPS FOR FRIDAY. SHOWERS SHOULD COME TO AN END
IN THE EAST ZONES DURING THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE RIDGING/SUBSIDENCE
WILL KEEP POPS NIL THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

850MB TEMPERATURES WARM FROM THE LOWER TEENS TO THE LOWER 20S BY
SUNDAY. TONIGHTS LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT DUE
TO INCREASING CLOUDS...UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM INTO THE 40S WITH LOW 50S POSSIBLE IN THE EAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM INTO THE LOWER 60S FRIDAY AND INTO THE
UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

IN THE EXTENDED...AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST BY THE OPERATIONAL GFS TO
MOVE INTO THE PANHANDLE REGION MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS ALSO
SUPPORTED BY THE ECMWF BUT NOT THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. ADDED SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. SUBSIDENCE FOLLOWS FOR
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH ON
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. A SHORTWAVE RIDGE/SUBSIDENCE RETURNS FOR THURSDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S. MIN
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

FS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1040 AM MDT THU APR 26 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271515-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1040 AM MDT THU APR 26 2007 /1140 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY...THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING BEING THE
MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

BLM