Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
640 PM MDT SUN JUL 8 2007

.UPDATE...

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST AT 40KTS. BASED ON
THIS SHOULD SEE STORMS REACHING THE GOODLAND AREA AROUND 02Z. ASOS
WINDS GUSTING 40-45KTS WITH BLOWING DUST FOLLOWED BY HEAVY RAIN.

HAVE UPPED THE POPS CONSIDERABLY WITH CATEGORICAL POPS WITHIN AN
HOUR OF THE EXPECTED ARRIVAL OF STORMS...70 PERCENT AT 2
HOURS...AND 60 PERCENT AT 3 HOURS...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70. ALSO INCLUDED GUSTY WINDS. WILL NEED ANOTHER UPDATE
ONCE THE LINE MOVES THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...

HAVE LINE OF STORMS REACHING THE KGLD AIRPORT AT 02Z WITH WINDS
30030G40KT. HAVE ALSO INCLUDED BLDU AND REDUCED VISIBILITY TO 3SM
BASED ON ASOS REPORTS. HAVE THE LINE OF STORMS REACHING THE KMCK
AIRPORT AROUND 0230Z WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS KGLD. BY 03Z LINE
OF STORMS WILL BE EAST OF THE KGLD AIRPORT AT 0330Z OR SO FOR THE
KMCK AIRPORT. WILL UPDATE TAFS ONCE THE LINE HAS MOVED THROUGH.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

DDT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1045 AM MDT SUN JUL 8 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-091200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1045 AM MDT SUN JUL 8 2007 /1145 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF
A LINE FROM MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO STRATTON COLORADO. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING. DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER
STORMS. ANOTHER FOCAL AREA FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL STRETCH
ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA TO EAST CENTRAL COLORADO. ANY OF THE
STORMS ALONG THE FRONT MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED
DAMAGING WINDS. ALL THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST WELL INTO
THE EVENING...ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE TRI-STATE
REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING.
A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AEP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
701 PM MDT SUN JUL 8 2007

KSZ028-090130-
LOGAN-
801 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 755 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RUSSELL SPRINGS...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 15
MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

JRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
712 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             FLAGLER                 39.29N 103.07W
07/08/2007  E1.00 INCH       KIT CARSON         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SJOHNSON