Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS83 KGLD 040012
RFWGLD

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
612 PM MDT SAT NOV 3 2007


COZ252-253-KSZ001-013-NEZ079-040115-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-DUNDY-
612 PM MDT SAT NOV 3 2007 /712 PM CDT SAT NOV 3 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE STILL IN THE TEENS AT MANY
LOCATIONS...WINDS HAVE DRECREASED RAPIDLY TO BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THIS
EVENING. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

LAMMERS

000 
WWUS83 KGLD 040015 CCA
RFWGLD

RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTED 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
612 PM MDT SAT NOV 3 2007


COZ252-253-KSZ001-013-NEZ079-040115-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-071104T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-DUNDY-
612 PM MDT SAT NOV 3 2007 /712 PM CDT SAT NOV 3 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE STILL IN THE TEENS AT MANY
LOCATIONS...WINDS HAVE DECREASED RAPIDLY TO BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THIS
EVENING. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

LAMMERS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
243 AM MDT SAT NOV 3 2007

.DISCUSSION...THE 07Z SURFACE CHART SHOWS A TROUGH OVER EASTERN
WYOMING AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WATER VAPOR SHOWS
A TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN CONUS WITH A RIDGE MOVING INTO THE WEST
COAST.

UPPER FLOW THROUGH THIS FORECAST WILL BE NORTHWEST WHILE A RIDGE IS
OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. SUNDAY NIGHT A TROUGH WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BUT DYNAMICS
ARE TOO FAR AWAY TO MAKE ANY IMPACT ON NORTHWEST KANSAS OTHER THAN
SOME WIND. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO TODAY
FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE TONIGHT. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE
AREA SUNDAY WITH A FRONT FOLLOWING IT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT.

THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUES ARE WHAT TO DO WITH THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR TODAY. POPS ARE NOT AN ISSUE DUE TO THE LACK OF
MOISTURE/DYNAMICS.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH LOOKS MARGINAL AT BEST FOR THIS AFTERNOON
MAINLY DUE TO THE LACK OF STRONG SURFACE WIND. SURFACE WINDS MAY
REACH 25 MPH BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON FOR A PORTION OF THE
NORTHWEST. RH VALUES SHOULD REACH 15 PERCENT OR LESS OVER THE
NORTHWEST. DO NOT SEE A THREAT OVER THE WHOLE CWA BUT WILL KEEP
CURRENT WATCH GOING TO AVOID FLIP FLOP.

850MB TEMPERATURES WARM TO THE UPPER TEENS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON
SUNDAY AND THEN FALL TO NEAR ZERO ON MONDAY. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TODAY AND LOWER 70S ON SUNDAY. HIGHS
SHOULD HAVE DIFFICULTY REACHING 50 ON MONDAY. MIN TEMPERATURES
SHOULD RANGE FROM THE LOWER 30S TONIGHT/SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN DOWN TO
THE LOWER 20S MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE KGLD AND KMCK TAF
SITES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD STAY UNDER 20
KNOTS WITH WIND CHANGING DIRECTION TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 21Z THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042.

NE...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TODAY THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR NEZ079>081.

CO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
     FOR COZ252>254.

&&

FS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1054 AM MDT SAT NOV 3 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-041345-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1054 AM MDT SAT NOV 3 2007 /521 AM CDT SAT NOV 3 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 PERCENT OR LESS AT SOME
LOCATIONS AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15
TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
WIND...COMBINED WITH DRY CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE DANGER
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FS