Flash Flood Warning 57, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WGUS73 KGLD 240517
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1115 PM MDT THU AUG 23 2007

KSC109-199-240900-
LOGAN KS-WALLACE KS-
1215 AM CDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT(300 AM
MDT) FOR NORTHERN WALLACE AND NORTHERN LOGAN COUNTIES...

AT 1215 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
WINONA...OAKLEY AND MONUMENT.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH ARE 
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT ANYWHERE 
FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SO FAR. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3887 10204 3885 10135 3895 10083 3912 10082
      3912 10205

$$

THEDE

000 
WGUS73 KGLD 240903
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
303 AM MDT FRI AUG 24 2007

KSC109-199-240913-
LOGAN KS-WALLACE KS-
403 AM CDT FRI AUG 24 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR NORTHERN WALLACE AND
NORTHERN LOGAN COUNTIES...

RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...AND NO REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING 
HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. THEREFORE...THE WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3887 10204 3885 10135 3895 10083 3912 10082
      3912 10205

$$

BULLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
200 PM MDT THU AUG 23 2007

.SHORT TERM... (TONIGHT - SUNDAY)
TROUGH AXIS CARVED ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES PLACES THE LOCAL
FORECAST AREA UNDER WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH
BROUGHT STORMS LAST NIGHT NOW OVER THE DAKOTAS...WHILE THE NEXT
SHORTWAVE IN THE FLOW MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN UTAH ON A WESTERLY
TRACK WHICH WILL TAKE IT ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO THIS EVENING.
MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE...COLD FRONT DISCERNIBLE BY RADAR FINE
LINES AT MID DAY PUSHING SOUTH ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR. BY PEAK
HEATING THE FRONT WILL BE IN THE SOUTHERN CWA...AND WILL BE THE
LIKELIEST PLACE FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION. MORE STORMS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO IN THE POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE
ENVIRONMENT...SO AREAS WHICH MISS OUT ON THE FIRST BATCH NEAR THE
FRONT WILL LIKELY SEE THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE EVENING AS THE MCS
ROLLS OUT OF COLORADO AND INTO KANSAS/NEBRASKA. HIGH POPS APPEAR
WARRANTED FOR JUST ABOUT ALL AREAS.

MORNING CONVECTION MAY LINGER IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
FRIDAY. UPPER FLOW BECOME MORE WEST-NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON.
MODELS HINTING AT ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE
FLOW...AND WITH UPSLOPE AT THE SURFACE HARD TO IGNORE THE
POSSIBILITY OF MORE CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN THE
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY OVER EASTERN COLORADO WHERE HIGHEST MUCAPE
VALUES WILL RESIDE. BUMPED POPS UP TO CHANCE IN EASTERN COLORADO
FOLLOWING THE SREF...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE ELSEWHERE.

AREAS OF FOG LOOK TO BE A GOOD BET BOTH TONIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING WITH THE LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE.

WEEKEND WILL BE DRY WITH MODELS SHOWING RISING HEIGHTS AS RIDGE
REBUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO WARM AND
BY SUNDAY WILL BE BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM... (MONDAY - THURSDAY)
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL COME ASHORE THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY
NEXT WEEK...THEN TRANSLATE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN
PLAINS THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO SLIDE DOWN THE HIGH PLAINS AROUND TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL INCREASE AROUND THAT TIME WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH A
MENTION OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUING INTO MID WEEK AS POST FRONTAL
UPSLOPE BECOMES ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARMEST ON MONDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING ON FRONTAL
TIMING...THEN COOLING OFF TO NEAR CLIMO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT-BKN030/MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
THROUGH SUNSET WITH PREVAILING CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR SHORTLY
THEREAFTER. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST INTO
WESTERN KANSAS TONIGHT WITH APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. IFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THUNDERSTORMS. MVFR-IFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFTER 09Z WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR FOG AS
SKIES CLEAR WITH INCREASING SUBSIDENCE/HIGH SOIL MOISTURE/LOW LEVEL
UPSLOPE FLOW.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.

&&

JDK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
850 PM MDT THU AUG 23 2007

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-241200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
850 PM MDT THU AUG 23 2007 /950 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE TRI-
STATE AREA FROM THE WEST...GREATEST COVERAGE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

MODERATE TO POSSIBLY HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO AREAS OF WALLACE
AND LOGAN COUNTIES TONIGHT FOR A FEW HOURS. THIS WILL HEIGHTEN THE
THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE AREAS THAT
RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AFTER A DRY WEEKEND...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE EARLY IN
THE WEEK AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

DDT