Severe Thunderstorm Warning 237, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
503 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

.AVIATION...18Z TAF AMENDMENT. DID A QUICK UPDATE TO THE TAF.
PROXIMITY TO THE WARM FRONT PROMPTED A BACKING OF WIND DIRECTION
IN THE FORECAST. ONSET OF PRECIPITATION HAS ALSO BEEN DELAYED
BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007/

DISCUSSION...
FIRST CONCERN IS CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. LOW TO MODERATE INSTABILITY AND AVAILABLE MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
AREA IS BEING AIDED BY SOME DYNAMIC LIFT. THIS IS ACCOUNTING FOR
SCATTERED CONVECTION FORMING OVER THE FAR SOUTHWEST CORNER OF THE
WARNING AREA. MICROBURSTS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
THE BIGGEST CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS. SHEAR IS DECENT...SO WILL
HAVE TO MONITOR FOR ROTATING STORMS DURING THE EVENT. AREAS WELL
NORTH OF I-80 WERE CLOUD COVERED AND MUCH MORE STABLE...SO SEVERE
WEATHER THERE IS MORE OF A LONG SHOT.

NEXT PROBLEM IS STRONG WINDS ON THURSDAY. AS THE SURFACE LOW
DEPARTS NE AND KS AND MOVES EAST IT WILL LEAVE A VERY TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA ON THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

WRAP AROUND SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. AFTER THE LOW MOVES OUT OF THE AREA...TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE AS CLOUDS DISSIPATE AND WINDS SWING BACK TO THE SOUTH BY
FRIDAY NIGHT AS A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA. ANOTHER
LOW PRESSURE ARE IS FORECAST TO EFFECT THE AREA LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. THE MODELS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE AND IN DISAGREEMENT
ESPECIALLY AFTER DAY 3 SO WILL CONTINUE ON GOING AND COLLABORATED
FORECASTS ARE THE WAY TO GO FOR NOW.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1251 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007/

AVIATION...
LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER ERN KS CONTINUES TO CAUSE UNSETTLED WX OVER
THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE
OVER THE AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. DIURNAL TRENDS IN ADDITION TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE SUGGEST STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE A THREAT. AS THE LOW PASSES SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...MVFR TO
IFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE TAF SITE. WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO
THE 25 TO 35 KT RANGE THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY.

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR NEZ039>041-
     046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.

KS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

HEINLEIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
126 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

NEZ039>041-046>049-181200-
VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-
126 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA MAINLY NORTH OF GRAND ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE
STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BLOW AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
AROUND 45 MPH ON THURSDAY. THESE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ060>064-072>077-082>087-181200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-
HAMILTON-YORK-GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-
HARLAN-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
126 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 AND PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ANYTIME
AFTER 2 PM AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. THE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...WINDS AROUND
50 MPH...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINS. A FEW ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BLOW AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
AROUND 45 MPH ON THURSDAY. THESE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 2 PM AND CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

EWALD

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
509 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     FLOOD            8 N PHILLIPSBURG        39.87N 99.32W
10/17/2007                   PHILLIPS           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING REPORTED 8 N OF
            PHILLIPSBURG...SOME COUNTY ROADS BEING COVERED WITH
            WATER.

&&

NWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
510 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     HAIL             2 S PHILLIPSBURG        39.72N 99.32W
10/17/2007  E0.88 INCH       PHILLIPS           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

NWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
534 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

NEZ084-172300-
FRANKLIN-
534 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY...

AT 532 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BLOOMINGTON...OR 26 MILES
NORTHEAST OF PHILLIPSBURG...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FRANKLIN BY 540 PM CDT
  RIVERTON BY 600 PM CDT

HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE...AND WINDS AROUND 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
535 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HAIL             13 N KENSINGTON         39.96N 99.03W
10/17/2007  E0.50 INCH       SMITH              KS   PUBLIC

&&

NWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
545 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 PM     HAIL             1 S FRANKLIN            40.08N 98.95W
10/17/2007  E1.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

NWS