Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...AVIATION UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
609 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

.630 PM PUBLIC DISCUSSION...
WE WILL ISSUE UPDATED FORECASTS IN A FEW MINUTES. WE HAVE RAISED
RAIN CHANCES (POPS) CONSIDERABLY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FOR THIS
EVENING.

.AVIATION...
CHALLENGING START TO THE 00Z TAF CYCLE. LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EASTWARD TOWARD ALL TAF SITES AT APPROX 35
MPH. ALL SITES CAN EXPECT TSRA...IFR VSBY...AND VARIABLE WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH AS THIS LINE PASSES THROUGH THE TERMINALS. RAIN ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE LINE SHOULD PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO AFTER
THE INITIAL WAVE. BKN VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AFTER 02Z AS WINDS
TURN WESTERLY. BY 10Z...WE EXPECT NORTHERLY WINDS TO GUST AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LOWER LEVELS
MAY RESATURATE AS MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND THE LOW. THEREFORE...WILL
CARRY MVFR CIGS AT METROPLEX SITES AFTER 10Z. ACT SHOULD BE FARTHER
REMOVED FROM WRAP AROUND MOISTURE...SO WILL KEEP THEM VFR. BY LATE
MORNING...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION WITH BKN
VFR CONDITIONS.

THANKS AGAIN TO FORT WORTH CWSU FOR COLLAB.

SCHULTZ
&&

.DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 317 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007/
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER WEST TEXAS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. SUBSTANTIAL CLOUD COVER/FOG/DRIZZLE
HAS LIMITED INSTABILITY OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CWA
TODAY...BUT PARTIAL CLEARING WILL REACH THE WESTERN ZONES BEFORE
SUNSET. THIS IS WHERE THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE AND IT IS WHERE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.
MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL WITH 500 MB TEMPS FALLING BELOW
-20C AND FREEZING LEVELS NEAR 10000 FT. MUCAPE PROGS SHOW ENOUGH
INSTABILITY AVAILABLE FOR ELEVATED HAIL STORMS TO THE EAST OF THE
CURRENT WATCH THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...HOWEVER WEAKER
UPDRAFT STRENGTH WILL LIKELY LIMIT HAIL SIZES TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE IN THIS AREA. THIS TYPE OF SETUP CAN BE NOTORIOUS FOR
PRODUCING STORMS WITH TREMENDOUS QUANTITIES OF SMALL HAIL WHICH
COULD COMPLETELY COVER THE GROUND WHERE THE STRONGEST STORMS
TRACK. WILL NOT MENTION ANY SEVERE THREAT OVER THE NORTHEAST 1/3RD
OF THE CWA WHERE INSTABILITY BECOMES TOO WEAK FOR ANYTHING MORE
THAN PEA SIZE HAIL. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE BEST CHANCES
OF RAIN TONIGHT WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES WHERE
OVERRUNNING WILL BE ENHANCED BEHIND A WEAK SOUTHWARD MOVING FRONT.
THE UPPER LOW WILL QUICKLY PUSH EAST AND RAIN CHANCES WILL RAPIDLY
DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

RATHER PLEASANT AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SETTLES INTO THE REGION.
RETURN FLOW WILL BEGIN AGAIN BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE NEXT
TROUGH ENTERS THE PLAINS. IT APPEARS THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE TOO
FAR NORTH FOR ANY DECENT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND...BUT THE PROLONGED SOUTHERLY FLOW MEANS THAT TEMPERATURES
WILL INCH UP TO ABOVE NORMAL ALONG WITH THE HUMIDITY. GENERALLY
THE MEX MOS APPEARS REASONABLE...BUT DID BUMP TEMPS UP A COUPLE
DEGREES.

THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL RETURN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
THE GFS/ECMWF INDICATING A POWERFUL UPPER LOW MUCH LIKE THE LAST
TWO AFFECTING THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY. WILL KEEP
POPS LOW AT THIS TIME UNTIL WE GET MORE MODEL CONSISTENCY.

TR.92

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  54  72  54  80  59 /  70   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              53  75  53  81  58 /  30   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             54  70  53  77  56 /  90  10   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            53  72  49  80  57 /  80   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          54  71  49  79  57 /  80   0   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            54  72  54  80  61 /  70   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           54  71  53  79  58 /  70   0   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         56  72  55  80  58 /  50   0   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            53  76  52  82  58 /  20   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
320 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE AREA. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY
ALSO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...PRIMARILY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND
MONDAY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THROUGHOUT NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT.

DUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
449 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

TXZ142-172215-
MILLS TX-
449 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN MILLS COUNTY

AT 449 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROWNWOOD...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BUFFALO AND MULLIN.

SMALL HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3166 9916 3143 9915 3144 9835 3172 9848

DUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
518 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

TXZ116-130-141-172315-
PALO PINTO TX-ERATH TX-COMANCHE TX-
518 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN COMANCHE COUNTY
  ERATH COUNTY
  PALO PINTO COUNTY

AT 518 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE FROM NEAR POSSUM KINGDOM STATE
PARK TO NEAR COMANCHE. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING TO THE EAST AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE COMANCHE...DE LEON...
DUBLIN...GORDON...GRAFORD...GUSTINE...MINERAL WELLS AND STEPHENVILLE.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY AS THESE STORMS MOVE
THROUGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3221 9866 3230 9847 3250 9847 3251 9857
      3273 9857 3300 9839 3299 9807 3248 9806
      3211 9788 3194 9818 3190 9821 3186 9818
      3177 9835 3178 9867

DUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
554 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

TXZ117-180000-
PARKER TX-
554 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  PARKER COUNTY

AT 554 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH EASTERN PALO PINTO
COUNTY.  THESE STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH PARKER COUNTY DURING THE
NEXT HOUR.  THIS LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ALEDO...ANNETTA...BRIAR...
RENO...SPRINGTOWN...WEATHERFORD...WILLOW PARK AND MINERAL WELLS
STATE PARK.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS LINE
OF STORMS.

IF THESE STORMS INTENSIFY...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3299 9755 3266 9755 3265 9756 3256 9756
      3255 9805 3299 9806

DUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
559 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

TXZ144-180000-
BOSQUE TX-
559 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  BOSQUE COUNTY

AT 559 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING WESTERN BOSQUE COUNTY.
THESE STORMS ARE MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE IREDELL...MERIDIAN AND
MERIDIAN STATE PARK.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS LINE
OF STORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3204 9798 3174 9778 3188 9736 3220 9759

DUNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
607 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STEPHENVILLE            32.22N  98.22W
04/17/2007                   ERATH              TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROOF OFF HOUSE AND TREE ON CAR IN STEPEHNVILLE

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>