River Flood Warning 230, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
329 AM CDT WED SEP 5 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE LIFTING OUT TODAY. EARLY MORNING POPS
WILL REMAIN HIGH AS ACTIVITY SLIDES NORTHEAST WITH THE UPPER SUPPORT
AND TAPERS OFF WEST TO EAST FROM LATE MORNING ON. WILL LINGER SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT.

MOISTURE FROM HENRIETTE WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHWEST MEXICO AND
SPREAD ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS IT
MERGES INTO THE WESTERLIES. THIS WILL KEEP OUR SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY
INTO THE WEEKEND AND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SCATTERED CONVECTION
ALONG THE RED RIVER FRIDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT NEARS. SOME OF THIS
MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION INTO NEXT WEEK...THUS WILL KEEP
LOW CHANCE POPS GOING OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK FOR MAINLY
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. THE WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH SOUTH OF THE
RED RIVER THIS SATURDAY AND MAY EVENTUALLY WORK DOWN INTO THE
I-20/30 CORRIDOR EARLY SUNDAY THEN LIFT OUT SUNDAY EVENING.

NEWEST MODEL RUNS SHOW THAT RIDGING ALOFT WILL DOMINATE OVER THE
REGION FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. WE EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WITH LITTLE MORE THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
CONVECTION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  83  75  92  77  94 / 100  10  20  10  40
WACO, TX              85  75  92  77  92 /  90  10  20  10  10
PARIS, TX             80  72  91  73  91 / 100  20  40  10  40
DENTON, TX            84  75  92  75  95 / 100  10  20  10  40
MCKINNEY, TX          82  73  91  75  92 / 100  10  20  10  40
DALLAS, TX            83  75  91  76  93 / 100  10  20  10  30
TERRELL, TX           82  73  90  76  92 / 100  10  30  10  30
CORSICANA, TX         84  74  91  75  92 /  90  10  20  10  20
TEMPLE, TX            86  74  91  75  92 /  60  10  20  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

58/75

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
512 AM CDT WED SEP 5 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-061000-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
512 AM CDT WED SEP 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DAILY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD IS
LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ISOLATED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED FOR FLOODING POTENTIAL
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.