Flash Flood Warning 174, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 171226
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
724 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

TXC035-217-309-171445-
HILL TX-BOSQUE TX-MCLENNAN TX-
724 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR
MCLENNAN...EASTERN BOSQUE AND HILL COUNTIES...

AT 724 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THESE STORMS WERE 
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILLSBORO 
TO HEWITT...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. ONE ROAD WAS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH 
WATER BETWEEN CLIFTON AND VALLEY MILLS...AND TRAVEL IS NOT ADVISED 
IN THESE AREAS UNTIL WATERS RECEDE LATER THIS MORNING.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ROBINSON...WACO...BEVERLY HILLS...HILLSBORO AND ITASCA

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA THROUGH 945 AM.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3129 9736 3137 9709 3179 9686 3226 9709
      3214 9749 3178 9776

$$

07/BB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
325 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE RAINY SAGA WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO
MEANDER ALONG THE RED RIVER. VORT LOBES ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
THE UPPER LOW WILL ROTATE INTO EAST TEXAS...TRIGGERING MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THUS FAR...RAINFALL
TOTALS ACROSS THE CWA HAVE NOT BEEN REMARKABLE. HOWEVER...RAINS
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAVE SUFFICIENTLY SATURATED SOILS AND
CONVECTIVE RAINFALL RATES HAVE AVERAGED 1 INCH PER HOUR /OR
GREATER/ IN MANY LOCATIONS. WITH LITTLE CHANGE TO THE MOISTURE
CONTENT OF THE COLUMN /PWATS OVER 120 PERCENT OF NORMAL/ AND AREAS
OF LIFT CONTINUING OVER THE REGION...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT TODAY.
THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.

PRECIP CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST MON AND TUES AS
THE UPPER LOW GRADUALLY LIFTS OUT INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

BY MID WEEK...WEAK UPPER HIGH WILL SET UP TO OUR WEST. DEEP
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH PWATS
OF 1.5 INCHES OR MORE IN A WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT. SCATTERED
AFTERNOON PULSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WED...THURS...
FRI...AND SAT. AT THIS TIME...AREAS EAST OF I-35 APPEAR TO BE
FAVORED FOR T-STORM DEVELOPMENT WED/THURS AFTERNOON...AND FARTHER
WEST ON FRI AND SAT. HOWEVER...STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN
THE FORECAST FOR THESE PERIODS.

TEMP WISE...HIGHS WILL BE TRENDING UPWARD OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
STAYED CLOSE TO MEX NUMBERS FOR THE EXTENDED...ALTHOUGH CLOUD
COVER ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL PLAY A ROLE IN
HIGHS MID WEEK THRU NEXT WEEKEND.

THANKS SHV AND HGX FOR COLLABORATION THIS MORNING.

SCHULTZ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  81  70  88  75  92 /  60  40  20  10  20
WACO, TX              84  73  89  75  93 /  60  40  20  10  20
PARIS, TX             80  70  85  72  90 /  70  40  30  30  30
DENTON, TX            80  71  87  73  93 /  60  40  20  10  20
MCKINNEY, TX          80  70  85  74  91 /  60  40  20  20  20
DALLAS, TX            81  71  88  76  93 /  60  40  20  20  20
TERRELL, TX           81  70  86  75  92 /  70  40  30  20  20
CORSICANA, TX         83  73  88  75  92 /  70  40  20  20  30
TEMPLE, TX            82  73  89  75  92 /  60  30  20  10  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ094-095-105>107-116>123-130>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

21/07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-172200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
415 AM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS
EAST AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BONHAM TO ROCKWALL...POSSUM KINGDOM
LAKE AND GOLDTHWAITE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
WILL DECREASE TONIGHT...HOWEVER A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED...THE STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN SECTIONS OF
NORTH TEXAS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AND ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED FOR THE THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING TODAY.

07