Red Flag Warning 10, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

000 
WWUS85 KFGZ 281942
RFWFGZ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1242 PM MST MON MAY 28 2007

AZZ104-282045-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-070529T0200Z/
KAIBAB PLATEAU (FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104)-
1242 PM MST MON MAY 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

WINDS TODAY HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN EXPECTED...THEREFORE
THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. KEEP IN MIND THAT VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 9 TO 13 PERCENT ARE
OCCURRING...AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH BY LATE
AFTERNOON.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
340 AM MST MON MAY 28 2007

.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL PASS NORTH OF THE
STATE THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS TO THE
NORTHLAND. FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE REGION WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS.
&&

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
TO FAR EASTERN ARIZONA ON SUNDAY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE
EASTWARD...NOW LOCATED OVER WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. WEST TO
SOUTHWEST LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY AS THE SOUTHERN END
OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM GRAZES NORTHERN ARIZONA. THUS EXPECT ANY
REMAINING MOISTURE OVER OUR EASTERN BORDER ZONES TO BE SCOURED OUT
BY MIDDAY. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS CAN
BE EXPECTED TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS
WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER FAR NORTHERN
COCONINO COUNTY WHERE A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY.

FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL DIVE
THROUGH UTAH INTO COLORADO AFFECTING MAINLY NORTHEAST ARIZONA WITH
BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS. A WEAK SFC COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS NE ARIZONA LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW HIGH-BASED
THUNDERSTORMS. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND CONTINUED
WARM TEMPERATURES.

THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...RIDGING IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY OVER
ARIZONA...AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COAST MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD. EXPECT INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDINESS AS THIS LOW APPROACHES. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME
HIGH-BASED CONVECTION BY THE WEEKEND...BUT CHANCES REMAIN BELOW 10
PERCENT AT THIS TIME.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTHERN UTAH THIS AFTERNOON. AFT 18Z EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS
OF 20-30 KT THROUGH SUNSET. OTHERWISE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY 9 AM
UNTIL 7 PM MST TODAY FOR AZ FIRE ZONE 104 (KAIBAB PLATEAU).

&&

JJ / 41