Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Watches in 2007

Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 28, 20075 counties in Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood watch at Jul 28, 2007, 4:54 AM MST for 5 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Jul 28, 2007, 9:00 AM MST. It was in force for 19 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 28, 2007, 4:54 AM MST (11:54 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 28, 2007, 9:00 AM MST
Expired
Jul 29, 2007, 4:00 AM MST
In force
19 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Flood severity
None

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2007-07-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 99 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2007-07-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -24 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
99 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
836 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 28, 3:15 AM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 3:15 AM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 9:50 AM MST, 19 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
950 AM MST FRI JUL 27 2007

AZZ004>018-037>040-280700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
950 AM MST FRI JUL 27 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHLAND
BY LATE MORNING...INITIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE WESTERN
MOGOLLON RIM AND YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS. STORMS TODAY WILL BE VERY
SLOW MOVING...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING LIKELY TO
BE THE MAIN THREAT. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE HAIL NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN A HALF INCH IN DIAMETER. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING IN
COVERAGE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 27, 11:46 PM MST, 5 hours 8 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 5:15 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZApache90 min
Jul 27, 5:44 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZApache3 hr
Jul 27, 7:00 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZApache3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Arizona, 2007Every flash flood watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.