Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Atlanta, GA

Baldwin County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Pike County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Troup County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wilkes County, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
435 AM EST WED JAN 31 2007

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
LATEST RUN OF MODELS A BIT CLOSER ON TIMING OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
EVENT AFFECTING THE COUNTY WARNING AREA. NEW RUNS CONVERGING ON
PRECIP BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST GEORGIA AROUND
MIDNIGHT...THEN RAPIDLY SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF THE
AREA BY 7 AM THURSDAY. QUESTION NOW BECOMES WHERE TO DRAW THE LINE
FOR WINTER STORM WATCH? BASED ON LATEST MODELS...SURFACE FREEZING
LINE AS FAR SOUTH AS A LAGRANGE TO WARRENTON LINE TONIGHT AND COULD
SEE MIXED PRECIP AS FAR SOUTH AS THIS AREA...BEFORE A CHANGE OVER TO
RAIN BY MID-MORNING THURSDAY. SOUTH OF THE LINE SURFACE TEMPS STAY
ABOVE FREEZING...BUT COULD SEE A LITTLE SLEET MIXED IN AT THE ONSET.
FOR NOW...WILL ISSUE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG
AND NORTH OF A CEDARTOWN TO LAWRENCEVILLE TO ATHENS LINE WHERE
INDICATIONS ARE IT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH - LONG ENOUGH TO SEE SOME
ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND/OR SNOW. WILL RUN WATCH FROM 3 AM TONIGHT
TO 3 PM THURSDAY. FOR THE REST OF NORTH GEORGIA...ADVISORY MAY BE
NEEDED BUT WILL LET DAY SHIFT HAVE ANOTHER LOOK. WIDESPREAD RAIN
LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...BEFORE BEGINNING TO
TAPER OFF FROM THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT AS SURFACE LOW MOVES OFF
THE CAROLINA COAST. LOW PROGGED OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH COLD
FRONT PUSHING THROUGH SOUTHEAST GEORGIA BY EARLY FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...MODELS MAINTAIN SOME WRAP AROUND MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE COUNTY WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND MAY SEE A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
MODELS MAINTAIN WEST-SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING
AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. FEW MINOR IMPULSES MOVE
THROUGH...GENERATING VARIOUS OF CLOUDS...BUT ANTICIPATE NO PRECIP AT
THIS TIME. BELOW NORMAL TEMPS LOOK TO CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE
PERIOD.

.FIRE WEATHER...
LOOKING LIKE A GOOD BET THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW RED
FLAG CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH FUELS DRY...RED FLAG WARNING WILL
BE CONTINUE.

&&

.AVIATION...
LITTLE OR NO CLOUDS TO START WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS DURING DAY.
NO VSBY RESTRICTIONS. SURFACE WINDS NNW AROUND 10 KTS BECOMING
ESE LESS THAN 10 KTS. BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          48  30  35  34  51 /   0  60  90  90  10
ATLANTA         42  34  39  35  54 /   5  70  80  80  10
BLAIRSVILLE     45  26  37  33  46 /   0  70  90  80  20
CARTERSVILLE    39  28  37  34  48 /   0  90  90  80  10
COLUMBUS        47  39  55  42  58 /   0  70  80  90  10
GAINESVILLE     44  30  34  34  47 /   0  70  90  90  10
MACON           50  34  51  41  62 /   0  50  80  90  10
ROME            48  28  39  34  50 /   0 100  90  80  20
PEACHTREE CITY  42  29  42  35  54 /   5  70  80  80  10
VIDALIA         53  38  58  50  61 /   0  50  80  90  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH
OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BANKS...BARROW...BARTOW...CATOOSA...
CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...CLARKE...COBB...DADE...DAWSON...DEKALB...
FANNIN...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GORDON...GWINNETT...HALL...
JACKSON...LUMPKIN...MADISON...MURRAY...NORTH FULTON...OCONEE...
PAULDING...PICKENS...POLK...TOWNS...UNION...WALKER...WALTON...
WHITE...WHITFIELD.

&&

49

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