Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WWUS54 KEWX 140039
SVSEWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
739 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007

TXC137-140049-
/O.EXP.KEWX.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-070414T0045Z/
EDWARDS TX-
739 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EDWARDS COUNTY EXPIRES AT 745
PM CDT...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING 
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2974 10052 2985 10004 2980 10002 2978 10004
      2972 10005 2969 10003 2964 10002 2963 10004
      2963 10058 2973 10060

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
641 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007

.UPDATE...
TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL BUT DIMMIT, EDWARDS AND VAL VERDE COUNTIES
TIL 2 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 612 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007/

UPDATE...
PLACED POPS ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT. NOTHING ELSE CHANGED AT
THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 324 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007/

DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION WITHIN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AS TEMPS AREA WIDE ARE SITTING IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID
80S...AND THE CAPPING INVERSION AT 850 HPA IS SHOWING SIGNS OF
BREAKING. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE DRY SLOT OVER
MEXICO CONTINUING TO ENTER OUR REGION...WITH AN INTERESTING LITTLE
JET MAX ALLOWING SOME ACTIVITY TO SPIN UP OVER THE SIERRA MADRES.
WHILE OVERALL POPS ARE NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE...50S AT BEST OVER OUR
NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES...ANY STORMS WHICH DEVELOP COULD VERY EASILY
BECOME SEVERE. WILL LIKELY SEE SOME SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE MAIN SQUALL LINE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
COLD FRONT. WHILE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE
PRE-FRONTAL SUPERCELLS.

IF ANY GOOD NEWS COULD COME FROM THIS SCENARIO...IT LOOKS LIKE THE
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL HAVE CLEARED THE CWA BY 8 AM...WITH A
VERY MILD WEEKEND IN STORE. SATURDAY WILL BE WINDY...WITH
SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
POSSIBLE. HOLDING OFF ON A WIND ADVISORY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT
ONE MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR COUNTIES ALONG THE ESCARPMENT AS
WINDS MAY REACH 26 MPH DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. CLEAR
SKIES SATURDAY NIGHT WILL LEAD TO A CHILLY START SUNDAY MORNING.
SOME AREAS ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY DIPPING TO WITHIN A FEW DEGREES
OF FREEZING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING BACK GULF MOISTURE ON
SUNDAY...BUT WILL BE LIMITED TO THE FORMATION OF CLOUDS, AND NOT
RAIN. THE MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...BUT STRONG
GULF FLOW WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER WINDY AFTERNOON.

THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION. FOR NOW, HAVE GONE
WITH SLT TO LOW-END CHC POPS FOR THIS TIME FRAME UNTIL THE TIMING
OF THIS FEATURE AND DEPTH OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE IS BETTER
RESOLVED.

FIRE WEATHER...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
VERY DRY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS REACHING 15 TO 25 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL FALL TO BELOW 20 PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS LATE SATURDAY
MORNING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WEST
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FROM NOON UNTIL 6 PM CDT. FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE SATRFWEWX PRODUCT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              55  69  42  76  54 /  50  -    0   0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  55  69  38  75  46 /  50  -    0   0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           50  79  45  78  56 /  40   0   0   0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       54  72  41  75  52 /  40  -    0   0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: DIMMIT...KINNEY...MAVERICK...UVALDE...ZAVALA.

&&

06/08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
609 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-141100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
609 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND ADJACENT PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 90.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE RISK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY MAY REQUIRE
A WIND ADVISORY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY
ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS COUNTIES DUE TO
WINDY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST THERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY EVENING.