Flash Flood Warning 260, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 020011
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
708 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007

TXC265-020215-
KERR TX-
708 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR KERR
COUNTY...

AT 701 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER WESTERN KERR COUNTY. WHILE 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT WESTWARD AND OUT OF KERR COUNTY BY 730 
PM...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE HEADWATERS 
OF THE GUADALUPE RIVER WEST OF HUNT. 

MOTORISTS TRAVELLING WEST OF HUNT ALONG FM ROAD 1340 OR HIGHWAY 39 
SHOULD WATCH CAREFULLY FOR WATER OVER THE ROAD. MOST FLASH FLOOD 
DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY 
AWAY MOST VEHICLES...INCLUDING SUVS AND PICKUPS. TURN AROUND DONT 
DROWN.

LAT...LON 2992 9969 2993 9917 3014 9916 3014 9933
      3026 9932 3015 9969

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
256 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE BIG CONCERN THIS FORECAST PERIOD IS ANOTHER FLASH FLOOD
SCENARIO SETTING UP. THE UPPER LOW IS PROGGED TO DRIFT SOUTHWEST
BACK ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. WITH A TROPICAL AIRMASS IN PLACE, THE LOW WILL PRODUCE
PERSISTENT RAINS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AROUND THE UPPER LOW COULD EASILY REACH 4 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT.
CURRENT THINKING IS THIS AMOUNTS IS PROBABLY WEST OF A LINE FROM
AUSTIN TO SAN ANTONIO, BUT COULD CHANGE AS SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS
WILL BETTER PINPOINT THE FINAL TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW.

UNTIL THIS HAPPENS, AND EVEN AFTER IT HAPPENS, A MID AND UPPER
LEVEL TROF AXIS WILL RESIDE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE AXIS STARTS OUT ORIENTED NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST, SLICING
THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS IN HALF. THEN AS THE LOW
CENTER SLIDES SOUTHWEST OUT OF OKLAHOMA TO THE RIO GRANDE, THE
UPPER HIGH NOSES EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S., CAUSING THE TROF
AXIS TO BECOME EAST-WEST ORIENTED BY FRIDAY. DAY TO DAY RAIN
COVERAGE WILL BE GREATER EAST AND SOUTH OF THIS AXIS.

MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE RAIN AND SOIL MOISTURE DEPENDENT THROUGH
FRIDAY. AFTERWARD, THE AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED,
ALLOWING TEMPS TO RISE BACK TO SEASONAL NORMALS AS THE SOIL SLOWLY
LOSES MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74  88  73  87  74 /  50  70  40  60  40
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  89  72  87  73 /  50  70  40  60  50
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           74  90  75  92  75 /  30  20  30  50  60
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       73  88  74  88  73 /  50  60  50  50  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

06/02

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
106 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-021815-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
106 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES. ALSO..THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTAIN FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS MEANS THE THREAT
FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ALSO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL DEVELOPS.