Flash Flood Warning 195, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 100929
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
427 AM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

TXC465-101115-
VAL VERDE TX-
427 AM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CDT FOR VAL
VERDE COUNTY...

AT 426 AM CDT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY 
HEAVY RAIN CONTINUED TO TRAIN NORTHWARD ACROSS VAL VERDE COUNTY.  
ADDITIONAL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE 
POSSIBLE

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PANDALE...
LOMA ALTA AND JUNO

IT IS HARD TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING AT NIGHT. IF FLOOD
WATERS RISE ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

DO NOT DRIVE WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES...INCLUDING SUVS AND PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 2932 10089 2935 10073 3023 10071 3026 10171
      2981 10172 2983 10141 2971 10133

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1153 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

.AVIATION...
CIGS AT SAT AND SSF ARE MVFR CATEGORY. AUS AND DRT WILL FOLLOW BY
08Z. LOOK FOR IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BY 16Z EXCEPT AT DRT WHERE
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY 18Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 921 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007/

UPDATE...
UPDATED FORECAST TO INCREASE 1ST PERIOD POPS ACROSS OUR SW
COUNTIES WHERE CONVECTION IS ONGOING. ALSO INCREASED MIN TEMPS BY
1-3 DEGREES TONIGHT BASED ON OBSERVED MIN TEMPS OVER THE PAST FEW
DAYS AND GIVEN A PERSISTENT PATTERN.

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ITS DOMINANCE
HOWEVER AREA IS SO POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE TODAY..CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH DAYTIME HEATING. SIERRA
MADRE ACTIVITY MAY COMBINE WITH WEAKER HEIGHTS ALOFT AND A FEW
WEAK DISTURBANCES TO PRODUCE SOME ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AS SOUTHEAST
UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES ALONG THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. RIDGING ALOFT
APPEARS TOO STRONG TO PRODUCE MUCH CHANCE FOR RAIN THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS THE AREA DRIES OUT AND WINDS REMAIN WEAK. BOTH GFS
AND ECMWF MODELS WANT TO BRING THE UPPER LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST INTO OUR AREA BY THURSDAY WITH UPPER LEVEL
HEIGHTS LOWERING SIGNIFICANTLY. THUS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE
CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST DURING THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEK. IF MODELS PERSIST WITH THIS PATTERN OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS..CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BE RAISED
IN SUBSEQUENT FORECAST CYCLES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74  97  72  95  73 /  20  -   -   -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  73  94  70  95  71 /  20  -   -   -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           74  92  74  95  74 /  30  10  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       75  93  72  93  73 /  20  -   -   -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

11/05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
519 AM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-101030-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
519 AM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.  OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.