Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007
Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS El Paso, TX
NWS El Paso, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 25, 2007, 7:23 PM MDT for Grant County, Luna County, Sierra County, New Mexico. It was in force for 97 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 25, 2007, 7:23 PM MDT (01:23 UTC)
- Expired
- May 25, 2007, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 97 min
- Issued by
- NWS El Paso, TX
- Area
- Whole counties
Counties Grant County, NM, Luna County, NM, Sierra County, NM
The radar
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 390 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -78 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2323 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 52 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS54 KEPZ 260126
FFWEPZ
NMC017-029-051-260300-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
723 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL SIERRA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...
EAST CENTRAL GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...
NORTHERN LUNA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...
* UNTIL 900 PM MDT
* AT 717 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOODING DUE TO VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM AN AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ARREY...FAYWOOD...CITY OF ROCKS...AS WELL AS AREAS ALONG
HIGHWAY 180 BETWEEN DEMING AND FAYWOOD...AND ALONG HIGHWAY 26 WEST
OF UVAS VALLEY.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
LAT...LON 3261 10814 3215 10823 3236 10739 3287 10731
3272 10788
$$
PIEPERWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 25, 2:20 PM MDT, 5 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 25, 2:20 PM MDT, 5 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 220 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 .SYNOPSIS... ABUNDANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE BORDERLAND WILL ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH LOCAL HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE ATMOSPHERE DRIES OUT SOME ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS LOW LEVEL WEST WINDS DEVELOP...BUT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. THE DRYING PATTERN CONTINUES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH SKIES REMAINING MOSTLY CLEAR HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH DESERT ELEVATIONS LOOKING AT HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. && .DISCUSSION... STORMY SITUATION STILL SLOW IN EVOLVING BUT SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 3 HOURS. SYNOPTICALLY...WEAK UPPER LOW STILL SITTING OVER THE BAJA WITH WEAK SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CWA. WEAK UPPER TROUGH STRETCHING OUT OVER CENTRAL ARIZONA AND NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO... LOOKED TO BE HINDERED IN MOVEMENT THIS MORNING FROM STORM TOP OUTFLOW/GRAVITY WAVES FROM LAST NIGHTS WEST TEXAS STORMS...BUT NOW IS SLOWLY APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST CWA AND HELPING DEVELOP SOME FAIRLY STRONG STORMS NOW UP OVER GILA WILDERNESS AREA. ON THE SUB-SYNOPTIC SCALE HEAVY RAINFALL IN HUDSPETH COUNTY THIS MORNING FROM STRONG STORMS HAS SENT OUT A LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WITH STABILIZING EFFECT OVER EL PASO...DONA ANA AND SOUTHER OTERO COUNTIES. STILL EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS AREA THOUGH THEY MAY TAKE SEVERAL MORE HOURS BEFORE FORMING. IN THE SHORT TERM EXPECT GRANT AND SIERRA COUNTIES TO BE MOST ACTIVE FROM COMBINATION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REACHING THAT AREA AND THE UPPER TROUGH ALSO APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. OVERALL SEVERE WX PARAMETERS STILL LOOK GOOD. GOOD DIRECTIONAL SHEAR ALONG WITH RELATIVELY HIGH CAPE VALUES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. ALSO PWS REMAIN AROUND 150-170% OF NORMAL SO FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES. DID NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES IN FORECAST IN DAY 2 ON. SATURDAY STILL LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY ACTIVE AS MOISTURE STAYS IN PLACE...EXCEPT MAYBE A BIT OF DRYING FAR WEST. STRONGER DRYING TAKES PLACE SUNDAY AND MONDAY SO LOWERING TREND IN POPS LOOKS GOOD. ONLY CHANGES MADE IN FORECAST WAS WED/THUR PERIOD AS GFS CONTINUES TO FLIP FLOP ON BACK DOOR PUSH. THE WEST WARD PUSH NICKS THE THE SAC MTNS WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. JUST BEEFED CLOUDS UP A LITTLE...NO OTHER WEATHER MENTIONED...UNTIL MODEL BECOMES MORE CONSISTENT WITH FEATURE. && .AVIATION...VALID 26/00Z-27/00Z... MVFR CIGS AND VSBY NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 65 84 64 87 63 / 50 30 30 20 20 SIERRA BLANCA TX 63 82 62 85 59 / 50 40 40 30 20 LAS CRUCES 62 85 62 86 60 / 50 30 30 20 20 ALAMOGORDO 61 82 62 90 59 / 50 40 40 20 20 CLOUDCROFT 44 61 45 65 43 / 60 40 40 30 20 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 61 84 60 86 57 / 50 30 30 20 10 SILVER CITY 54 77 55 80 52 / 40 30 30 10 10 DEMING 62 85 62 87 59 / 50 30 30 20 10 LORDSBURG 62 88 62 87 59 / 20 20 20 10 10 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 17 HEFNER
Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 6:05 AM MDT, 13 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 605 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-261215- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION- TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH- 605 AM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL FUEL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE... CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 1 TO 2 INCH HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND DRAINAGES NEAR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS MOISTURE LEVELS GRADUALLY LOWER FROM WEST TO EAST. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS EAST THE RIO GRANDE ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS MAY BE CALLED UPON TO PROVIDE INFORMATION ON ONGOING WEATHER IN THEIR AREA. LUNDEEN
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 25, 2:31 PM MDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 231 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-252330- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION- TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVER CITY...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES... ALAMOGORDO...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON...LORDSBURG... DEMING...LAS CRUCES...EL PASO...SIERRA BLANCA...DELL CITY 231 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 ...STRONG SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL SMALL HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON... STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS SIERRA AND GRANT COUNTIES...WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS OVER HUDSPETH COUNTY EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON HAVE CREATED CONDITIONS THAT WILL INHIBIT STORMS IN AREAS IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY SOUTH OF LAS CRUCES UNTIL AFTER 5 PM. IN ADDITION...STORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF VERY SLOW MOVEMENT COUPLED WITH HIGH RAINFALL RATES. AS SUCH...THE RISK OF LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACCOMPANY AREA STORMS. STAY TUNED TO THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR LATEST INFORMATION AS THIS WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS. PIEPER
Local storm report, May 25, 5:40 PM MDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
540 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0527 PM HAIL 2 NW SILVER CITY 32.80N 108.29W
05/25/2007 E1.25 INCH GRANT NM TRAINED SPOTTER
0530 PM HAIL 2 NNE SILVER CITY 32.81N 108.25W
05/25/2007 E1.00 INCH GRANT NM TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
BLIZZARDSpecial weather statement, May 25, 6:19 PM MDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 619 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 NMZ031-260230- SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...DEMING 619 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 ...NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS LUNA COUNTY THIS EVENING... AT 615 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS STARTING TO SHOW A RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG STORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LUNA COUNTY. OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE COUNTY. SEVERAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. ACCUMULATING HAIL UP TO 1.25 INCHES IS LIKELY. SLOW MOVING STORMS IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE AREAS OF RAINFALL UP TO 3 TO 4 INCHES. THIS WILL MEAN LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...RUNNING OF ARROYOS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. IF YOU ARE IN LUNA COUNTY YOU SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES. IF STORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. BIRD
Special weather statement, May 25, 7:00 PM MDT, 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 700 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 NMZ032-260400- SOUTHERN DESERT- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAS CRUCES 700 PM MDT FRI MAY 25 2007 ...HIGH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING IN DONA ANA COUNTY TONIGHT... AT 650 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED NUMEROUS STORMS STARTING TO CONVERGE ON DONA COUNTY FROM THE WEST AND THE NORTH. OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COUNTY. SEVERAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. ACCUMULATING HAIL UP TO 1.25 INCHES IS LIKELY. SLOW MOVING STORMS IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE AREAS OF RAINFALL UP TO 3 TO 4 INCHES. THIS WILL MEAN LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...RUNNING OF ARROYOS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. IF YOU ARE IN DONA COUNTY YOU SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES. IF STORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. NOVLAN
The office that day
Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 6:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Sierra | 56 min |
| May 25, 6:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Grant | 58 min |
| May 25, 6:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Luna | 41 min |
| May 25, 6:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Luna | 76 min |
| May 25, 7:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 35 min |
| May 25, 7:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 54 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2007Every flash flood warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.