Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2007

River Flood Warning 151, NWS Kansas City, MO

October 15, 2007Andrew County, Holt County, Nodaway County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Oct 15, 2007, 12:39 AM CDT for Andrew County, Holt County, Nodaway County, Missouri. It took effect at Oct 15, 2007, 11:59 AM CDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 15, 2007, 12:39 AM CDT (05:39 UTC)
In effect from: Oct 15, 2007, 11:59 AM CDT
Expired: Oct 16, 2007, 12:00 PM CDT
In force: 24 hr
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Andrew County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Nodaway River near Burlington Junction (BRLM7).

Action stage: 18 ft
Minor stage: 23 ft
Moderate stage: 28 ft
Major stage: 35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06817500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KEAX 150539
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1239 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007
  

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION

AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...HOLT...
NODAWAY

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

MOC003-087-147-160539-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0151.071015T1538Z-071017T1024Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.071015T1538Z.071016T0000Z.071016T1024Z.NR/
1239 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.4 FEET...TWENTY-THREE THOUSAND ACRES OF FARMLAND ARE FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD FARM FIELDS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

NODAWAY RIVER
  BURLINGTON JUN  23   E8.7   SUN 07 PM   24.5 THIS EVENING

$$

5 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS83 KEAX 151539
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH 
  NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION 
  TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN...
LEAVENWORTH AND IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...ATCHISON...BUCHANAN...HOLT...
NODAWAY...PLATTE

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

KSC043-MOC003-021-161539-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0152.071015T2129Z-071019T1525Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.071015T2129Z.071016T1200Z.071018T1525Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...RIVERFRONT PARK IN ST. JOSEPH BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY...MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   13.4   MON 10 AM   21.0 TUESDAY MORNING

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-161538-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0153.071016T0815Z-071018T2100Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.071016T0815Z.071016T1800Z.071017T2100Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   13.8   MON 09 AM   23.5 EARLY TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

KSC103-MOC165-161538-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0154.071016T1443Z-071018T1312Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.071016T1443Z.071017T0000Z.071017T1312Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 (ESTIMATED) FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE EAST AND WEST 
  BANKS OF THE RIVER.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  LEAVENWORTH     20   E10.6   MON 07 AM   20.8 TUESDAY EVENING

$$

MOC003-087-147-161538-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0151.071015T1659Z-071017T1132Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.071015T1659Z.071016T0000Z.071016T1132Z.NR/
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24.4 FEET...TWENTY-THREE THOUSAND ACRES OF FARMLAND ARE FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD FARM FIELDS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

NODAWAY RIVER
  BURLINGTON JUN  23   18.9   MON 08 AM   24.5 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC005-087-161538-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0150.000000T0000Z-071017T1209Z/
/FFXM7.3.ER.071015T1001Z.071016T0000Z.071016T1209Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* AT 25.0 FEET...LEVEES IN THE VICINITY OF FAIRFAX ARE OVERTOPPED. 
  FLOODING OF FARMLAND...HOMESTEADS...AND ROADS BEHIND THE LEVEES 
  OCCURS.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN THE VICINITY OF CORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...U.S. HIGHWAY 59 NORTH OF FAIRFAX BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FARM FIELDS BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

TARKIO RIVER
  FAIRFAX         17   21.6   MON 10 AM   25.0 THIS EVENING

$$

000 
WGUS83 KEAX 152225
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
525 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION 
  TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...ATCHISON...
HOLT...NODAWAY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN...
LEAVENWORTH AND IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...PLATTE

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

KSC043-MOC003-021-162225-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0152.000000T0000Z-071019T1525Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.071015T1943Z.071016T1200Z.071018T1525Z.NO/
525 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* AT 21.0 FEET...RIVERFRONT PARK IN ST. JOSEPH BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY...MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   17.8   MON 05 PM   21.0 TUESDAY MORNING

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-162224-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0153.071016T0815Z-071018T2100Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.071016T0815Z.071016T1800Z.071017T2100Z.NO/
525 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   15.9   MON 01 PM   23.5 EARLY TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

KSC103-MOC165-162224-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0154.071016T1443Z-071018T1312Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.071016T1443Z.071017T0000Z.071017T1312Z.NO/
525 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  1:05 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE EAST AND WEST 
  BANKS OF THE RIVER.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  LEAVENWORTH     20    9.0   MON 01 PM   20.8 TUESDAY EVENING

$$

MOC003-087-147-162224-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0151.000000T0000Z-071017T0707Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.071015T2313Z.071016T0000Z.071016T0707Z.NO/
525 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD FARM FIELDS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

NODAWAY RIVER
  BURLINGTON JUN  23   21.0   MON 03 PM   23.5 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC005-087-162224-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0150.000000T0000Z-071017T1026Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.071015T1001Z.071016T0000Z.071016T1026Z.NO/
525 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN THE VICINITY OF CORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...U.S. HIGHWAY 59 NORTH OF FAIRFAX BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FARM FIELDS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* STATE ROUTE C EAST OF WESTBORO HAS BEEN CLOSED BY MODOT DUE TO 
  FLOODING.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

TARKIO RIVER
  FAIRFAX         17   22.9   MON 04 PM   24.0 THIS EVENING

$$

000 
WGUS83 KEAX 160159
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
859 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH 
  NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION 
  TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN...
LEAVENWORTH AND IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...ATCHISON...BUCHANAN...HOLT...
NODAWAY...PLATTE

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

KSC043-MOC003-021-170159-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0152.000000T0000Z-071019T0730Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.071015T1943Z.071016T1200Z.071018T0730Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* AT 21.0 FEET...RIVERFRONT PARK IN ST. JOSEPH BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY...MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   18.9   MON 09 PM   21.0 TUESDAY MORNING

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-170158-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0153.071016T0820Z-071018T1330Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.071016T0820Z.071016T1800Z.071017T1330Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.8 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   19.9   MON 05 PM   23.8 EARLY TUES AFTERNOON

$$

KSC103-MOC165-170158-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0154.071016T1323Z-071018T1000Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.071016T1323Z.071017T0000Z.071017T1000Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:05 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE EAST AND WEST 
  BANKS OF THE RIVER.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  LEAVENWORTH     20    9.0   MON 01 PM   21.2 TUESDAY EVENING

$$

MOC003-087-147-170158-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0151.000000T0000Z-071017T0720Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.071016T0506Z.071016T0600Z.071016T0720Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.2 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD FARM FIELDS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

NODAWAY RIVER
  BURLINGTON JUN  23   21.0   MON 03 PM   23.2 EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

$$

MOC005-087-170158-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0150.000000T0000Z-071017T0920Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.071015T1001Z.071016T0115Z.071016T0920Z.NO/
859 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN THE VICINITY OF CORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...U.S. HIGHWAY 59 NORTH OF FAIRFAX BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FARM FIELDS BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* MODOT REPORTED THAT U.S. 59 WAS CLOSED MONDAY EVENING AT THE TARKIO
  RIVER DUE TO FLOODING.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

TARKIO RIVER
  FAIRFAX         17   23.2   MON 08 PM   19.5 EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

$$

000 
WGUS83 KEAX 161048
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
548 AM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION 
  TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...ATCHISON...
HOLT...NODAWAY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN...
LEAVENWORTH AND IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...PLATTE

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

KSC043-MOC003-021-171048-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0152.000000T0000Z-071019T0730Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.071015T1943Z.071016T1200Z.071018T0730Z.NO/
548 AM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* AT 21.0 FEET...RIVERFRONT PARK IN ST. JOSEPH BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY...MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   19.7   TUE 05 AM   21.0 THIS MORNING

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-171047-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0153.000000T0000Z-071018T1330Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.071016T0339Z.071016T1800Z.071017T1330Z.NO/
548 AM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   22.9   TUE 05 AM   23.8 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

KSC103-MOC165-171047-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0154.071016T1323Z-071018T1000Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.071016T1323Z.071017T0000Z.071017T1000Z.NO/
548 AM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:05 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE EAST AND WEST 
  BANKS OF THE RIVER.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  LEAVENWORTH     20    9.0   MON 01 PM   21.2 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC003-087-147-171047-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0151.000000T0000Z-071017T1553Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071016T1200Z.071016T1553Z.NO/
548 AM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD FARM FIELDS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

NODAWAY RIVER
  BURLINGTON JUN  23   21.0   MON 03 PM   23.5 THIS MORNING

$$

MOC005-087-171047-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0150.000000T0000Z-071017T1419Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.071015T1001Z.071016T0145Z.071016T1419Z.NO/
548 AM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN THE VICINITY OF CORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...U.S. HIGHWAY 59 NORTH OF FAIRFAX BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FARM FIELDS BEGIN TO FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

TARKIO RIVER
  FAIRFAX         17   20.2   TUE 05 AM   CONTINUE FALLING

$$

000 
WGUS83 KEAX 161700
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007
   
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH
  NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION
  TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...LEAVENWORTH AND IN 
MISSOURI...ANDREW...ATCHISON...HOLT...NODAWAY...PLATTE

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN AND 
IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...PLATTE


.FLOODING ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE ACROSS FAR
NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AREAS FURTHER SOUTH TOWARD
ATCHISON AND ST. JOSEPH EXPECTED TO SEE MINOR FLOODING THROUGH
TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL MAY IMPACT THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY...SO CHANGES TO THIS FORECAST AND A SECOND INSTANCE OF
FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

KSC043-MOC003-021-171700-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0152.000000T0000Z-071018T0900Z/
/SJSM7.1.ER.071015T1943Z.071016T0830Z.071017T0900Z.NO/
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY...MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   19.1   TUE 12 PM   18.8 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-171659-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0153.000000T0000Z-071017T1930Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.071016T0339Z.071016T0900Z.071016T1930Z.NO/
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   22.9   TUE 09 AM   22.2 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

KSC103-MOC165-161730-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0154.000000T0000Z-071018T1000Z/
/LEVK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH
* AT  9:11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 18.5
  FEET THIS AFTERNOON.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  LEAVENWORTH     20   17.7   TUE 09 AM   18.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC003-087-147-161730-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0151.000000T0000Z-071017T1553Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071016T1410Z.071016T1427Z.NO/
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NODAWAY RIVER NEAR BURLINGTON JUNCTION
* AT 10:40 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 21.8 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9:30 AM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 13.5 FEET BY 7 AM
WEDNESDAY.
* AT 23.0 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD FARM FIELDS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

NODAWAY RIVER
  BURLINGTON JUN  23   21.8   TUE 11 AM   19.2 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC005-087-161730-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0150.000000T0000Z-071017T1419Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.071015T1001Z.071016T0145Z.071016T1451Z.NO/
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TARKIO RIVER AT FAIRFAX
* AT 11:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9:45 AM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.1 FEET BY 
7 AM WEDNESDAY.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

TARKIO RIVER
  FAIRFAX         17   16.2   TUE 11 AM   15.7 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 15, 12:32 AM CDT, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 12:32 AM CDT, 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1232 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2007

...UPDATED AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
/430 PM CDT SUN OCT 14 2007/
MAIN CONCERNS CENTER AROUND THE SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW AND
ATTENDANT SURFACE FEATURES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...WITH STORMS NOW FIRING ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT
STRETCHING NORTH-SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
WILL SLOWLY WORK ITS WAY EAST. MODEST ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE FEATURE WILL SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO EASTERN
KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI AROUND MIDNIGHT...WITH THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY NOT GETTING INTO THE FORECAST AREA UNTIL CLOSER TO
DAYBREAK. EXPECT WIDESPREAD PRECIP ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST MISSOURI THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES ARE AT OR A LITTLE ABOVE ONE INCH. WITH ALREADY
SATURATED GROUND DUE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL...THINK THE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ON
SOME AREA RIVERS. ONE FLY IN THE OINTMENT MAY BE A DRY LAYER
WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW WHICH MAY CUT DOWN ON THE AMOUNT OF PRECIP
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.

MONDAYS FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE A BIT TRICKY. ONGOING MORNING
PRECIP WILL BE MOVING EAST...WITH THE SECONDARY FRONT HOLDING BACK
UNTIL THE AFTERNOON. A LOT DEPENDS ON THE LOCATION OF THE SURFACE
FRONT BY AROUND MIDDAY...AS WELL AS THE AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE. SHEAR
PARAMETERS STILL LOOK SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR STRONG STORMS...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST MISSOURI...HOWEVER
INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL.

THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WRAPS UP AND MOVES NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. SO
HAVE PRECIP CHANCES ENDING AT THAT TIME. EXPECT A BRIEF BREAK IN THE
WEATHER UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY...WHEN THE NEXT IN THE SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THINK THE SET UP MAY NOT BE
MUCH DIFFERENT THAN THE CURRENT SYSTEM. WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIP
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAY HAVE
A SHORT BREAK DURING THE DAY THURSDAY BEFORE THE FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

EXPECTING TEMPERATURES AT OR A LITTLE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. THESE
SYSTEMS ARE OF PACIFIC ORIGIN AND DO NOT HAVE MUCH IN THE WAY OF
COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THEM.

NRR

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION PASSING THROUGH THE AREA
AT THIS TIME.  WILL BE LOWERING CEILINGS OVERNIGHT AS PRECIPITATION
SLOWLY DIMINISHES. WILL KEEP IT MVFR FOR NOW SINCE DO NOT HAVE A
GOOD HANDLE ON WHAT CEILINGS ARE LIKE TO THE WEST WITH GATEWAY DATA
OUTAGE...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A PERIOD OF IFR
CONDITIONS NEAR DAYBREAK.  SHOULD SEE A BREAK IN THE RAIN IN THE
MORNING...BUT MAY SEE SOME REDEVELOPMENT IN THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK
VORT LOBE ROTATES INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI. CONFIDENCE NOT VERY HIGH
SO WILL JUST CARRY A MENTION OF PROB30.

PC

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM MONDAY FOR MOZ001-
     MOZ002-MOZ003-MOZ004-MOZ005-MOZ011-MOZ012-MOZ013-MOZ014-
     MOZ020-MOZ021-MOZ022-MOZ028-MOZ029-MOZ030-MOZ037.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 11 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM MONDAY FOR KSZ025-
     KSZ102-KSZ103-KSZ104-KSZ105.

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 14, 1:05 PM CDT, 11 hours 34 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
105 PM CDT SUN OCT 14 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-151100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
105 PM CDT SUN OCT 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS WILL REMAIN FREE FROM
ANYTHING OTHER THAN ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WHAT
STORMS MAY DEVELOP WILL NOT BE SEVERE...BUT COULD HAVE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

LATE TONIGHT...AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL
MOVE ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS INTO MISSOURI...AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY AND
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVE INTO THE REGION. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE LACK OF INSTABILITY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT
HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS FROM
THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS AND CENTRAL MISSOURI. AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SEVERAL
INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS WILL BE MOST AT RISK FOR
FLOODING PROBLEMS OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE SURFACE FRONT WILL FINISH SWEEPING EAST ACROSS THE REST OF
MISSOURI MONDAY. WHILE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
STORMS...THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IS IN QUESTION. THIS MAKES THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER VERY CONDITIONAL BEHIND THE FRONT. PERSONS
ARE URGED TO MONITOR LATER OUTLOOKS FOR UPDATES.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM...SEVERE WEATHER
MAY BE A POSSIBILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT MIGHT BE
NEEDED FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON.

CUTTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 15, 12:04 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Atchison, Holt	36 hr
Oct 15, 8:29 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan	45 hr
Oct 15, 8:29 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Buchanan, Platte	45 hr
Oct 15, 8:29 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Platte	28 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2007 Every river flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.