Alert archive / Missouri / Ice Storm Warnings in 2007

Ice Storm Warning 1, NWS Kansas City, MO

January 12, 2007Linn County, Kansas; 10 counties in Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this ice storm warning at Jan 12, 2007, 10:34 AM CST for Linn County, Kansas; 10 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 12, 2007, 10:34 AM CST (16:34 UTC)
Expired
Jan 12, 2007, 1:57 PM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO

Counties Linn County, KS, Bates County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-01-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-01-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 191 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
560 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
370 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KEAX 121634
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1034 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER TO AFFECT AREA THIS WEEKEND...

.INTERACTION BETWEEN AN ARCTIC AIRMASS...MOISTURE OVERRUNNING THE 
COLD AIR AND A POTENT UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A 
PROLONGED PERIOD OF WINTER WEATHER THIS WEEKEND. A SHALLOW LAYER OF 
ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY WITH 
SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY LATE 
AFTERNOON. WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERRIDE THE ARCTIC 
AIRMASS PRODUCING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TODAY AND 
TONIGHT. IN THE INTERIM...SEVERAL UPPER DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING 
ACROSS THE PLAINS PERIODICALLY WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR 
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION RESULTING IN PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND 
SLEET THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WHICH WILL HASTEN THE AMOUNT 
OF ICE THAT ACCUMULATES ...WITH ONE QUARTER INCH OR MORE ICING 
EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PAOLA KANSAS 
THROUGH HARRISONVILLE...WARRENSBURG AND MARSHALL MISSOURI TO MOBERLY 
MISSOURI. FURTHER NORTH...ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM ONE 
TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE SOUTH KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA TO 
GLAZING FROM LEAVENWORTH KANSAS...ACROSS THE NORTHERN KANSAS 
METROPOLITAN AREA TO CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI. A LULL IN PRECIPITATION 
IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...THOUGH FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL 
CONTINUE ON AN OFF THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THE MAIN 
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA INCREASING THE 
LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IN 
ADDITION...THE DEPTH OF SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE ATMOSPHERE 
WILL HAVE INCREASED AND WILL ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION FROM 
A FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MIX TO A SLEET AND SNOW MIX FOR AREAS 
GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70...WHILE FURTHER SOUTH A FREEZING 
RAIN AND SLEET MIX WILL CONTINUE. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
CONCERNING THE HOW MUCH SNOW AND ICE MAY FALL FROM THIS NEXT ROUND 
OF PRECIPITATION...SO A WINTER STORM WATCH IS POSTED FOR ALL THE 
AREA FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. 

MOZ025-122200-
/O.CAN.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
MACON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MACON...LA PLATA
1034 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY.
THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

BY MID-MORNING...TEMPERATURES WERE HOVERING AROUND THE 20 DEGREE
MARK IN THE MACON AREA AND WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS BY THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THUS UNTREATED
ROADS...SIDEWALKS AND PARKING LOTS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SLICK.
LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORTING NUMEROUS INJURY ACCIDENTS ACROSS THE
REGION LATE THIS MORNING...THUS TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED. THERE MAY BE A
BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ADDITIONAL
FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING...WHICH WILL LEAD
TO ADDITIONAL ICING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

KSZ060-MOZ032-033-039-040-045-046-053-054-122200-
/O.UPG.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.IS.W.0001.070112T1634Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
LINN KS-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-SALINE-HOWARD-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUND CITY...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...
MOBERLY...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
1034 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WINTER STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN BELOW FREEZING AND WITH AREAS OF FREEZING
RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE SPREADING NORTHEAST OVER THE AREA. FREEZING
RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS FROM AROUND PLEASANTON TO
BUTLER... CLINTON...AND SEDALIA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND A TENTH
OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER INCH OR MORE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY
MORNING. ROADS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. LOCAL
LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORTING NUMEROUS INJURY ACCIDENTS...ESPECIALLY
ON BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND HIGHWAY RAMPS. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED
UNTIL ROADS CAN BE TREATED.

A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL ALSO REMAIN POSTED FOR THE WEEKEND...AS
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI...CONTINUING THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...
AND POSSIBLY SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

MOZ043-044-122200-
/O.UPG.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.IS.W.0001.070112T1634Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
CASS-JOHNSON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...
PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG
1034 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WINTER STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. ROADS...PARKING LOTS AND SIDEWALKS ARE
BECOMING EXTREMELY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT IS
REPORTING NUMEROUS INJURY ACCIDENTS ESPECIALLY ON
OVERPASSES...BRIDGES AND HIGHWAY RAMPS AS VEHICLES LOSE CONTROL ON
UNTREATED SURFACES...THUS TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGE UNTIL ROAD CAN BE TREATED.
THE PRECIPITATION MAY LET UP FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ANOTHER
ROUND IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON... AND MAY MIX OVER TO SLEET
AS THE COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON...WITH ICING OF ONE QUARTER INCH OR MORE AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE HALF INCH EXPECTED BY SATURDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL ALSO REMAIN POSTED FOR THE WEEKEND...AS
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI...CONTINUING THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...
AND POSSIBLY SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

KSZ057-105-MOZ037-038-122200-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
MIAMI-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA
1034 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
THIS MORNING. MORE SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL BE OCCURRING IN AREAS TO THE
SOUTH OF KANSAS CITY...WHERE SOME LOCATIONS MAY PICK UP ONE QUARTER
INCH OF ICE BY SATURDAY MORNING. FOR THE SOUTH KANSAS CITY
METROPOLITAN AREA AND AREAS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR...A
LIGHT GLAZING OF ICE ALREADY HAS RESULTED IN NUMEROUS INJURY AND A
FEW INSTANCES OF FATALITY ACCIDENTS. UNTREATED ROADS...PARKING LOTS
AND SIDEWALKS...ARE BECOMING EXTREMELY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. TRAVEL IS
DISCOURAGED UNTIL CREWS HAVE TIME TO TREAT AREA ROADWAYS. THE
PRECIPITATION MAY LET UP FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ANOTHER
ROUND IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND MAY MIX OVER TO SLEET AS
THE COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION. BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE HALF INCH OR LESS ARE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL ALSO REMAIN POSTED FOR THE WEEKEND...AS
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI...CONTINUING THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...
AND POSSIBLY SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

KSZ103-104-MOZ021>024-028>031-122200-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-PLATTE-
CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...
BROOKFIELD...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON
1034 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. 

AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. MORE SIGNIFICANT ICING IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO CARROLLTON LINE. BUT
WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE TEENS...EVEN THE LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL QUICKLY STICK TO UNTREATED ROADS...PARKING LOTS
AND SIDEWALKS...CREATING SLIPPERY CONDITIONS. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
ALREADY IS REPORTING NUMEROUS INJURY ACCIDENTS ACROSS THE KANSAS
METROPOLITAN AREA AND ALONG THE INTERSTATE 29 AND INTERSTATE 35
CORRIDORS. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED UNTIL CREWS HAVE TIME TO TREAT AREA
ROADWAYS. THE PRECIPITATION MAY LET UP FOR A TIME THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT ANOTHER ROUND IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AND MAY MIX OVER TO SLEET AS THE COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO
BUILD INTO THE REGION. BY LATE AFTERNOON A GLAZING UP TO ONE EIGHTH
OF AN INCH OF ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND
ONE TENTH OF AN INCH AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN ONE HALF
INCH EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$


SF
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 121945
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
145 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER TO AFFECT AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND...

.TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TUMBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS ARCTIC AIR 
PUSHES SOUTHWARD THROUGH MISSOURI AND KANSAS. WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL
OVERRUN THE SHALLOW ARCTIC AIRMASS TO PRODUCE AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF 
FREEZING PRECIPITATION...WITH PERIODS OF SLEET...ACROSS THE REGION 
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. 

KSZ060-MOZ032-033-039-040-043>046-053-054-122230-
/O.CAN.KEAX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.WS.W.0001.070112T1945Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
LINN KS-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUND CITY...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...
MOBERLY...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
145 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A WINTER STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW
MOVE FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS...ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS INTO CENTRAL
MISSOURI BY 3 PM. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ALREADY
ARE BEING REPORTED ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES FROM PLEASANTON
KANSAS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE HARRISONVILLE...CLINTON AND BOONVILLE
MISSOURI AREAS. BY EARLY SATURDAY...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION
WILL PRODUCE TOTAL PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO ONE AND
HALF INCHES.

BEYOND TONIGHT...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY...BUT AS THE MAIN UPPER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...SLEET AND SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL INCREASE AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET AND SNOW...WIT NARROW BAND OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM
MOUND CITY KANSAS TO CLINTON MISSOURI. SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
ON THE EXACT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND ICE EXPECTED WITH THIS SECOND ROUND
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...THOUGH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
LIKELY. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

KSZ057-122230-
/O.UPG.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.WS.W.0001.070112T1945Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
MIAMI-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PAOLA
145 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WINTER STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL INCREASE
DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION MOVES NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
ALREADY ARE BEING REPORTED ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES...AND A
THICK GLAZING EXISTS ON AREA ROADWAYS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
EXIST ALONG THE HIGHWAY 69 AND 169 CORRIDORS...WITH LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT REPORTING NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS. ADDITIONAL ICE AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY 4 PM...WITH
WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS APPROACHING ONE INCH BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

BEYOND TONIGHT...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY...BUT AS THE MAIN UPPER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...SLEET AND SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL INCREASE AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET AND SNOW...WIT NARROW BAND OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM
MOUND CITY KANSAS TO CLINTON MISSOURI. SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
ON THE EXACT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND ICE EXPECTED WITH THIS SECOND ROUND
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...THOUGH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
LIKELY. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

MOZ025-122230-
/O.UPG.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.WS.W.0001.070112T1945Z-070113T1200Z/
MACON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MACON...LA PLATA
145 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING DRIZZLE AND PATCHY AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH AREAL COVERAGE OF FREEZING
PRECIPITATION INCREASING BY 3 PM. A LIGHT GLAZING OF ICE IS BEING
REPORTED ON ROADWAYS...WITH UP TO ONE EIGHTH OF AN INCH OF ICE BEING
REPORTED ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES. MORE WIDESPREAD FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH BY EARLY SATURDAY. ROADWAYS
WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME INCREASINGLY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS...THUS
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

KSZ105-MOZ037-038-122230-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
JOHNSON KS-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA
145 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL INCREASE
DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION MOVES NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. ICE ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A
TRACE AND ONE EIGHTH OF AN INCH ALREADY ARE BEING REPORTED ON
ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES...AND A THICK GLAZING EXISTS ON AREA
ROADWAYS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS EXIST ALONG THE INTERSTATE 470
AND INTERSTATE 435 URBAN LOOPS...AS WELL AS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70
AND HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDORS. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING NUMEROUS
ACCIDENTS. PERIODS OF ICE AND SLEET WILL PRODUCE WINTRY PRECIPITATION
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH BY 4 PM...WITH WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS APPROACHING ONE HALF BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

BEYOND TONIGHT...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY...BUT AS THE MAIN UPPER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...SLEET AND SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL INCREASE AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET AND SNOW...WIT NARROW BAND OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM
MOUND CITY KANSAS TO CLINTON MISSOURI. SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
ON THE EXACT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND ICE EXPECTED WITH THIS SECOND ROUND
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...THOUGH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
LIKELY. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

KSZ103-104-MOZ021>024-028>031-122230-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-PLATTE-
CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...
BROOKFIELD...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON
145 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. 

THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL INCREASE
DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION MOVES NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. ICE ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A
TRACE AND ONE EIGHTH OF AN INCH ALREADY ARE BEING REPORTED ON
ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES...AND A THICK GLAZING EXISTS ON AREA
ROADWAYS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS EXIST ALONG THE INTERSTATE
435..INTERSTATE 635 AND INTERSTATE 435 URBAN LOOPS...AS WELL AS ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 70...INTERSTATE 29 AND INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDORS. LOCAL
LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS ACROSS THE REGION.
THROUGH 4 PM...PERIODS OF ICE AND SLEET WILL PRODUCE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH BY 4
PM...WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS APPROACHING ONE HALF INCH BY
SATURDAY MORNING.


A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$


SF
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 121957 CCA
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
153 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER TO AFFECT AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND...

.TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TUMBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS ARCTIC AIR 
PUSHES SOUTHWARD THROUGH MISSOURI AND KANSAS. WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL
OVERRUN THE SHALLOW ARCTIC AIRMASS TO PRODUCE AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF 
FREEZING PRECIPITATION...WITH PERIODS OF SLEET...ACROSS THE REGION 
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. 

KSZ060-MOZ032-033-039-040-043>046-053-054-122245-
/O.CAN.KEAX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.COR.KEAX.WS.W.0001.070112T1953Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.COR.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
LINN KS-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUND CITY...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...
MOBERLY...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
153 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A WINTER STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW
MOVE FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS...ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS INTO CENTRAL
MISSOURI BY 3 PM. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ALREADY
ARE BEING REPORTED ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES FROM PLEASANTON
KANSAS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE HARRISONVILLE...CLINTON AND BOONVILLE
MISSOURI AREAS. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORTING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. BY EARLY SATURDAY...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL
PRODUCE TOTAL PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO ONE AND HALF
INCHES.

BEYOND TONIGHT...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY...BUT AS THE MAIN UPPER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...SLEET AND SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL INCREASE AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET AND SNOW...WITH A NARROW BAND OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM
MOUND CITY KANSAS TO CLINTON MISSOURI. SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
ON THE EXACT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND ICE EXPECTED WITH THIS SECOND ROUND
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...THOUGH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
LIKELY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

KSZ057-122245-
/O.UPG.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.COR.KEAX.WS.W.0001.070112T1953Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.COR.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
MIAMI-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PAOLA
153 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WINTER STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL INCREASE
DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION MOVES NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
ALREADY ARE BEING REPORTED ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES...AND A
THICK GLAZING EXISTS ON AREA ROADWAYS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
EXIST ALONG THE HIGHWAY 69 AND 169 CORRIDORS...WITH LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT REPORTING NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS. ADDITIONAL ICE AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY 4 PM...WITH
WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS APPROACHING ONE INCH BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

BEYOND TONIGHT...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY...BUT AS THE MAIN UPPER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...SLEET AND SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL INCREASE AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET AND SNOW...WITH A NARROW BAND OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM
MOUND CITY KANSAS TO CLINTON MISSOURI. SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
ON THE EXACT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND ICE EXPECTED WITH THIS SECOND ROUND
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...THOUGH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
LIKELY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

MOZ025-122245-
/O.UPG.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.WS.W.0001.070112T1953Z-070113T1200Z/
MACON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MACON...LA PLATA
153 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING DRIZZLE AND PATCHY AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH AREAL COVERAGE OF FREEZING
PRECIPITATION INCREASING BY 3 PM. A LIGHT GLAZING OF ICE IS BEING
REPORTED ON ROADWAYS...WITH UP TO ONE EIGHTH OF AN INCH OF ICE BEING
REPORTED ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES. MORE WIDESPREAD FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH BY EARLY SATURDAY. ROADWAYS
WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME INCREASINGLY SLICK AND HAZARDOUS...THUS
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

KSZ105-MOZ037-038-122245-
/O.COR.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
/O.COR.KEAX.WS.A.0001.070113T1200Z-070115T0600Z/
JOHNSON KS-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA
153 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL INCREASE
DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION MOVES NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. ICE ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A
TRACE AND ONE EIGHTH OF AN INCH ALREADY ARE BEING REPORTED ON
ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES...AND A THICK GLAZING EXISTS ON AREA
ROADWAYS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS EXIST ALONG THE INTERSTATE 470
AND INTERSTATE 435 URBAN LOOPS...AS WELL AS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70
AND HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDORS. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORTING NUMEROUS
ACCIDENTS...THUS UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED. PERIODS OF ICE AND SLEET
WILL PRODUCE WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER
INCH BY 4 PM...WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS APPROACHING
ONE HALF BY SATURDAY MORNING.

BEYOND TONIGHT...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY...BUT AS THE MAIN UPPER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...THE THREAT OF MORE ICE...SLEET AND SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL INCREASE AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET AND SNOW...WITH A NARROW BAND OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE FROM
MOUND CITY KANSAS TO CLINTON MISSOURI. SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
ON THE EXACT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND ICE EXPECTED WITH THIS SECOND ROUND
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...THOUGH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
LIKELY. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

$$

KSZ103-104-MOZ021>024-028>031-122245-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070113T1200Z/
LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-PLATTE-
CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...
BROOKFIELD...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON
153 PM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. 

THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL INCREASE
DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A LARGE SWATH OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION MOVES NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. ICE ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A
TRACE AND ONE EIGHTH OF AN INCH ALREADY ARE BEING REPORTED ON
ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES...AND A THICK GLAZING EXISTS ON AREA
ROADWAYS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS EXIST ALONG THE INTERSTATE
435..INTERSTATE 635 AND INTERSTATE 435 URBAN LOOPS...AS WELL AS ALONG
THE INTERSTATE 70...INTERSTATE 29 AND INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDORS. LOCAL
LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS ACROSS THE REGION.
THROUGH 4 PM...PERIODS OF ICE AND SLEET WILL PRODUCE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH BY 4
PM...WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS APPROACHING ONE HALF INCH BY
SATURDAY MORNING.


A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$


SF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Jan 12, 5:21 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 5:21 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
521 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

.DISCUSSION...

A POTENT WINTER STORM IS IN STORE FOR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE QUESTION THAT WILL OCCUPY THIS MORNINGS
FORECAST IS JUST HOW FAR NORTH THE FREEZING PRECIPITATION WILL
GET...AND HOW MUCH ACCUMULATION WE WILL ULTIMATELY END UP WITH.
ALOFT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS SHOW A SOUTHWEST
FLOW DOMINATING THE PLAINS AS A LOW CONTINUES TO DIG SOUTH THROUGH
THE GREAT BASIN TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS A DECENT PLUME OF MOISTURE STRETCHING NORTHEAST THROUGH TEXAS
AND THE EXTREME SOUTHERN END OF THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY. CLOSER TO
THE SURFACE THE COLD FRONT HAS SURGED SOUTH DUE TO THE SHEAR WEIGHT
OF THE COLD AIR BEHIND IT. THE LATEST SURFACE OBS INDICATE THE THE
FRONT IS JUST LEAVING OUR CWA...PLACING THE FRONT FROM JUST NORTH OF
QUINCY ILLINOIS SOUTHWEST ALONG OUR BORDER TO NEAR TULSA.
TEMPERATURES ARE DROPPING RAPIDLY IN THE COLD POOL AND DEW POINT
DEPRESSIONS ARE RANGING BETWEEN 5F AND 8F DEGREES. 3 HOUR PRESSURE
CHANGES SHOW A 5MB INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT I FEEL THAT THE
COLD POOL WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE OZARKS DUE TO
THE TERRAIN. THE SALLOWNESS OF THE COLD POOL IS REINFORCED BY THE
OBSERVATION THAT THE 8H FRONT IS STILL LOCATED IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
THIS MORNING ACCORDING TO THE 8H PROFILER NETWORK...SOME 175 MILES
NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE FRONT.

LIGHT PRECIP IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR DRIZZLE IS BEGINNING TO APPEAR
ON SURFACE OBS AND RADAR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA AS OVERRUNNING MOISTURE BEGINS INTERACTING WITH THE COLD FRONT.
THIS IS MERELY THE RESULT OF THE FIRST OF MANY SMALL SHORTWAVES THAT
WILL EJECT ACROSS THE PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND BEFORE THE MAIN
LOW...TO OUR WEST...TRAVERSES EAST EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK. THE GFS
AND WRF ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT AS TO THE POSITION OF THE
COLD FRONT WELL TO OUR SOUTH...AND THE ELEVATED 8H FRONT HANGING
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI THROUGH SATURDAY. THE
RESULTING TEMPERATURES PROFILE INDICATES A SHALLOW COLD POOL WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. THE DEEPER
LAYER OF COLD AIR BEHIND THE 8H FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION AS A LARGE PORTION OF THE ENERGY FROM THE LOW TO
OUR WEST EJECTS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS
LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MODEL SOUNDINGS DESCRIBE THE DRY SHALLOW COLD POOL QUITE WELL ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY AND TOMORROW...BUT ALSO SHOW THAT SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE A PROBLEM AT TIMES WITHIN
AND ABOVE THE WARM NOSE ABOVE THE COLD POOL. THE BEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION FOR NOW WILL RESIDE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE
FORECAST AREA...CLOSEST TO THE BETTER MOISTURE TO OUR SOUTH. BOTH
THE GFS AND WRF AGREE THAT THE NEXT SHORTWAVE OF ANY IMPORT IS
CURRENTLY ENTERING WEST TEXAS AT THIS TIME. THIS WAVE WILL ADVECT
ENOUGH MOISTURE NORTH TO SPREAD OUR LIKELY POPS NORTH TO A LINE FORM
KANSAS CITY TO MACON FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...AFTER
TONIGHT THE VAGARIES IN THE PATHS OF THE SHORTWAVES MAKE IT
DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN PRECIP TYPES AND AMOUNTS WITH ANY CONFIDENCE.
THEREFORE...WHILE I HAVE ADJUSTED TODAYS WEATHER ADVISORIES AND EVEN
EXTENDED THEM THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...I HAVE KEPT THE WINTER
WATCH INTACT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO
ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO PIN DOWN PRECIP TYPE...AMOUNTS...AND NEEDED
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS.

FOR TODAY I HAVE LEFT THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN PLACE ALONG MUCH
THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN EDGE OF THE CWA...BUT DID EXPAND IT TO RUN
THROUGH THE NIGHT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY. MODEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
AND RELATIVELY WARM GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL BE LIMITING FACTORS IN
ICE ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAY...AND EVEN INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...KEEPING ACCUMULATIONS UNDER A QUARTER OF AN INCH. FARTHER
WEST...IN AREAS FROM THE KC METRO NORTHEAST TO MACON...I HAVE
CONVERTED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
AND RAN IT OUR THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY. THERE ARE SOME CONCERNS THAT
SLEET WILL MIX IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN DUE TO THE SLIGHTLY DEEPER
AND COLDER POOL OF AIR AS YOU MOVE WEST AND NORTH. ADDITIONALLY...
THE LARGE DEW POINT DEPRESSION MIGHT ALLOW FOR ENOUGH DIABATIC
COOLING AS THE RAIN FALLS THROUGH THE SURFACE LAYER TO RESULT IN
SLEET. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL COVER THE POTENTIAL MIXED
PRECIP TYPE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

CUTTER

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

/1005 PM CST THU JAN 11 2007/
SEVERAL CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE THIS EVENING. MOST
IMPORTANTLY IS THE CANCELLATION OF THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI. MUCH DRIER AIR HAS
ADVECTED IN FROM ERN NEBRASKA WITH SFC T/TD SPREADS IN EXCESS OF 5F.
IN ADDITION...AIR IN THE WARM ELEVATED LAYER REMAINS BELOW
SATURATION...AND APPEARS UNLIKELY TO SUPPORT ANY FREEZING
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. KEPT THE FREEZING RAIN
ADVISORY GOING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA MAINLY IN ANTICIPATION
OF BETTER MOISTURE ARRIVING FRIDAY MORNING SUPPORTING PATCHY
FREEZING DRIZZLE. EXPECT ACCUMULATIONS TO BE QUITE SCANT...WITH THE
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE FAR SOUTHERN STRIP OF COUNTIES IN MY CWA
WHERE BETTER SATURATION IS EXPECTED TO EXIST. STILL REMAINS A GOOD
DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY ACROSS THE KC METRO AREA...AND MIDNIGHT SHIFT
WILL HAVE TO REVISIT THESE POSSIBILITIES.

MORE CERTAIN IS THE INCREASED FORWARD PROPAGATION OF THE COLD
FRONT...AND ADVANCEMENT OF MUCH COLDER AIR. HAVE ADJUSTED ZONES FOR
THE QUICKER WIND SHIFT...AND HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES JUST ABOUT
AREAWIDE CONSIDERING THE LOWER 20S AND TEENS ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS
ERN NEBRASKA.

21

/345 PM CST THU JAN 11 2007/
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM CNTRL IOWA INTO THE NW TIP OF
MISSOURI THROUGH CNTRL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WERE ABNORMALLY WARM IN THE 50S..AND EVEN 60S IN EASTERN
KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI...BUT THE PARTY IS  ABOUT OVER WITH
STRONG PRESSURE RISES OVER NEBRASKA AND THE DAKOTAS FORCING A MUCH
COLDER AIRMASS SOUTH...WITH TEMPS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER SOUTH
DAKOTA. THIS AIRMASS WILL QUICKLY ADVECT INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT
WITH TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY FALLING BELOW FREEZING.
MEANWHILE...RESIDUAL MOISTURE ABOVE THE SFC BETWEEN 850 AND 950 MB
WILL BE CONDENSED INTO A LOWER CLOUD DECK...AND MARGINAL SYNOPTIC
SCALE LIFT WILL BE PRESENT TO ALLOW FOR THE FORMATION OF VERY LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN AND PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE. AN ADVISORY IS
ALREADY ISSUED FOR VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS...ALTHOUGH AREAS ACROSS
FAR NW MISSOURI MAY END UP ONLY SEEING TRACE AMOUNTS WHEN ALL IS
SAID AND DONE. NEVERTHELESS...GLAZING DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS COULD PRESENT QUITE A TRAVEL HEADACHE...PARTICULARLY
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.

HEADING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AREAS NORTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO
PRINCETON LINE WILL LIKELY SEE A COMPLETE END TO ANY WINTRY PRECIP
AS STRONGER SUBSIDENCE...DEEPER CAA..AND AN INTRUSION OF DRIER AIR
NEAR THE CLOUD BEARING LAYER. WOULD NOT AT ALL BE SURPRISED TO SEE
SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST AS WELL. OF MORE CONCERN IS AREAS ALONG
ANS SOUTH OF A PAOLA TO MACON LINE WHICH WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE
8H WAA AND SURGE OF MOISTURE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS HERE SHOW A MUCH
DEEP SATURATED LAYER MORE CONDUSIVE FOR A MORE PROLONGED FREEZING
RAIN EVENT INTO FRIDAY EVENING. MODEL QPF FIELDS SHOW A RATHER SHARP
BOUNDARY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE 8H FRONT AND AN INCREASING SFC T/TD
SPREAD. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE DRIER AIR IN THE
WARM NOSE WILL PROGRESS...LET THE ADVISORY GO ONLY UNTIL 00Z
SAT...COVERING FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A WATCH. EXPECT
MOST AREAS FROM THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA NORTH TO EXPERIENCE A
GOOD BREAK IN ANY FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE STARTING SOMETIME FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

MODEL DISCREPANCIES BECOME VERY APPARENT BY EARLY SATURDAY AS THE
GFS PUSHES THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD WELL SOUTH INTO SRN
MISSOURI. HOWEVER...BOTH THE NAM AND GFS INDICATE BACKING 8H WINDS
IN RESPONSE TO SHORTWAVE ENERGY BEGINNING TO EJECT AHEAD OF THE MAIN
WAVE OVER THE DESERT SW. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FRESH SURGE OF OF
MOISTURE ABOVE THE SHALLOW COLD DOME. 295-300K ISENTROPIC SURFACE
SUPPORT THIS IDEA...ALTHOUGH THE MAIN BRUNT OF THE LIFT APPEARS
FOCUSED ACROSS SRN KANSAS AND MISSOURI. HOWEVER...CANNOT DISCOUNT
THE MAGNITUDE OF WARM MOIST AIR IN THE WARM NOSE...WITH 8H TEMPS AND
DEWPOINTS NEAR +6C...AND AM CONCERNED THAT ANY PERTURBATION IN THE
FLOW CAUSING THIS AIR TO BEGIN TO ADVECT NORTH WILL LEAD TO
REEMERGENCE OF FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE ACROSS THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA. THUS...HAVE COVERED THE AREA SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER WITH A
WATCH.

21

A LULL IN PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FOR THE FIRST HALF OF
SATURDAY...WITH THE ISENTROPIC PROGS SHOWING NEAR NEUTRAL ADVECTION
AND EVEN SOME TEMPORARY ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE. DURING THIS TIME THE
FORECAST AREA SHOULD BE BETWEEN EXITING SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO THE EAST
AND THE EASTWARD PROGRESSING MAIN UPPER LOW TO THE WEST. THERE IS
SOME MODEL SUGGESTION THAT ANOTHER RIPPLE IN THE UPPER FLOW IN
ADVANCE OF THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH MAY BE RESPONSIBLE FOR INCREASING
LIFT BY SATURDAY EVENING...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES BECOMING
LIKELY INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERMAL PROFILES ON SATURDAY
INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FOR MOST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH BETTER CHANCES TO
MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS NORTH AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI...AND THE BETTER
CHANCES FOR PRIMARILY FREEZING RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI.

THE MAIN UPPER LOW WILL ADVANCE ACROSS COLORADO TOWARD WESTERN
KANSAS ON SUNDAY. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES...IN
BRINGING AN AREA OF IMPRESSIVE Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE ACROSS NORTHERN
KANSAS/NEBRASKA AND INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI/SOUTHWEST IOWA ON
SUNDAY. THESE INDICATIONS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA. AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...WHERE THE POTENTIAL FOR
PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN CHANGING TO A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS
ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY. IF THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS SUCH THAT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL/MIXED
PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS LOOK INCREASINGLY POSSIBLE NORTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER...THE WATCH WILL NEED TO BE EXPANDED FURTHER NORTH.

THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS. WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO MIDDLE 20S AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED
FROM MONDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

STOFLET

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR
     MOZ025-MOZ032-MOZ033-MOZ039-MOZ040-MOZ045-MOZ046-MOZ053-MOZ054.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR
     MOZ032-MOZ033-MOZ037-MOZ038-MOZ039-MOZ040-MOZ043-MOZ044-
     MOZ045-MOZ046-MOZ053-MOZ054.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR MOZ021-MOZ022-
     MOZ023-MOZ024-MOZ028-MOZ029-MOZ030-MOZ031-MOZ037-MOZ038-
     MOZ043-MOZ044.

KS...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT MONDAY FOR
     KSZ057-KSZ060-KSZ105.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR KSZ057-KSZ103-
     KSZ104-KSZ105.

     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR KSZ060.

WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 6:04 AM CST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
604 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-131200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
604 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTH THROUGH KANSAS AND
MISSOURI THROUGH THE DAY. MOISTURE OVERRUNNING THE COLD AIR WILL
ALLOW LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE TO PERSIST ACROSS
AREAS FROM FROM KANSAS CITY AND MOUND CITY KANSAS NORTHEAST THROUGH
BOONVILLE AND MACON MISSOURI DURING THE DAY. POINTS FARTHER
NORTH...FROM ST JOSEPH TO KIRKSVILLE MAY SEE SOME LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH THE DAY. BY NIGHTFALL...AN UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH KANSAS AND MISSOURI WILL BRING
ENOUGH MOISTURE NORTH TO MAKE SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN LIKELY ACROSS
AN AREA FROM PAOLA KANSAS AND KANSAS CITY NORTHEAST THROUGH
BROOKFIELD MISSOURI. THEREFORE THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY THAT WAS IN
EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS TODAY HAS BEEN CONVERTED TO A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY AND EXTENDED TO 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING. FARTHER SOUTH... FROM
MOUND CITY KANSAS TO MARSHALL AND MACON...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE
TO PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT...SO THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN
EXTENDED THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
UNDER A QUARTER OF AND INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PUSHES INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. WHILE THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM IS STILL
UNCERTAIN...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI...WITH A MIXTURE
OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW FURTHER TO THE SOUTH. EMERGENCY
MANAGERS AND PERSONS WITH TRAVEL PLANS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND SHOULD
KEEP WATCH FOR THE LATEST OUTLOOKS AND FORECASTS REGARDING THIS
DEVELOPING WINTER STORM...AS HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP IN OR NEAR THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ICE OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

CUTTER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 12, 9:23 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
923 AM CST FRI JAN 12 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     FREEZING RAIN    WARRENSBURG             38.76N 93.73W
01/12/2007  E0.10 INCH       JOHNSON            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS WITH
            INJURIES IN WESTERN JOHNSON COUNTY MO.

0859 AM     FREEZING RAIN    LEES SUMMIT             38.92N 94.38W
01/12/2007  E0.00 INCH       JACKSON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            *** 2 FATAL *** LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 2 FATALITIES AS
            A RESULT OF ICING CONDITIONS. ONE FATALITY OCCURRED AT
            INTERSECTION OF HWY 291 AND HWY 150...THE OTHER OCCURRED
            IN VICINTY OF LEES SUMMIT HIGH SCHOOL. TIME OF EVENTS IS
            UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.

&&

JLA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 12, 4:18 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryEAXJohnson, Leavenworth, Miami, Wyandotte24 hr
Jan 12, 1:45 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningEAXLinn, Miami15 hr
Jan 12, 4:39 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningEAXJohnson, Linn, Miami55 hr

Nearby

Ice Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2007Ice Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2007Every ice storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.