Alert archive / Missouri / Heavy Snow Warnings in 2007

Heavy Snow Warning 2, NWS Kansas City, MO

February 12, 200722 counties in Missouri; Atchison County, Doniphan County, Kansas

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this heavy snow warning at Feb 12, 2007, 12:20 PM CST for 22 counties in Missouri; Atchison County, Doniphan County, Kansas. It took effect at Feb 12, 2007, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 15 hr. 54 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 12, 2007, 12:20 PM CST (18:20 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2007, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Feb 13, 2007, 8:57 AM CST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
All 24 counties

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 12, 7:15 PM CSTSNOW 0.54 Wnw Forest City, MO
Feb 12, 7:28 PM CSTSNOW 0.84 S Denton, KS
Feb 12, 7:37 PM CSTSNOW 0.54 Ne Amazonia, MO
Feb 12, 7:38 PM CSTSNOW 1Cameron, MO
Feb 12, 7:40 PM CSTSNOW 0.8N Mound City, MO
Feb 12, 7:50 PM CSTSNOW 35 Ssw Forest City, KS
Feb 12, 7:54 PM CSTSNOW 1.5Highland, KS
Feb 12, 8:01 PM CSTSNOW 15 E Ludlow, MO
Feb 12, 8:54 PM CSTSNOW 0.5Trenton, MO
Feb 12, 9:03 PM CSTSNOW 1.52 Se Rosendale, MO
Feb 12, 9:06 PM CSTSNOW 11 N Muscotah, KS
Feb 12, 9:06 PM CSTSNOW 15 S Albany, MO
Feb 12, 9:21 PM CSTSNOW 3Cameron, MO
Feb 12, 9:27 PM CSTSNOW 1N Bethany, MO
Feb 12, 10:01 PM CSTSNOW 1.5Milan, MO
Feb 12, 10:14 PM CSTSNOW 34 N Rockport, MO
Feb 12, 10:28 PM CSTSNOW 2Westboro, MO
Feb 12, 11:29 PM CSTSNOW 3Gallatin, MO
Feb 13, 12:11 AM CSTSNOW 2.8Trenton, MO
Feb 13, 1:44 AM CSTSNOW 2Novinger, MO
Feb 13, 2:30 AM CSTSNOW 2Moberly, MO
Feb 13, 2:38 AM CSTSNOW 3.5Maryville, MO
Feb 13, 2:59 AM CSTSNOW 3.3Trenton, MO
Feb 13, 3:34 AM CSTSNOW 2Moberly, MO
Feb 13, 4:50 AM CSTSNOW 3.2Novinger, MO0.40 NEW SNOW OVER THE PAST 2 HRS. SNOW DRIFTS OF 8IN.
Feb 13, 5:55 AM CSTSNOW 4Trenton, MO7IN DRIFTS
Feb 13, 6:00 AM CSTSNOW 2.5St Joseph Arpt, MOSTORM TOTAL 2.5 INCHES
Feb 13, 6:04 AM CSTSNOW 4Bethany, MO
Feb 13, 6:14 AM CSTSNOW 4Salisbury, MO
Feb 13, 6:48 AM CSTSNOW 55 N Highland, KS
Feb 13, 7:54 AM CSTSNOW 4Princeton, MO
Feb 13, 7:54 AM CSTSNOW 5Rosendale, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 2New Franklin, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 2.5Atchison, KS
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 2.8Albany, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 3Grant City, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 3Kirksville, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 3.5Chillicothe, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4Conception, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4Maryville, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4Rosendale, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4Salisbury, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4Tarkio, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4.1Unionville, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4.4Downing, MOSTILL SNOWING AS OF 8 AM
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4.5Trenton, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4.6Brookfield, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 4.8Long Branch State Park, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 5Oregon, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 5Troy, KS
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTSNOW 5.2Stanberry, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6Fairfax, MO
Feb 13, 8:00 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6Gallatin, MO
Feb 13, 8:39 AM CSTSNOW 65 W New Boston, MO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-02-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-02-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KEAX 121820
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1220 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

MOZ007-008-016-017-024-025-032-033-130230-
/O.UPG.KEAX.SN.Y.0006.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.HS.W.0002.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LINN MO-MACON-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY
1220 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
CST TUESDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL TRACK INTO THE PLAINS BY
EVENING...BRINGING THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
TO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A SWATH OF SNOW RANGING FROM 5 TO
7 INCHES WILL LIKELY FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI STARTING LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. AREAS AFFECTED WILL BE MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
KEYTESVILLE...TO BROOKFIELD MILAN AND UNIONVILLE. TRAVELERS TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD USE CAUTION AS THE GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

MOZ040-130230-
/O.NEW.KEAX.HS.W.0002.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN
1220 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
CST TUESDAY. 

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL TRACK INTO THE PLAINS BY
EVENING...BRINGING THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
TO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A SWATH OF SNOW RANGING FROM 5 TO
7 INCHES WILL LIKELY FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI
INCLUDING THE FAYETTE AREA...STARTING LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. TRAVELERS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING SHOULD
USE CAUTION AS THE GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ103>105-MOZ021-022-028>031-037>039-044>046-130230-
/O.NEW.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-CLINTON-CALDWELL-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-
CARROLL-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...
POLO...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...WARRENSBURG...
SEDALIA...BOONVILLE
1220 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
12 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
12 PM CST TUESDAY. 

ALTHOUGH THE PRECIPITATION MAY INITIALLY BEGIN AS RAIN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI...IT SHOULD
BEGIN MIXING WITH SLEET AND SNOW TOWARDS DARK...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THEN THIS EVENING...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW...WITH 2 TO 4
INCHES OFF SNOWFALL POSSIBLE BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ001>006-011>015-020-023-130230-
/O.CON.KEAX.SN.Y.0006.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
MERCER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-BUCHANAN-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
PRINCETON...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...
JAMESPORT...TRENTON...ST. JOSEPH...CHILLICOTHE
1220 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
12 PM CST TUESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM
CST TUESDAY. 

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL TRACK INTO THE PLAINS BY
EVENING...BRINGING THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS TO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A SWATH OF SNOW RANGING
FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL LIKELY FALL ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST
KANSAS AND INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI FROM HIGHWAY 65...WESTWARD...
BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...SOME
ISOLATED SNOW TOTALS APPROACHING 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR ALONG AND
JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY 65. TRAVELERS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING
SHOULD USE CAUTION AS THE GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 122153
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
353 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

MOZ007-008-016-017-024-025-032-033-040-130600-
/O.CON.KEAX.HS.W.0002.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LINN MO-MACON-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN
353 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY. 

PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER NORTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI THIS EVENING. INITIALLY AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 36 MAY SEE A
MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO SNOW.
THE HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING ON
TUESDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...WINDS WILL BE GRADUALLY SWINGING FROM THE
EAST AROUND TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND INCREASE IN SPEED...SO
BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.
TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN
CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ057-060-MOZ043-053-054-130600-
/O.EXA.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
MIAMI-LINN KS-CASS-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
353 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY. 

ALTHOUGH THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND INTO WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI...IT WILL BE MIXING WITH SLEET THEN CHANGING TO SNOW
LATER THIS EVENING. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED
BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF TUESDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ001>006-011>015-020-023-130600-
/O.CON.KEAX.SN.Y.0006.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
MERCER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-BUCHANAN-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
PRINCETON...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...
JAMESPORT...TRENTON...ST. JOSEPH...CHILLICOTHE
353 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY. 

SNOW MAY INITIALLY MIX WITH SLEET AS THE PRECIPITATION OVERSPREADS
THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOW ARE EXPECTED
THIS EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...THEN TAPER OFF TO
LIGHTER SNOW FOR TUESDAY MORNING. A TOTAL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
SNOW...WITH SOME LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. AT
THE SAME TIME...WINDS WILL BE GRADUALLY SWINGING FROM THE EAST AROUND
TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND INCREASE IN SPEED...SO BLOWING SNOW
WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

KSZ103>105-MOZ021-022-028>031-037>039-044>046-130600-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.070213T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-CLINTON-CALDWELL-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-
CARROLL-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...
POLO...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...WARRENSBURG...
SEDALIA...BOONVILLE
353 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY. 

EARLY THIS EVENING...RAIN WILL BE MIXING WITH SLEET...ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW IN
THE 7 TO 9 PM TIME PERIOD. THEN PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOW CAN BE
EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. LIGHTER
SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS. TOTAL
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

PC
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 130032
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
632 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

KSZ025-102-MOZ001>006-011>015-020-023-130845-
/O.UPG.KEAX.SN.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
MERCER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-BUCHANAN-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
PRINCETON...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...
JAMESPORT...TRENTON...ST. JOSEPH...CHILLICOTHE
632 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY. THE
SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EARLY EVENING RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THAT THE STORM
SYSTEM WAS INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY...WITH A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW EXTENDING FROM NORTHWEST MISSOURI ALL THE WAY TO
SOUTHWEST KANSAS. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD FAR NORTHERN
MISSOURI AND EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS OVERNIGHT. RAPID SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH PER HOUR MAY BE POSSIBLE...AND A RUMBLE OF
THUNDER CANNOT BE RULED OUT. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE
QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES...WITH INCREASING WINDS LEADING TO
AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.

ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE
EXPECTED NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM ATCHISON KANSAS TO ST. JOSEPH
TO TRENTON BY MID MORNING TUESDAY. THE HEAVY WET SNOW...COMBINED WITH
INCREASING WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT...COULD LEAD TO DOWNED
TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

MOZ007-008-016-017-024-025-032-033-040-130845-
/O.EXT.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T2100Z/
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LINN MO-MACON-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN
632 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST TUESDAY. 

EARLY EVENING RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED PRECIPITATION HAD STILL NOT
REACHED FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI...BUT AREAS FROM KIRKSVILLE TO
UNIONVILLE WILL BEGIN TO SEE SNOWFALL BEFORE 8 PM.

FURTHER SOUTH...MODERATE RAIN WAS BEGINNING TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO
SNOWFALL FROM GALLATIN TO CHILLICOTHE TO BRUNSWICK...AND A CHANGEOVER
TO ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING. SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI
RIVER...A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL AFTER WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

ALTHOUGH SOME MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE IOWA BORDER...THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
IS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO FALL TUESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNED
AREA BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT...REACHING SPEEDS OF
20 TO 30 MPH ON TUESDAY. DUE TO THE HEAVY WET NATURE OF THE
SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...ALONG WITH DOWNED LIMBS AND POWER LINES COULD
BECOME A PROBLEM ON TUESDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ021-022-028>031-037>039-043>046-053-054-
130845-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
632 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY. 

EARLY EVENING RADAR IMAGERY AND WEATHER OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT
PRECIPITATION WAS STILL GENERALLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. A MIX WITH SLEET AND SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OCCUR
EARLY THIS EVENING FROM NORTHERN KANSAS CITY TO PLATTSBURG TO
KINGSTON...AND THIS CHANGEOVER WILL STEADILY PROGRESS SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT.

WITHIN THE ADVISORY AREA...MINOR SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER BY MIDNIGHT. A LULL IN
THE PRECIPITATION...ACCOMPANIED BY LIGHT SNOW OR DRIZZLE...MAY OCCUR
AFTER MIDNIGHT BEFORE STEADY SNOW RESUMES BEFORE DAY BREAK.

MODERATE SNOW EARLY TUESDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO BRING 1 TO 3
INCHES OF SLUSHY ACCUMULATIONS TO THE REGION. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
ALSO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH...LEADING TO AREAS OF BLOWING
SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

BOOKBINDER
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 130325
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
925 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

MOZ007-008-016-017-024-025-032-033-040-131130-
/O.CON.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T2100Z/
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LINN MO-MACON-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN
925 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST TUESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST TUESDAY. 

AS OF 9 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A LARGE
AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD AREAS NORTH OF
THE MISSOURI RIVER. VISIBILITIES WERE ALREADY AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER
MILE NEAR KIRKSVILLE.

EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR AND NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...SNOW
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT...WITH THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3
TO 5 INCHES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED FROM UNIONVILLE AND KIRKSVILLE...
SOUTHWARD TOWARD BROOKFIELD AND MACON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY.

FURTHER SOUTH...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WERE STILL FALLING FROM
MOBERLY TO FAYETTE...WITH A SLOW TRANSITION TO SNOW EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. IN THESE AREAS...THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO
FALL TUESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE OVERNIGHT...REACHING SPEEDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH ON TUESDAY. DUE TO THE HEAVY WET NATURE OF THE
SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...ALONG WITH DOWNED LIMBS AND POWER LINES COULD
BECOME A PROBLEM ON TUESDAY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ001>006-011>015-020-023-131130-
/O.CON.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
MERCER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-BUCHANAN-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
PRINCETON...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...
JAMESPORT...TRENTON...ST. JOSEPH...CHILLICOTHE
925 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY. 

AS OF 9 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A LARGE
AREA OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL SPREADING FROM NORTHEAST
KANSAS INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI. SNOW FALL REPORTS FROM MOUND CITY AND
SAVANNAH...SOUTHWARD TO EFFINGHAM AND ST. JOSEPH HAVE RANGED FROM 1
TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH ONE INCH PER HOUR AT
TIMES. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS...WITH
INCREASING WINDS LEADING TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.

ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO LOCALLY 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED NORTH AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM ATCHISON KANSAS TO ST. JOSEPH TO TRENTON BY MID
MORNING TUESDAY. THE HEAVY WET SNOW... COMBINED WITH INCREASING WINDS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT... COULD LEAD TO DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND
POWER LINES.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ021-022-028>031-037>039-043>046-053-054-
131130-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
925 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY. 

AS OF 9 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND CALLS FROM
AREA WEATHER OBSERVERS INDICATED THAT RAIN WAS BEGINNING TO
TRANSITION TO SNOW FROM GARDNER...TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS
CITY...EASTWARD TOWARD CONCORDIA AND MARSHALL. AFTER A BRIEF MIX OF
SLEET...MOST AREAS WILL SEE A STEADY TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW
OVERNIGHT AS COLDER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH.

THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE MISSOURI RIVER OVERNIGHT...FROM PLATTE CITY TO PLATTSBURG...
CAMERON AND CLINTON WHERE 4 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL DECREASE QUICKLY FURTHER SOUTH AS
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MUCH MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE. ACCUMULATIONS OF
ONLY AN INCH OR TWO ARE EXPECTED FROM SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE KANSAS
METRO...EASTWARD TO CONCORDIA AND MARSHALL. LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FROM BUTLER TO CLINTON TO SEDALIA THROUGH
DAYBREAK GIVEN THE EXTENDED DURATION OF THE RAIN.

ONE FINAL BAND OF MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO WRAP ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND MID MISSOURI DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...AND WILL ACCOUNT
FOR MOST OF THE ACCUMULATION IN SOUTHERN AREAS...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES
OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

BOOKBINDER
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 130556
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1156 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

MOZ007-008-016-017-024-025-032-033-040-131400-
/O.CON.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T2100Z/
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LINN MO-MACON-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN
1156 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST TUESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST TUESDAY. 

A STEADY LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. HOURLY SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH PER HOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT
TIMES. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE OVERNIGHT...REACHING
SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF
BLOWING SNOW.

OVERNIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED EAST
OF HIGHWAY 65 AND NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
TOWARD MOBERLY...NEW FRANKLIN...AND FAYETTE WHERE RAIN WAS JUST
RECENTLY CHANGING OVER TO SNOW.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH
SEVERAL INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. TOTAL STORM
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ALONG A
CORRIDOR FROM KIRKSVILLE TO MOBERLY.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ001>006-011>015-020-023-131400-
/O.CON.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
MERCER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-BUCHANAN-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
PRINCETON...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...
JAMESPORT...TRENTON...ST. JOSEPH...CHILLICOTHE
1156 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST TUESDAY. 

JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT...SNOW FALL REPORTS AROUND 3 INCHES WERE COMMON
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA. A STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES OCCURRING FROM ST. JOSEPH TO CAMERON TO
GALLATIN. SNOWFALL RATES WILL AVERAGE AROUND ONE HALF INCH PER
HOUR...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR
LESS...WITH INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS LEADING TO AREAS OF BLOWING
SNOW.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT NOON...WITH ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM EFFINGHAM KANSAS TO
CAMERON TO TRENTON. THE HEAVY WET SNOW...COMBINED WITH INCREASING
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT...COULD LEAD TO DOWNED TREE LIMBS
AND POWER LINES.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ021-022-028>031-037>039-043>046-053-054-
131400-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
1156 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
TUESDAY. 

AS OF MIDNIGHT...THE RAIN/SNOW LINE WAS APPROACHING AREAS FROM PAOLA
TO HARRISONVILLE TO MARSHALL...AND WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION
BEFORE 3 AM. RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH SLEET BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW
IN THESE AREAS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

FURTHER NORTH...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...EASTWARD ACROSS THE
MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY REGION...INCLUDING LEXINGTON...MARSHALL AND
BOONVILLE. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT
TIMES...WITH SNOWFALL RATES LOCALLY APPROACHING ONE INCH PER HOUR.

THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL OVERNIGHT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE MISSOURI RIVER OVERNIGHT...FROM NORTHERN KANSAS CITY TO
PLATTSBURG...CAMERON AND CLINTON WHERE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL DECREASE QUICKLY FURTHER
SOUTH WHERE RAIN HAS HELD ON LONGER. ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO
ARE EXPECTED FROM SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE KANSAS METRO...EASTWARD TO
CONCORDIA AND MARSHALL. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FROM
BUTLER TO CLINTON TO SEDALIA THROUGH DAYBREAK GIVEN THE EXTENDED
DURATION OF THE RAIN.

ONE FINAL BAND OF MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO WRAP ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL AND MID MISSOURI DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...AND WILL
ACCOUNT FOR MOST OF THE ACCUMULATION IN SOUTHERN AREAS...WITH
1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

BOOKBINDER
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 131109
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
509 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

MOZ007-008-016-017-024-025-032-033-040-131915-
/O.CON.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T2100Z/
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LINN MO-MACON-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN
509 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A STEADY LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE BEEN
RECEIVED ACROSS THE AREA. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ARE
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED
BY MID AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF AROUND 7 INCHES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM KEYTESVILLE AND BROOKFIELD TO MACON AND
KIRKSVILLE.

IN ADDITION...NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH
ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST ROADWAYS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ001>006-011>015-020-023-131800-
/O.CON.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-
MERCER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-BUCHANAN-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
PRINCETON...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...
JAMESPORT...TRENTON...ST. JOSEPH...CHILLICOTHE
509 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF ACROSS
EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
THIS MORNING. CALLS TO AREA LAW ENFORCEMENT HAVE YIELDED NUMEROUS
REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 1 AND A HALF
INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE BY MIDDAY...WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 4 TO 6
INCHES EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION...NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH
ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. USE
CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST ROADWAYS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ021-022-028>031-037>039-043>046-053-054-
131800-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...KANSAS CITY...
INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
509 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY.

AREAS OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO
EAST...FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL
MISSOURI THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING.

REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM GREENWOOD TO
HIGGINSVILLE NORTHWARD. AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH OR LESS HAVE BEEN
RECEIVED SOUTH OF THAT LINE. AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH IS POSSIBLE IN
AND AROUND THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF 1
TO POSSIBLY 2 INCHES EXPECTED TO THE EAST IN CENTRAL MISSOURI.

IN ADDITION...NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH
ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST ROADWAYS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NRR
000 
WWUS43 KEAX 131457
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
857 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

MOZ007-008-016-017-024-025-032-033-040-132100-
/O.CAN.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.SN.Y.0007.070213T1457Z-070213T2100Z/
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-LINN MO-MACON-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
HOWARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN
857 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS.
NUMEROUS REPORTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE BEEN RECEIVED ACROSS
THE AREA. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...WITH A
STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED BY MID AFTERNOON. 

IN ADDITION...NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO NEAR
35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING
SNOW. USE CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST
ROADWAYS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MOZ003>006-013>015-023-131800-
/O.CAN.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KEAX.SN.Y.0007.070213T1457Z-070213T1800Z/
WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-LIVINGSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...
BETHANY...PRINCETON...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...
CHILLICOTHE
857 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. THE HEAVY
SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF ACROSS
EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
THIS MORNING. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL HAVE BEEN
RECEIVED ACROSS THE AREA. AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH TO INCH OF SNOW
MAY BE POSSIBLE BY MIDDAY...WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION...NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO NEAR
35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. USE CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST
ROADWAYS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ001-002-011-012-020-131600-
/O.CAN.KEAX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-HOLT-ANDREW-BUCHANAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...ST. JOSEPH
857 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS CANCELED THE
HEAVY SNOW WARNING. 

OCCASIONAL FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL HAS EXITED THE AREA. SNOWFALL TOTALS YIELDED 3 TO 5 INCHES
WITH A FEW LOCATIONS REPORTING 6 INCHES.

$$

KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ021-022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054-
131600-
/O.CAN.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...
LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...
WARRENSBURG...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
857 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS CANCELED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

OCCASIONAL FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL HAS EXITED THE AREA. SNOWFALL TOTALS YIELDED 3 TO 5 INCHES
WITH A FEW LOCATIONS REPORTING 6 INCHES.

$$

MOZ031-039-045-046-131800-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070213T1800Z/
CARROLL-SALINE-PETTIS-COOPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARROLLTON...MARSHALL...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE
857 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY.

AREAS OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO
EAST ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH MUCH OF
THE MORNING.

REPORTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE BEEN RECEIVED ACROSS THE AREA
WITH HIGHER TOTALS FURTHER NORTH. AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH TO INCH IS
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. 

IN ADDITION...NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO
NEAR 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING
SNOW. USE CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST
ROADWAYS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this heavy snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heavy snow warning went out at Feb 12, 5:01 AM CST, 7 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 5:01 AM CST, 7 hours 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
501 AM CST MON FEB 12 2007

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL DEAL WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO THE ROCKIES. AS THIS SYSTEM GATHERS
STRENGTH ACROSS THE PLAINS BY EVENING...A WINTER PRECIPITATION EVENT
WILL OVERSPREAD THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY.

CURRENTLY MOST AREAS ARE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THE CASE FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
DAYTIME HOURS BEFORE THE SURFACE LOW PUSHING INTO ARKANSAS BEGINS TO
DRAW COLDER AIR SOUTHWARD. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WOULD BE FAR
NORTHERN MISSOURI WHICH WILL HOVER AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. LOOKING
AT RADAR TRENDS AND MODEL FORCING FIELDS...DECIDED TO SCALE BACK A
BIT ON POPS TODAY...LOOKS LIKE THE BETTER LIFT ENCROACHES ON
WEST/SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TOWARD 00Z. THE MAJORITY
OF ANY PRECIPITATION WHICH FALLS DURING THE DAY SHOULD BE
RAIN...EXCEPT SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE NEAR
THE IOWA BORDER. AT THIS TIME SIGNIFICANT ICING IS NOT EXPECTED. WITH
THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES LOOKING PRETTY WARM TODAY...AND HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION HOLDING OFF TIL 00Z...WENT AHEAD AND DROPPED THE WATCH
WHICH WAS TO START AT 12Z TODAY. IN ITS PLACE...ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY FOR ROUGHLY THE NORTHERN THREE TIERS OF COUNTIES RUNNING
FROM 00Z TONIGHT THROUGH 18Z ON TUESDAY.

LOOKING LIKE THE BETTER FORCING WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE FORECAST AREA. IN ADDITION...THE ADVISORY AREA WILL HAVE BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES LONGER WHICH WILL ADD TO SNOW TOTALS. STORM
TOTAL SNOW GRIDS ARE SIMILAR TO THE OUTPUT GIVEN BY THE 21Z SREF. THE
HIGHER TOTALS WILL BE NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...RANGING FROM
BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES...ALTHOUGH SOME ISOLATED 6 INCH AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE IOWA BORDER. DECIDED TO KEEP SNOW TOTALS UNDER
WARNING CRITERIA AS THE MODEL CROSS-SECTIONS INDICATED THE BEST LIFT
DID NOT COINCIDE WITH THE FAVORABLE DENDRIDIC CRYSTAL GROWTH AREA. FURTHER
SOUTH WHERE THE CHANGEOVER MAY NOT HAPPEN UNTIL ROUGHLY
06Z...EXPECTING 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG OUR FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES WITH
ROUGHLY 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THE METRO AREA. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD
OF SLEET MIXED IN WITH RAIN AND SNOW THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR
FILTERS SOUTHWARD. HOWEVER...POINT SOUNDINGS INDICATE A FAIRLY QUICK
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW ONCE THE COLUMN BEGINS TO COOL. ANOTHER CONCERN
WITH THIS STORM WILL BE SOME BLOWING SNOW...RESULTING FROM GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW
PASSES FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY INTO ARKANSAS. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF
BY MIDDAY TUESDAY AS LIFT PUSHES TO THE EAST AND MOISTURE BECOMES
MORE SHALLOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE GRIDS. ONCE AGAIN THE REGION WILL
STAY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MANY LOCATIONS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL EXPERIENCE LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. IF DEEPER
SNOW PACK DOES MATERIALIZE SOME AREAS COULD DIP BELOW ZERO.

SAW

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST SUN FEB 11 2007/

AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...
MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS PRECIPITATION TYPE
TOWARD THE END OF THE CYCLE.

IN THE SHORT TERM...MVFR CEILINGS HAVE ENVELOPED THE AREA WITH A
STEADY DROP WEST OF THE KS/MO BORDER DUE TO EASTERLY UPSLOPE. THESE
SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY AROUND 2KFT AGL OVERNIGHT...WITH
VISIBILITIES GENERALLY IN THE 4-6SM RANGE AS SOME PATCHY LIGHT
DRIZZLE ACCOMPANIES THE MODEST WARM AIR/MOISTURE ADVECTION.

CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR THE WEAK WARM FRONT STRETCHING ACROSS
NEBRASKA AND IOWA TO DISSOLVE TOWARD DAYBREAK AS A SECONDARY FRONT
DEVELOPS FROM KTUL-KSGF-KSTL. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BACK INTO THE
EAST AND EVENTUALLY NORTHEAST.

HOWEVER...WITH THE AIRMASS ALREADY IN PLACE...THIS IS NOT A COLD
ADVECTION DIRECTION AND AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE
AREA TOWARD NOON...RAIN IS EXPECTED. GENERALLY SPEAKING...
TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE WITH HEIGHT SO PILOTS WILL LIKELY
ENCOUNTER A FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE RAIN TO SNOW CHANGEOVER BETWEEN
5-7KFT AGL.

AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACKS INTO ARKANSAS MONDAY EVENING...WINDS
OVER NW MO WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE AND BEGIN TO SHIFT INTO THE
NORTHEAST. GUSTS OF 25 TO 30KTS MAY BECOME FREQUENT TOWARD DAYBREAK
TUESDAY. THE TIMING OF THE COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS GRADUAL
WIND SHIFT REMAINS QUESTIONABLE...AND MAY NOT OCCUR AT THE KANSAS
CITY TERMINALS UNTIL MIDNIGHT TUESDAY. FOR THIS REASON HAVE DELAYED
THE ONSET OF SNOWFALL AND REDUCED THE CHANCES FOR BOTH KMKC/KMCI.

BOOKBINDER

DISCUSSION...

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY CONTINUES TO BE THE FOCUS AS A SIGNIFICANT
WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION. GFS/NAM/SREF ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW. DID NOTICE
THAT LAST COUPLE OF MODEL RUNS HAVE TAKEN THE SURFACE LOW A TAD
FURTHER SOUTH. MODELS ALSO CLOSE ON TIMING/STRENGTH OF MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE GFS A TAD FASTER THAN THE
NAM. PRIMARY DIFFERENCES...ALTHOUGH MINOR...ARE WITH RESPECT TO THE
MASS FIELDS...AND THEY COULD HAVE SIGNIFICANT EFFECTS ON THE
SENSIBLE WEATHER. OVERALL FELT THE GFS/SREF OFFER THE BEST
CONTINUITY WITH A DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE GFS QPF...AT LEAST
INITIALLY.

SOUTHERLY BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS HAVE EFFECTIVELY DRAWN UP WARMER MORE
MOIST AIR. NOW THAT THE LOW CLOUDS ARE ROLLING IN TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN CWA SHOULD ONLY DRIFT DOWNWARD WHILE AN
EARLY EVENING LOW ANTICIPATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES BEFORE
REBOUNDING ONCE THE CLOUDS AND MOISTURE MOVE IN THIS EVENING.

HAVE ONLY MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE OVERALL GRIDS ON PLACEMENT
AND TIMING OF THE DIFFERENT WEATHER TYPES. SLEET NOT AS MUCH OF AN
ISSUE BUT FREEZING RAIN AND/OR FREEZING DRIZZLE COULD BECOME A MORE
SIGNIFICANT ISSUE. STILL EXPECTING AN EAST-WEST FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO
SET UP BY TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN MO. ONCE THE FRONT SETS
UP IT SHOULD HOLD STEADY THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AND WAIT TILL
THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWA. ONCE THAT OCCURS
THE COLDER AIR NECESSARY TO SUFFICIENTLY COOL THE COLUMN FOR A
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW WILL SURGE SOUTHWARD. RIGHT NOW THAT LOOKS LIKE
IT WILL BEGIN MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES.
UNTIL THEN INSPECTION OF THE MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A LACK OF ICE
CRYSTALS ACROSS NORTHERN MO SO FREEZING PRECIPITATION WILL BE THE
PRIMARY WEATHER TYPE WHILE AREAS SOUTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO MOBERLY
LINE SHOULD SEE ALL RAIN. THAT BEING SAID WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE
ON MORNING TEMPERATURES AND ANY PRECIPITATION OVER THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AS THEY WILL BE FURTHEST FROM THE MORE MOIST AIR
AND MAY BE COOL ENOUGH AT THE START OF THE MORNING FOR SOME PATCHY
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MOVE LITTLE DURING THE DAY.

PRIMARY LIFT WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT AS STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT
CENTERED ON THE 300K SURFACE AND PRONOUNCED SLOPED FRONTOGENIC
FORCING WILL LEAD TO HEAVIER SNOW RATES ACROSS NORTHERN MO. STILL
CONCERNED ABOUT THE 3-4 G/KG OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR SNOW
PRODUCTION BUT TIME CROSS SECTIONS SHOW THE CENTER OF THE BEST
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS NOW CENTERED BELOW THE FAVORED DENDRITIC
GROWTH ZONE. IF THIS REGION OF UVV SHIFTS UPWARDS THEN LATER
FORECASTS WILL NEED TO CONSIDER INCREASING SNOW AMOUNTS.

LATER SHIFTS WILL ALSO NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON EVOLUTION OF
CONVECTION. EXPECT ANY THUNDER ON MONDAY TO OCCUR JUST SOUTH OF THE
CWA BUT IF THE MODELS SHIFT THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH THEN THIS WILL
NEED TO BE REVISITED. PVU PROGS ALSO INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR
CONVECTIVE SNOWS WITHIN THE DEFORMATION ZONE WHICH FORMS LATE MONDAY
NIGHT OVER EASTERN KS. THIS WAS PRIMARY REASON TO EXTEND THE WINTER
STORM WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AS ACCUMULATING SNOWS WILL LAST
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. LATER SHIFTS WILL ALSO NEED TO CONSIDER
WHETHER OR NOT ENOUGH SNOW WILL FALL UNDER THE DEFORMATION ZONE TO
MEET WARNING CRITERIA. STILL A WAYS OUT BUT JUST ANOTHER ITEM TO
CONSIDER.

MJ

WEDNESDAY-SUNDAY...
FOR A COUPLE DAYS FOLLOWING THE EARLY WORK WEEK WINTER STORM
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL. A COLD SURFACE HIGH WILL FLOW SOUTH AS THE WINTER STORM
SHORTWAVE EXITS THE PLAINS. TRENDED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
TEMPERATURES DOWN AS A RESULT. THURSDAY SHOULD SEE A SLOW BEGINNING
TO A WARMING TREND THAT WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.

BY LATE IN THE WORK WEEK A NORTHERN STREAM FLOW WILL ATTEMPT TO
REESTABLISH ITSELF ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS AS THE FLOW
ACROSS THE PACIFIC SPLITS. THIS MAKES FOR A MESSY PATTERN IN THE
OFFING ACROSS THE PLAINS FOR NEXT WEEKEND...AND BY MESSY I MEAN HARD
TO PIN DOWN WITH LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE
BACK TOWARDS SEASONALLY NORMAL VALUES AS THE PROGGED WEST COAST
RIDGE MOVES SLOWLY EAST. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN PLACEMENT OF ANY
WAVES AND THEIR TIMING IS VERY POOR OWING TO THE SPLIT FLOW.
THEREFORE...HAVE AVOIDED ATTACHING POPS TO ANY OF THE SHORTWAVES
PROGGED TO COMING ZIPPING THROUGH PLAINS OVER THE LAST HALF OF THE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

CUTTER

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO NOON TUESDAY FOR MOZ001-MOZ002-
     MOZ003-MOZ004-MOZ005-MOZ006-MOZ007-MOZ008-MOZ011-MOZ012-
     MOZ013-MOZ014-MOZ015-MOZ016-MOZ017-MOZ020-MOZ023-MOZ024-
     MOZ025-MOZ032-MOZ033.

KS...SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO NOON TUESDAY FOR KSZ025-KSZ102.

WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 12, 5:59 AM CST, 6 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
559 AM CST MON FEB 12 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-131200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
559 AM CST MON FEB 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH INTO THE PLAINS THIS EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM BY LATE
AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES OVER ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WHICH
WILL KEEP THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN.

THIS EVENING..COLD AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER SOUTHWARD AS
PRECIPITATION RATES INCREASE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. 3 TO 5 INCHES
OF SNOW WILL LIKELY ACCUMULATE THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS ROUGHLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE STRETCHING FROM SAINT JOSEPH TO MACON AS
THIS REGION WILL EXPERIENCE THE CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW QUICKER THAN
AREAS TO THE SOUTH. FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA...GENERALLY ALONG A MOUND CITY KANSAS TO SEDALIA LINE MAY NOT
SEE PRECIPITATION CHANGE TO ALL SNOW UNTIL MIDNIGHT WHICH WILL RESULT
IN MUCH LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOWFALL...NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY WHICH WILL RESULT IN SOME
BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST BY MID TO LATE MORNING TUESDAY.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME DRIFTING OF THE
FRESHLY FALLEN SNOW.

TOTAL STORM SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE HEAVIEST ALONG AND NORTH OF A
SAINT JOSEPH TO MACON LINE...WHERE 3 TO AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE KANSAS CITY METRO 2 TO 3 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES ANTICIPATED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

SAW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 12, 4:15 AM CSTSnow AdvisoryEAXAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Chariton, Daviess and 15 more14 hr
Feb 12, 12:20 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryEAXBates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 9 more24 hr

Nearby

Heavy Snow Warnings in Missouri, 2007Heavy Snow Warnings in Kansas, 2007Every heavy snow warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.