Flood Watch 2, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WGUS63 KEAX 260255
FFAEAX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
955 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

KSZ057-060-104-105-MOZ030>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-261100-
/O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-070426T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIAMI-LINN KS-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-
BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...KANSAS CITY KS...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...
KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...
CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
955 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN KANSAS...JOHNSON KS...LINN KS...MIAMI AND 
  WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...BATES...CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...
  COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...
  PETTIS...RANDOLPH...RAY AND SALINE.

* UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY

* AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
  OVER A SHORT DURATION HAS NEARLY SATURATED THE SOIL FROM EXTREME
  EAST CENTRAL KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A
  FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK OVER THE SAME AREA
  OVERNIGHT. THIS COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED FLOODING
  PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH MOST OF THESE WILL BE DUE TO RIVER FLOODING.

* UP TO AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED
  AMOUNTS OF HALF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY SUNRISE THURSDAY IN THE
  WATCH AREA. 

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF
A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$

MJ

000 
WGUS63 KEAX 260854
FFAEAX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
354 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

...FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED...


KSZ057-060-104-105-MOZ030>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-261000-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-070426T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIAMI-LINN KS-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-
JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-
BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...KANSAS CITY KS...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...
KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...
CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...
HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
354 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. WHILE MINOR FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS CONTINUES...THE
THREAT OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED.  PLEASE REFER TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/KC FOR RIVER FLOOD INFORMATION.

$$

24

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1138 AM CDT WED APR 25 2007

.DISCUSSION...
WILL NOT GO WITH LIMITED A FLOOD WATCH...AS AREA OF CONCERN NOT THAT
LARGE AND STILL HAS FFG IN THE INCH AND A HALF TO 2 INCH RANGE. BUT
HEADWATER GUIDANCE IS STILL WORRISOME...WITH SOUTH GRAND AND BIG
CREEK IN THE 1.0 TO 1.2 INCH RANGE. TO HEIGHTEN AWARENESS...HAVE
ADDED HEAVY RAIN WORDING TO FORECASTS...WILL INCLUDE IN THE HWO AND
AM UPDATING WEB GRAPHIC TO REFLECT LATEST CONCERNS.

PC

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/1050 AM CDT WED APR 25 2007/
DID A MINOR UPDATE TO PULL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WORDING A LITTLE
FURTHER TO THE EAST INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON...REFLECTING SPC SLIGHT RISK AREA. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE
GETTING CLEARING GOING. WATCHING CU TRYING TO BUILD IN SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI AT THIS TIME WITH INITIAL VORT LOBE. IF THIS CAN DEVELOP
INTO STORMS AND WE CAN GET SOME SUBSIDENCE GOING BEHIND THIS
LINE...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...THEN WE COULD SEE TEMPERATURES QUICKLY
POPPING UP IN THE UPPER 70S...WHICH WOULD HELP TO INITIATE
ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT...AS MAIN VORT MAX MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WILL LEAVE
MENTION OF SEVERE POTENTIAL AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN AREAS OF KANSAS
CITY A THIS POINT...BUT MAIN FOCUS MAY BE SOUTH OF KANSAS CITY...AS
SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...EVEN IF THEY ARE NOT SEVERE INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS CITY AND
AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF KANSAS CITY...MAY SEE THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY
RAINFALL...AS THE AREA SHOULD BE JUST NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT BY
00Z...PROVIDING THE ADDITIONAL LIFT TO FOCUS THE RAIN IN THE AREA
FOR SEVERAL HOURS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.  AM
LOOKING AT PUTTING OUT A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS POINT. WILL TRY TO GET
THAT POSTED BY NOONTIME IF WE ARE GOING TO ISSUE ONE.

PC

/430 AM CDT WED APR 25 2007/
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTING CUTOFF UPPER LOW OVER THE
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE THIS MORNING WITH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS DEPICTING
ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.  SHORT TERM MODELS
TRACK BOTH SURFACE AND UPPER LOWS GENERALLY EASTWARD TODAY...WITH
SURFACE LOW FINALLY MAKING IT INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AROUND 00
UTC.  STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHES FROM NEAR KMCI TO JUST
SOUTH OF KIRK WILL MOVE LITTLE TODAY...PLACING BULK OF FORECAST AREA
IN WARM SECTOR.  MOISTURE IS ABUNDANT AND LARGE SCALE ISENTROPIC
ASCENT WILL EXIST OVER THE AREA TODAY...BUT DYNAMIC FORCING LACKING
MOST...THUS SURFACE HEATING WILL BE THE IMPETUS FOR SHOWER AND STORM
DEVELOPMENT.  SURFACE BOUNDARY FORECAST TO SAG SOUTHWARD DURING THE
EVENING HOURS AND IS PROGGED TO LIE GENERALLY ALONG THE I-70/I-50
CORRIDORS.  CLOSER PROXIMITY TO UPPER LOW WILL ENHANCE DYNAMIC
FORCING AND INCREASE MOISTURE FLUX IN VICINITY OF THE SURFACE
LOW CENTER...THUS EXPECT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO INCREASE
BY EARLY EVENING HOURS.  PASSAGE OF UPPER LOW WILL LEAD TO
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND WITH DECENT AMBIENT SHEAR...EXPECT
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION.  SEVERE THREAT WILL BE RATHER SHORT LIVED AS BOUNDARY
LAYER DECOUPLES...THUS KEPT MENTION OF SEVERE ONLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL FELL TUESDAY ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
CWA...HOWEVER IT APPEARS AXIS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR A
LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. PROJECTED QPF WILL BE JUST
SHORT OF FFG VALUES...THUS WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF ON ISSUING
FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME.

UPPER LOW WILL MAKES SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS MISSOURI LATER TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY...THUS WILL CONTINUE PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.  CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
COOL WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST HAVING A GOOD HANDLE OF TEMPERATURE
TRENDS THROUGH FRIDAY.

SF

&&

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...
EXPECT CEILINGS TO SLOWLY RISE AT BOTH STJ AND MCI WHERE THEY ARE
CURRENTLY LESS THAN 1K FT. AT STJ THERE IS A LITTLE DRIER LOW LEVEL
AIR UPSTREAM WHICH WILL COMBINE WITH SOME MINOR DAYTIME WARMING TO
SLOWLY RAISE CEILINGS...AT LEAST ABOVE 1K FT BY 18Z. AT MCI THERE
IS NOT DRIER AIR UPSTREAM...SO SLOW WARMING WILL HAVE TO HELP RAISE
CEILINGS THERE. IN EITHER CASE CEILING RISES SHOULD BE SLOW BARING
ANY LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE. OVERNIGHT EXPECT CIGS TO LOWER WITH MORE
PATCHY FOG. EXPECT MORE STORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST
INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

AB

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
104 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-261815-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
104 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN
AREAS MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PAOLA KANSAS TO WARRENSBURG AND
BOONVILLE MISSOURI. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS WILL BE LARGE
HAIL...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE
TOTALLY RULED OUT.

FURTHER TO THE NORTH...TOWARD THE MISSOURI RIVER SMALLER HAIL MAY
OCCUR WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.

ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...FOCUSED NORTH
OF THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM
EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
THIS EVENING. AREAS FROM AROUND MOUND CITY AND PAOLA KANSAS TO
BELTON...HARRISONVILLE...BUTLER...CONCORDIA...WARRENSBURG...CLINTON...
MARSHALL...SEDALIA...FAYETTE AND BOONVILLE MISSOURI MAY SEE THIS
HEAVY RAIN. LOCAL AREA RIVERS MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING PROBLEMS IF
THIS RAIN OCCURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI ON THURSDAY...BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
PAOLA KANSAS TO WARRENSBURG AND BOONVILLE MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. REPORTS OF ANY FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE ALSO REQUESTED.

PC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
311 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

MOZ032-039-252045-
CHARITON-SALINE-
311 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN SALINE AND SOUTHERN
CHARITON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 307 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SLATER...MOVING NORTH AT 20
MPH.

PEOPLE IN CHARITON AND SALINE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
SLATER...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

DEROCHE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
321 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

KSZ057-060-252045-
LINN-MIAMI-
321 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN LINN AND SOUTHERN MIAMI
COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 317 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LA CYGNE...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

PEOPLE IN LINN AND MIAMI COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LA CYGNE
AND FONTANA...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION
SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

DEROCHE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
324 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

MOZ037-252100-
JACKSON-
324 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM
CDT...

AT 322 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LAKE LOTAWANA...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN JACKSON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LAKE LOTAWANA...
LEES SUMMIT...BLUE SPRINGS AND LAKE TAPAWINGO...SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

DEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
350 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0348 PM     HAIL             6 SE PARKER             38.27N 94.91W
04/25/2007  E1.00 INCH       LINN               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GAMIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
356 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

KSZ057-MOZ043-053-252130-
BATES-CASS-MIAMI-
356 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EASTERN MIAMI...NORTHWESTERN BATES
AND SOUTHWESTERN CASS COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 351 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DREXEL...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF LA CYGNE...
MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN BATES...CASS AND MIAMI COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
DREXEL AND LOUISBURG...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE
ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

DEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
416 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0409 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 NW MERWIN             38.41N 94.60W
04/25/2007                   BATES              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD OBSERVED NEAR MERWIN.

&&

GAMIS