Alert archive / Iowa / River Flood Warnings in 2007

River Flood Warning 63, NWS Quad Cities, IA

October 18, 2007Cedar County, Louisa County, Muscatine County, Iowa

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this river flood warning at Oct 18, 2007, 9:50 PM CDT for Cedar County, Louisa County, Muscatine County, Iowa. It took effect at Oct 19, 2007, 4:22 AM CDT. It was in force for 64 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 18, 2007, 9:50 PM CDT (02:50 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 19, 2007, 4:22 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 21, 2007, 8:13 PM CDT
In force
64 hr
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Cedar County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cedar River near Conesville (CNEI4).

Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
16.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05465000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KDVN 190250
FLWDVN
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
950 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT COLUMBUS JCT AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY
  SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON AFFECTING HENRY...JEFFERSON AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES
  SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING DES MOINES...HENRY AND LEE COUNTIES

.SIGNIFICANT WATER LEVEL RISES ARE OCCURRING DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCH RAINS THAT FELL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC031-115-139-191450-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0063.071019T0922Z-071021T1431Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0922Z.071020T0600Z.071021T0231Z.UU/
950 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH STREET
  NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC115-191450-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0064.071019T1628Z-071021T1500Z/
/CJTI4.1.ER.071019T1628Z.071020T0600Z.071021T0300Z.NO/
950 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT COLUMBUS JCT.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC087-101-183-191450-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0065.071019T1752Z-071021T1017Z/
/BRII4.1.ER.071019T1752Z.071020T0600Z.071020T2217Z.NO/
950 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY 
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS IN PARKING LOTS DOWNSTREAM IN THE TOWN OF COPPOCK. WATER CUTS
  OFF THE ENTRANCE TO A BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT NEAR THE IOWA HIGHWAY 1
  BRIDGE.

$$

IAC057-087-111-191450-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0066.071019T1451Z-071020T2320Z/
/AGSI4.1.ER.071019T1451Z.071020T0000Z.071020T1120Z.UU/
950 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE SOUTH RIVER BANK NEAR THE
  PERKINS ROAD BRIDGE AT AUGUSTA.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        SAT   SUN   MON
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/20 10/21 10/22
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  12.6 THU 09 PM  13.3  12.8  12.6  
IOWA RIVER
 COLUMBUS JCT          19.0  18.0 THU 09 PM  19.4  18.7  17.9  
SKUNK RIVER
 BRIGHTON              14.0     M M          14.3  13.7  13.6  
 AUGUSTA               15.0  14.3 THU 09 PM  15.0  12.2  11.0
9 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 191036
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
536 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  NORTH SKUNK RIVER NEAR SIGOURNEY AFFECTING KEOKUK COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA AND 
MISSOURI...

  SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING DES MOINES...HENRY AND LEE COUNTIES
  DES MOINES RIVER AT ST. FRANCISVILLE AFFECTING LEE AND CLARK COUNTIES
  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON AFFECTING HENRY...JEFFERSON AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES

.SIGNIFICANT WATER LEVEL RISES ARE OCCURRING DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCH RAINS THAT FELL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC031-115-139-192236-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071021T1431Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0600Z.071021T0231Z.UU/
536 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH 
  STREET NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC107-191106-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-071020T0237Z/
/SIGI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071019T0030Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
536 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH SKUNK RIVER NEAR SIGOURNEY.
* AT  4:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* THE RIVER CRESTED NEAR 16.3 FEET AT 7 PM THURSDAY EVENING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 13.9 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS SOME LOWER AGRICULTURAL LAND 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

IAC087-101-183-192235-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0065.071019T1752Z-071021T1017Z/
/BRII4.1.ER.071019T1752Z.071020T0600Z.071020T2217Z.NO/
536 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE 
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST TO NEAR 14.3 FEET AROUND 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS IN PARKING LOTS DOWNSTREAM IN THE TOWN OF COPPOCK. WATER CUTS
  OFF THE ENTRANCE TO A BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT NEAR THE IOWA HIGHWAY 1
  BRIDGE.

$$

IAC057-087-111-192235-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0066.071019T1753Z-071020T2320Z/
/AGSI4.1.ER.071019T1753Z.071020T0000Z.071020T1120Z.UU/
536 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY 
EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 15.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER OVERFLOWS THE SOUTH RIVER BANK NEAR THE
  PERKINS ROAD BRIDGE AT AUGUSTA.

$$

IAC111-MOC045-192206-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-071019T2206Z/
/SFLM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071019T0630Z.071019T1006Z.NO/
536 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DES MOINES RIVER AT ST. FRANCISVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS OVER THE LOWEST RIVER BANKS.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        SAT   SUN   MON
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/20 10/21 10/22
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.0 FRI 05 AM  13.3  12.8  12.6  
SKUNK RIVER
 SIGOURNEY             16.0  15.6 FRI 04 AM  13.9  10.8   8.1  
 BRIGHTON              14.0  12.5 THU 05 PM  14.3  13.7  13.6  
 AUGUSTA               15.0  14.5 FRI 04 AM  15.0  12.2  11.0  
DES MOINES RIVER
 ST. FRANCISVILLE      18.0  18.2 FRI 04 AM  15.5  13.9  13.9
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 191511
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1011 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT COLUMBUS JCT AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY
  IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY
  ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA AFFECTING JOHNSON AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES

.SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE OCCURRING ON AREA RIVERS DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER EASTERN IOWA EARLIER THIS WEEK.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC031-115-139-200311-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071021T0600Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.071020T1800Z.UU/
1011 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...WATER AFFECTS YARDS AND ACCESS ROADS OF 
  RESIDENCES ALONG IOWA HIGHWAY 22. WATER AFFECTS THE LOWEST SECTIONS 
  OF CAMPGROUNDS JUST NORTH OF I-80 ALONG THE RIVER AND THE LOWEST 
  SECTIONS OF JACK SHUGER MEMORIAL PARK IN MOSCOW. WATER IS ALSO ON 
  152ND STREET NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD F70.

$$

IAC095-103-200310-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.071015T0330Z.071019T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1011 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE RIVER CRESTED THURSDAY EVENING.  THE PRELIMINARY
  CREST WAS 16.42 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 15.8 FEET BY
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

$$

IAC115-200310-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0064.071019T2100Z-071021T1200Z/
/CJTI4.1.ER.071019T2100Z.071020T0600Z.071021T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY 
MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT COLUMBUS JCT.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.2 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

IAC115-200310-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.071019T1637Z-071022T1500Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.071019T1637Z.071020T1800Z.071022T0300Z.UU/
1011 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.


$$

IAC103-183-200310-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-071020T0945Z/
/KALI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071019T0000Z.071019T2145Z.UU/
1011 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ENGLISH RIVER AT KALONA.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...A PRELIMIARY CREST OF 15.57 FEET OCCURRED
  THURSDAY EVENING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        SAT   SUN   MON
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/20 10/21 10/22
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.0 FRI 09 AM  13.1  12.6  12.5  
IOWA RIVER
 MARENGO               14.0  16.3 FRI 08 AM  15.8  15.6  15.6  
 COLUMBUS JCT          19.0  18.6 FRI 09 AM  19.2  18.5  17.8  
 WAPELLO               20.0  19.8 FRI 09 AM  20.9  20.7  19.8  
ENGLISH RIVER
 KALONA                14.0  15.2 FRI 09 AM  12.3   9.7   7.5
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 200137
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
837 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY
  SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON AFFECTING HENRY...JEFFERSON AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT AFFECTING CLINTON AND SCOTT COUNTIES
  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES

.SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE OCCURRING ON AREA RIVERS DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER EASTERN IOWA EARLIER THIS WEEK.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC045-163-201337-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-071025T1200Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.071018T1530Z.071020T1200Z.071025T0000Z.UU/
837 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER AFFECTS HOMES ALONG OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 
  61. THE RIVER IS BANK FULL IN MOST AREAS.

$$

IAC031-115-139-201337-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071021T0600Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.071020T1800Z.UU/
837 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH STREET
  NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC095-103-201337-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.071015T0330Z.071020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
837 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

$$

IAC115-201337-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-071022T1200Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071020T1800Z.071022T0000Z.UU/
837 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY EVENING.

$$

IAC087-101-183-201337-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-071023T1947Z/
/BRII4.1.ER.071022T1612Z.071020T0600Z.071023T0747Z.NO/
837 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS IN PARKING LOTS DOWNSTREAM IN THE TOWN OF COPPOCK. WATER CUTS
  OFF THE ENTRANCE TO A BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT NEAR THE IOWA HIGHWAY 1
  BRIDGE.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        SUN   MON   TUE
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/21 10/22 10/23
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
 DE WITT               11.0  11.5 FRI 08 PM  11.5  11.1  11.3  
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.1 FRI 08 PM  12.6  12.4  12.2  
IOWA RIVER
 MARENGO               14.0  16.4 FRI 08 PM  15.9  15.7  15.6  
 WAPELLO               20.0  20.3 FRI 08 PM  20.3  19.7  19.3  
SKUNK RIVER
 BRIGHTON              14.0     M M          13.9  14.0  14.0
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 200954
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
454 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT AFFECTING CLINTON AND SCOTT COUNTIES
  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY
  SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON AFFECTING HENRY...JEFFERSON AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES

.SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE OCCURRING ON AREA RIVERS DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER EASTERN IOWA EARLIER THIS WEEK.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC045-163-202154-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-071025T1200Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.071018T1530Z.071020T0600Z.071025T0000Z.UU/
454 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW NEAR 11.6 FEET. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER AFFECTS HOMES ALONG OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 
  61. THE RIVER IS BANK FULL IN MOST AREAS.

$$

IAC031-115-139-202153-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071021T0600Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.071020T1800Z.UU/
454 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED NEAR 13.15 FEET AROUND 12:30 FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND FLOOD STAGE THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH STREET
  NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC095-103-202153-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.071015T0330Z.071020T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
454 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 16.5 FEET THIS MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

$$

IAC115-202153-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-071022T0459Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071020T0630Z.071021T1659Z.UU/
454 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. 
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED NEAR 20.37 FEET AROUND 10 PM FRIDAY EVENING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW LATE MORNING.

$$

IAC087-101-183-202153-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-071023T1947Z/
/BRII4.1.ER.071022T1612Z.071020T1200Z.071023T0747Z.NO/
454 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND 14.0 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS IN PARKING LOTS DOWNSTREAM IN THE TOWN OF COPPOCK. WATER CUTS
  OFF THE ENTRANCE TO A BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT NEAR THE IOWA HIGHWAY 1
  BRIDGE.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        SUN   MON   TUE
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/21 10/22 10/23
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
 DE WITT               11.0  11.6 SAT 04 AM  11.5  11.1  11.3  
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.1 SAT 04 AM  12.6  12.4  12.2  
IOWA RIVER
 MARENGO               14.0  16.5 SAT 04 AM  15.9  15.7  15.6  
 WAPELLO               20.0  20.3 SAT 04 AM  20.0  19.7  19.3  
SKUNK RIVER
 BRIGHTON              14.0     M M          13.9  14.0  14.0
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 201457
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
957 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY
  SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON AFFECTING HENRY...JEFFERSON AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT AFFECTING CLINTON AND SCOTT COUNTIES

.SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE OCCURRING ON AREA RIVERS DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER EASTERN IOWA EARLIER THIS WEEK.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC045-163-210257-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-071025T1200Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.071018T1530Z.071020T1330Z.071025T0000Z.UU/
957 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER AFFECTS HOMES ALONG OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 
  61. THE RIVER IS BANK FULL IN MOST AREAS.

$$

IAC031-115-139-210256-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071021T1200Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.071021T0000Z.UU/
957 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH STREET
  NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC095-103-210256-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-071026T1200Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.071015T0330Z.071020T1800Z.071026T0000Z.UU/
957 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

$$

IAC115-210256-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-071022T2100Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071021T0600Z.071022T0900Z.UU/
957 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

IAC087-101-183-210256-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-071023T2100Z/
/BRII4.1.ER.071023T0600Z.071020T1800Z.071023T0600Z.NO/
957 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS IN PARKING LOTS DOWNSTREAM IN THE TOWN OF COPPOCK. WATER CUTS
  OFF THE ENTRANCE TO A BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT NEAR THE IOWA HIGHWAY 1
  BRIDGE.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        SUN   MON   TUE
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/21 10/22 10/23
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
 DE WITT               11.0  11.7 SAT 09 AM  11.5  11.2  11.2  
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.1 SAT 09 AM  12.7  12.5  12.4  
IOWA RIVER
 MARENGO               14.0  16.5 SAT 09 AM  16.2  15.8  15.5  
 WAPELLO               20.0  20.3 SAT 09 AM  20.4  19.9  19.6  
SKUNK RIVER
 BRIGHTON              14.0     M M          14.0  14.0  13.9
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 210157
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
857 PM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON AFFECTING HENRY...JEFFERSON AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT AFFECTING CLINTON AND SCOTT COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY

.SIGNIFICANT RISES HAVE OCCURRED ON AREA RIVERS DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER EASTERN IOWA EARLIER THIS WEEK.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC045-163-211357-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-071025T1200Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.071018T1530Z.071021T0600Z.071025T0000Z.UU/
857 PM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW...AND WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER AFFECTS HOMES ALONG OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 
  61. THE RIVER IS BANK FULL IN MOST AREAS.

$$

IAC031-115-139-211347-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071021T1347Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.071021T0147Z.UU/
857 PM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE PRELIMARY CREST WAS 13.12 FEET FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH STREET
  NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC095-103-211356-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-071026T1200Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.071015T0330Z.071020T2230Z.071026T0000Z.UU/
857 PM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR ITS CREST NOW...AND WILL 
  FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

$$

IAC115-211356-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-071022T2100Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071021T0600Z.071022T0900Z.UU/
857 PM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY EARLY
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

IAC087-101-183-211356-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-071024T0600Z/
/BRII4.1.ER.071023T0000Z.071023T0600Z.071023T1800Z.NO/
857 PM CDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 14.1 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS IN PARKING LOTS DOWNSTREAM IN THE TOWN OF COPPOCK. WATER CUTS
  OFF THE ENTRANCE TO A BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT NEAR THE IOWA HIGHWAY 1
  BRIDGE.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        MON   TUE   WED
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/22 10/23 10/24
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
 DE WITT               11.0  11.8 SAT 08 PM  11.2  11.2  11.1  
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.0 SAT 08 PM  12.5  12.4  12.3  
IOWA RIVER
 MARENGO               14.0  16.5 SAT 08 PM  15.8  15.5  14.8  
 WAPELLO               20.0  20.3 SAT 08 PM  19.9  19.6  19.3  
SKUNK RIVER
 BRIGHTON              14.0  12.3 SAT 05 PM  13.9  14.0  13.8
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 211006
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
506 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT AFFECTING CLINTON AND SCOTT COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY
  SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON AFFECTING HENRY...JEFFERSON AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES

.SIGNIFICANT RISES HAVE OCCURRED ON AREA RIVERS DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER EASTERN IOWA EARLIER THIS WEEK.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC045-163-212206-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-071025T1200Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.071018T1530Z.071021T0830Z.071025T0000Z.UU/
506 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER AFFECTS HOMES ALONG OLD U.S. HIGHWAY 
  61. THE RIVER IS BANK FULL IN MOST AREAS.

$$

IAC031-115-139-212100-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071021T2100Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.071021T0900Z.UU/
506 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL SLOWLY TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH STREET
  NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC095-103-212205-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-071026T1200Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.071015T0330Z.071020T2230Z.071026T0000Z.UU/
506 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED NEAR 16.5 FEET AT NOON SATURDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

$$

IAC115-212205-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-071022T2100Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071021T0900Z.071022T0900Z.UU/
506 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW.  IT WILL CONTINUE TO FALL 
  TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.

$$

IAC087-101-183-212205-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-071024T0600Z/
/BRII4.1.ER.071023T0000Z.071023T0600Z.071023T1800Z.NO/
506 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKUNK RIVER NEAR BRIGHTON.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE AGAIN TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  BY TUESDAY MORNING...THEN BEGIN A SLOW FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING ALSO 
  OCCURS IN PARKING LOTS DOWNSTREAM IN THE TOWN OF COPPOCK. WATER CUTS
  OFF THE ENTRANCE TO A BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENT NEAR THE IOWA HIGHWAY 1
  BRIDGE.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        MON   TUE   WED
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/22 10/23 10/24
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
 DE WITT               11.0  11.9 SUN 04 AM  11.4  11.2  11.1  
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.0 SUN 04 AM  12.6  12.4  12.3  
IOWA RIVER
 MARENGO               14.0  16.4 SUN 04 AM  15.9  15.5  14.8  
 WAPELLO               20.0  20.4 SUN 04 AM  19.9  19.6  19.3  
SKUNK RIVER
 BRIGHTON              14.0     M M          13.9  14.0  13.8
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 211533
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1033 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT AFFECTING CLINTON AND SCOTT COUNTIES
  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO AFFECTING IOWA AND JOHNSON COUNTIES
  IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO AFFECTING LOUISA COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS ON IOWA TRIBUTARIES ARE SLOWLY FALLING AFTER HEAVY RAINS
LAST WEEK.

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC045-163-220333-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-071027T1200Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.071018T1530Z.071022T0000Z.071027T0000Z.UU/
1033 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAPSIPINICON RIVER NEAR DE WITT.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY THIS 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...OVERBANK FLOODING OCCURS. WATER AFFECTS 
  RESIDENCES ALONG THE RIVER BETWEEN WHEATLAND AND CALAMUS. WATER 
  AFFECTS BUSINESSES ALONG THE RIVER NEAR CALAMUS.

$$

IAC031-115-139-220332-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071022T0600Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.071021T1800Z.UU/
1033 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS EDGEWATER ROAD AND 245TH STREET
  NEAR CONESVILLE.

$$

IAC095-103-220332-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-071026T1800Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.071015T0330Z.071020T2230Z.071026T0600Z.UU/
1033 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT MARENGO.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER AFFECTS AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE 
  RIVER. WATER IS SEVERAL FEET DEEP IN PLACES.

$$

IAC115-220332-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-071023T1200Z/
/WAPI4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071021T1400Z.071023T0000Z.UU/
1033 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE IOWA RIVER AT WAPELLO.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        MON   TUE   WED
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/22 10/23 10/24
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
WAPSIPINICON RIVER
 DE WITT               11.0  11.9 SUN 09 AM  12.0  11.7  11.6  
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  13.0 SUN 09 AM  12.8  12.6  12.6  
IOWA RIVER
 MARENGO               14.0  16.4 SUN 09 AM  16.1  15.8  15.2  
 WAPELLO               20.0  20.4 SUN 09 AM  20.2  19.9  19.8
000 
WGUS83 KDVN 220113
FLSDVN
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
813 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...

  CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE AFFECTING CEDAR...LOUISA AND MUSCATINE 
  COUNTIES

.THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/QUADCITIES.

IAC031-115-139-220143-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-071022T0600Z/
/CNEI4.1.ER.071019T0942Z.071020T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
813 PM CDT SUN OCT 21 2007

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
* AT  8:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.6 FEET
  BY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

&& 


IN TABLE FORMAT...OBSERVATIONS AND OFFICIAL NWS FORECASTS...IN FEET.


                              OBSERVED        TUE   WED   THU
LOCATION                 FS   STG DAY TIME  10/23 10/24 10/25
                                             7 AM  7 AM  7 AM
CEDAR RIVER
 CONESVILLE            13.0  12.9 SUN 08 PM  12.6  12.6  12.4

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 18, 3:40 PM CDT, 6 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 3:40 PM CDT, 6 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
340 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.UPDATE...
WATCH/WARNING CODE UPDATED TO ADD DUBUQUE...JONES...CEDAR AND
HENRY COUNTIES TO THE WIND ADVISORY. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE MADE
TO THE ADVISORY/FORECAST.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
.SYNOPSIS...
THE 18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A WOUND UP SURFACE LOW OVER EAST
CENTRAL MN WITH A COLD FRONT ARCING SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST THROUGH
EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI. STRONG SW WINDS IN THE WARM
SECTOR HAVE BEEN FREQUENTLY GUSTING TO NEAR 40KTS SINCE LATE
MORNING. WIDESPREAD SC BEHIND THE FRONT WAS LIMITING THE SURFACE
HEATING/MIXING...KEEPING POST FRONTAL WINDS IN CHECK. BASED ON THE
MID LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOWING UP ON THE LATESTS WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY...THE UPPER LOW WAS NOW OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MN. SO FAR THE
ONLY PCPN IN OUR CWFA HAS BEEN POST FRONTAL IN THE WRAP AROUND
FLOW. THE STRONG SW FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAS SCOURED OUT THE
BETTER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN OUR AREA...WITH THE MOISTURE AXIS NOW
WELL EAST OF THE CWFA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
NEAR TERM CONCERNS WILL CENTER ON THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STRONG STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER MN. MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT LIFTING THE SYSTEM NE THROUGH WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR BY
TOMORROW MOVING. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REST OF THE
CWA THIS EVENING WITH WRAP AROUND CLOUDS AND PCPN FILLING IN
BEHIND. AT THIS TIME THE THREAT OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
AHEAD OF THE FRONT LOOKS MINIMAL WITH THE BETTER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ALREADY EAST OF THE AREA AND LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ANY
SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. WRAP AROUND SHRA WILL SPREAD OVER MOST OF THE CWA DURING
THE EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PULL NORTHEAST AWAY FROM
THE REGION. KEPT CATEGORICAL POPS GOING IN THE NORTH THIS EVENING
WITH NO HIGHER THAN CHANCE POPS IN THE SOUTH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE LIGHT...GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. THE WIND
ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 7 PM/00Z. BY THAT TIME THE LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR WILL HAVE SPREAD OVER THE REGION...CUTTING OFF THE
DEEPER MIXING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH
THE NIGHT AND MOST OF FRIDAY...BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
35 MPH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.  LINGERING SHRA SHOULD MOVE OUT OF
THE NORTH FRIDAY MORNING WITH WRAP AROUND CLOUDS CLEARING THE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SURFACE RIDGE TO PASS QUICKLY
THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT WITH DRY AND WARM RETURN FLOW
SETTING UP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. MODELS SOLUTIONS START TO
DIVERGE BY SUNDAY WITH THE TROF MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S.
AND THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST.
STAYED WITH THE SLOWER ECMWF SOLUTION WHICH MOVES THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY INTO THE CWFA LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY IN THE SOLUTIONS HAVE ALSO KEPT THE POPS IN THE LOW
CHANCE CATEGORY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT.
...DLF...

.LONG TERM...
MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING A LOT OF VARIABILITY NEXT WEEK WITH
RESPECT TO THE PHASING OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM TROFS.
THE OPERATIONAL GFS AT 12Z WAS FAVORING A SOLUTION THAT PHASES
THE TWO STREAMS INTO A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROF THAT MOVES THROUGH
THE MIDWEST MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY. THE 00Z ECMWF THOUGH WAS
HOLDING ENERGY BACK IN THE SW U.S. WHILE KEEPING A SEPARATE BUT
PROGRESSIVE NORTHERN STREAM TROF. BOTH SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IN THE
REGION BUT THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY ON THE LOCATION AND
TIMING OF THE EVENT.  THE ENSEMBLES VERIFY THE UNCERTAINTY WITH
THE LARGE H5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE THE NORTHERN
STREAM EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY ARGUES
AGAINST ANY MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST.
UNTIL THERE IS SOME CONSENSUS BETWEEN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS...HAVE
KEPT THE FORECAST INTACT WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE HPC GUIDANCE
THROUGH THURSDAY. THUS HAVE CONTINUED LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WHEN MODELS FAVOR MOST OF THE ENERGY MOVING THE
THROUGH THE REGION...THEN DRY FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES LOOK REASONABLE WITH THE FAVORED FASTER NORTHERN
STREAM FLOW PROVIDING LITTLE CHANCE FOR THE COLDER AIR OVER
SOUTHERN CANADA FROM MAKING TOO MUCH PROGRESS SOUTH.

,,,DLF...

&&

.AVIATION...
DEEP/INTENSE CYCLONE NEAR MSP WILL CONTINUE TO INDUCE STRONG SSW SFC
WINDS OF SUSTAINED 20 TO 28 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 36 KTS MPH...AT ALL
TERMINAL SITES THROUGH 00Z BEFORE SOME DECREASE EXPECTED. BKN TO OVC
STRATACU DECK ROTATING TOWARD THE REGION AT MAINLY VFR LEVELS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BUT WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS FROM 20Z-
01Z WITH SCTRD INSTABILITY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STORMS AT THE CID
AND DBQ TERMINALS. AFTER 03Z...WRAP AROUND MVFR TO OCCASIONAL IFR
STRATUS DECK WITH SCTRD SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE DBQ/CID/MLI SITES
THROUGH 13Z FRI. THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHOWERS MAY TEMPORARILY REDUCE
VSBYS TO 2-3SM AT TIMES. BACKING WINDS TO A 260-280 DEGREE DIRECTION
WITH GUSTS INCREASING AGAIN TO OVER 28 KTS...WITH WIDESPREAD VFR TO
MVFR CIGS EXPECTED AFTER 15Z FRI AT ALL TERMINAL SITES.     ..12..

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCH PLUS RAIN AMOUNTS THE PAST 24 HOURS HAS
RESULTED IN A MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING EVENT IN EASTERN IOWA
WITH 14 FORECAST POINTS RISING TO...OR FORECAST TO RISE TO AT
LEAST BANKFULL OR ACTION STAGE THE NEXT 72 HOURS. CURRENTLY...5
FLOOD WARNINGS IN EFFECT WITH 4 POINTS ALREADY AT OR PROGGED TO
REACH MODERATE FLOOD STAGE LEVELS THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AN
ADDITIONAL 4 FORECAST POINTS MAY NEED TO HAVE FLOOD WARNINGS
ISSUED THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS DEPENDING ON RATE OF RISE AND
CLARIFICATION OF RUNOFF NOW OCCURRING. TRENDED ON CONSERVATIVE
SIDE OF CRESTS MOST LOCATIONS BASED ON RATE OF RISES AND RIVER
CRESTS OCCURRING HERE AND UPSTREAM IN CENTRAL IOWA. THERE ARE 2 TO
3 FORECAST POINTS THAT MAY REQUIRE FLOOD ADVISORIES BEING ISSUED
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IF THEY REACH BANKFULL. INSPECTION OF ALL
FORECAST POINTS SHOWS 7 MORE FORECAST POINTS TO RISE TO WITHIN 1.5
FEET OF ACTION STAGE OR BANKFULL THE NEXT 3 TO 8 DAYS INCLUDING
SOUTHERN 1/3 OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

THIS PUTS NEARLY 2/3 OF RIVER FORECAST POINTS NEAR ACTION STAGE WHICH
IF WE RECEIVE ANOTHER SEASONABLY HEAVY RAIN EVENT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
WOULD AGGRAVATE FLOODING ISSUES.  PRELIMINARY CALCULATIONS SUGGEST
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCH RAIN EVENT WOULD PUSH SEVERAL FORECAST POINTS
WELL BACK INTO MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING CATEGORIES.  PASS FOR LATER
SHIFTS TO MONITOR...MAKING ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH OR FLOOD WATCH
A POSSIBILITY IF RECEIVE SIGNIFICANTLY MORE RAIN.    ..NICHOLS..

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CEDAR-CLINTON-DES
     MOINES-DUBUQUE-HENRY IA-JACKSON-JONES-LEE-LOUISA-MUSCATINE-
     SCOTT.

IL...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BUREAU-CARROLL-
     HANCOCK-HENDERSON-HENRY IL-JO DAVIESS-MCDONOUGH-MERCER-
     PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-STEPHENSON-WARREN-WHITESIDE.

MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CLARK-SCOTLAND.

&&

DLF/12/NICHOLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 18, 5:00 AM CDT, 16 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
500 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-191000-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
500 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FOR
TODAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY BY LATE MORNING. A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

TONIGHT...BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS.

SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG WITH SOME FLOODING ARE OCCURRING ON AREA
RIVERS DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN ACROSS IOWA. REFER TO LOCAL
HYDROLOGIC PRODUCTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY. THERE IS
THE POSSIBILITY THAT A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR FRIDAY.

FLOODING WILL BE SEEN ON SOME AREA RIVERS THIS WEEKEND DUE TO THE
RECENT HEAVY RAIN ACROSS IOWA. RIVERS THAT WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED
ARE THE CEDAR...ENGLISH...IOWA...WAPSIPINICON...NORTH SKUNK...AND
SKUNK RIVERS.

LOOKING FURTHER OUT...ANOTHER FALL STORM SYSTEM COULD POTENTIALLY
AFFECT THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 18, 6:05 PM CDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
605 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

IAZ088-089-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ010-190115-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-LEE-HENDERSON-WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT PLEASANT...BURLINGTON...
FORT MADISON...OQUAWKA...MONMOUTH...CARTHAGE...MACOMB...KAHOKA
605 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...HIGH WINDS...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA UNTIL SUNSET. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF BRINGING STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH FOR A SHORT PERIOD
OF TIME. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA UNTIL 7 PM CDT.
Special weather statement, Oct 18, 6:30 PM CDT, 3 hours 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
630 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

IAZ054-066-068-ILZ001-002-007-009-015-016-024-190130-
JACKSON-CLINTON-SCOTT-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-WHITESIDE-
ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MAQUOKETA...CLINTON...BETTENDORF...
DAVENPORT...GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...STERLING...
ROCK FALLS...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...ALEDO
630 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...HIGH WINDS WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND
THROUGH 8 PM. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING
A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH WINDS SUSTAINED AT 30 TO 35 MPH AND
GUSTING FROM 40 TO 55 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL BLOW AROUND
ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS AND MAY BRING DOWN SOME SMALL TREE
LIMBS OR BRANCHES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 9:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningDVNLouisa23 hr
Oct 18, 9:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson, Washington61 hr
Oct 18, 9:50 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Lee23 hr
Oct 18, 9:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningDVNLee13 hr
Oct 19, 9:44 AM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryDVNJackson8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Iowa, 2007Every river flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.