Heat Advisory 2, NWS Quad Cities, IA

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
858 AM CDT MON AUG 13 2007

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-141000-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
858 AM CDT MON AUG 13 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S AND INCREASING HUMIDITY TODAY
WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES
IN PORTIONS OF THE AREA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. IF DEW POINTS CAN
INCREASE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S COMBINED WITH MID 90 DEGREE
TEMPERATURES...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 105 TO 109 MAY
OCCUR FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.

A FEW HIGH BASED AND NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE OUT OF
CENTRAL IOWA AND AFFECT AREAS SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
WILLIAMSBURG...TO MOUNT PLEASANT THROUGH MID MORNING. OF MORE
CONCERN WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN MINNESOTA AND THEN MOVE DOWN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30 IN NORTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHWEST
ILLINOIS WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF EXPERIENCING THESE STORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. DEPENDING ON WHERE THESE STORMS INITIALLY FORM...THE THREAT
COULD EXTEND DOWN TO OR EVEN JUST SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 80
CORRIDOR. IF THESE STORMS DO MANAGE TO GET DOWN INTO THE AREA...THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE FROM DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OF 60 TO 70
MPH. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DUMP HEAVY AMOUNTS
OF RAINFALL IN A SMALL TIME. A FEW LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE REPEATED
STORMS COULD RECEIVE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL BY TUESDAY MORNING...
WHICH MAY PRODUCE SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS DUBUQUE AND DELAWARE COUNTIES IN
MODERATE RISK FOR TONIGHT...AND THE REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
DOWN TO THE HIGHWAY 34 CORRIDOR IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THERE ARE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH A WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI OR
NORTHERN IOWA TO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THESE STORMS TO FORM ON.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IS FORECASTING A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
STORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE
SEVERE WEATHER...WITH HIGH INSTABILITY IN OUR HOT HUMID AIRMASS.
THE GREATEST RISK WITH THESE STORMS IS LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. IT
IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER OR
HEAVY RAINS ON THURSDAY.

FRIDAY NIGHT...SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER OR HEAVY RAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 80.

12/LE/ERVIN

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