Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Quad Cities, IA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
418 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

.UPDATE...
AXIS OF DENSE FOG HAS FORMED ROUGHLY ALONG AND 75SM EITHER SIDE OF
A LINE FROM MQB TO RFD THIS MORNING. THIS WAS IN AREA OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...AS EVIDENT ON 00Z ILX SOUNDING...THAT WAS GETTING
PULLED W-NW BY AXIS OF PRESSURE FALLS FROM EASTERN KS TO NW IA. IN
THIS AREA...RADIATIVE COOLING UNDER INITIALLY CLEAR SKIES HAS ALLOWED
TEMPERATURES TO COOL TO NEAR DEWPOINT VALUES IN LOWER TO MID 60S.
CI BLOWOFF FROM TSRA COMPLEX MOVING INTO NW MO WAS SEEN ON SAT
OVERSPREADING EASTERN IA INTO W CENTRAL AND NW IL...WHICH SHOULD
ELIMINATE THE RADIATIVE COOLING AND SLOW THE WESTWARD PROPAGATION...BUT
AT SAME TIME LIKELY DELAY THE NORMAL DISSIPATION AFTER SUNRISE.

HAVE ISSUED DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR ALL BUT JO DAVIESS COUNTY IN
IL. FOG WILL BRUSH FAR EASTERN IA COUNTIES ALONG RIVER...BUT
EXPECTING AFOREMENTIONED HIGH CLOUDS TO LIMIT DENSE FOG FROM
SPREADING MUCH FURTHER WEST.

&&

.AVIATION...
LARGE AXIS OF LIFR FOG AND STRATUS WILL LINGER ALONG AND EAST OF
MS RIVER UNTIL ABOUT 14Z. AXIS HAS SPREAD WEST INTO MLI AND HAVE
UPDATED TERMINAL FORECAST THERE TO KEEP LIFR CONDITIONS THERE
UNTIL 14Z. WIDESPREAD MVFR FOG WILL IMPACT REMAINDER OF AREA
THROUGH 15Z. OTHERWISE...MVFR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO THE CID
AREA TOWARD MIDDAY...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING ALL
TERMINALS LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS
WILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE MVFR CIGS AND VISBYS...ALONG WITH
POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 40 KTS.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR BUREAU-
     CARROLL-HANCOCK-HENDERSON-HENRY IL-MCDONOUGH-MERCER-PUTNAM-
     ROCK ISLAND-STEPHENSON-WARREN-WHITESIDE.

MO...NONE.
&&

SHEETS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
535 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-021045-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
535 AM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE FOUND EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS FAR EASTERN
IOWA AND MOST OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS. VISIBILITIES WILL BE AS LOW
AS A QUARTER MILE. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST
OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS UNTIL 9 AM.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF A LINE FROM NEAR DYERSVILLE...THROUGH THE
QUAD CITIES...TO MACOMB. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER RISK IS LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND...WITH A LOW POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES FROM
MID AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE
ADEQUATE MOISTURE AND SHEAR FOR A FEW SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS...
BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE LARGELY DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH CLEARING
OF CLOUD COVER TAKES PLACE LATER TODAY.

ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS
OF EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI THAT RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS.

MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE IOWA RIVER NEAR
MARENGO DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THAT SITE AND FURTHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN THE LATEST FLOOD
STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A NEAR DAILY CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM SATURDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

ON SATURDAY CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION ONGOING EARLY IN THE DAY ARE
LIKELY TO LIMIT ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL BY LIMITING HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE.  THUS...THE RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER IS LOW.  IF SUNSHINE CAN BREAK THROUGH AND WARM TEMPERATURES
MORE THAN EXPECTED...THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS INCREASES.

AT THIS TIME...THERE IS NO CLEAR INDICATION REGARDING THE RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS BEYOND SATURDAY.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PERIOD
WHICH MAY RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.  THIS EXTENDED PERIOD
OF WET WEATHER MAY ALSO RESULT IN FURTHER RISES ON AREA RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING.

SHEETS/LE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
148 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     TSTM WND GST     DAVENPORT               41.56N 90.60W
06/01/2007  E60 MPH          SCOTT              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS AT THE WALMART NEAR ELMORE AND
            I-74.

&&

JH2

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
156 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0148 PM     TORNADO          GRANDVIEW               41.28N 91.19W
06/01/2007                   LOUISA             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES. CITY OF GRANDVIEW CORDONED OFF BY
            POLICE DUE TO THE DAMAGE. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

JH2

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
203 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 PM     TORNADO          GRANDVIEW               41.28N 91.19W
06/01/2007                   LOUISA             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES. CITY OF GRANDVIEW CORDONED OFF BY
            POLICE DUE TO THE DAMAGE. DELAYED REPORT.

1225 PM     TORNADO          MUSCATINE               41.42N 91.07W
06/01/2007                   MUSCATINE          IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEMI TRAILER TRUCKS OVERTURNED AT THE INDUSTRIAL CENTER
            IN MUSCATINE. DELAYED REPORT.

1225 PM     TORNADO          MUSCATINE               41.42N 91.07W
06/01/2007                   MUSCATINE          IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERE DAMAGE REPORTED FROM FRUITLAND TO MUSCATINE.
            HOUSES DAMAGED. BUSINESSES DESTROYED. AT LEAST SEVERAL
            INJURIES.

&&

JH2

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
206 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     HAIL             GOOD HOPE               40.56N 90.67W
06/01/2007  M0.25 INCH       MCDONOUGH          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL NORTH OF GOOD HOPE.

&&

JH2

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
214 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     BLIZZARD         4 SE MAQUOKETA          42.02N 90.61W
06/01/2007                   CLINTON            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO TORNADOS REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT MOVING NE.

&&

ELLIOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
219 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0214 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     ALBANY                  41.79N 90.22W
06/01/2007                   WHITESIDE          IL   PUBLIC

            REPORTED NEAR CORNER OF KENNEDY ROAD AND STONE STREET.
            RELAYED BY LINCOLN WFO.

&&

ELLIOTT