Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 279, NWS Des Moines, IA

August 15, 2007Butler County, Grundy County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 15, 2007, 7:35 AM CDT for Butler County, Grundy County, Iowa. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 15, 2007, 7:35 AM CDT (12:35 UTC)
Expired: Aug 15, 2007, 8:30 AM CDT
In force: 55 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Butler County, IA, Grundy County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1040 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -200 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 755 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDMX 151234
SVRDMX
IAC023-075-151330-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0279.070815T1235Z-070815T1330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
735 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GRUNDY COUNTY IN CENTRAL IOWA...
  SOUTHERN BUTLER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL IOWA...

* UNTIL 830 AM CDT

* AT 731 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES WEST OF APLINGTON...OR
  ABOUT 39 MILES WEST OF WATERLOO...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APLINGTON BY 745 AM CDT...
  8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PARKERSBURG BY 755 AM CDT...
  GRUNDY CENTER BY 805 AM CDT...
  REINBECK BY 820 AM CDT...

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4270 9255 4255 9255 4247 9256 4246 9255
      4232 9254 4230 9256 4229 9301 4278 9302
TIME...MOT...LOC 1235Z 295DEG 33KT 4254 9306

$$

VACHALEK

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 151314
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
814 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

IAC023-075-151330-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0279.000000T0000Z-070815T1330Z/
BUTLER IA-GRUNDY IA-
814 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 AM CDT
FOR GRUNDY AND SOUTHERN BUTLER COUNTIES...

AT 813 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MORRISON...OR ABOUT 16
MILES SOUTHWEST OF WATERLOO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  REINBECK BY 820 AM CDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST IOWA.

LAT...LON 4270 9255 4255 9255 4247 9256 4246 9255
      4232 9254 4230 9256 4229 9301 4278 9302
TIME...MOT...LOC 1314Z 295DEG 33KT 4239 9262

$$

VACHALEK

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 151331
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
831 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

IAC023-075-151341-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0279.000000T0000Z-070815T1330Z/
BUTLER IA-GRUNDY IA-
831 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GRUNDY AND SOUTHERN BUTLER
COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 830 AM CDT...

AT 830 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST IOWA.

LAT...LON 4270 9255 4255 9255 4247 9256 4246 9255
      4232 9254 4230 9256 4229 9301 4278 9302
TIME...MOT...LOC 1314Z 295DEG 33KT 4239 9262

$$

VACHALEK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 15, 3:02 AM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 3:02 AM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
302 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER TRICKY DAY IN TEMP FORECASTING WITH THE CONVECTION AROUND
THIS MRNG.  LARGE MCS NOW CENTERED OVER SERN SD WL PUTH EAST THIS
MRNG.  INTENSITIES ARE DECREASING FM THE W AS AN IMPL MOVES ENEWD,
257091KTS, THRU THE SYS.  THIS IS EVIDENT IN RADAR MOSAIC IMAGERY.
EXPECT THE BULK OF THE PCPN TO MOVE OUT OF THE CWA BY MID MRNG OR SO
WITH SOME CLEARING  AS DRYING SHWN ON H2O VAP ROTATES INTO THE ARE.
WET GROUNDS AND OUTFLOW BNDRY WL LKLY KEEP THE N HLF OF THE CWA IN
THE 80S.  SRN IA SHUD STILL WRM UP.  NEXT ROUND OF TSRA ON TAP FOR
TNGT AS FNT SINKS INTO THE AREA.  THAT SHOULD PUSH TO THE S OF US ON
THU AND FEEL GFS SOLNS ON FNTL PSN ARE BETTER THAN THE NAM.  NAM
LOOKS TOO FAR S WITH IT.  RETURN OF WAA LKS GUD FOR FRI NGT AND WUD
NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A WDSPRD TSRA EVENT FRI NGT INTO SAT.  CHCS
FOR RAIN DIMINISH A LITTLE OVR THE WKD WITH THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT
BEING TD 5.  GFS WAS EARLY TO CATCH THIS YDA AND ALL MDLS HAVE
CAUGHT ON TO THE SYS.  THE GENLY WET PTRN WL CONT INT NXT WK.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 15, 5:13 AM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
513 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-161100-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
513 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN IOWA THIS
MORNING. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE STATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. A FEW STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH HIGH WIND THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LINGERING NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AREA EXPECTED FROM THE
INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR SOUTH THURSDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORM WILL
DEVELOP AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE CHANCE CONTINUING THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 15, 6:52 AM CDT, 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
652 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 N BURT                43.21N 94.22W
08/15/2007                   KOSSUTH            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 POWER POLES DOWNED ONE HALF MILE NORTH OF BURT...TREE
            LIMBS DOWN IN BURT.

&&

RVACHALE

Local storm report, Aug 15, 6:56 AM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
656 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NW THORNTON           42.98N 93.46W
08/15/2007                   CERRO GORDO        IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ABOUT ONE QUARTER OF TREE TOPS SNAPPED OFF 3 LARGE
            TREES...1 COTTONWOOD AND 2 LOCUST TREES. ALSO, SEVERAL 8
            INCH DIAMTER TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

PODRAZIK

Local storm report, Aug 15, 7:03 AM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
703 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N SWALEDALE           43.02N 93.32W
08/15/2007                   CERRO GORDO        IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 SEMIS BLOWN OVER BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 185 AND 186 ON
            INTERSTATE 35.

&&

PODRAZIK

Local storm report, Aug 15, 7:26 AM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
726 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 AM     TSTM WND DMG     N ROCKWELL              42.99N 93.19W
08/15/2007                   CERRO GORDO        IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL 6 TO 8 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN...SOME POSSIBLY
            LARGER...BLOCKING AT LEAST 10 ROADS IN THE TOWN OF
            ROCKWELL.

&&

PODRAZIK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 15, 6:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Cerro Gordo, Franklin	37 min
Aug 15, 6:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Franklin, Hardin	49 min
Aug 15, 7:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Butler	35 min
Aug 15, 7:51 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Bremer	39 min
Aug 15, 8:20 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Tama	40 min
Aug 15, 8:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Tama	21 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.