Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 175, NWS Des Moines, IA

June 22, 2007Guthrie County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 22, 2007, 3:58 PM CDT for Guthrie County, Iowa. It was in force for 47 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 22, 2007, 3:58 PM CDT (20:58 UTC)
Expired: Jun 22, 2007, 4:45 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Guthrie County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 22, 4:00 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 60	6 S Panora, IA	ALSO VERY HEAVY RAIN AND BENDING TREES REPORTED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 22, 1:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 236 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -370 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1448 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDMX 222058
SVRDMX
IAC077-222145-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0175.070622T2058Z-070622T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
358 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GUTHRIE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 357 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10
  MILES SOUTH OF PANORA...OR ABOUT 36 MILES WEST OF DES MOINES...AND
  MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN GUTHRIE COUNTY AT 410 PM CDT

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR IOWA.

LAT...LON 4179 9429 4160 9429 4160 9425 4150 9425
      4151 9463 4182 9464

$$

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 222116
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
416 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

IAC077-222145-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0175.000000T0000Z-070622T2145Z/
GUTHRIE IA-
416 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR GUTHRIE COUNTY...

AT 415 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF MENLO...OR ABOUT 34 MILES WEST OF DES
MOINES...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

A 60 MPH WIND GUST WAS REPORTED SOUTH OF PANORA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR IOWA.

LAT...LON 4179 9429 4160 9429 4160 9425 4150 9425
      4151 9463 4182 9464

$$

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 222141
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
442 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

IAC077-222152-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0175.000000T0000Z-070622T2145Z/
GUTHRIE IA-
442 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GUTHRIE COUNTY EXPIRES AT 445
PM CDT...

AT 440 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR IOWA.

LAT...LON 4179 9429 4160 9429 4160 9425 4150 9425
      4151 9463 4182 9464

$$

DONAVON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 21, 11:45 PM CDT, 16 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 11:45 PM CDT, 16 hours 13 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1145 PM CDT THU JUN 21 2007

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FOCUS IS ON SEVERE WEATHER IN SHORT TERM HOWEVER FOR FRIDAY
AFTER TODAYS RAIN MAY BECOME NECESSARY TO ISSUE FFA ON FRIDAY.
ATTM MCS ROLLING DOWN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND WITH HELP OF VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND PLENTY OF CAPE AS WELL AS SEVERAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER IN FORM OF LARGE HAIL.  TONIGHT
AS SHORTWAVE MOVES DOWN THE RIDGE WILL FURTHER ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT
WITH LIKELIHOOD OF HEAVY RAIN THOUGH AREA OF HEAVY RAIN MAY BE
SMALL.  GUIDANCE WOULD SUGGEST FIRST ROUND OF RAIN CAN BE TAKEN
EASILY WITHOUT LIMITED PROBLEMS IT WILL BE SECOND ROUND TOMORROW
THAT MAY BRING ABOUT FLASH FLOODING.  ON FRIDAY THINGS RELOAD AND
UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA TO TRIGGER DEVELOPMENT.  WONDER
ON FRIDAY HOW MUCH MODELS ARE GETTING CHOKED ON FEEDBACK THOUGH WITH
PWS IN 1.7-2.2 WILL FURTHER AID HEAVY RAIN PROCESSES.  LATEST MODEL
RUNS HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND MUCH SLOWER WITH RAIN NOW LINGERING FOR
DAY ON SATURDAY.  AFTER SATURDAY LONG TERM MODELS FORECAST UPPER
RIDGE TO AMPLIFY AND WESTERLIES HEAD NORTH WITH ONLY SMALL CHANCES
FOR ANY RAIN LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SEVERAL WEAK VORTS SLIP UNDER THE
RIDGE.  BELIEVE THIS FORECAST TO BE MOSTLY DRY THOUGH HAVE LEFT
SLIGHT CHANCES IN DAYS 6 AND 7.  EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN VERY
SUMMER LIKE WITH HIGHS AROUND 90.

&&

.AVIATION 22/06Z...

DIFFICULT FORECASTING CEILING AND THUNDERSTORM TRENDS WITH SURFACE
BOUNDARY REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY FROM SE IA INTO W CNTRL IA.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY TO THE NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY. BETWEEN
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX EXITING IL AND THE NEXT ONE OVER NEBRASKA...COULD
BE ENOUGH CLEAR SKIES TO ALLOW VSBY TO DROP BRIEFLY IN FOG OR HAZE.
VFR SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO PRECEDE A PERIOD OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AND MVFR CONDITIONS CENTERED IN THE 09-12Z TIME FRAME. SHOULD BE A
BREAK DURING THE MORNING WITH QUICK AND FAIRLY WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON
DEVELOPMENT CENTERED ON THE REMAINING BOUNDARY EXACT LOCATION OF
WHICH WILL BE PINNED DOWN IN LATER UPDATES.

&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

LONG TERM...FORSTER
AVIATION...JUNGBLUTH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 22, 1:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
140 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-231045-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
140 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE LIKELY WITH HAIL TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND
GUSTS OF 60 MPH POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH QUITE UNLIKELY...A BRIEF TORNADO
TOUCH DOWN IS A POSSIBILITY. THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL END BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...HOWEVER LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF A WATERLOO TO BEDFORD LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY SATURDAY MORNING...CAN BE
EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF A MASON CITY TO ATLANTIC LINE. THE NEXT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF
THE STATE.  AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE SEVERITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 22, 1:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
148 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     HAIL             3 SE OGDEN              42.01N 93.99W
06/22/2007  M0.88 INCH       BOONE              IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

PODRAZIK

Local storm report, Jun 22, 2:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
203 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     7 E BERKLEY             41.95N 93.98W
06/22/2007                   BOONE              IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

PODRAZIK

Local storm report, Jun 22, 2:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
210 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     HAIL             5 SE OGDEN              41.99N 93.96W
06/22/2007  E0.88 INCH       BOONE              IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SEARCY

Local storm report, Jun 22, 3:12 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
312 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             URBANDALE               41.64N 93.74W
06/22/2007  E1.00 INCH       POLK               IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            INTERSTATE 35 / 80 AND DOUGLAS IN URBANDALE

&&

SEARCY

Local storm report, Jun 22, 3:19 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
319 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     HAIL             8 S OGDEN               41.92N 94.03W
06/22/2007  E1.00 INCH       BOONE              IA   NSSL-SHAVE

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED FROM 2 PM TIL 220 PM.

&&

RAD

Local storm report, Jun 22, 3:45 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
345 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     HAIL             6 N BOUTON              41.94N 94.01W
06/22/2007  E0.88 INCH       BOONE              IA   NSSL-SHAVE

&&

JJOHNSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 21, 7:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Davis	39 min
Jun 22, 1:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Carroll	39 min
Jun 22, 1:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Boone	45 min
Jun 22, 1:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Greene	47 min
Jun 22, 1:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Boone	40 min
Jun 22, 1:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas	48 min
Jun 22, 2:07 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Dallas	23 min
Jun 22, 2:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Franklin, Wright	26 min
Jun 22, 2:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Greene	50 min
Jun 22, 2:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Dallas, Polk	31 min
Jun 22, 2:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Boone, Story	25 min
Jun 22, 2:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas, Polk	50 min
Jun 22, 3:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Polk	28 min
Jun 22, 3:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Dallas, Polk	6 hr
Jun 22, 3:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Dallas, Guthrie, Polk	6 hr
Jun 22, 4:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas	30 min
Jun 22, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Madison	49 min
Jun 22, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Polk, Warren	46 min
Jun 22, 4:20 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Franklin, Hamilton, Hardin, Wright	6 hr
Jun 22, 4:24 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Butler, Grundy	6 hr
Jun 22, 4:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Warren	30 min
Jun 22, 4:42 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Polk	6 hr
Jun 22, 4:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Warren	31 min
Jun 22, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Polk	44 min
Jun 22, 5:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Lucas, Marion, Monroe	52 min
Jun 22, 5:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Marshall	6 hr
Jun 22, 5:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Madison	30 min
Jun 22, 5:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Adair	42 min
Jun 22, 5:25 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Tama	6 hr
Jun 22, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Warren	31 min
Jun 22, 5:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Adair, Madison	6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.