Alert archive / Iowa / Blizzard Watches in 2007
Blizzard Watch 1, NWS Des Moines, IA
NWS Des Moines, IA issued this blizzard watch at Feb 28, 2007, 4:14 AM CST for 33 counties in Iowa. It took effect at Mar 1, 2007, 3:00 AM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 28, 2007, 4:14 AM CST (10:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 1, 2007, 3:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Feb 28, 2007, 5:00 PM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Des Moines, IA
All 33 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Madison County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Story County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 872 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KDMX 281014 WSWDMX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 414 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SECOND ROUND OF SEVERE WINTER WEATHER ... .LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE TODAY. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD IOWA TONIGHT AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY BEFORE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN IOWA ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA ALONG WITH A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION. WHERE THE SNOW AND WINDS ARE COMBINED...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IAZ070>072-081-082-092-093-281800- /O.CAN.KDMX.WS.A.0006.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC...GREENFIELD...WINTERSET... CORNING...CRESTON...BEDFORD...MOUNT AYR 414 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TODAY IN THE FORM OF SOME FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND RAIN. BY THIS AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR PRECIPITATION TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN. BY TONIGHT...A RAIN WILL INTENSIFY WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BEFORE TURNING TO ALL SNOW BY THURSDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE LIGHTER AMOUNTS NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER AND HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE INTERSTATE 80S CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE QUICKLY BY THURSDAY MORNING FROM THE NORTHWEST UP TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. $$ IAZ060-073-083-094-281115- /O.CAN.KDMX.WS.A.0006.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ POLK-WARREN-CLARKE-DECATUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DES MOINES...INDIANOLA...OSCEOLA...LEON 414 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WATCH. A LIGHT MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY OCCUR THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER A TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED BY THAT TIME. ANY PRECIPITATION LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOULD REMAIN RAIN UNTIL A TRANSITION TO SNOW ON THURSDAY MORNING...HOWEVER ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE AROUND AN INCH OR LESS. $$ IAZ004>007-015>017-023>027-033>038-044>048-057>059-281800- /O.UPG.KDMX.WS.A.0006.070228T1200Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.070228T1800Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO- POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER- HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY- AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTHERVILLE...ALGONA...FOREST CITY... NORTHWOOD...EMMETSBURG...GARNER...MASON CITY...POCAHONTAS... HUMBOLDT...CLARION...HAMPTON...ALLISON...SAC CITY... ROCKWELL CITY...FORT DODGE...WEBSTER CITY...ELDORA... GRUNDY CENTER...DENISON...CARROLL...JEFFERSON...BOONE...AMES... AUDUBON...GUTHRIE CENTER...ADEL 414 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST THURSDAY... ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS BLIZZARD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP BY MIDDAY TODAY ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW IS FORECAST MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM POCAHONTAS THROUGH HAMPTON TO WAVERLY WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS LINE...A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH ICING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. BY THIS EVENING...THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA IS EXPECTED CHANGE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH THE FREEZING DRIZZLE PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL TENTH OF SO OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS PRECIPITATION. BY LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES ALONG WITH SOME THUNDER. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR FOR A BRIEF TIME ON THURSDAY MORNING. THE SNOW INTENSITIES WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON BUT PERIODS OF LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATIONS WILL VARY FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHWAY 30 CORRIDOR FROM DENISON TO AMES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE MINNESOTA BORDER. HOWEVER...THE LARGEST THREAT WILL COME FROM THE VERY STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH THE DAY TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. THE COMBINATION OF THESE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW WILL PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ IAZ028-039-281800- /O.UPG.KDMX.WS.A.0006.070228T1200Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.070228T1800Z-070301T0900Z/ BREMER-BLACK HAWK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAVERLY...WATERLOO 414 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP BY MIDDAY TODAY ACROSS THE AREA. FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH ICING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. BY THIS EVENING... THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED CHANGE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH THE PRECIPITATION PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL TENTH OF SO OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH ABOUT TWO TENTHS TOTAL FOR THE STORM. EVEN THOUGH THIS DOES NOT MEET ICE STORM WARNING CRITERIA...IT MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE WEAKENED INFRASTRUCTURE FROM LAST WEEKENDS ICE STORM. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. $$ IAZ049-050-281800- /O.NEW.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.070228T1800Z-070301T0900Z/ MARSHALL-TAMA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARSHALLTOWN...TOLEDO 414 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP BY MIDDAY TODAY ACROSS THE AREA. FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH ICING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. BY THIS EVENING... THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED CHANGE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH THE PRECIPITATION PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL TENTH OF SO OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH ABOUT TWO TENTHS TOTAL FOR THE STORM. EVEN THOUGH THIS DOES NOT MEET ICE STORM WARNING CRITERIA...IT MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE WEAKENED INFRASTRUCTURE FROM LAST WEEKENDS ICE STORM.. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. $$ COGIL
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KDMX 281449 WSWDMX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 849 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SECOND ROUND OF SEVERE WINTER WEATHER ... .LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE TODAY. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD IOWA TONIGHT AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY BEFORE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN IOWA ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA ALONG WITH A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION. WHERE THE SNOW AND WINDS ARE COMBINED...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IAZ071-072-082-282300- /O.EXB.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.070228T1500Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.CON.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ ADAIR-MADISON-UNION- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENFIELD...WINTERSET...CRESTON 849 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX WITH RAIN BY LATE MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR PRECIPITATION TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN. BY TONIGHT...A RAIN WILL INTENSIFY WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BEFORE TURNING TO ALL SNOW BY THURSDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE LIGHTER AMOUNTS NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER AND HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE INTERSTATE 80S CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE QUICKLY BY THURSDAY MORNING FROM THE NORTHWEST UP TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. $$ IAZ060>062-073>075-083>086-095>097-282300- /O.EXB.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.070228T1500Z-070301T0900Z/ POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE- WAPELLO-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DES MOINES...NEWTON...GRINNELL... INDIANOLA...KNOXVILLE...OSKALOOSA...OSCEOLA...CHARITON...ALBIA... OTTUMWA...CORYDON...CENTERVILLE...BLOOMFIELD 849 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. THE FREEZING PRECIPITATION MAY ALSO MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES. SNOW IS FORECAST MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM POCAHONTAS THROUGH HAMPTON TO WAVERLY WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS LINE...A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH ICING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. BY THIS EVENING...THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA IS EXPECTED CHANGE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH THE FREEZING DRIZZLE PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL TENTH OF SO OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS PRECIPITATION. BY LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES ALONG WITH SOME THUNDER. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR FOR A BRIEF TIME ON THURSDAY MORNING. THE SNOW INTENSITIES WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON BUT PERIODS OF LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATIONS WILL VARY FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHWAY 30 CORRIDOR FROM DENISON TO AMES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE MINNESOTA BORDER. HOWEVER...THE LARGEST THREAT WILL COME FROM THE VERY STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH THE DAY TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. THE COMBINATION OF THESE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW WILL PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ IAZ004>007-015>017-023>027-033>038-044>048-057>059-282300- /O.EXT.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.070228T1500Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.CON.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO- POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER- HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY- AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTHERVILLE...ALGONA...FOREST CITY... NORTHWOOD...EMMETSBURG...GARNER...MASON CITY...POCAHONTAS... HUMBOLDT...CLARION...HAMPTON...ALLISON...SAC CITY... ROCKWELL CITY...FORT DODGE...WEBSTER CITY...ELDORA... GRUNDY CENTER...DENISON...CARROLL...JEFFERSON...BOONE...AMES... AUDUBON...GUTHRIE CENTER...ADEL 849 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. SNOW IS FORECAST MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM POCAHONTAS THROUGH HAMPTON TO WAVERLY WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS LINE...A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH ICING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. BY THIS EVENING...THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA IS EXPECTED CHANGE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH THE FREEZING DRIZZLE PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL TENTH OF SO OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS PRECIPITATION. BY LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES ALONG WITH SOME THUNDER. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR FOR A BRIEF TIME ON THURSDAY MORNING. THE SNOW INTENSITIES WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON BUT PERIODS OF LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATIONS WILL VARY FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHWAY 30 CORRIDOR FROM DENISON TO AMES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE MINNESOTA BORDER. HOWEVER...THE LARGEST THREAT WILL COME FROM THE VERY STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH THE DAY TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. THE COMBINATION OF THESE STRONG WINDS AND SNOW WILL PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ IAZ028-039-049-050-282300- /O.EXT.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.070228T1500Z-070301T0900Z/ BREMER-BLACK HAWK-MARSHALL-TAMA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAVERLY...WATERLOO...MARSHALLTOWN... TOLEDO 849 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. THE FREEZING PRECIPITATION MAY INTENSIFY A BIT FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH ICING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. BY THIS EVENING...THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED CHANGE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE WITH THE PRECIPITATION PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL TENTH OF SO OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH ABOUT TWO TENTHS TOTAL FOR THE STORM. EVEN THOUGH THIS DOES NOT MEET ICE STORM WARNING CRITERIA...IT MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE WEAKENED INFRASTRUCTURE FROM LAST WEEKENDS ICE STORM.. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. $$ IAZ070-081-092-093-282300- /O.CON.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ CASS-ADAMS-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC...CORNING...BEDFORD... MOUNT AYR 849 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TODAY IN THE FORM OF SOME FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND RAIN. BY THIS AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ENOUGH FOR PRECIPITATION TO BE PRIMARILY RAIN. BY TONIGHT...A RAIN WILL INTENSIFY WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BEFORE TURNING TO ALL SNOW BY THURSDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE LIGHTER AMOUNTS NEAR THE MISSOURI BORDER AND HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE INTERSTATE 80S CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE QUICKLY BY THURSDAY MORNING FROM THE NORTHWEST UP TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. $$ FAB
000 WWUS43 KDMX 282210 WSWDMX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SECOND ROUND OF SEVERE WINTER WEATHER ... .LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE OUT OF KANSAS ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND THEN ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN IOWA THROUGH THURSDAY. BEHIND THE LOW A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL DEVELOP. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAUSING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF IOWA THROUGH FRIDAY. IAZ044>048-057>059-071-072-082-010615- /O.CAN.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.UPG.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-ADAIR- MADISON-UNION- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DENISON...CARROLL...JEFFERSON...BOONE... AMES...AUDUBON...GUTHRIE CENTER...ADEL...GREENFIELD...WINTERSET... CRESTON 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WHILE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING IT WOULD BE BRIEF AND WILL NOT WARRANT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AS A RESULT THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. ALTHOUGH THE WINTER WEATHER THREAT HAS LESSENED FOR TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND THERE MAY EVEN BE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SNOW EARLY. 4 TO 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND IS FINALLY EXPECTED TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. $$ IAZ060-010615- /O.CAN.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...DES MOINES 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE WINTER WEATHER THREAT HAS LESSENED FOR TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SOME STORMS MAY EVEN PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND THERE MAY EVEN BE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SNOW EARLY. 4 TO 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND IS FINALLY EXPECTED TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. $$ IAZ049-050-061-062-073>075-083>086-095>097-010615- /O.CAN.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0002.070301T1800Z-070303T0000Z/ MARSHALL-TAMA-JASPER-POWESHIEK-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-CLARKE-LUCAS- MONROE-WAPELLO-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARSHALLTOWN...TOLEDO...NEWTON... GRINNELL...INDIANOLA...KNOXVILLE...OSKALOOSA...OSCEOLA... CHARITON...ALBIA...OTTUMWA...CORYDON...CENTERVILLE...BLOOMFIELD 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE WINTER WEATHER THREAT HAS LESSENED FOR TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY FRIDAY. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND MAY INCREASE AND COULD PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ IAZ004>007-015>017-023>027-033>038-010615- /O.UPG.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ /O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO- POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER- HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTHERVILLE...ALGONA...FOREST CITY... NORTHWOOD...EMMETSBURG...GARNER...MASON CITY...POCAHONTAS... HUMBOLDT...CLARION...HAMPTON...ALLISON...SAC CITY... ROCKWELL CITY...FORT DODGE...WEBSTER CITY...ELDORA... GRUNDY CENTER 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A MIX OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...SLEET OR SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND END AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE OFF AND ON AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT BUT ANY FREEZING PRECIPITATION FALLING OVER THE AREA WILL ONLY COMPOUND ANY REMAINING PROBLEMS FROM LAST WEEKENDS ICE STORM. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. BY LATE THURSDAY 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ IAZ070-081-092-093-010615- /O.UPG.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ CASS-ADAMS-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC...CORNING...BEDFORD... MOUNT AYR 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST DURING THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. BY LATE THURSDAY 10 TO 14 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. $$ IAZ028-039-010615- /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0002.070301T1800Z-070303T0000Z/ /O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ BREMER-BLACK HAWK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAVERLY...WATERLOO 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A LIGHT MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING AND END AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE PERIODIC AND NOT LAST LONG BUT ANY ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION WILL ONLY ADD TO THE PROBLEMS CREATED BY LAST WEEKENDS ICE STORM. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST DURING THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. BY LATE THURSDAY 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ IAZ094-010615- /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0002.070301T1800Z-070303T0000Z/ DECATUR- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LEON 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND MAY INCREASE AND COULD PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ FAB
000 WWUS43 KDMX 282300 CCA WSWDMX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SECOND ROUND OF SEVERE WINTER WEATHER ... .LOW PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE OUT OF KANSAS ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND THEN ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN IOWA THROUGH THURSDAY. BEHIND THE LOW A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL DEVELOP. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAUSING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF IOWA THROUGH FRIDAY. IAZ044>048-057>059-071-072-082-010615- /O.CAN.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.UPG.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-ADAIR- MADISON-UNION- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DENISON...CARROLL...JEFFERSON...BOONE... AMES...AUDUBON...GUTHRIE CENTER...ADEL...GREENFIELD...WINTERSET... CRESTON 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WHILE A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING IT WOULD BE BRIEF AND WILL NOT WARRANT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. AS A RESULT THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. ALTHOUGH THE WINTER WEATHER THREAT HAS LESSENED FOR TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND THERE MAY EVEN BE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SNOW EARLY. 4 TO 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND IS FINALLY EXPECTED TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. $$ IAZ060-010615- /O.CAN.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...DES MOINES 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE WINTER WEATHER THREAT HAS LESSENED FOR TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SOME STORMS MAY EVEN PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND THERE MAY EVEN BE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SNOW EARLY. 4 TO 7 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND IS FINALLY EXPECTED TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. $$ IAZ049-050-061-062-073>075-083>086-095>097-010615- /O.CAN.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0002.070301T1800Z-070303T0000Z/ MARSHALL-TAMA-JASPER-POWESHIEK-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-CLARKE-LUCAS- MONROE-WAPELLO-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARSHALLTOWN...TOLEDO...NEWTON... GRINNELL...INDIANOLA...KNOXVILLE...OSKALOOSA...OSCEOLA... CHARITON...ALBIA...OTTUMWA...CORYDON...CENTERVILLE...BLOOMFIELD 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE WINTER WEATHER THREAT HAS LESSENED FOR TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY FRIDAY. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND MAY INCREASE AND COULD PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ IAZ004>007-015>017-023>027-033>038-010615- /O.UPG.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ /O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO- POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER- HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTHERVILLE...ALGONA...FOREST CITY... NORTHWOOD...EMMETSBURG...GARNER...MASON CITY...POCAHONTAS... HUMBOLDT...CLARION...HAMPTON...ALLISON...SAC CITY... ROCKWELL CITY...FORT DODGE...WEBSTER CITY...ELDORA... GRUNDY CENTER 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A MIX OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...SLEET OR SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND END AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE OFF AND ON AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT BUT ANY FREEZING PRECIPITATION FALLING OVER THE AREA WILL ONLY COMPOUND ANY REMAINING PROBLEMS FROM LAST WEEKENDS ICE STORM. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. BY LATE THURSDAY 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ IAZ070-081-092-093-010615- /O.UPG.KDMX.BZ.A.0001.070301T0900Z-070302T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.W.0002.070301T1200Z-070303T0000Z/ CASS-ADAMS-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC...CORNING...BEDFORD... MOUNT AYR 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST DURING THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. BY LATE THURSDAY 5 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS NEAR THE ATLANTIC AREA. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. $$ IAZ028-039-010615- /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0002.070301T1800Z-070303T0000Z/ /O.CON.KDMX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070301T0900Z/ BREMER-BLACK HAWK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAVERLY...WATERLOO 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY... ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY. A LIGHT MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING AND END AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE PERIODIC AND NOT LAST LONG BUT ANY ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION WILL ONLY ADD TO THE PROBLEMS CREATED BY LAST WEEKENDS ICE STORM. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST DURING THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. BY LATE THURSDAY 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WILL CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. THE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF USING A GENERATOR FOR POWER...ENSURE PROPER OUTDOOR VENTILATION TO PREVENT ILLNESS OR DEATH. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ IAZ094-010615- /O.NEW.KDMX.BZ.A.0002.070301T1800Z-070303T0000Z/ DECATUR- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LEON 410 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...A NORTHWEST WIND MAY INCREASE AND COULD PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.. A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. $$ FAB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this blizzard watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard watch went out at Feb 28, 4:13 AM CST, 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 4:13 AM CST, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 413 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 .SYNOPSIS... 160+KT JET NOW PUSHING ACROSS BAJA/SWRN CONUS WITH SHRT WVS NOTED OVER CA/NV. OTHER WEAKER WVS NOW EXTEND FM ERN MT THROUGH MO RIVER VALLEY WITH STRONG KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC FORCING APPROACHING. PCPN MAINLY VIRGA FOR NOW WITH RADAR ECHOS WORSE LOOKING THAN SFC OBS SUGGEST. 09Z SFC ANLYS SHOWS LOW PRES IN FAR SWRN CO WITH WRMFNT ALG KS/OK BORDER. SFC DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 40S AND EVEN LOW 50S IN OK WITH 100-300 J/KG MUCAPES N OF BNDRY INTO SERN KS/SWRN MO. .DISCUSSION... MANY ASPECTS OF THIS STORM TO WORRY ABOUT RANGING FROM POTENTIAL BLIZZARD N AND W TO SVR TSTMS FAR SE. AFOREMENTIONED STRONG FORCING REMAINS STEADY TODAY SO EXPECT SATURATION AND PCPN TO COMMENCE LATER THIS MORNING WITH POPS INCREASING TO LIKELIES AND CATEGORICAL IN MOST LOCATIONS BY AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SNOW NORTH WITH RAIN...FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ALL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING CENTRAL AND SOUTH...TRANSITIONING TO FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW NORTH AND RAIN SOUTH. STAYED AT OR BELOW COOL END OF GUIDANCE WITH ELY WINDS...CLOUDS AND PCPN DEVELOPING. THIS FORCING EXITS FORECAST AREA THIS EVE DURING WHAT LOOKS TO BE RELATIVE MIN IN UVM. SOUNDINGS SHOW SATURATION IN LOWEST 5-10KT FEET SO WE ARE LOOKING AT MINIMAL QPF DURING THIS PERIOD. PCPN TYPE WED EVE LOOKS TO BE PRIMARILY LIQUID. MID LEVEL RH DIMINISHES AND NOT MUCH ICE INTRODUCTION NRN PORTIONS WHERE FRZG RAIN/DRZL MORE LIKELY...BUT DID MENTION TOKEN SNOW REFERENCE WITH POTENTIAL FOR SPOTTY SATURATION <-10C. HAVE SWITCHED WINTER STORM WATCH TO WINTER WX ADVY DURING THIS PERIOD. SITUATION THEN BECOMES MUCH MORE INTERESTING AND ACTIVE LATE WED NIGHT. GFS APPEARS TO BE THE MOST SE SOLUTION OF H7/H5 LOWS...WITH NAM/GEM/ECMWF A TAD MORE NWLY. MUCH LIKE HPC...WILL FAVOR THIS CONSENSUS AS STORMS SUCH AS THESE RARELY VERIFY WITH SERN FRINGE OF SOLUTIONS. DO NOT OFTEN BUST HEAVY SNOW AXIS FARTHER S THAN EXPECTED. NAM DETAILS HAVE SHRT WV DEEPENING RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT WITH CORRESPONDING DROP IN SFC PRESSURES. NOT QUITE BOMB CRITERIA...BUT WILL NOT MAKE MUCH DIFFERENCE WITH LOW DOWN TO 977MB BY THU NIGHT. VERY STRONG WARM ADVECTION/ISENT LIFT ALONG 305K SFC...WHICH IS ALONG DENDRITIC ZONE AS WELL...SUGGESTS SURGE OF CONVECTION INTO SERN QUARTER OF IA AFT MIDNIGHT. CONSIDERING THE AMOUNT OF FORCING...SPC OUTLOOK MAY NOT BE AGGRESSIVE ENOUGH N AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SVR HAILERS AROUND KOTM INTO EARLY THU. FARTHER N AND W...HIGH END FORCING IN PLACE IN THE MESO AND SYNOPTIC SCALES. DEEP INTENSE QG FORCING DEPICTED WITH VERY LOW STATIC STABILITIES DRAWN NORTHWARD ON NOSE OF DRY SLOT. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO THE IMPRESSIVE FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING SO EXPECT INTENSE BANDING WITH 1/HR + RATES IN BROADER PCPN SHIELD. 305K ISENT SFC SHOWS NICE TROWAL WITH MOISTURE TRANSPORT WRAPPED INTO SYS FROM THE SE...SEEMING A DIRECT TAP OF THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT WHICH YOU DO NOT SEE TOO OFTEN. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE THUNDER SNOW. CURRENT THINKING IS FOR 6-14 INCHES ALONG AND NW OF GREENFIELD-WEBSTER CITY-HAMPTON LINE WITH AMOUNTS OF A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN NRN IA. SEVERAL CONCERNS REGARDING THESE AMOUNTS HOWEVER ON BOTH ENDS OF THE SPECTRUM. 06Z NAM CONTINUES ITS NW TREND EVER SO SLIGHTLY WHICH COULD DIMINISH AMOUNTS...BUT ALSO MAY HAVE PROBLEMS ON THE HIGH END CONSIDERING THE UVM AND CONVECTION. HOPEFULLY THE TRANSIENT NATURE OF SYS WILL KEEP THINGS SOMEWHAT UNDER CONTROL AMOUNT WISE. WHAT IS OF HIGHER CONFIDENCE IS THE WIND POTENTIAL. WHATEVER SNOW DOES FALL WILL BE VERY WIND BLOWN WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. CONSIDERING WHAT WE HAVE EXPERIENCED THIS WEEKEND AND POTENTIAL WITH THIS STORM...WILL HEIGHTEN AWARENESS AND SWITCH LATER WINTER STORM WATCH TO BLIZZARD WATCH. SYS SHOULD CONTINUE ITS EFFECTS WITH LIGHT SNOW BUT STILL STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING EVEN INTO FRIDAY AS SECONDARY SHRT WV ROTATES AROUND PARENT LOW. TEMP WISE...EXPECT RATHER FLAT TREND TONIGHT THEN EARLY HIGHS AND FALLING READINGS THU...ESPECIALLY CENTRAL AND WEST. MAXES SHOULD BE TOWARD LOW END OF GUIDANCE. WITH PERSISTENT WINDS AND CLOUD COVER...HAVE STAYED TOWARD WARMER END THU NIGHT. INTO FRI...MIXING MAY DEVELOP SNOW SHOWERS WITH MAXES MAYBE TOWARD HIGH END. NO LATER CHANGES AS PRIMARY FORECAST EFFORT INTO THIS POTENTIALLY VERY HIGH END STORM. WSWS WILL BE VERY STRONGLY WORDED. && .DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WINTER WX ADVY 18Z WED-09Z THU ALONG AND N OF AUDUBON-WINTERSET-AMES-TAMA LINE. BLIZZARD WATCH 09Z THU-18Z FRI ALONG AND NW OF MOUNT AYR-ADEL-AMES-GRUNDY CENTER LINE. && SMALL/COGIL
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 27, 3:29 PM CST, 12 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 329 PM CST TUE FEB 27 2007 IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>048-057>059-282130- EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO- POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN- WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE- BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS- 329 PM CST TUE FEB 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE COMBINED HAZARDS OF HEAVY ICE ACCUMULATION...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER REPORTS OF SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS AS WELL AS WIND SPEEDS ARE GREATLY APPRECIATED. IAZ060-070>073-081>083-092>094-282130- POLK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD- DECATUR- 329 PM CST TUE FEB 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE COMBINED HAZARDS OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER REPORTS OF SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS AS WELL AS WIND SPEEDS ARE GREATLY APPRECIATED. IAZ049-050-061-062-074-075-084>086-095>097-282130- MARSHALL-TAMA-JASPER-POWESHIEK-MARION-MAHASKA-LUCAS-MONROE- WAPELLO-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS- 329 PM CST TUE FEB 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER ARE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WIND AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING IF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. MOYER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 4:14 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DMX | Adair, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer and 40 more | 23 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:10 PM CST | Blizzard Watch | DMX | Appanoose, Black Hawk, Bremer, Clarke, Davis, Decatur and 11 more | 12 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:10 PM CST | Blizzard Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Butler, Calhoun and 28 more | 62 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.