Wind Advisory 3, NWS Duluth, MN

000 
WWUS73 KDLH 202152
NPWDLH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
452 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007


MNZ018-025-026-033>036-202300-
/O.CAN.KDLH.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-070920T2200Z/
NORTHERN ITASCA-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-SOUTHERN CASS-
CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
452 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 15 TO 25 MPH ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE
THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

WIZ001-002-210200-
/O.NEW.KDLH.WI.Y.0004.070920T2152Z-070921T0200Z/
DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-
452 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

A STRONG APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN STRONG WINDS AND
POTENTIALLY MINOR WIND DAMAGE ACROSS DOUGLAS AND BAYFIELD COUNTY
THROUGH 900 PM. EXPECT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR MORE THAN 1 HOUR. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

$$

STEWART

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1207 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

.MESOSCALE UPDATE CONCERNING STRONG MCS MESO HIGH GRADIENT WINDS IN
CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

MATURING MCS OVER CENTRAL MINNESOTA HAS GENERATED A 2-3 MB MESO-HIGH
SURFACE PERTURBATION LOCATED NEAR BRAINERD AS OF NOON.  VERY STRONG
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS
MESO-SCALE FEATURE..IN COMBINATION WITH 4-5 MB PRESSURE FALLS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH WAKE LOW AND SYNOPTIC PRESSURE FALLS WITH
APPROACHING S/W TROF AXIS IS RESULTING IN SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 25-30
MPH WITH GUSTS 40-45 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF CASS/CROW WING
COUNTIES.  A COUPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED FROM THE WALKER AND PINE RIVER AREAS. EAST-SOUTHEAST
WINDS IN THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER ARE ALSO LIKELY RECEIVING SOME
MOMENTUM CONTRIBUTION FROM SUBSIDING COLD BRANCH OF THE LOW LEVEL
FRONTOGENSIS CIRCULATION.

THE MCS-INDUCED MESO HIGH WILL TRANSLATE EAST OVER THE NEXT 2-4
HOURS..WITH TIGHT SURFACE GRADIENT FOLLOWING SUIT AND ALSO AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF ITASCA AND AITKIN COUNTIES..AN WE EXPECT SUSTAINED
EAST-SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS FROM 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
POSSIBLE.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY WET SOILS AND ASSOCIATED
WEAKENED ROOT STRUCTURES..AND STILL FULLY LEAFED OUT VEGETATION TO
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR WIND DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. WE
WILL BE ISSUING A SHORT-LIVED WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 4 PM FOR
CASS/AITKIN/CROW WING/AITKIN COUNTIES.
 MILLER/GRANING

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
454 AM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

LSZ121-140>148-162-MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-
006>009-211000-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
OPEN WATERS OF LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI
TO GRAND PORTAGE MN-KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-
NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-
SOUTHERN ITASCA-SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-
SOUTHERN AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-
ASHLAND-IRON-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
454 AM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA...
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WEST
OF A LINE FROM BAUDETTE TO BIGFORK TO GRAND RAPIDS TO WEALTHWOOD.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS HIGH AS THE LAST
SYSTEM...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT
ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE REGION. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. HEAVY
RAIN IS MOST LIKELY OVER WESTERN SECTIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN SHIFT EAST TOWARDS
THE TWIN PORTS AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN BY MORNING. PLEASE MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES REGARDING THE THREAT OF
HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RACE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HEAVY RAIN...DAMAGING WIND...AND HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS  THE MOST
LIKELY AREA FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM THE TWIN PORTS
EAST INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

CANNON