Severe Thunderstorm Warning 74, NWS Duluth, MN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
237 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

.DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LAKE
BREEZE FRONT WITH INSTABILITY CU SEE ON VIS SAT. ALTHOUGH THERE IS
LARGE CIN AND A LACK OF LARGE SCALE LIFT...KEEP 20-30 SCT POPS
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT DUE TO STRONG WAA PATTERN AND NOSE OF
30-40 KT LLJ PUSHING INTO NW MN. BY MIDNIGHT STRONG MOISTURE
TRANSPORT AND THETA-E ADVCTN SHIFTS E INTO THE WRN PORTION OF THE
DLH CWA. THIS INCREASING MOISTURE WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL
INSTABILITY AND LIFT...SO A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE /W OF
INL TO BRD/...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS MAIN THREATS.

A THERMAL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST
OVERNIGHT...WITH INCREASING THICKNESS AND THETA-E ADVCTN.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH
MAX TEMPS GENERALLY REACHING THE 80S...AND POSSIBLY 90 IN A FEW
LOCALES. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR WHERE A 10-15 KT
LAKE BREEZE WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE 60-70 RANGE ALONG THE
LAKESHORE OF WRN LS.

A VORT MAX WILL MOVE INTO NW MN MON AFTRN...BRINGING MODEST PVA
AND OMEGA TO TRIGGER SOME TSTMS THROUGH THE LATE AFTRN/EVENING
HOURS. THE THE STRONGEST LIFT AND BEST MOISTURE /DEW PTS IN THE
70/ WILL BE FOUND IN THE NW PORTION OF THE FA...WITH SCT TSTMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FA MONDAY NIGHT.

ATTN TURNS TO MAIN BAROCLINIC ZONE AND DEEPENING LOW THAT BECOMES
NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE DAKOTAS MID WEEK...SLOWLY APPROACHING THE
NORTHLAND WED/THU. MODELS CONTINUE TO SLOW PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM
DUE TO THE STRONG OMEGA-BLOCK THAT TAKES HOLD OF CENTRAL CONUS
THROUGH THE EXTENDED FCST. THE NAM IS THE FASTER OF THE
MODELS...WENT CLOSER TO GFS/ECMWF FOR TIMING OF FRONT AND BETTER
TSTM ACTIVITY FOR THE EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...AFTERNOON CUMULUS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE AT SUNSET. SKIES WILL BE CLEAR
OVERNIGHT.

&&

POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  55  77  60  78 /  20  20  20  20
INL  59  85  62  86 /  30  30  20  20
BRD  63  88  66  87 /  30  20  20  20
HYR  57  88  61  85 /  20  20  20  10
ASX  57  83  59  84 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.

GRANING/CLC

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>