Severe Thunderstorm Warning 155, NWS Duluth, MN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...MESOSCALE UPDATE...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
350 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...CONCERNING HEAVY RAINFALL AND MARGINAL SEVERE
THREAT ACROSS CROW WING/AITKIN/PINE/DOUGLAS/BURNETT/CARLTON
COUNTIES...

ONGOING MCS OVER EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA HAS LAID DOWN AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA FROM THE SRN SUBURBS OF THE MSP
METROPLEX..WWD TO SOUTH OF WILLMAR.  NEAR SURFACE AIRMASS NORTH OF
THIS BOUNDARY IS QUITE COLD..AND THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS
EFFECTIVELY BECOME THE SURFACE WARM FRONT.

40-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET AXIS FROM NORTHEAST NEBRASKA INTO CENTRAL
MINNESOTA IS RESULTING IN TREMENDOUS INFLUX OF MOISTURE AND ELEVATED
INSTABILITY INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA WITH VERY LARGE MOISTURE
TRANSPORT VECTORS INTERSECTING THE WARM FRONT/OFB INVOF WILLAR TO
STC. SET UP APPEARS TO BE SIMILAR TO A MADDOX TYPE 1 MESOSCALE SET
UP FOR FALSH FLOODING.

RESULTANT LOW LEVEL FROTOGENETIC CIRCULATION IS RESULTING IS LAYER
LIFTING AND REALIZATION OF LARGER CAPES THAN PARCEL-BASED OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS FIELDS WOULD CURRENTLY INDICATE. RELEASE OF THIS INSTABILITY
IS EVIDENT IN THE 3-5 KFT AGL LAYER..WITH BLOSSOMING OF ELEVATED
CONVECTIVE ECHOES ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE DULUTH CWA IN THE PAST
HOUR.

RAINFALL RATES UNDERNEATH STRONGEST CORES MAY REACH 2-3 INCHES PER
HOUR..AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE INCREASING FROM THE
BRAINERD LAKES AREA EASTWARD INTO FAR WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN..
ALTHOUGH PERHAPS NOT FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS. ADDITONAL ELEVATED
CONVECTIVE DEVLOPMENT NEAR WILLMAR IS ALSO EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS..PROVIDING
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.

DUE TO EXTREMELY COLD AND STABLE NEAR-SURFACE AIR..TORNADO AND WIND
POTENTIAL WITH THESE STORMS APPEARS TO EFFECTIVELY BE ZERO.
HOWEVER..ANY REFLECTIVITY CORES WITH 50+ DBZ ECHOES UP TO AROUND 30
KFT AGL WILL POSE A THREAT OF DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
 MILLER

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR CARLTON/SOUTHERN
     ST. LOUIS-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-CROW WING-KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN
     AITKIN-NORTHERN CASS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN
     ITASCA-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-SOUTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN
     CASS-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN ITASCA-SOUTHERN
     LAKE/LAKESHORE.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR CROW WING-
     NORTHERN AITKIN-NORTHERN CASS-NORTHERN ITASCA-SOUTHERN
     AITKIN-SOUTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA.

WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR BURNETT-DOUGLAS.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT CDT FRIDAY
     NIGHT FOR LSZ121-LSZ144-LSZ145-LSZ148.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 12 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR
     LSZ140-LSZ141-LSZ142-LSZ143-LSZ146-LSZ147.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
326 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

LSZ121-140>148-162-MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-
006>009-212030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
OPEN WATERS OF LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI
TO GRAND PORTAGE MN-KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-
NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-
SOUTHERN ITASCA-SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-
SOUTHERN AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-
ASHLAND-IRON-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
326 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA...
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WEST
OF A LINE FROM BAUDETTE...TO BIGFORK...GRAND RAPIDS...MOOSE
LAKE...AND HINCKLEY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR WINDS OF 25
TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...FOR ITASCA...CASS...CROW
WING...AND AITKIN COUNTIES. THIS ADVISORY INCLUDES CASS
LAKE...PINE RIVER...GRAND RAPIDS...AITKIN...AND MILLE LACS. MINOR
WIND DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST MINNESOTA
AND DOUGLAS AND BURNETT COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...WILL PERSIST
OVERNIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN
WILL SHIFT EAST OVER THE NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES
REGARDING THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RACE ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HEAVY RAIN...DAMAGING WIND...AND HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE MOST
LIKELY AREA FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM THE TWIN PORTS
EAST INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND A PORTION OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. HEAVY RAIN WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACCOMPANYING THE COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY. THE LONG
DURATION OF RAIN MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN THE ALREADY
SATURATED AREAS. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL
UPDATES REGARDING THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.

GRANING

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>