Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Watches in 2007
Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this winter storm watch at Apr 11, 2007, 3:38 AM CDT for 22 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Apr 11, 2007, 12:31 PM CDT. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 11, 2007, 3:38 AM CDT (08:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 11, 2007, 12:31 PM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 13, 2007, 12:10 AM CDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
All 22 counties
Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Trego County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1692 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -240 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -165 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KDDC 110838 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 338 AM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER RETURNS TO PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS... .A COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT SOUTH OF THE OKLAHOMA BORDER LATE THUR DAY. BY FRIDAY A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. NORTH OF THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SNOW IS EXPECTED DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY IN MANY LOCATIONS BUT A FEW AREAS MAY RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AS GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE. KSZ030-031-043>045-111645- /O.NEW.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T0300Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY 338 AM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. AT THIS TIME AVERAGE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW LOCATIONS TO RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES BY FRIDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WHICH WILL PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ BURGERT/SCOTT
7 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KDDC 111006 CCA WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 503 AM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...WINTER WEATHER RETURNS TO PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS... .A COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT SOUTH OF THE OKLAHOMA BORDER LATE THUR DAY. BY FRIDAY A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. NORTH OF THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SNOW IS EXPECTED DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY IN MANY LOCATIONS BUT A FEW AREAS MAY RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AS GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE WHICH MAY PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. KSZ030-031-043>045-111830- /O.COR.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T0300Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY 503 AM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. AT THIS TIME AVERAGE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW LOCATIONS TO RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES BY FRIDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WHICH MAY PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ BURGERT/SCOTT
000 WWUS43 KDDC 111731 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1231 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER WILL RETURN FRIDAY... .A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AND THEN STALL SOUTH OF THE OKLAHOMA BORDER LATE THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM STRENGTHENS...STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN MANY LOCATIONS...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS TO THE NORTH IN THE I-70 AREA. A FEW AREAS MAY RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AS GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE. KSZ046-061>066-077>079-120630- /O.EXB.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T1200Z/ RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-GRAY-FORD- EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JETMORE...HANSTON... LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON...CIMARRON... MONTEZUMA...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS 1231 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007 /1131 AM MDT WED APR 11 2007/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. AT THIS TIME AVERAGE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WHICH MAY PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. $$ KSZ030-031-043>045-120630- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T0300Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY 1231 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY EVENING... WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS. IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WILL DEVELOP...WHICH MAY PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ 12
000 WWUS43 KDDC 120245 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 945 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER WILL RETURN FRIDAY... .A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES ON THURSDAY. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD WESTERN KANSAS ON FRIDAY AND THEN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL GATHER COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE LIFTING NORTH FROM THE GULF AND INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DOWN NEAR THE RED RIVER TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. THIS IS EXPECTED TO START THURSDAY NIGHT PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF RAIN AS TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING. AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY, PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS LIKELY OVER A GOOD PORTION OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS BY FRIDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION, STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND POSSIBLE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. KSZ030-031-043>045-121015- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T0300Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY 945 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO GIVE DETAILS REGARDING SNOW AMOUNTS, SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW ON THE ORDER OF 6 INCHES OR GREATER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. IN ADDITION, STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND THE POSSIBILITY OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ KSZ046-061>066-077>079-121015- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T1200Z/ RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-GRAY-FORD- EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JETMORE...HANSTON... LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON...CIMARRON... MONTEZUMA...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS 945 PM CDT WED APR 11 2007 /845 PM MDT WED APR 11 2007/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO GIVE DETAILS REGARDING SNOW AMOUNTS, ACCUMULATION OF SNOW ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND THE POSSIBILITY OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. $$ LACY
000 WWUS43 KDDC 120942 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 442 AM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...MAJOR SPRING SNOWSTORM EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .A VERY STRONG STORM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHWEST REGION OF THE COUNTRY THURSDAY. AS THE STORM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY...GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE WILL SURGE RAPIDLY NORTHWARD AND INTERACT WITH COLD LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD HEAVY WET SNOW. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW OVER FAR WEST CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH THE RAIN-SNOW LINE GRADUALLY SHIFTING SOUTH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BE THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE BY LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING FRIDAY OVER MOST OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS. STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE SNOW WHICH MAY PROMOTE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING WITH LOCALIZED NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. LARGE ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY MAY PROMOTE THUNDER SNOW AS WELL. KSZ076-084>087-121745- /O.EXB.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1800Z-070414T1200Z/ HASKELL-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 442 AM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AROUND THE MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OF 5 TO 9 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION... STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ KSZ074-075-121745- /O.EXA.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T1200Z/ STANTON-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON CITY...ULYSSES 442 AM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION... STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. $$ KSZ030-031-043>045-121745- /O.EXT.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T1200Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY 442 AM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION... STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ KSZ046-064>066-077>079-121745- /O.EXT.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1800Z-070414T1200Z/ RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON... CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS 442 AM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OF 4 TO 7 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION... STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. $$ KSZ061>063-121745- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T1200Z/ HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SYRACUSE...LAKIN...DEERFIELD... GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA 442 AM CDT THU APR 12 2007 /342 AM MDT THU APR 12 2007/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS AROUND THE SYRACUSE VICINITY AND AROUND MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON FARTHER EAST TOWARDS GARDEN CITY. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION... STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. $$ UMSCHEID
000 WWUS43 KDDC 121738 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1238 PM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...RARE APRIL SNOW STORM IS HEADED FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL CROSS WESTERN KANSAS FRIDAY...ENTERING NORTHWEST KANSAS FRIDAY MORNING AND CENTRAL KANSAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE SNOW TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY...AS COLD AIR FILTERS DOWN INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE EAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH...THEN SHIFT NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE NORTHWEST OF A HAYS TO NESS CITY TO GARDEN CITY TO JOHNSON LINE...THE SNOW COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THIS AREA ALONG WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. SIGNIFICANT...BUT LESSER AMOUNTS...OF SNOW WILL FALL IN THE ELKHART TO LIBERAL TO DODGE CITY TO LARNED SWATH. STRONG WINDS COULD ALSO REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIME IN THIS SWATCH. THE SNOW WILL END IN THE SYRACUSE TO SCOTT CITY TO WAKEENEY AREAS AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING SOUTHEAST OF THIS LINE. KSZ030-031-043>045-061>063-074-075-130200- /O.UPG.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1200Z-070414T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.WS.W.0001.070413T1200Z-070414T0600Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES 1238 PM CDT THU APR 12 2007 /1138 AM MDT THU APR 12 2007/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR A WEATHER THREAT THAT IS LIFE THREATENING TO THOSE CAUGHT OUTDOORS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ046-064>066-076>079-084>087-130200- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1800Z-070414T1200Z/ RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-MORTON- STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON... SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...DODGE CITY... BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS...ELKHART...RICHFIELD...HUGOTON... MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 1238 PM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. $$ 12
000 WWUS43 KDDC 122051 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 351 PM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...A MAJOR SPRING SNOW STORM IS HEADED FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS... .A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL BEGIN TONIGHT IN FAR WESTERN KANSAS AND GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE NORTHWEST OF A HAYS TO NESS CITY TO GARDEN CITY TO JOHNSON LINE. THE SNOW AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS COULD RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT...BUT LESSER AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL FALL ALONG A ELKHART TO LIBERAL TO DODGE CITY TO LARNED SWATH. KSZ030-031-043>045-061>063-074-075-130500- /O.EXT.KDDC.WS.W.0001.070413T0600Z-070414T0600Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES 351 PM CDT THU APR 12 2007 /251 PM MDT THU APR 12 2007/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY. RAIN WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND THEN CHANGE TO SNOW. THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW MAY OCCUR BY 1 AM CDT IN HAMILTON AND STANTON COUNTIES. BY 3 AM...SNOW WILL SPREAD EAST TO ULYSSES...SCOTT CITY AND GARDEN CITY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES. A FEW LOCATIONS IN HAMILTON...KEARNY...SCOTT... LANE AND TREGO COUNTIES COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES OF SNOW. NORTHEAST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR A WEATHER THREAT THAT IS LIFE THREATENING TO THOSE CAUGHT OUTDOORS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ046-064>066-076>079-084>087-130500- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1800Z-070414T1200Z/ RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-MORTON- STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON... SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...DODGE CITY... BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS...ELKHART...RICHFIELD...HUGOTON... MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 351 PM CDT THU APR 12 2007 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. $$
000 WWUS43 KDDC 130510 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1210 AM CDT FRI APR 13 2007 ...A MAJOR SPRING SNOW STORM IS HEADED FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS... .AN INTENSE SPRING STORM OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TONIGHT WILL MOVE OUT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BE DEVELOPING LATER TONIGHT IN AREAS NORTH OF A JOHNSON TO GARDEN CITY AND HAYS LINE. AREAS TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL SEE RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY NOON FRIDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE NORTHWEST OF A HAYS TO NESS CITY TO GARDEN CITY TO JOHNSON LINE. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP WHICH...COMBINED WITH THE SNOW...COULD RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT...BUT LESSER AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL FALL ALONG A SWATH FROM ELKHART TO LIBERAL TO DODGE CITY AND LARNED. KSZ046-064>066-076>079-084>087-131315- /O.UPG.KDDC.WS.A.0002.070413T1800Z-070414T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KDDC.WS.W.0001.070413T1800Z-070414T1200Z/ RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-MORTON- STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON... SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...DODGE CITY... BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS...ELKHART...RICHFIELD...HUGOTON... MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 1210 AM CDT FRI APR 13 2007 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM CDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY MIDDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATED STATEMENTS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR A WEATHER THREAT THAT IS LIFE THREATENING TO THOSE CAUGHT OUTDOORS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-043>045-061>063-074-075-131315- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0001.070413T0600Z-070414T0600Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...NESS CITY...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES 1210 AM CDT FRI APR 13 2007 /1110 PM MDT THU APR 12 2007/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SATURDAY. RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW EARLY THIS M0RNING BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW. THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW MAY OCCUR BY 2 AM CDT IN HAMILTON AND STANTON COUNTIES. BY 4 AM...SNOW WILL SPREAD EAST TO ULYSSES...SCOTT CITY AND GARDEN CITY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES. A FEW LOCATIONS IN HAMILTON...KEARNY... SCOTT... LANE AND TREGO COUNTIES COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES OF SNOW. NORTHEAST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR A WEATHER THREAT THAT IS LIFE THREATENING TO THOSE CAUGHT OUTDOORS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ GERARD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Apr 10, 3:08 PM CDT, 12 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 10, 3:08 PM CDT, 12 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 308 PM CDT TUE APR 10 2007 .DISCUSSION... DAYS 1-2... THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE PRECIP ENDING TONIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST...FOLLOWED BY HOW MUCH SUN WILL MAKE IT THROUGH THE CLOUDS ON WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS FROM 19Z SHOWED A PSEUDO-WARM FRONT N-S ALONG THE KS-CO BORDER...FOLLOWED CLOSELY BEHIND TO THE NW BY A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT SHOULD DIVE SOUTHEAST AND CROSS THROUGH MOST OF OUR CWA BY 00Z TONIGHT. THEN...A LOW WILL DEVELOP N OF CONCORDIA AND MOVE EAST INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI BY MIDNIGHT. THIS WILL LEAVE WESTERN KANSAS IN AN AREA OF WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND GOOD NORTHWEST FLOW (DOWNSLOPE) OVER THE WESTERN 2/23RDS OF OUR CWA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER IN THE EXTREME EASTERN CWA...BUT BECOME NW 15-20MPH TOWARD MORNING. EXPECT THERE WILL BE SOME DECREASE IN CLOUD COVER...BUT TOO LATE TO HAVE AN AFFECT ON RADIATIONAL COOLING. THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO IF FOG WILL FORM AGAIN TOWARD MORNING...WITH FRESHLY SATURATED TOP SOIL CONDITIONS. FIGURED ON THE DOWN SLOPE WINDS TO BE TOO HIGH (10- 15KT) WHICH SHOULD PREVENT ANY SATURATION OF THE LOWEST LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. AS FOR WEDNESDAY...WE SHOULD FINALLY SEE SOME SUNSHINE...AT LEAST FROM MID MORNING ONWARD. UNDER AN MID-APRIL SUN AND WITH SOME DOWN SLOPE COMPONENT TO THE NORTHWEST WINDS...EXPECT HIGHS WILL SOAR INTO THE LOWER 60S IN MY NORTHWEST TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S IN THE P28 AREA. WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL SEE ANOTHER FRONT...PACIFIC IN NATURE... NUDGE DOWN FROM NEBRASKA AND POSSIBLY PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT FOR A STRAY THUNDERSTORM OR TWO IN THE WAKEENEY-HAYS AREAS. LOWS WILL BE ELEVATED AT CLOUDS INCREASE AND WINDS SHIFT EAST TO SOUTHEAST... CAUSING AN UPSLOPE AFFECT AND INCREASING RH LEVELS. THURSDAY HAS A QUESTION MARK OVER IT. I INHERITED 20 POPS OVER ALL OUR CWA...BUT THINK THERE A BETTER CHANCE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE LARGE UPPER SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTHWEST BEGINS TO LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. LOWERED 20 POPS TO 16 IN THE GRIDS...BUT THE AFTERNOON PERIOD WILL BE THE MOST UNSTABLE PERIOD AND EVEN THEN I AM NOT TOO CONFIDENT IN 16 POPS. HIGHS WILL BE 7-12F DEG COOLER THAN ON WEDNESDAY. DAYS 3-7... THE ECMWF/CANADIAN MODELS WERE REASONABLE WITH THIS WEEKENDS SYSTEM AND WERE GENERALLY FOLLOWED. WHILE THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WEAKENING AFTER IT PASSES US, IT WILL BE FAIRLY INTENSE OVER WESTERN KS. THE EURO MODELS KEEP US NORTH OF THE FRONT AND THIS WAS ACCEPTED. THE GFS HAS BEEN TRENDING FURTHER SOUTH WITH THIS FRONT AND THE NORTHERN BIAS OF THE GFS IS WELL KNOWN. ELEVATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE LIKELY NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT IN A WARM ADVECTION PATTERN THU NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THEN THE RAIN MAY CHANGE TO SNOW FROM DDC NW FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL HOW MUCH SNOW WILL FALL BUT OUR NW COUNTIES COULD HAVE A FEW INCHES. A SLOW WARMUP CAN BE EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION... LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT FOG WILL GRADUALLY ERODE FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING AS DOWNSLOPE FLOW BEHIND A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SCOURS OUT THE MOISTURE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 34 63 39 53 / 20 0 0 20 GCK 33 62 38 49 / 20 0 0 20 EHA 38 65 41 55 / 20 0 0 20 LBL 35 65 41 57 / 20 0 0 20 HYS 33 62 36 49 / 30 0 20 20 P28 37 66 41 61 / 40 0 0 20 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && FN12/24/24
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 10, 5:07 AM CDT, 22 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 507 AM CDT TUE APR 10 2007 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-111015- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 507 AM CDT TUE APR 10 2007 /407 AM MDT TUE APR 10 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF FOG THIS MORNING WILL BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO 1/2 MILE AT TIME THROUGH 10 AM. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. RAINFALL TODAY IS EXPECTED TO AVERAGE LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH AND ANY THUNDERSTORM WHICH DOES DEVELOP WILL NOT BE STRONG OR SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND EVEN SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE WEEK AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TOWARDS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. AT THIS TIME THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS LATE WEEK STORM SYSTEM. A DIFFERENCE IN TRACK OF AS LITTLE AS 100 MILES WILL MAKE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER FRIDAY AND ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS. PLEASE CHECK BACK OFTEN FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in Kansas, 2007Every winter storm watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.