Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 284, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 6, 2007, 7:43 PM CDT for Clark County, Meade County, Kansas. It was in force for 47 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 6, 2007, 7:43 PM CDT (00:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 6, 2007, 8:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 47 min
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Clark County, KS, Meade County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 8:11 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 60 | 7 Wnw Ashland, KS | |
| Sep 6, 8:24 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Ashland, KS | SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN. A 7-INCH LIMB FELL ON POLICE CRUISER AND DID SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE. ENTIRE TOWN OF ASHLAND OUT OF POWER. |
| Sep 6, 8:24 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 70 | Ashland, KS | |
| Sep 6, 8:30 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Nnw Ashland, KS | SEVERAL TREES DOWN. POWER LINES DOWN FROM TREES BLOWING INTO THEM. |
| Sep 6, 8:30 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 75 | 4 Nnw Ashland, KS |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 28 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1393 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2665 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 24 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS53 KDDC 070046 SVRDDC KSC025-119-070130- /O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0284.070907T0043Z-070907T0130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 743 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS. EAST CENTRAL MEADE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS. * UNTIL 830 PM CDT * AT 740 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF ASHLAND TO 12 MILES WEST OF ACRES...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORM WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR BIG BASIN PRAIRIE PRESERVE. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ACRES... ASHLAND... SITKA... RURAL RESIDENCES OF CLARK AND EASTERN MEADE COUNTIES. BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. DAMAGING WINDS WITH THIS STORM MAY OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN OR LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THE SOUND OF THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUS WARNING ISSUED FOR MEADE COUNTY. LAT...LON 3734 10006 3712 10027 3701 9956 3738 9956 $$ UMSCHEID
1 follow-up statement
000
WWUS53 KDDC 070101
SVSDDC
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
801 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007
KSC119-070111-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0284.000000T0000Z-070907T0130Z/
MEADE KS-
801 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL
MEADE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
LAT...LON 3707 9987 3709 10008 3730 10009 3734 10005
3735 9998 3735 9985 3736 9984 3738 9956
3701 9957
$$
KSC025-070130-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0284.000000T0000Z-070907T0130Z/
CLARK KS-
801 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR CLARK COUNTY...
AT 757 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF
70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12
MILES NORTH OF ASHLAND TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACRES...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ASHLAND...
SITKA...
RURAL RESIDENCES OF CLARK COUNTY.
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
LAT...LON 3707 9987 3709 10008 3730 10009 3734 10005
3735 9998 3735 9985 3736 9984 3738 9956
3701 9957
$$
UMSCHEIDWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 6, 2:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 6, 2:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 54 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 249 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007 .DISCUSSION... DAYS 1-2... THIS MORNINGS ANALYSIS WAS SHOWING A LEE TROF EXTENDING ACROSS OUR CWA WITH THE COLD FRONT STILL LOCATED OVER NEBRASKA. NAM AND GFS BOTH AGREE TODAY IN KEEPING OUR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON SO ANY CONVECTION EXPECTED LATE TODAY AND EARLY THIS EVENING WILL MAINLY BE FROM AFTERNOON HEATING ALONG LEE TROF. WITH THIS IN MIND WILL BE FOLLOWING SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS ON THIS BUT BASED ON EXPECTED INSTAB IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE IN THE NORTH/NORTHEAST. AS OUR S/W TROF MOVES EAST ACROSS THE CNTL PLAINS EARLY TONIGHT OUR COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SOUTH INTO KANSAS. INSTAB AND LIFT REMAINS MORE FAVORABLE ACROSS THE EAST OVERNIGHT SO CURRENT GRIDS WITH HIGHER CHC POPS IN THE EAST STILL LOOKS GOOD. BY FRIDAY THE OUR COLD FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AS A LARGE AREA OF TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AT THIS TIME APPEARS THAT ALL MODELS KEEP THE BETTER 925-7H FGEN AND MOISTURE SOUTH OF THE BORDER DURING DAY. LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY DID NOTICE THAT A 7H LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS OK INTO SC KS AS A WEAK S/W TROF ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIGHT EXIT REGION OF A 25H JET WILL CROSS OUR SOUTHERN CWA FROM WEST TO EAST. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO DRAW SOME MOISTURE AND PCPN INTO OUR SOUTHERN CWA...ESPECIALLY IN THE SE. DAYS 3-7... FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES. TIMING REMAINS TO BE AN ISSUE WITH THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DROPPING THROUGH THE ROCKIES EARLY THIS PERIOD. MODELS INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENING AND MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES SUNDAY AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES MONDAY. HOWEVER, UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS WITH THE MODELS IN CONSIDERATION TO TIMING AND POSITIONING OF THIS SYSTEM. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE A LITTLE AHEAD OF THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN MODELS IN THE PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DROP SOUTH INTO KANSAS MONDAY. AGAIN, TIMING AND POSITIONING OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS UNCLEAR AS DOES HOW COOL THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE WHEN IT DOES ARRIVE. THE GFS ALSO INDICATES COOLER TEMPERATURES AT H85 (UPPER SINGLE DIGITS) THAN THE ECMWF (H85 TEMPS IN LOW TO MID TEENS) IN THE INITIAL SURGE BEHIND THE FRONT. REGARDLESS, THE TREND REMAINS TO BE FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS TO BEGIN THE WEEK. MAY TWEAK TEMPERATURES DOWN JUST A BIT MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE COLD FRONT AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS THROUGH THE PLAINS LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AGAIN, THE GFS IS A LITTLE QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN MODELS BRINGING THE FRONT THROUGH. THE ECMWF/CANADIAN ALSO INDICATE THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINING MORE POSITIVELY TILTED THAN THE GFS. THE 12Z RUN OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES EVEN BEGIN TO SHOW A FEW PERTURBATIONS LEANING TOWARDS THE ECMWF/CANADIAN SOLUTION. HOWEVER, TIMING AND POSITIONING OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN AS TO WHERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MIGHT TAKE PLACE. SOME MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH H85 DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT QUICKLY DRY OUT BEHIND THE FRONT. PLAN TO MAKE ONLY SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS IN THE GOING POPS. && .AVIATION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY. AT THE SURFACE, A LEE SIDE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ALONG THE KANSAS AND COLORADO BORDER WHILE A COLD FRONT IN NEBRASKA DROPS SLOWLY SOUTH INTO NORTHERN KANSAS BY THIS EVENING. EXPECT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INITIALLY THIS EVENING, HOWEVER, MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 97 65 83 60 / 0 20 10 20 GCK 99 63 83 57 / 0 20 0 0 EHA 97 62 83 58 / 30 30 0 30 LBL 99 65 84 60 / 0 20 20 30 HYS 95 65 82 58 / 0 30 0 0 P28 94 71 85 66 / 0 30 40 40 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && FN18/32/32
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 6, 5:10 AM CDT, 14 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 510 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2007 KSZ043-044-061>063-074>076-084-085-071015- SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-MORTON- STEVENS- 510 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2007 /410 AM MDT THU SEP 6 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC KSZ030-031-045-046-064>066-077>081-086>090-071015- TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS- KIOWA-PRATT-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 510 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO OVER 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED FROM 4 PM THROUGH MIDNIGHT. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Sep 6, 7:11 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 711 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007 KSZ043-044-070100- LANE-SCOTT- 711 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LANE AND SCOTT COUNTIES... AT 710 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF HEALY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. AT 7 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF SCOTT CITY. RESIDENTS IN NORTHEASTERN SCOTT AND NORTHWESTERN LANE COUNTIES... SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN. LAT...LON 3866 10083 3855 10073 3869 10046 3869 10075 UMSCHEID
Local storm report, Sep 6, 7:14 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
714 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM HAIL 7 NNW MANNING 38.63N 100.76W
09/06/2007 E0.88 INCH SCOTT KS PUBLIC
&&
LEELocal storm report, Sep 6, 7:32 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
732 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0729 PM HAIL 2 E HEALY 38.60N 100.59W
09/06/2007 E0.88 INCH LANE KS PUBLIC
&&
LEEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 7:11 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Lane | 49 min |
| Sep 6, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Meade | 33 min |
| Sep 6, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark, Ford | 45 min |
| Sep 6, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark | 17 min |
| Sep 6, 8:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Comanche | 40 min |
| Sep 6, 8:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Pawnee | 36 min |
| Sep 6, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Pawnee, Stafford | 39 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.