Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2007
River Flood Warning 8, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this river flood warning at Jul 12, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT for Hodgeman County, Pawnee County, Kansas. It was in force for 52 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 12, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2007, 8:07 PM CDT
- In force
- 52 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Hodgeman County, KS, Pawnee County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Buckner Creek near Burdett (BETK1).
- Action stage
- 15 ft
- Minor stage
- 16 ft
- Moderate stage
- 21 ft
- Major stage
- 25 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07141175, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS43 KDDC 122048 FLWDDC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 348 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY, KS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. .RUNOFF FROM VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH FELL LAST NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS HAS CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO RISE RAPIDLY TODAY. THE BUCKNER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN THERE UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER ON THIS EVENING. KSC083-145-130848- /X.NEW.KDDC.FL.W.0008.070712T2048Z-070713T1552Z/ /BETK1.1.ER.070712T2016Z.070713T0000Z.070713T0952Z.NO/ 348 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY, KS HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW. * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...PREPARE FOR FIRST TERRACE OVERFLOWS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE BANKS OF THE BUCKNER CREEK. MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AT A STAGE OF 19.0 FEET. THE CITIES OF JETMORE AND HANSTON ARE NOT IN ANY IMMEDIATE DANGER FROM THIS FORECASTED RISE ALONG BUCKNER CREEK. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.0 FEET ON OCT 27 1997. $$
13 follow-up statements
000 WGUS43 KDDC 122159 FLWDDC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TEST...FLOOD WARNING ...TEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 459 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. .RUNOFF FROM VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH FELL LAST NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS HAS CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO RISE RAPIDLY TODAY. THE BUCKNER CREEK HAD CONTINUED TO RISE AT A FAIRLY RAPID RATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON PROMPTING AN UPDATED CREST HEIGHT REACHING THE LOWER THRESHOLD OF MODERATE FLOODING. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS EVENING. KSC083-145-130959- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070713T1448Z/ /BETK1.2.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0000Z.070713T0848Z.NO/ 459 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW. * IMPACT...AT 21.7 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING TO DEPTHS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ALONG THE LOWER TERRACES OF BUCKNER CREEK...MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME INUNDATED BY 2 OR MORE FEET OF WATER. THE NORTH-SOUTH COUNTY ROAD WHICH CROSSES BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AS THE RIVER STAGE PASSES 21.7 FEET. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.2 FEET ON AUG 22 2006. $$
000 WGUS43 KDDC 122202 CCA FLWDDC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 459 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. .RUNOFF FROM VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH FELL LAST NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS HAS CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO RISE RAPIDLY TODAY. THE BUCKNER CREEK HAD CONTINUED TO RISE AT A FAIRLY RAPID RATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON PROMPTING AN UPDATED CREST HEIGHT REACHING THE LOWER THRESHOLD OF MODERATE FLOODING. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS EVENING. KSC083-145-130959- /X.COR.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070713T1448Z/ /BETK1.2.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0000Z.070713T0848Z.NO/ 459 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 4:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW. * IMPACT...AT 21.7 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING TO DEPTHS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ALONG THE LOWER TERRACES OF BUCKNER CREEK...MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME INUNDATED BY 2 OR MORE FEET OF WATER. THE NORTH-SOUTH COUNTY ROAD WHICH CROSSES BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AS THE RIVER STAGE PASSES 21.7 FEET. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.2 FEET ON AUG 22 2006. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 130050 FLSDDC KSC083-145-131250- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 750 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. .RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL LAST NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS HAS CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO RISE OVER ITS BANKS. THE CREEK IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT TOMORROW NIGHT. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ***TIME OF NEXT ISSUANCE*** KSC083-145-131250- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T1146Z/ /BETK1.2.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0600Z.070714T0546Z.NR/ 750 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.0 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.1 FEET BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 21.7 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING TO DEPTHS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ALONG THE LOWER TERRACES OF BUCKNER CREEK...MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME INUNDATED BY 2 OR MORE FEET OF WATER. THE NORTH-SOUTH COUNTY ROAD WHICH CROSSES BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AS THE RIVER STAGE PASSES 21.7 FEET. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.1 FEET ON SEP 20 1996. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 130213 FLSDDC KSC083-145-131413- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 913 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. . RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL LAST NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS HAS CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO RISE OVER ITS BANKS. THE CREEK IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT TOMORROW NIGHT. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. KSC083-145-131413- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T1342Z/ /BETK1.2.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0600Z.070714T0742Z.NR/ 913 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.4 FEET ON NOV 17 1996. $$
000 WGUS43 KDDC 130704 FLWDDC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 204 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...OBSERVED FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO RECORD SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... ...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO RECORD SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. . RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL LAST NIGHT AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL KANSAS HAS CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO RISE OVER ITS BANKS. THE CREEK IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT ON FRIDAY NIGHT. MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVERBANKS... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. KSC083-145-131904- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T1618Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T1200Z.070714T1018Z.NR/ 204 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO RECORD SEVERITY... ...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO RECORD SEVERITY... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. * RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.4 FEET ON NOV 17 1996. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 130912 FLSDDC KSC083-145-132112- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 412 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...OBSERVED AND FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO RECORD SEVERITY FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. . RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL THAT FELL LAST NIGHT AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL KANSAS HAS CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO RISE OVER ITS BANKS. THE CREEK IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FRIDAY MORNING. KSC083-145-132112- /X.CON.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T1618Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T1200Z.070714T1018Z.NR/ 412 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 3:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. * RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.4 FEET ON NOV 17 1996. $$ 06
000 WGUS83 KDDC 131318 FLSDDC KSC083-145-140118- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 818 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. .HEAVY RAINS FROM THE PREVIOUS 2 NIGHTS HAVE CAUSED THE BUCKNER CREEK TO FLOW OVER ITS BANKS. THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON. KSC083-145-140118- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T1536Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0745Z.070714T0936Z.NR/ 818 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.1 FEET ON SEP 20 1996. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 131849 FLSDDC KSC083-145-140649- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 149 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. .THE BUCKNER CREEK HAS BEGUN TO RECEDE THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO DURING THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER, THE CREEK WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ***TIME OF NEXT ISSUANCE*** KSC083-145-140649- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T1845Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0745Z.070714T1245Z.NR/ 149 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 21.7 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING TO DEPTHS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ALONG THE LOWER TERRACES OF BUCKNER CREEK...MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME INUNDATED BY 2 OR MORE FEET OF WATER. THE NORTH-SOUTH COUNTY ROAD WHICH CROSSES BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AS THE RIVER STAGE PASSES 21.7 FEET. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.1 FEET ON SEP 20 1996. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 140205 FLSDDC KSC083-145-141405- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 905 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. . THE BUCKNER CREEK CONTINUES TO SLOWLY RECEDE...HOWEVER, THE CREEK WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. KSC083-145-141405- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T2136Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0745Z.070714T1536Z.NR/ 905 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 21.7 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING TO DEPTHS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ALONG THE LOWER TERRACES OF BUCKNER CREEK...MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME INUNDATED BY 2 OR MORE FEET OF WATER. THE NORTH-SOUTH COUNTY ROAD WHICH CROSSES BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AS THE RIVER STAGE PASSES 21.7 FEET. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 140717 FLSDDC KSC083-145-141917- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 217 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS.. THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. (OPTIONAL) GENERAL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SYNOPSIS . THE BUCKNER CREEK CONTINUES TO SLOWLY RECEDE...HOWEVER, THE CREEK WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SATURDAY MORNING. KSC083-145-141917- /X.CON.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070714T2136Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0745Z.070714T1536Z.NR/ 217 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 1:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 21.7 FEET...EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING TO DEPTHS OF 5 FEET OR MORE ALONG THE LOWER TERRACES OF BUCKNER CREEK...MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME INUNDATED BY 2 OR MORE FEET OF WATER. THE NORTH-SOUTH COUNTY ROAD WHICH CROSSES BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AS THE RIVER STAGE PASSES 21.7 FEET. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.2 FEET ON AUG 22 2006. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 141521 FLSDDC KSC083-145-150321- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1021 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. GENERAL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SYNOPSIS . BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT WAS STILL SWOLLEN FROM RECENT RAINS...AND WILL SLOWLY RECEDE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE CREEK SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 1 AM ON SUNDAY. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SATURDAY EVENING. KSC083-145-150321- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070715T1236Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0745Z.070715T0636Z.NR/ 1021 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...PREPARE FOR FIRST TERRACE OVERFLOWS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE BANKS OF THE BUCKNER CREEK. MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETARY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AT A STAGE OF 19.0 FEET. THE CITIES OF JETMORE AND HANSTON ARE NOT IN ANY IMMEDIATE DANGER FROM THIS FORECASTED RISE ALONG BUCKNER CREEK. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.0 FEET ON OCT 27 1997. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 141835 FLSDDC KSC083-145-150635- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 135 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. GENERAL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SYNOPSIS . THE STAGE ON BUCKNER CREEK WEST OF BURDETT WAS AT 18.24 FEET AT 12:30 TODAY (SATURDAY) AND WILL SLOWLY FALL AND BE BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 16 FEET AROUND 1 AM SUNDAY. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING. KSC083-145-150635- /X.EXT.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070715T1232Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0745Z.070715T0632Z.NR/ 135 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. * AT 12:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. * IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...PREPARE FOR FIRST TERRACE OVERFLOWS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE BANKS OF THE BUCKNER CREEK. MOVE LIVESTOCK AWAY FROM THE MAIN CHANNEL. THE CREEKSIDE CEMETERY ROAD ALONG BUCKNER CREEK NORTH OF GRAY WILL BECOME FLOODED AT A STAGE OF 19.0 FEET. THE CITIES OF JETMORE AND HANSTON ARE NOT IN ANY IMMEDIATE DANGER FROM THIS FORECASTED RISE ALONG BUCKNER CREEK. * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.0 FEET ON OCT 27 1997. $$
000 WGUS83 KDDC 150107 FLSDDC KSC083-145-151307- FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 807 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KANSAS... THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W AFFECTING HODGEMAN AND PAWNEE COUNTIES. .THE STAGE ON BUCKNER CREEK WEST OF BURDETT WAS AT 12.86 FEET AT 7:30 PM SATURDAY EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER OR GO AROUND BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS VISIT OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=DDC (LOWERCASE) FOR ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION. KSC083-145-150137- /X.CAN.KDDC.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-070715T1232Z/ /BETK1.3.ER.070712T1940Z.070713T0745Z.070714T2123Z.NR/ 807 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE BUCKNER CREEK NEAR BURDETT 6W. * AT 7:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. * FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 4:23 PM SATURDAY. * FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.4 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 12, 3:30 PM CDT, 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 3:30 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 330 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 .DISCUSSION... DAYS 1-2... 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES H3 JET HAS MANAGED TO PUSH SOUTH FROM CANADA ACROSS EASTERN ND SOUTH INTO ERN KS. 90-95KT JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS GREAT LAKES WITH A SECOND 90KT JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS EASTERN ND. SEVERAL S/WVS ARE PIVOTING AROUND UPPER LOW AT H5. ANOTHER S/WV IS FOUND MOVING ACROSS OK THIS MORNING. AN ABUNDANT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AT H7 AND H85 CONTINUED TO BE PRESENT ACROSS WESTERN KS. H7 TEMPERATURES WERE GENERALLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE STATE. AT THE SURFACE, 15Z DATA INDICATED A STATIONARY FRONT WAS DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHERN OK. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER MCS WITH HEAVY RAIN/SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT. MCS OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY HAS LEFT SOME AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS WITH HIGH WATER AND FLOODING. RAINFALL FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES HAS LEFT BEHIND SATURATED GROUND. CURRENTLY HAVE A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN TWO TIERS OF COUNTIES IN FA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. QUESTION WILL BE WHETHER OR NOT CANCELLATION IS NEEDED. DO THINK HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR IN CWA BUT AT PRESENT, IT APPEARS THAT CHANCES WILL BE FURTHER WEST TONIGHT. NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE ON BRINGING YET ANOTHER MCS ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THETA-E RIDGE REMAINS OVER WESTERN KANSAS WITH H85-H3 STEERING FLOW PUSHING ANY COMPLEX TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. CORE OF LOW LEVEL JET NOSES INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS BY EVENING WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. SEVERAL BOUNDARIES FROM PREVIOUS NIGHTS MCS ARE FLOATING AROUND FA. IN ADDITION, SFC TROUGH/STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOW INTO SW KANSAS. SBCAPE ACROSS WESTERN FA IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG WITH LIS WELL BELOW 0C. SHOULD SEE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. SOME COULD BE SEVERE. STORMS WILL MERGE TO FORM AN MCS THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. BEST CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN FA. CURRENTLY HAVE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES. BASED ON PRESENT INDICATIONS OF HIGHEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP WEST OF CURRENT FLOOD WATCH, WILL GO AHEAD AND REMOVE IT AT THIS TIME. THE SITUATION WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED VERY CLOSELY GIVEN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. STREAMS ARE STILL RESPONDING TO OVERNIGHT RAINFALL IN THIS REGION. BY FRIDAY, MCS SHOULD BE MOVING SOUTH INTO OK/TX LEAVING BEHIND CLEARING SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION. H85 TEMPERATURES INTO THE TEENS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN SURFACE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. BY SATURDAY, COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM. WILL ADD SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO THE FA TO ACCOUNT FOR POSSIBILITY. DEWPOINTS WILL DROP INTO THE 40S AND 50S BEHIND THIS FRONT THUS TIMING IS IMPORTANT TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DIMINISHING. DAYS 3-7... I BASICALLY STAYED THE COURSE WITH THE EXTENDED FORECAST TODAY. A SWITCH FROM THE COOLER AND WETTER GSDM STAGE 2 REGIME TO MORE OF A WARMER AND DRIER GSDM STAGE 1 REGIME OVER NORTH AMERICA WILL BE ARRIVING LATE IN THE WEEKEND. THE CLIMATE TOOLS ON THE CDC WEBSITE HAVE NOT BEEN UPDATED RECENTLY, HOWEVER USING SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM SSEC SHOWS THAT THE EASTWARD PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE SIGNAL THAT STARTED AROUND THE LAST WEEK OF JUNE ACROSS THE PACIFIC HAS FOR THE MOST PART VANISHED. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IS NEARLY VOID OF CONVECTION WITH A CONSOLIDATION OCCURRING BACK TO THE WEST BETWEEN 90E AND 120E WHICH IS MORE CHARACTERISTIC OF A GSDM STAGE 1 PATTERN. THE WEEKEND WILL BE THE TRANSITION PERIOD BETWEEN THE 2 REGIMES. THE NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT ONE MORE WAVE WILL ROTATE AROUND THE GREAT LAKES TROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A FRONT SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS WITH THE TAIL END LYING ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. A FEW STORMS COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE SOUTH ACROSS MY EASTERN COUNTIES SATURDAY NIGHT. FOR THIS REASON, I THREW IN SOME 20 POPS. I AM PLANNING ON KEEPING THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE RIDGE SHIFTING EAST INTO THE ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS STATED BEFORE, THIS MAKES SENSE AND WOULD BE THE RESPONSE I WOULD EXPECT IN A GSDM STAGE 1 PATTERN. UNCERTAINTY DOES INCREASE SOME TOWARD WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY HOWEVER AS MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST A WEAKNESS IN THE HEIGHT FIELD TRAPPED BENEATH THE UPPER RIDGE OVER OKLAHOMA OR TEXAS. THIS SYSTEM MAY COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING A CHANCE FOR PRECIP BUT UNCERTAINTY JUST REMAINS TOO HIGH AT THE MOMENT TO THROW POPS IN. THE WEEK 2 FORECAST REMAINS UNCERTAIN SO WILL STICK WITH NEAR NORMAL FOR TEMPS/PRECIP FOR NOW. LACY && .AVIATION... WILL GO WITH THE SAME STRATEGY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS I DID YESTERDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING WEST OF THE TERMINALS AT THIS POINT BUT COULD DEVELOP OR MOVE EASTWARD LATER ON THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. A COMPLEX OF STORMS IS ORGANIZING OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA ALONG A COLD FRONT AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS TONIGHT. THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION AT THIS POINT WILL BE TO JUST GO WITH VCTS UNTIL A BETTER IDEA OF THE EVOLUTION OF THIS EVENT IS ACHIEVED. A TEMPORARY PERIOD OF MVFR VSBYS AND CIGS IS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IF THEY HIT THE TERMINALS. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY WILL LEAVE MENTION OF THIS OUT OF THE TAFS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 64 84 62 90 / 60 10 10 10 GCK 64 84 62 91 / 60 10 10 10 EHA 64 83 60 91 / 70 10 10 10 LBL 64 84 62 91 / 80 20 10 20 HYS 64 85 64 90 / 40 10 10 20 P28 67 85 65 90 / 70 20 10 20 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && FN30/27/27
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 3:30 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 330 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 KSZ043-061>066-074>081-084>090-130945- SCOTT-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON- GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD- MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 330 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 /230 PM MDT THU JUL 12 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY 500 PM CDT THIS EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING. THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LARNED TO DODGE CITY TO SYRACUSE. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE BRIEFLY SEVERE WITH HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC KSZ030-031-044>046-130945- TREGO-ELLIS-LANE-NESS-RUSH- 330 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL PROBABLY NOT BE SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 12, 10:07 AM CDT, 5 hours 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1007 AM CDT THU JUL 12 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HAIL 3 SW JOHNSON CITY 37.54N 101.79W
07/12/2007 E0.75 INCH STANTON KS PUBLIC
JUST A FEW HAIL STONES
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E JETMORE 38.08N 99.84W
07/12/2007 M4.60 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 ESE PENDENNIS 38.63N 100.27W
07/12/2007 M3.60 INCH LANE KS PUBLIC
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N JOHNSON CITY 37.60N 101.75W
07/12/2007 M2.50 INCH STANTON KS EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
07Local storm report, Jul 12, 12:30 PM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1230 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW UTICA 38.61N 100.22W
07/12/2007 M3.30 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NNE BEELER 38.53N 100.15W
07/12/2007 M5.00 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
WASHED OUT NEWLY INSTALLED FENCE POSTS.
&&
07Local storm report, Jul 12, 12:37 PM CDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1237 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HAIL 3 SW JOHNSON CITY 37.54N 101.79W
07/12/2007 E0.75 INCH STANTON KS PUBLIC
JUST A FEW HAIL STONES
1225 AM HAIL JETMORE 38.08N 99.89W
07/12/2007 M1.75 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0725 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 N BEELER 38.47N 100.20W
07/12/2007 M4.10 INCH NESS KS AMATEUR RADIO
REPORTED FULL CULVERTS
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E JETMORE 38.08N 99.84W
07/12/2007 M4.60 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 ESE PENDENNIS 38.63N 100.27W
07/12/2007 M3.60 INCH LANE KS PUBLIC
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N JOHNSON CITY 37.60N 101.75W
07/12/2007 M2.50 INCH STANTON KS EMERGENCY MNGR
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW UTICA 38.61N 100.22W
07/12/2007 M3.30 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NNE BEELER 38.53N 100.15W
07/12/2007 M5.00 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
WASHED OUT NEWLY INSTALLED FENCE POSTS.
0912 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N OFFERLE 37.92N 99.56W
07/12/2007 M5.00 INCH EDWARDS KS EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
07The office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 11:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Stanton | 32 min |
| Jul 12, 12:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Hodgeman | 37 min |
| Jul 12, 1:56 AM CDT | Flood Watch | DDC | Barber, Comanche, Edwards, Kiowa, Pawnee, Pratt and 1 more | 14 hr |
| Jul 12, 5:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Morton, Stanton | 50 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2007Every river flood warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.