Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS State College, PA

000 
WWUS51 KCTP 131957
SVSCTP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
355 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAC067-132005-
/O.CAN.KCTP.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-070613T2045Z/
JUNIATA PA-
355 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR JUNIATA COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS HAS MOVED TO THE SOUTH OF JUNIATA 
COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 4059 7726 4058 7686 4069 7658 4029 7619
      4015 7673 4032 7692 4028 7743

$$

PAC043-075-099-107-132045-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-070613T2045Z/
LEBANON PA-DAUPHIN PA-PERRY PA-SCHUYLKILL PA-
355 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCHUYLKILL...EASTERN PERRY...DAUPHIN AND LEBANON
COUNTIES...

AT 351 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ICKESBURG TO MYERSTOWN...
MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ICKESBURG...AND PENN NATIONAL RACEWAY AROUND 400 PM EDT...
  KLEINFELTERSVILLE...ELLENDALE FORGE AND CLEONA AROUND 405 PM EDT...
  SKYLINE VIEW...PALMYRA AND NEW BLOOMFIELD AROUND 410 PM EDT...
  LOYSVILLE AROUND 415 PM EDT...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THESE STORMS.  
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP. IF A TORNADO 
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY 
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE
OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG
BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS OR EVEN BELOW GROUND LEVEL.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 4059 7726 4058 7686 4069 7658 4029 7619
      4015 7673 4032 7692 4028 7743

$$

FORECASTER: DANGELO

000 
WWUS51 KCTP 132018
SVSCTP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
417 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAC107-132027-
/O.CAN.KCTP.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-070613T2045Z/
SCHUYLKILL PA-
417 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SCHUYLKILL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 4042 7735 4041 7694 4049 7660 4029 7619
      4015 7673 4032 7692 4028 7743

$$

PAC043-075-099-132045-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-070613T2045Z/
LEBANON PA-DAUPHIN PA-PERRY PA-
417 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL PERRY...SOUTHERN DAUPHIN AND LEBANON COUNTIES...

AT 413 PM EDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 
MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
LANDISBURG TO KLEINFELTERSVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MIDDLETOWN AND HIGHSPIRE AROUND 430 PM EDT...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE
OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG
BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS OR EVEN BELOW GROUND LEVEL.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 4042 7735 4041 7694 4049 7660 4029 7619
      4015 7673 4032 7692 4028 7743

$$

FORECASTER: DANGELO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
259 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA WILL GRADUALLY PUSH WEST OF THE REGION BY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
SOUTHWARD FROM NEW ENGLAND. THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTROL
THE WEATHER OVER PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL A COLD FRONT APPROACHES BY THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WATCH 392 IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE CWA
THROUGH 9 PM.

SEVERAL SHORT WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF AN UPPER LOW
OFF OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. THE MAIN WAVE DROPPED SOUTHWEST OFF
OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS MORNING AND HAS SET OFF THUNDERSTORMS OVER
OUR FAR NORTHWEST ZONES. A LINE OF STORMS STRETCHES WEST TO EAST
ALONG INTERSTATE 80 AND MOVING SOUTHWEST. CAPE VALUES ARND 1500J
AND DEEP LYR SHEAR BTWN 25-30KTS IS COMPARABLE TO YESTERDAY...AND
ENOUGH TO GENERATE ORGANIZED MULTICELLS WITH SVR WX.

&&

.SHORT TERM /9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
CONVECTION WILL BE EXITING THE CWA THIS EVENING AND ONLY AN
ISOLATED SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD DOWN THE COAST FROM NEW ENGLAND ON
THURSDAY...PUSHING BACKDOOR FRONT AND ASSOCIATED TONGUE OF LL
MOISTURE WEST OF PA. EASTERLY FLOW WILL DRAW MUCH COOLER MARITIME
AIRMASS INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL PA. MAY HAVE TO DEAL WITH STRATOCU
OVR MTNS EARLY THURSDAY. HOWEVER...DON/T SEE MUCH OPPORTUNITY FOR
PRECIP...AS MID LVL SUBSIDENCE EXPECTED IN WAKE OF SHORTWAVE
PASSING TO OUR SOUTH. LOWER MAV POPS APPEAR MOST
REASONABLE...ALTHOUGH CAN/T RULE OUT AN EARLY SHWR OVER THE SC
MTNS. TEMPERATURE WILL BE ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON
THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER APPEARS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AS
SFC HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS PARKED OFF OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.
NEXT CHC FOR SHWR/TSTMS NOT UNTIL A WEAKENING COLD FRONT
APPROACHES ON SUNDAY. MOST MED RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS HOT WEATHER
WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS UPPER LVL RIDGE BUILDS OVR THE
EASTERN CONUS. NEW ECMWF INDICATES 850 TEMPS RISING TO 22C BY MON
EVENING AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONT POISED TO CROSS THE AREA ON
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LINE OF STORMS WEST TO EAST WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST THROUGH 01Z.
STORMS HAVE PASSED KBFD SO ONLY EXPECT A VCSH THROUGH THE EVENING.
ALL OTHER AIRFIELDS WILL SEE TSRA AT SOME POINT THROUGH 01Z. THE
STORMS WILL END IN KIPT THROUGH 20Z AND WILL MOVE THROUGH KUNV
THEN KMDT...KAOO AND KJST CLOSER TO 00Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHEAST EXPECT HIGHER GUSTS IN TSRA.

THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...THE MID/UPPER LEVEL COOL POOL OF AIR
ASSOCIATED WILL A SLOWLY MOVING UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF
PA. THIS WILL BRING DRY AIR INTO THE REGION...LEADING TO LITTLE
IF ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN. SKIES SHOULD BE CLEAR AT NIGHT...AND MOSTLY
SUNNY DURING THE DAY DURING THIS PERIOD WITH A LIGHT...MAINLY
NORTHEAST WIND.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FITZGERALD
NEAR TERM...FITZGERALD/TYBURSKI
SHORT TERM...FITZGERALD/TYBURSKI
LONG TERM...TYBURSKI
AVIATION...TYBURSKI/DANGELO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
141 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-141745-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
141 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 392 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON IN THE
VICINITY OF A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE WEST OF
THE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER THROUGH 9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
235 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAZ053-131900-
COLUMBIA-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL COLUMBIA COUNTY...

AT 231 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTH OF BLOOMSBURG...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT
15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ORANGEVILLE AROUND 240 PM...ALMEDIA AROUND
250 PM...BLOOMSBURG AROUND 255 PM AND CATAWISSA AROUND 300 PM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 228 AND 240.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 11.

FORECASTER: DANGELO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
240 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAZ066-131915-
LANCASTER-
240 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN LANCASTER COUNTY...

AT 236 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF SHILLINGTON...MOVING SOUTHWEST
AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR CHURCHTOWN AROUND 245 PM...TERRE HILL AROUND
250 PM...NEW HOLLAND AROUND 300 PM...LEOLA AROUND 310 PM AND PARADISE
AROUND 315 PM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 284 AND 295.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 30...ROUTE
222...ROUTE 322...STATE ROAD 41.

FORECASTER: RXR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
242 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAZ018-131915-
NORTHERN CENTRE-
242 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL CENTRE COUNTY...

AT 240 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER FAR NORTHERN CENTRE COUNTY...19 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BELLEFONTE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR PINE GLEN AROUND 305 PM AND MOSHANNON AROUND
315 PM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 138 AND 148.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS.

FORECASTER: DANGELO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
303 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAZ018-131930-
NORTHERN CENTRE-
303 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN CENTRE COUNTY...

AT 300 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTH OF TYRONE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10
MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR SANDY RIDGE AROUND 315 PM.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 322...STATE
ROAD 350.

FORECASTER: RXR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
304 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAZ049-131930-
UNION-
304 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY...

AT 301 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MIFFLINBURG...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR HARTLETON AROUND 320 PM.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...STATE ROAD 45.

FORECASTER: DANGELO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
316 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

PAZ033-132000-
SOMERSET-
316 PM EDT WED JUN 13 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOMERSET COUNTY...

AT 312 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF SOMERSET...MOVING SOUTHWEST
AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR FRIEDENS AROUND 325 PM...SOMERSET AROUND 345
PM AND ROCKWOOD AROUND 400 PM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 100 AND 117.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 30...ROUTE
219.

FORECASTER: RXR